Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.834190584506632 |
beta | 0.0314371802556123 |
gamma | 1 |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
13 | 299.5 | 237.627476186144 | 61.8725238138558 |
14 | 347.4 | 334.684203326177 | 12.7157966738233 |
15 | 338.3 | 337.12423831947 | 1.17576168053034 |
16 | 327.7 | 326.940117658967 | 0.759882341033176 |
17 | 351.6 | 351.05324097883 | 0.546759021169919 |
18 | 396.6 | 398.633000518333 | -2.03300051833338 |
19 | 438.8 | 389.489846288167 | 49.3101537118326 |
20 | 395.6 | 405.364615816431 | -9.76461581643088 |
21 | 363.5 | 370.107395833007 | -6.60739583300671 |
22 | 378.8 | 311.426967384132 | 67.3730326158684 |
23 | 357 | 425.406491420811 | -68.4064914208113 |
24 | 369 | 393.290788189469 | -24.2907881894686 |
25 | 464.8 | 513.533753724339 | -48.7337537243392 |
26 | 479.1 | 521.378815401935 | -42.278815401935 |
27 | 431.3 | 463.753172723511 | -32.4531727235112 |
28 | 366.5 | 415.288175047826 | -48.7881750478257 |
29 | 326.3 | 395.158503716801 | -68.8585037168007 |
30 | 355.1 | 376.753057717195 | -21.6530577171947 |
31 | 331.6 | 353.723145063187 | -22.1231450631872 |
32 | 261.3 | 304.340882188484 | -43.0408821884836 |
33 | 249 | 246.9603481819 | 2.03965181809971 |
34 | 205.5 | 216.679853301785 | -11.1798533017854 |
35 | 235.6 | 222.942117202674 | 12.6578827973259 |
36 | 240.9 | 251.583084970917 | -10.6830849709167 |
37 | 264.9 | 328.25761734168 | -63.3576173416795 |
38 | 253.8 | 300.622155814497 | -46.8221558144972 |
39 | 232.3 | 246.570735623157 | -14.2707356231573 |
40 | 193.8 | 217.974021764035 | -24.1740217640346 |
41 | 177 | 203.015550719065 | -26.0155507190646 |
42 | 213.2 | 203.992818194787 | 9.20718180521285 |
43 | 207.2 | 205.596025478328 | 1.6039745216718 |
44 | 180.6 | 182.43979327699 | -1.83979327698961 |
45 | 188.6 | 169.172749256908 | 19.4272507430917 |
46 | 175.4 | 158.310670109894 | 17.0893298901057 |
47 | 199 | 187.484815430497 | 11.5151845695034 |
48 | 179.6 | 207.49857823315 | -27.8985782331497 |
49 | 225.8 | 239.439214993288 | -13.6392149932884 |
50 | 234 | 249.392887806947 | -15.3928878069467 |
51 | 200.2 | 226.171511133913 | -25.9715111339127 |
52 | 183.6 | 186.658271387862 | -3.05827138786157 |
53 | 178.2 | 187.212548206198 | -9.01254820619849 |
54 | 203.2 | 207.693982600351 | -4.49398260035076 |
55 | 208.5 | 195.846788770506 | 12.6532112294941 |
56 | 191.8 | 180.670410947506 | 11.1295890524938 |
57 | 172.8 | 180.531206711055 | -7.73120671105477 |
58 | 148 | 147.725623705023 | 0.27437629497706 |
59 | 159.4 | 158.594147217325 | 0.805852782674634 |
60 | 154.5 | 160.696894106354 | -6.19689410635439 |
61 | 213.2 | 204.071449172506 | 9.12855082749434 |
62 | 196.4 | 230.365107477847 | -33.9651074778472 |
63 | 182.8 | 189.97433341138 | -7.17433341137979 |
64 | 176.4 | 170.259943196841 | 6.1400568031595 |
65 | 153.6 | 176.720028869375 | -23.1200288693753 |
66 | 173.2 | 181.741312510011 | -8.54131251001124 |
67 | 171 | 168.871827204184 | 2.12817279581597 |
68 | 151.2 | 148.165635555523 | 3.03436444447695 |
69 | 161.9 | 139.636010610543 | 22.263989389457 |
70 | 157.2 | 134.806117648719 | 22.3938823512809 |
71 | 201.7 | 164.581538350356 | 37.1184616496444 |
72 | 236.4 | 196.544165103766 | 39.855834896234 |
73 | 356.1 | 307.954874815773 | 48.1451251842268 |
74 | 398.3 | 368.742319039599 | 29.5576809604014 |
75 | 403.7 | 382.882478201434 | 20.8175217985665 |
76 | 384.6 | 380.236813179407 | 4.36318682059328 |
77 | 365.8 | 380.127495155857 | -14.3274951558569 |
78 | 368.1 | 438.94731899504 | -70.8473189950401 |
79 | 367.9 | 376.476661613988 | -8.57666161398851 |
80 | 347 | 325.426624966564 | 21.5733750334357 |
81 | 343.3 | 329.055570595291 | 14.2444294047092 |
82 | 292.9 | 293.809700047232 | -0.909700047232377 |
83 | 311.5 | 318.635578971649 | -7.13557897164901 |
84 | 300.9 | 314.220628238659 | -13.3206282386586 |
85 | 366.9 | 403.388371532031 | -36.4883715320311 |
86 | 356.9 | 389.091648366252 | -32.191648366252 |
87 | 329.7 | 348.652797695368 | -18.9527976953682 |
88 | 316.2 | 311.307566239377 | 4.89243376062274 |
89 | 269 | 307.082879226892 | -38.082879226892 |
90 | 289.3 | 316.793051057117 | -27.4930510571166 |
91 | 266.2 | 296.430059111027 | -30.2300591110271 |
92 | 253.6 | 239.49312356873 | 14.1068764312697 |
93 | 233.8 | 237.186895038652 | -3.38689503865234 |
94 | 228.4 | 198.028142145645 | 30.3718578543555 |
95 | 253.6 | 239.987535935376 | 13.6124640646237 |
96 | 260.1 | 249.948017694892 | 10.1519823051084 |
97 | 306.6 | 339.008756096429 | -32.4087560964286 |
98 | 309.2 | 324.090947732998 | -14.8909477329979 |
99 | 309.5 | 300.026910501196 | 9.47308949880386 |
100 | 271 | 290.523410386711 | -19.5234103867105 |
101 | 279.9 | 258.862884833244 | 21.0371151667559 |
102 | 317.9 | 320.267363671768 | -2.36736367176786 |
103 | 298.4 | 320.511644503403 | -22.1116445034032 |
104 | 246.7 | 274.9043957616 | -28.2043957616003 |
105 | 227.3 | 234.090662576541 | -6.79066257654137 |
106 | 209.1 | 197.372250932824 | 11.7277490671756 |
107 | 259.9 | 218.69359495712 | 41.2064050428802 |
108 | 266 | 250.742432249874 | 15.2575677501261 |
109 | 320.6 | 337.232706264291 | -16.6327062642907 |
110 | 308.5 | 339.1990227991 | -30.6990227991004 |
111 | 282.2 | 305.595219572674 | -23.3952195726744 |
112 | 262.7 | 264.450583587294 | -1.75058358729439 |
113 | 263.5 | 253.872312024937 | 9.62768797506305 |
114 | 313.1 | 298.444961983547 | 14.6550380164533 |
115 | 284.3 | 308.950332595042 | -24.6503325950423 |
116 | 252.6 | 260.242475622762 | -7.6424756227623 |
117 | 250.3 | 239.712868323516 | 10.5871316764842 |
118 | 246.5 | 218.269383660593 | 28.2306163394066 |
119 | 312.7 | 260.619764852845 | 52.0802351471546 |
120 | 333.2 | 297.082219120523 | 36.1177808794773 |
121 | 446.4 | 412.913301695248 | 33.4866983047515 |
122 | 511.6 | 461.750400301367 | 49.8495996986334 |
123 | 515.5 | 496.787333387044 | 18.712666612956 |
124 | 506.4 | 485.619938971971 | 20.7800610280289 |
125 | 483.2 | 495.424325050891 | -12.2243250508909 |
126 | 522.3 | 560.29274868543 | -37.9927486854297 |
127 | 509.8 | 518.892824477347 | -9.09282447734728 |
128 | 460.7 | 470.719734730634 | -10.0197347306336 |
129 | 405.8 | 446.758347791126 | -40.9583477911258 |
130 | 375 | 369.727123342219 | 5.27287665778107 |
131 | 378.5 | 408.946064638928 | -30.446064638928 |
132 | 406.8 | 371.003954023083 | 35.7960459769167 |
133 | 467.8 | 502.744824266505 | -34.9448242665046 |
134 | 469.8 | 496.311550713853 | -26.5115507138532 |
135 | 429.8 | 460.514091290188 | -30.7140912901882 |
136 | 355.8 | 409.273950575562 | -53.4739505755616 |
137 | 332.7 | 351.208595366577 | -18.5085953665773 |
138 | 378 | 379.995421767816 | -1.99542176781642 |
139 | 360.5 | 370.5896257954 | -10.0896257953996 |
140 | 334.7 | 329.408747007495 | 5.29125299250461 |
141 | 319.5 | 315.046895443967 | 4.45310455603334 |
142 | 323.1 | 288.672697929845 | 34.427302070155 |
143 | 363.6 | 339.595539717679 | 24.0044602823206 |
144 | 352.1 | 356.752272691202 | -4.6522726912022 |
145 | 411.9 | 428.735450171647 | -16.8354501716474 |
146 | 388.6 | 434.059236163922 | -45.4592361639222 |
147 | 416.4 | 381.574523192461 | 34.8254768075391 |
148 | 360.7 | 380.716348230231 | -20.0163482302311 |
149 | 338 | 355.979403173382 | -17.9794031733824 |
150 | 417.2 | 389.070176523741 | 28.1298234762594 |
151 | 388.4 | 403.295842983163 | -14.8958429831627 |
152 | 371.1 | 358.658924258349 | 12.4410757416506 |
153 | 331.5 | 348.865331958788 | -17.365331958788 |
154 | 353.7 | 307.660179942494 | 46.0398200575063 |
155 | 396.7 | 368.107853599366 | 28.5921464006343 |
156 | 447 | 384.129744590085 | 62.870255409915 |
157 | 533.5 | 530.315291564999 | 3.1847084350012 |
158 | 565.4 | 553.883495924392 | 11.5165040756081 |
159 | 542.3 | 565.735654805961 | -23.4356548059611 |
160 | 488.7 | 497.427065666327 | -8.72706566632735 |
161 | 467.1 | 482.452878998616 | -15.3528789986158 |
162 | 531.3 | 550.414094783908 | -19.1140947839078 |
163 | 496.1 | 515.561418835605 | -19.4614188356054 |
164 | 444 | 465.666220719443 | -21.6662207194431 |
165 | 403.4 | 418.149993873066 | -14.7499938730661 |
166 | 386.3 | 386.058029452049 | 0.241970547950643 |
167 | 394.1 | 406.636200508713 | -12.5362005087131 |
168 | 404.1 | 391.646507413836 | 12.453492586164 |
169 | 462.1 | 474.973714290049 | -12.873714290049 |
170 | 448.1 | 480.77640372899 | -32.6764037289897 |
171 | 432.3 | 447.026236723849 | -14.7262367238494 |
172 | 386.3 | 394.48354781066 | -8.18354781066046 |
173 | 395.2 | 377.601331590922 | 17.5986684090777 |
174 | 421.9 | 456.711511348772 | -34.8115113487721 |
175 | 382.9 | 409.284132305326 | -26.3841323053257 |
176 | 384.2 | 357.588837148302 | 26.6111628516977 |
177 | 345.5 | 353.631653040885 | -8.13165304088517 |
178 | 323.4 | 330.274534281094 | -6.87453428109433 |
179 | 372.6 | 337.898426957105 | 34.7015730428955 |
180 | 376 | 365.578834619331 | 10.4211653806692 |
181 | 462.7 | 436.864725796353 | 25.8352742036466 |
182 | 487 | 471.108413806212 | 15.8915861937883 |
183 | 444.2 | 481.542046865382 | -37.342046865382 |
184 | 399.3 | 410.0061453698 | -10.7061453698 |
185 | 394.9 | 395.348280574095 | -0.448280574094838 |
186 | 455.4 | 450.190661010276 | 5.20933898972424 |
187 | 414 | 436.889108589498 | -22.8891085894978 |
188 | 375.5 | 395.730116735295 | -20.2301167352946 |
189 | 347 | 347.07285368331 | -0.0728536833096314 |
190 | 339.4 | 330.490866600102 | 8.90913339989834 |
191 | 385.8 | 359.008497551936 | 26.7915024480638 |
192 | 378.8 | 376.037977734123 | 2.76202226587657 |
193 | 451.8 | 443.623231886216 | 8.17676811378402 |
194 | 446.1 | 460.613734749254 | -14.5137347492541 |
195 | 422.5 | 436.210923450452 | -13.7109234504517 |
196 | 383.1 | 389.725762184659 | -6.62576218465853 |
197 | 352.8 | 379.807791542925 | -27.0077915429248 |
198 | 445.3 | 406.71620417747 | 38.5837958225301 |
199 | 367.5 | 416.756905232496 | -49.2569052324958 |
200 | 355.1 | 354.77195643888 | 0.32804356112041 |
201 | 326.2 | 327.57176278141 | -1.37176278141021 |
202 | 319.8 | 311.661779313963 | 8.13822068603662 |
203 | 331.8 | 340.127512628739 | -8.32751262873927 |
204 | 340.9 | 323.682773120069 | 17.2172268799313 |
205 | 394.1 | 395.811999186966 | -1.71199918696647 |
206 | 417.2 | 398.40661380752 | 18.7933861924805 |
207 | 369.9 | 402.044103018574 | -32.144103018574 |
208 | 349.2 | 344.027006482897 | 5.17299351710324 |
209 | 321.4 | 340.223476236582 | -18.8234762365818 |
210 | 405.7 | 378.811876082942 | 26.8881239170577 |
211 | 342.9 | 366.447768672181 | -23.5477686721815 |
212 | 316.5 | 334.5167438428 | -18.0167438428004 |
213 | 284.2 | 293.719817858119 | -9.51981785811893 |
214 | 270.9 | 273.199229921945 | -2.29922992194503 |
215 | 288.8 | 285.978936345951 | 2.82106365404871 |
216 | 278.8 | 282.59919964721 | -3.7991996472096 |
217 | 324.4 | 322.367704764155 | 2.03229523584508 |
218 | 310.9 | 328.286624385322 | -17.3866243853224 |
219 | 299 | 295.550365129534 | 3.44963487046624 |
220 | 273 | 276.590977095905 | -3.5909770959048 |
221 | 279.3 | 262.187373292188 | 17.1126267078118 |
222 | 359.2 | 328.422826718576 | 30.7771732814235 |
223 | 305 | 315.485273708727 | -10.4852737087274 |
224 | 282.1 | 295.993398946811 | -13.8933989468112 |
225 | 250.3 | 262.117445690403 | -11.8174456904028 |
226 | 246.5 | 241.702684633536 | 4.79731536646366 |
227 | 257.9 | 259.552901518165 | -1.65290151816504 |
228 | 266.5 | 251.681559129562 | 14.8184408704377 |
229 | 315.9 | 305.866915289004 | 10.0330847109956 |
230 | 318.4 | 315.594337144275 | 2.80566285572462 |
231 | 295.4 | 303.95312314328 | -8.55312314328023 |
232 | 266.4 | 274.663141610853 | -8.26314161085276 |
233 | 245.8 | 260.326895347586 | -14.5268953475861 |
234 | 362.8 | 295.474370342793 | 67.3256296572073 |
235 | 324.9 | 307.614504661333 | 17.2854953386671 |
236 | 294.2 | 311.327565494151 | -17.1275654941512 |
237 | 289.5 | 275.026535702284 | 14.4734642977159 |
238 | 295.2 | 280.173125362538 | 15.0268746374615 |
239 | 290.3 | 310.393457438282 | -20.0934574382817 |
240 | 272 | 291.134291337342 | -19.1342913373419 |
241 | 307.4 | 318.394288971615 | -10.9942889716149 |
242 | 328.7 | 309.619020626257 | 19.0809793737434 |
243 | 292.9 | 309.996014049046 | -17.0960140490458 |
244 | 249.1 | 273.990462735569 | -24.8904627355689 |
245 | 230.4 | 244.940768552527 | -14.5407685525272 |
246 | 361.5 | 288.566224119913 | 72.9337758800871 |
247 | 321.7 | 298.917593171143 | 22.7824068288567 |
248 | 277.2 | 301.906370001651 | -24.706370001651 |
249 | 260.7 | 265.109787479922 | -4.40978747992222 |
250 | 251 | 254.615925394878 | -3.61592539487754 |
251 | 257.6 | 260.504177241475 | -2.90417724147466 |
252 | 241.8 | 255.18972228242 | -13.38972228242 |
253 | 287.5 | 283.314531189631 | 4.18546881036934 |
254 | 292.3 | 291.457813778081 | 0.842186221918666 |
255 | 274.7 | 272.217121417607 | 2.4828785823932 |
256 | 254.2 | 252.261276718739 | 1.93872328126065 |
257 | 230 | 247.720219616243 | -17.7202196162432 |
258 | 339 | 302.58468213615 | 36.4153178638501 |
259 | 318.2 | 278.25641602978 | 39.9435839702201 |
260 | 287 | 288.304590422044 | -1.30459042204387 |
261 | 295.8 | 274.688373256138 | 21.1116267438618 |
262 | 284 | 286.28812208729 | -2.28812208729033 |
263 | 271 | 296.208109798476 | -25.2081097984756 |
264 | 262.7 | 271.071932395497 | -8.37193239549691 |
265 | 340.6 | 311.519822589901 | 29.0801774100995 |
266 | 379.4 | 342.716415321816 | 36.6835846781844 |
267 | 373.3 | 351.260033996429 | 22.0399660035711 |
268 | 355.2 | 343.272390047638 | 11.9276099523622 |
269 | 338.4 | 343.450492532829 | -5.05049253282868 |
270 | 466.9 | 460.097750348933 | 6.80224965106657 |
271 | 451 | 394.068581588242 | 56.9314184117583 |
272 | 422 | 403.08274739993 | 18.9172526000696 |
273 | 429.2 | 409.438781308763 | 19.7612186912365 |
274 | 425.9 | 415.008588082187 | 10.8914119178127 |
275 | 460.7 | 439.38538733613 | 21.3146126638703 |
276 | 463.6 | 460.228681221527 | 3.37131877847293 |
277 | 541.4 | 564.01532946909 | -22.6153294690898 |
278 | 544.2 | 562.696325619786 | -18.4963256197856 |
279 | 517.5 | 514.811144778121 | 2.68885522187918 |
280 | 469.4 | 480.380068374871 | -10.9800683748709 |
281 | 439.4 | 456.08074773711 | -16.6807477371097 |
282 | 549 | 604.457449151233 | -55.457449151233 |
283 | 533 | 481.536498266019 | 51.4635017339812 |
284 | 506.1 | 472.240855625639 | 33.8591443743611 |
285 | 484 | 489.52570707261 | -5.52570707260969 |
286 | 457 | 470.559693216933 | -13.5596932169329 |
287 | 481.5 | 476.64818821964 | 4.85181178036049 |
288 | 469.5 | 479.682441849543 | -10.1824418495426 |
289 | 544.7 | 567.71856170897 | -23.0185617089702 |
290 | 541.2 | 565.287878180973 | -24.0878781809726 |
291 | 521.5 | 514.604053841793 | 6.89594615820658 |
292 | 469.7 | 479.791550330716 | -10.0915503307162 |
293 | 434.4 | 453.845780084262 | -19.4457800842617 |
294 | 542.6 | 590.308879245698 | -47.7088792456982 |
295 | 517.3 | 489.267013535982 | 28.0329864640177 |
296 | 485.7 | 457.60194587385 | 28.0980541261496 |
297 | 465.8 | 462.70584175952 | 3.0941582404804 |
298 | 447 | 448.684024928743 | -1.68402492874264 |
299 | 426.6 | 466.008335457573 | -39.4083354575727 |
300 | 411.6 | 427.865003909975 | -16.265003909975 |
301 | 467.5 | 494.845873504707 | -27.3458735047074 |
302 | 484.5 | 483.459871780818 | 1.04012821918218 |
303 | 451.2 | 459.313553104784 | -8.11355310478376 |
304 | 417.4 | 412.586245341817 | 4.81375465818331 |
305 | 379.9 | 397.681557749085 | -17.7815577490849 |
306 | 484.7 | 510.249071521667 | -25.5490715216675 |
307 | 455 | 442.930130305347 | 12.0698696946525 |
308 | 420.8 | 402.607561684282 | 18.1924383157181 |
309 | 416.5 | 396.425220666101 | 20.0747793338994 |
310 | 376.3 | 396.178937745952 | -19.8789377459518 |
311 | 405.6 | 387.775019389445 | 17.8249806105553 |
312 | 405.8 | 400.414060859066 | 5.38593914093434 |
313 | 500.8 | 481.771557267732 | 19.0284427322684 |
314 | 514 | 515.647174743368 | -1.6471747433676 |
315 | 475.5 | 486.806660292573 | -11.3066602925735 |
316 | 430.1 | 437.949490856322 | -7.84949085632246 |
317 | 414.4 | 408.104760330935 | 6.2952396690647 |
318 | 538 | 551.565953968951 | -13.5659539689515 |
319 | 526 | 497.324324273202 | 28.6756757267981 |
320 | 488.5 | 466.2137077128 | 22.2862922871999 |
321 | 520.2 | 462.007834739497 | 58.1921652605026 |
322 | 504.4 | 483.750110769352 | 20.6498892306483 |
323 | 568.5 | 523.661646218 | 44.8383537819999 |
324 | 610.6 | 559.200391014763 | 51.399608985237 |
325 | 818 | 725.487160904733 | 92.5128390952671 |
326 | 830.9 | 833.897165879271 | -2.99716587927082 |
327 | 835.9 | 791.704691010771 | 44.1953089892293 |
328 | 782 | 768.990281227959 | 13.009718772041 |
329 | 762.3 | 750.190030561855 | 12.1099694381447 |
330 | 856.9 | 1018.79199894625 | -161.891998946248 |
331 | 820.9 | 831.4645735196 | -10.5645735195998 |
332 | 769.6 | 739.760527069517 | 29.8394729304827 |
333 | 752.2 | 741.568842368403 | 10.6311576315966 |
334 | 724.4 | 705.392509553947 | 19.0074904460535 |
335 | 723.1 | 761.351679831191 | -38.2516798311914 |
336 | 719.5 | 728.329768106862 | -8.82976810686239 |
337 | 817.4 | 872.180480638516 | -54.7804806385163 |
338 | 803.3 | 838.572796558826 | -35.2727965588258 |
339 | 752.5 | 774.049546250188 | -21.5495462501876 |
340 | 689 | 693.18825991045 | -4.18825991045014 |
341 | 630.4 | 659.132267092589 | -28.7322670925889 |
342 | 765.5 | 816.947179270898 | -51.4471792708975 |
343 | 757.7 | 744.98167238265 | 12.7183276173497 |
344 | 732.2 | 681.695467832323 | 50.5045321676771 |
345 | 702.6 | 696.063229408912 | 6.53677059108827 |
346 | 683.3 | 657.878919288805 | 25.4210807111945 |
347 | 709.5 | 704.740089448055 | 4.75991055194459 |
348 | 702.2 | 710.372544631865 | -8.17254463186464 |
349 | 784.8 | 841.11947357944 | -56.3194735794399 |
350 | 810.9 | 806.389810122875 | 4.51018987712541 |
351 | 755.6 | 775.406805500756 | -19.8068055007561 |
352 | 656.8 | 696.986623072432 | -40.186623072432 |
353 | 615.1 | 627.941855173695 | -12.8418551736952 |
354 | 745.3 | 788.932087670082 | -43.6320876700817 |
355 | 694.1 | 732.481713641856 | -38.3817136418556 |
356 | 675.7 | 634.711142197371 | 40.9888578026291 |
357 | 643.7 | 634.131017095716 | 9.56898290428387 |
358 | 622.1 | 602.492838946187 | 19.6071610538127 |
359 | 634.6 | 636.370804952109 | -1.77080495210919 |
360 | 588 | 631.757378193321 | -43.757378193321 |
361 | 689.7 | 700.600403665333 | -10.900403665333 |
362 | 673.9 | 707.896450128 | -33.996450128 |
363 | 647.9 | 643.094575298297 | 4.80542470170337 |
364 | 568.8 | 587.828381851145 | -19.028381851145 |
365 | 545.7 | 542.356136175225 | 3.34386382477521 |
366 | 632.6 | 689.663175681857 | -57.0631756818565 |
367 | 643.8 | 622.085854263247 | 21.7141457367526 |
368 | 593.1 | 589.735967559884 | 3.36403244011615 |
369 | 579.7 | 555.11500054507 | 24.5849994549297 |
370 | 546 | 539.777680419598 | 6.2223195804022 |
371 | 562.9 | 555.075261347922 | 7.82473865207771 |
372 | 572.5 | 550.403220489777 | 22.0967795102233 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
373 | 675.605005237689 | 622.799731966624 | 728.410278508755 |
374 | 687.55702355603 | 617.377763291924 | 757.736283820136 |
375 | 657.669963199329 | 575.506598034205 | 739.833328364452 |
376 | 593.946199398308 | 505.077273213244 | 682.815125583372 |
377 | 567.936068497151 | 469.834611646695 | 666.037525347606 |
378 | 708.351039659137 | 576.993485130565 | 839.708594187708 |
379 | 703.360616380588 | 562.25120909833 | 844.470023662846 |
380 | 646.901164121424 | 506.040242055597 | 787.76208618725 |
381 | 611.554367647924 | 467.594832515969 | 755.513902779879 |
382 | 571.50484236403 | 426.191861363274 | 716.817823364785 |
383 | 583.173504747114 | 424.881836931333 | 741.465172562894 |
384 | 574.497670208461 | 283.317387223004 | 865.677953193917 |