| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 112 | NA | NA | 0.91023 | NA |
| 2 | 118 | NA | NA | 0.883625 | NA |
| 3 | 132 | NA | NA | 1.00737 | NA |
| 4 | 129 | NA | NA | 0.975906 | NA |
| 5 | 121 | NA | NA | 0.981378 | NA |
| 6 | 135 | NA | NA | 1.11278 | NA |
| 7 | 148 | 155.517 | 126.792 | 1.22656 | 0.951664 |
| 8 | 148 | 155.234 | 127.25 | 1.21991 | 0.953401 |
| 9 | 136 | 135.699 | 127.958 | 1.06049 | 1.00222 |
| 10 | 119 | 118.523 | 128.583 | 0.921757 | 1.00403 |
| 11 | 104 | 103.352 | 129 | 0.801178 | 1.00627 |
| 12 | 118 | 116.622 | 129.75 | 0.898824 | 1.01181 |
| 13 | 115 | 119.468 | 131.25 | 0.91023 | 0.962603 |
| 14 | 126 | 117.596 | 133.083 | 0.883625 | 1.07147 |
| 15 | 141 | 135.911 | 134.917 | 1.00737 | 1.03745 |
| 16 | 135 | 133.13 | 136.417 | 0.975906 | 1.01405 |
| 17 | 125 | 134.858 | 137.417 | 0.981378 | 0.926903 |
| 18 | 149 | 154.398 | 138.75 | 1.11278 | 0.965041 |
| 19 | 170 | 172.842 | 140.917 | 1.22656 | 0.983557 |
| 20 | 170 | 174.651 | 143.167 | 1.21991 | 0.973372 |
| 21 | 158 | 154.523 | 145.708 | 1.06049 | 1.0225 |
| 22 | 133 | 136.804 | 148.417 | 0.921757 | 0.972193 |
| 23 | 114 | 121.412 | 151.542 | 0.801178 | 0.938953 |
| 24 | 140 | 139.056 | 154.708 | 0.898824 | 1.00679 |
| 25 | 145 | 143.02 | 157.125 | 0.91023 | 1.01384 |
| 26 | 150 | 140.975 | 159.542 | 0.883625 | 1.06402 |
| 27 | 178 | 163.025 | 161.833 | 1.00737 | 1.09185 |
| 28 | 163 | 160.171 | 164.125 | 0.975906 | 1.01767 |
| 29 | 172 | 163.563 | 166.667 | 0.981378 | 1.05158 |
| 30 | 178 | 188.152 | 169.083 | 1.11278 | 0.946044 |
| 31 | 199 | 210.048 | 171.25 | 1.22656 | 0.947404 |
| 32 | 199 | 211.756 | 173.583 | 1.21991 | 0.93976 |
| 33 | 184 | 186.072 | 175.458 | 1.06049 | 0.988864 |
| 34 | 162 | 162.997 | 176.833 | 0.921757 | 0.993881 |
| 35 | 146 | 142.643 | 178.042 | 0.801178 | 1.02353 |
| 36 | 166 | 161.938 | 180.167 | 0.898824 | 1.02508 |
| 37 | 171 | 166.686 | 183.125 | 0.91023 | 1.02588 |
| 38 | 180 | 164.538 | 186.208 | 0.883625 | 1.09397 |
| 39 | 193 | 190.434 | 189.042 | 1.00737 | 1.01347 |
| 40 | 181 | 186.683 | 191.292 | 0.975906 | 0.96956 |
| 41 | 183 | 189.978 | 193.583 | 0.981378 | 0.963267 |
| 42 | 218 | 217.919 | 195.833 | 1.11278 | 1.00037 |
| 43 | 230 | 242.909 | 198.042 | 1.22656 | 0.946856 |
| 44 | 242 | 243.677 | 199.75 | 1.21991 | 0.993117 |
| 45 | 209 | 214.44 | 202.208 | 1.06049 | 0.97463 |
| 46 | 191 | 190.112 | 206.25 | 0.921757 | 1.00467 |
| 47 | 172 | 168.581 | 210.417 | 0.801178 | 1.02028 |
| 48 | 194 | 191.787 | 213.375 | 0.898824 | 1.01154 |
| 49 | 196 | 196.458 | 215.833 | 0.91023 | 0.997668 |
| 50 | 196 | 193.072 | 218.5 | 0.883625 | 1.01516 |
| 51 | 236 | 222.544 | 220.917 | 1.00737 | 1.06046 |
| 52 | 235 | 217.546 | 222.917 | 0.975906 | 1.08023 |
| 53 | 229 | 219.91 | 224.083 | 0.981378 | 1.04133 |
| 54 | 243 | 250.05 | 224.708 | 1.11278 | 0.971806 |
| 55 | 264 | 276.384 | 225.333 | 1.22656 | 0.955193 |
| 56 | 272 | 274.887 | 225.333 | 1.21991 | 0.989499 |
| 57 | 237 | 238.566 | 224.958 | 1.06049 | 0.993434 |
| 58 | 211 | 207.011 | 224.583 | 0.921757 | 1.01927 |
| 59 | 180 | 179.831 | 224.458 | 0.801178 | 1.00094 |
| 60 | 201 | 202.722 | 225.542 | 0.898824 | 0.991504 |
| 61 | 204 | 207.533 | 228 | 0.91023 | 0.982978 |
| 62 | 188 | 203.639 | 230.458 | 0.883625 | 0.923203 |
| 63 | 235 | 233.961 | 232.25 | 1.00737 | 1.00444 |
| 64 | 227 | 228.281 | 233.917 | 0.975906 | 0.99439 |
| 65 | 234 | 231.237 | 235.625 | 0.981378 | 1.01195 |
| 66 | 264 | 264.562 | 237.75 | 1.11278 | 0.997874 |
| 67 | 302 | 294.987 | 240.5 | 1.22656 | 1.02378 |
| 68 | 293 | 297.607 | 243.958 | 1.21991 | 0.984518 |
| 69 | 259 | 262.118 | 247.167 | 1.06049 | 0.988104 |
| 70 | 229 | 230.67 | 250.25 | 0.921757 | 0.992761 |
| 71 | 203 | 203.099 | 253.5 | 0.801178 | 0.999514 |
| 72 | 229 | 231.11 | 257.125 | 0.898824 | 0.990869 |
| 73 | 242 | 238.329 | 261.833 | 0.91023 | 1.0154 |
| 74 | 233 | 235.633 | 266.667 | 0.883625 | 0.988824 |
| 75 | 267 | 273.122 | 271.125 | 1.00737 | 0.977584 |
| 76 | 269 | 268.577 | 275.208 | 0.975906 | 1.00157 |
| 77 | 270 | 273.314 | 278.5 | 0.981378 | 0.987876 |
| 78 | 315 | 313.756 | 281.958 | 1.11278 | 1.00396 |
| 79 | 364 | 350.488 | 285.75 | 1.22656 | 1.03855 |
| 80 | 347 | 352.961 | 289.333 | 1.21991 | 0.983112 |
| 81 | 312 | 310.989 | 293.25 | 1.06049 | 1.00325 |
| 82 | 274 | 273.916 | 297.167 | 0.921757 | 1.00031 |
| 83 | 237 | 241.155 | 301 | 0.801178 | 0.982772 |
| 84 | 278 | 274.553 | 305.458 | 0.898824 | 1.01255 |
| 85 | 284 | 282.133 | 309.958 | 0.91023 | 1.00662 |
| 86 | 277 | 277.827 | 314.417 | 0.883625 | 0.997025 |
| 87 | 317 | 320.972 | 318.625 | 1.00737 | 0.987625 |
| 88 | 313 | 313.998 | 321.75 | 0.975906 | 0.996822 |
| 89 | 318 | 318.457 | 324.5 | 0.981378 | 0.998564 |
| 90 | 374 | 363.97 | 327.083 | 1.11278 | 1.02756 |
| 91 | 413 | 404.201 | 329.542 | 1.22656 | 1.02177 |
| 92 | 405 | 404.807 | 331.833 | 1.21991 | 1.00048 |
| 93 | 355 | 354.69 | 334.458 | 1.06049 | 1.00087 |
| 94 | 306 | 311.131 | 337.542 | 0.921757 | 0.983507 |
| 95 | 271 | 272.835 | 340.542 | 0.801178 | 0.993276 |
| 96 | 306 | 309.27 | 344.083 | 0.898824 | 0.989425 |
| 97 | 315 | 316.988 | 348.25 | 0.91023 | 0.993729 |
| 98 | 301 | 311.92 | 353 | 0.883625 | 0.964992 |
| 99 | 356 | 360.259 | 357.625 | 1.00737 | 0.988177 |
| 100 | 348 | 352.668 | 361.375 | 0.975906 | 0.986764 |
| 101 | 355 | 357.712 | 364.5 | 0.981378 | 0.992418 |
| 102 | 422 | 408.574 | 367.167 | 1.11278 | 1.03286 |
| 103 | 465 | 453.161 | 369.458 | 1.22656 | 1.02612 |
| 104 | 467 | 452.841 | 371.208 | 1.21991 | 1.03127 |
| 105 | 404 | 394.68 | 372.167 | 1.06049 | 1.02361 |
| 106 | 347 | 343.278 | 372.417 | 0.921757 | 1.01084 |
| 107 | 305 | 298.639 | 372.75 | 0.801178 | 1.0213 |
| 108 | 336 | 335.823 | 373.625 | 0.898824 | 1.00053 |
| 109 | 340 | 341.564 | 375.25 | 0.91023 | 0.995421 |
| 110 | 318 | 333.937 | 377.917 | 0.883625 | 0.952276 |
| 111 | 362 | 382.296 | 379.5 | 1.00737 | 0.946911 |
| 112 | 348 | 370.844 | 380 | 0.975906 | 0.938399 |
| 113 | 363 | 373.619 | 380.708 | 0.981378 | 0.971579 |
| 114 | 435 | 423.921 | 380.958 | 1.11278 | 1.02613 |
| 115 | 491 | 468.34 | 381.833 | 1.22656 | 1.04838 |
| 116 | 505 | 468.039 | 383.667 | 1.21991 | 1.07897 |
| 117 | 404 | 409.88 | 386.5 | 1.06049 | 0.985654 |
| 118 | 359 | 359.793 | 390.333 | 0.921757 | 0.997797 |
| 119 | 310 | 316.232 | 394.708 | 0.801178 | 0.980294 |
| 120 | 337 | 358.294 | 398.625 | 0.898824 | 0.940569 |
| 121 | 360 | 366.406 | 402.542 | 0.91023 | 0.982518 |
| 122 | 342 | 359.783 | 407.167 | 0.883625 | 0.950574 |
| 123 | 406 | 414.909 | 411.875 | 1.00737 | 0.978528 |
| 124 | 396 | 406.302 | 416.333 | 0.975906 | 0.974644 |
| 125 | 420 | 412.669 | 420.5 | 0.981378 | 1.01776 |
| 126 | 472 | 473.486 | 425.5 | 1.11278 | 0.996861 |
| 127 | 548 | 528.288 | 430.708 | 1.22656 | 1.03731 |
| 128 | 559 | 530.814 | 435.125 | 1.21991 | 1.0531 |
| 129 | 463 | 464.186 | 437.708 | 1.06049 | 0.997445 |
| 130 | 407 | 406.457 | 440.958 | 0.921757 | 1.00134 |
| 131 | 362 | 357.192 | 445.833 | 0.801178 | 1.01346 |
| 132 | 405 | 405.033 | 450.625 | 0.898824 | 0.999919 |
| 133 | 417 | 415.368 | 456.333 | 0.91023 | 1.00393 |
| 134 | 391 | 407.683 | 461.375 | 0.883625 | 0.959079 |
| 135 | 419 | 468.635 | 465.208 | 1.00737 | 0.894086 |
| 136 | 461 | 458.025 | 469.333 | 0.975906 | 1.00649 |
| 137 | 472 | 463.946 | 472.75 | 0.981378 | 1.01736 |
| 138 | 535 | 528.615 | 475.042 | 1.11278 | 1.01208 |
| 139 | 622 | NA | NA | 1.22656 | NA |
| 140 | 606 | NA | NA | 1.21991 | NA |
| 141 | 508 | NA | NA | 1.06049 | NA |
| 142 | 461 | NA | NA | 0.921757 | NA |
| 143 | 390 | NA | NA | 0.801178 | NA |
| 144 | 432 | NA | NA | 0.898824 | NA |
