| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 41 | NA | NA | 10.2403 | NA |
| 2 | 39 | NA | NA | -4.8384 | NA |
| 3 | 50 | NA | NA | -8.75969 | NA |
| 4 | 40 | NA | NA | -28.9634 | NA |
| 5 | 43 | NA | NA | -30.8158 | NA |
| 6 | 38 | NA | NA | -32.5502 | NA |
| 7 | 44 | 57.5273 | 40.5417 | 16.9857 | -13.5273 |
| 8 | 35 | 77.8144 | 41.75 | 36.0644 | -42.8144 |
| 9 | 39 | 50.7773 | 43.125 | 7.65234 | -11.7773 |
| 10 | 35 | 53.4996 | 43.3333 | 10.1662 | -18.4996 |
| 11 | 29 | 52.4857 | 42.8333 | 9.65234 | -23.4857 |
| 12 | 49 | 58.2079 | 43.0417 | 15.1662 | -9.2079 |
| 13 | 50 | 54.032 | 43.7917 | 10.2403 | -4.03197 |
| 14 | 59 | 40.3699 | 45.2083 | -4.8384 | 18.6301 |
| 15 | 63 | 38.2403 | 47 | -8.75969 | 24.7597 |
| 16 | 32 | 19.4949 | 48.4583 | -28.9634 | 12.5051 |
| 17 | 39 | 20.0592 | 50.875 | -30.8158 | 18.9408 |
| 18 | 47 | 21.7415 | 54.2917 | -32.5502 | 25.2585 |
| 19 | 53 | 73.9857 | 57 | 16.9857 | -20.9857 |
| 20 | 60 | 94.1894 | 58.125 | 36.0644 | -34.1894 |
| 21 | 57 | 65.569 | 57.9167 | 7.65234 | -8.56901 |
| 22 | 52 | 69.9162 | 59.75 | 10.1662 | -17.9162 |
| 23 | 70 | 73.8607 | 64.2083 | 9.65234 | -3.86068 |
| 24 | 90 | 82.6246 | 67.4583 | 15.1662 | 7.37543 |
| 25 | 74 | 80.9486 | 70.7083 | 10.2403 | -6.94864 |
| 26 | 62 | 71.4533 | 76.2917 | -4.8384 | -9.45327 |
| 27 | 55 | 73.4486 | 82.2083 | -8.75969 | -18.4486 |
| 28 | 84 | 57.7449 | 86.7083 | -28.9634 | 26.2551 |
| 29 | 94 | 60.1008 | 90.9167 | -30.8158 | 33.8992 |
| 30 | 70 | 63.1581 | 95.7083 | -32.5502 | 6.84187 |
| 31 | 108 | 118.652 | 101.667 | 16.9857 | -10.6523 |
| 32 | 139 | 143.814 | 107.75 | 36.0644 | -4.81438 |
| 33 | 120 | 121.527 | 113.875 | 7.65234 | -1.52734 |
| 34 | 97 | 128.625 | 118.458 | 10.1662 | -31.6246 |
| 35 | 126 | 129.986 | 120.333 | 9.65234 | -3.98568 |
| 36 | 149 | 136.625 | 121.458 | 15.1662 | 12.3754 |
| 37 | 158 | 132.49 | 122.25 | 10.2403 | 25.5097 |
| 38 | 124 | 117.662 | 122.5 | -4.8384 | 6.3384 |
| 39 | 140 | 113.074 | 121.833 | -8.75969 | 26.9264 |
| 40 | 109 | 92.2449 | 121.208 | -28.9634 | 16.7551 |
| 41 | 114 | 88.9758 | 119.792 | -30.8158 | 25.0242 |
| 42 | 77 | 83.0748 | 115.625 | -32.5502 | -6.0748 |
| 43 | 120 | 127.194 | 110.208 | 16.9857 | -7.19401 |
| 44 | 133 | 143.106 | 107.042 | 36.0644 | -10.106 |
| 45 | 110 | 112.819 | 105.167 | 7.65234 | -2.81901 |
| 46 | 92 | 113.375 | 103.208 | 10.1662 | -21.3746 |
| 47 | 97 | 111.402 | 101.75 | 9.65234 | -14.4023 |
| 48 | 78 | 118.25 | 103.083 | 15.1662 | -40.2496 |
| 49 | 99 | 116.782 | 106.542 | 10.2403 | -17.782 |
| 50 | 107 | 105.537 | 110.375 | -4.8384 | 1.4634 |
| 51 | 112 | 109.24 | 118 | -8.75969 | 2.75969 |
| 52 | 90 | 98.3283 | 127.292 | -28.9634 | -8.32827 |
| 53 | 98 | 103.726 | 134.542 | -30.8158 | -5.72584 |
| 54 | 125 | 109.366 | 141.917 | -32.5502 | 15.6335 |
| 55 | 155 | 164.611 | 147.625 | 16.9857 | -9.61068 |
| 56 | 190 | 187.481 | 151.417 | 36.0644 | 2.51895 |
| 57 | 236 | 163.777 | 156.125 | 7.65234 | 72.2227 |
| 58 | 189 | 171.208 | 161.042 | 10.1662 | 17.7921 |
| 59 | 174 | 176.736 | 167.083 | 9.65234 | -2.73568 |
| 60 | 178 | 187.083 | 171.917 | 15.1662 | -9.0829 |
| 61 | 136 | 188.449 | 178.208 | 10.2403 | -52.4486 |
| 62 | 161 | 179.828 | 184.667 | -4.8384 | -18.8283 |
| 63 | 171 | 176.365 | 185.125 | -8.75969 | -5.36531 |
| 64 | 149 | 158.953 | 187.917 | -28.9634 | -9.95327 |
| 65 | 184 | 164.768 | 195.583 | -30.8158 | 19.2325 |
| 66 | 155 | 171.491 | 204.042 | -32.5502 | -16.4915 |
| 67 | 276 | 229.819 | 212.833 | 16.9857 | 46.181 |
| 68 | 224 | 255.314 | 219.25 | 36.0644 | -31.3144 |
| 69 | 213 | 232.652 | 225 | 7.65234 | -19.6523 |
| 70 | 279 | 244.75 | 234.583 | 10.1662 | 34.2504 |
| 71 | 268 | 251.402 | 241.75 | 9.65234 | 16.5977 |
| 72 | 287 | 261.875 | 246.708 | 15.1662 | 25.1254 |
| 73 | 238 | 263.949 | 253.708 | 10.2403 | -25.9486 |
| 74 | 213 | 256.87 | 261.708 | -4.8384 | -43.8699 |
| 75 | 257 | 261.699 | 270.458 | -8.75969 | -4.69864 |
| 76 | 293 | 244.12 | 273.083 | -28.9634 | 48.8801 |
| 77 | 212 | 240.476 | 271.292 | -30.8158 | -28.4758 |
| 78 | 246 | 239.741 | 272.292 | -32.5502 | 6.25854 |
| 79 | 353 | 293.236 | 276.25 | 16.9857 | 59.7643 |
| 80 | 339 | 317.314 | 281.25 | 36.0644 | 21.6856 |
| 81 | 308 | 293.694 | 286.042 | 7.65234 | 14.306 |
| 82 | 247 | 296.666 | 286.5 | 10.1662 | -49.6662 |
| 83 | 257 | 297.402 | 287.75 | 9.65234 | -40.4023 |
| 84 | 322 | 307.375 | 292.208 | 15.1662 | 14.6254 |
| 85 | 298 | 301.99 | 291.75 | 10.2403 | -3.99031 |
| 86 | 273 | 287.662 | 292.5 | -4.8384 | -14.6616 |
| 87 | 312 | 286.365 | 295.125 | -8.75969 | 25.6347 |
| 88 | 249 | 269.578 | 298.542 | -28.9634 | -20.5783 |
| 89 | 286 | 275.101 | 305.917 | -30.8158 | 10.8992 |
| 90 | 279 | 278.7 | 311.25 | -32.5502 | 0.300203 |
| 91 | 309 | 330.777 | 313.792 | 16.9857 | -21.7773 |
| 92 | 401 | 353.189 | 317.125 | 36.0644 | 47.8106 |
| 93 | 309 | 325.777 | 318.125 | 7.65234 | -16.7773 |
| 94 | 328 | 326.916 | 316.75 | 10.1662 | 1.08377 |
| 95 | 353 | 324.277 | 314.625 | 9.65234 | 28.7227 |
| 96 | 354 | 328.25 | 313.083 | 15.1662 | 25.7504 |
| 97 | 327 | 325.574 | 315.333 | 10.2403 | 1.42636 |
| 98 | 324 | 314.87 | 319.708 | -4.8384 | 9.13006 |
| 99 | 285 | 315.699 | 324.458 | -8.75969 | -30.6986 |
| 100 | 243 | 304.412 | 333.375 | -28.9634 | -61.4116 |
| 101 | 241 | 313.309 | 344.125 | -30.8158 | -72.3092 |
| 102 | 287 | 317.241 | 349.792 | -32.5502 | -30.2415 |
| 103 | 355 | 375.527 | 358.542 | 16.9857 | -20.5273 |
| 104 | 460 | 407.106 | 371.042 | 36.0644 | 52.894 |
| 105 | 364 | 387.736 | 380.083 | 7.65234 | -23.7357 |
| 106 | 487 | 399.375 | 389.208 | 10.1662 | 87.6254 |
| 107 | 452 | 406.777 | 397.125 | 9.65234 | 45.2227 |
| 108 | 391 | 416.041 | 400.875 | 15.1662 | -25.0412 |
| 109 | 500 | 414.115 | 403.875 | 10.2403 | 85.8847 |
| 110 | 451 | 398.078 | 402.917 | -4.8384 | 52.9217 |
| 111 | 375 | 394.199 | 402.958 | -8.75969 | -19.1986 |
| 112 | 372 | 374.453 | 403.417 | -28.9634 | -2.45327 |
| 113 | 302 | NA | NA | -30.8158 | NA |
| 114 | 316 | NA | NA | -32.5502 | NA |
| 115 | 398 | NA | NA | 16.9857 | NA |
| 116 | 394 | NA | NA | 36.0644 | NA |
| 117 | 431 | NA | NA | 7.65234 | NA |
| 118 | 431 | NA | NA | 10.1662 | NA |
