| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 30 | 34.0671084703555 | -0.3156477376112 | -0.31564773643273 | -0.291557373576176 |
| 3 | 47 | 39.2754264747764 | 0.113018011811798 | 0.113018011811797 | 0.578107229778994 |
| 4 | 35 | 37.598824630699 | 0.00609094570264468 | 0.00609094570264402 | -0.194826689618108 |
| 5 | 30 | 34.631991636474 | -0.138701841066129 | -0.138701841066129 | -0.332719357356007 |
| 6 | 43 | 37.8293313146577 | 0.000285651519477392 | 0.000285651519476974 | 0.38038993236368 |
| 7 | 82 | 54.7345619405174 | 0.626347559617676 | 0.626347559617678 | 1.9516353764764 |
| 8 | 40 | 49.2755392288679 | 0.420159263490798 | 0.420159263490799 | -0.708355608247964 |
| 9 | 47 | 48.5140116897234 | 0.382764617347151 | 0.382764617347152 | -0.138315762885229 |
| 10 | 19 | 37.4418372179229 | 0.0393364742820169 | 0.0393364742820169 | -1.34590443541795 |
| 11 | 52 | 42.9493181846827 | 0.196170716465132 | 0.196170716465132 | 0.644219298022962 |
| 12 | 136 | 78.0934247304316 | 1.16140934531338 | 1.16140934531338 | 4.12554663295133 |
| 13 | 80 | 82.4051286563127 | 0.803640420685588 | -8.84004463130526 | 0.530695411965217 |
| 14 | 42 | 65.0516154538736 | 0.0542732853501441 | 0.0542732968314112 | -1.77265794194507 |
| 15 | 54 | 60.6291425174319 | -0.0882433304102541 | -0.0882433304102529 | -0.486103540722062 |
| 16 | 66 | 62.6908737077265 | -0.0332820718503202 | -0.0332820718503213 | 0.244989299615891 |
| 17 | 81 | 69.6599818196951 | 0.117306980281039 | 0.11730698028104 | 0.817044166013044 |
| 18 | 63 | 67.17308678971 | 0.0681274583697432 | 0.0681274583697453 | -0.307662324700843 |
| 19 | 137 | 93.4364576049328 | 0.517994327022605 | 0.51799432702261 | 3.11620637060327 |
| 20 | 72 | 85.5313682407899 | 0.382947137616642 | 0.382947137616644 | -1.0060762650332 |
| 21 | 107 | 93.6608381360402 | 0.501077595765577 | 0.501077595765579 | 0.927553151613082 |
| 22 | 58 | 80.4581273660299 | 0.29976956481657 | 0.299769564816569 | -1.64344369571002 |
| 23 | 36 | 63.9281949903672 | 0.0595839559520301 | 0.0595839559520303 | -2.02042797154379 |
| 24 | 52 | 59.4900688033274 | -0.00312603674670147 | -0.00312603674670232 | -0.540347392117158 |
| 25 | 79 | 65.1690061366869 | -0.296958210698082 | 3.26654030412787 | 0.816165034835556 |
| 26 | 77 | 69.9327176467141 | -0.163315951503842 | -0.163315940101643 | 0.539272848072828 |
| 27 | 54 | 63.6966200307163 | -0.286952605915262 | -0.286952605915258 | -0.689459782665461 |
| 28 | 84 | 71.3619353147134 | -0.156428681182113 | -0.156428681182115 | 0.929872417020118 |
| 29 | 48 | 62.5185472570446 | -0.277017599239218 | -0.277017599239215 | -1.03081304144508 |
| 30 | 96 | 74.9979214865008 | -0.120646338235284 | -0.120646338235282 | 1.5255124919275 |
| 31 | 83 | 77.9573560306857 | -0.0861220402522869 | -0.0861220402522817 | 0.369942031948574 |
| 32 | 66 | 73.475655442792 | -0.132363328479108 | -0.132363328479106 | -0.529281927720197 |
| 33 | 61 | 68.7937784919967 | -0.178117807111202 | -0.178117807111201 | -0.548659557543251 |
| 34 | 53 | 62.8678232799406 | -0.23407773956578 | -0.23407773956578 | -0.693843430592962 |
| 35 | 30 | 50.5756045633735 | -0.348675409784445 | -0.348675409784444 | -1.45649856843702 |
| 36 | 74 | 59.2017176233615 | -0.264959389534895 | -0.264959389534896 | 1.08452209022597 |
| 37 | 69 | 61.1893275393182 | -0.340371241994531 | 3.74408365056518 | 0.306763104209787 |
| 38 | 59 | 60.2507045222226 | -0.351987472069535 | -0.351987460441162 | -0.0662477606121289 |
| 39 | 42 | 53.1654628989029 | -0.452754201983734 | -0.452754201983729 | -0.780050188402 |
| 40 | 65 | 57.5263499869063 | -0.394569173303685 | -0.394569173303687 | 0.569637433696047 |
| 41 | 70 | 62.1044147511454 | -0.343605638839358 | -0.343605638839354 | 0.594750079708083 |
| 42 | 100 | 76.1680236999117 | -0.212868232978044 | -0.212868232978043 | 1.73293648259962 |
| 43 | 63 | 71.2077588711463 | -0.252364397212901 | -0.252364397212896 | -0.572834757853432 |
| 44 | 105 | 83.7167841355996 | -0.152464752018214 | -0.152464752018212 | 1.54266391842919 |
| 45 | 82 | 83.0393997140871 | -0.156402946263696 | -0.156402946263696 | -0.0635256847629037 |
| 46 | 81 | 82.2413689964665 | -0.161074340119854 | -0.161074340119855 | -0.0777035770761698 |
| 47 | 75 | 79.5098014792203 | -0.179386209607139 | -0.179386209607139 | -0.31143553127414 |
| 48 | 102 | 87.8171010738526 | -0.119908843611901 | -0.119908843611902 | 1.02853430237211 |
| 49 | 121 | 98.1776819100549 | -0.379309687328358 | 4.17240654390188 | 1.38956317662093 |
| 50 | 98 | 98.0252746919512 | -0.375826138489055 | -0.375826121875179 | 0.025675290407908 |
| 51 | 76 | 89.5513253929136 | -0.471636485775251 | -0.471636485775241 | -0.949061240963247 |
| 52 | 77 | 84.7142597466271 | -0.513397333097122 | -0.513397333097122 | -0.520171727475613 |
| 53 | 63 | 76.4679980059243 | -0.576211520663933 | -0.576211520663926 | -0.929148217015964 |
| 54 | 37 | 61.615389803679 | -0.679051356677668 | -0.679051356677665 | -1.7230240474079 |
| 55 | 35 | 51.5421477056269 | -0.741189246405015 | -0.741189246405012 | -1.13660581288418 |
| 56 | 23 | 40.7466737049638 | -0.803861374006648 | -0.803861374006646 | -1.21823087211232 |
| 57 | 40 | 40.2625459372633 | -0.801948470083671 | -0.801948470083671 | 0.0387744138807999 |
| 58 | 29 | 35.8754051831982 | -0.822793627496868 | -0.82279362749687 | -0.435015167899654 |
| 59 | 37 | 36.0806287879526 | -0.816936800430113 | -0.816936800430113 | 0.124779243583684 |
| 60 | 51 | 41.4056602201766 | -0.782464314367231 | -0.782464314367233 | 0.745672599258534 |
| 61 | 20 | 30.8153767910228 | -0.589909228595362 | 6.48900150656896 | -1.27958596651033 |
| 62 | 28 | 29.5928933460305 | -0.597939928607467 | -0.597939920359493 | -0.0725787029712286 |
| 63 | 13 | 23.164318361747 | -0.654977398226755 | -0.654977398226748 | -0.688443433159342 |
| 64 | 22 | 22.5639431570149 | -0.654545207337746 | -0.654545207337748 | 0.00653550030070437 |
| 65 | 25 | 23.3065338929219 | -0.645145844054628 | -0.645145844054624 | 0.168379159951135 |
| 66 | 13 | 19.3067220444332 | -0.665180436939046 | -0.665180436939046 | -0.405776123970482 |
| 67 | 16 | 17.9072739548067 | -0.669211175772106 | -0.669211175772101 | -0.088997805249633 |
| 68 | 13 | 15.9132663173458 | -0.67607144722115 | -0.676071447221147 | -0.160764797990155 |
| 69 | 16 | 15.7710514391367 | -0.673415469596057 | -0.673415469596057 | 0.0648302156055744 |
| 70 | 17 | 16.053012929343 | -0.66879187315894 | -0.668791873158942 | 0.116070036267202 |
| 71 | 9 | 13.264738228185 | -0.678852256961783 | -0.678852256961783 | -0.25757129907588 |
| 72 | 17 | 14.4742987161485 | -0.670013552339604 | -0.670013552339605 | 0.229532515822176 |
| 73 | 25 | 15.1084490060929 | -0.691230650868017 | 7.60353715246654 | 0.168326295931945 |
| 74 | 14 | 14.5224713506258 | -0.690091593107447 | -0.690091586070386 | 0.0121933502775276 |
| 75 | 8 | 11.8921752142877 | -0.706269824766449 | -0.706269824766442 | -0.230287014283483 |
| 76 | 7 | 9.88411968725477 | -0.715057227261368 | -0.715057227261371 | -0.156306743954489 |
| 77 | 10 | 9.74499100991185 | -0.711750640163717 | -0.711750640163713 | 0.0695565559533541 |
| 78 | 7 | 8.54205051761777 | -0.714255871008771 | -0.714255871008771 | -0.0595069936185826 |
| 79 | 10 | 8.8993396877821 | -0.709228708278052 | -0.709228708278048 | 0.130042000956359 |
| 80 | 3 | 6.52786353890461 | -0.716590429938223 | -0.716590429938221 | -0.201933369834727 |
