| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sar1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.5801 | 0.2288 | -0.9783 | -0.9027 | 0.8117 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0104 ) | (0 ) | (4e-04 ) | (0.0203 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.6027 | 0.2005 | -0.9765 | -0.1381 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0258 ) | (0 ) | (0.1637 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.5959 | 0.2142 | -0.9818 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0162 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -0.426993154054498 |
| 4.58988358697848 |
| 2.37907464717268 |
| -2.24742027966834 |
| -2.4621600833754 |
| 9.1272874080273 |
| 10.7976786086319 |
| 3.45326807773491 |
| 1.65001169771876 |
| -6.25172802370994 |
| -5.11950339635767 |
| 10.7742925607926 |
| 11.3800288663935 |
| -1.31551726812363 |
| 13.4000210690695 |
| -3.31221162951189 |
| 18.360046086899 |
| -8.20218098268121 |
| -0.552627775036482 |
| 2.11182514605369 |
| -1.16810176588601 |
| 2.55160392655858 |
| 4.3452508546022 |
| -1.97253479262803 |
| 1.31021989939439 |
| 4.61760643311724 |
| -10.7923079066834 |
| -1.388839686298 |
| -4.11442378561112 |
| 24.6790521383099 |
| -0.122960204494404 |
| 11.936139195455 |
| -12.1872075836229 |
| 1.25111056901555 |
| -0.336459669045598 |
| 1.51200875673299 |
| -1.71059511243869 |
| -8.51178015330186 |
| 22.2682476757047 |
| 19.7060582416092 |
| -1.6514264667245 |
| -15.4470265249072 |
| 4.74052959561997 |
| 1.00468475412472 |
| -3.64236691357532 |
| -7.80673168573007 |
| -14.6045856038951 |
| -5.97033538384186 |
| -2.30422670997696 |
| -19.6633228360071 |
| 1.83254749920452 |
| -6.69341998171911 |
| 6.51185904548891 |
| 13.3601212310629 |
| 20.9634274293042 |
| -10.716443214086 |
| -2.80271517916067 |
| -4.75046188438011 |
| 1.63894633762169 |
| 5.46373490666578 |
| 11.8559200039008 |
| 9.26254068228973 |
| -7.90923428823929 |
| 7.60233907096605 |
| 0.180755695328839 |
| 18.0953976984957 |
| 21.4593715538424 |
| -0.902462877227978 |
| 1.81699139835536 |
| -4.18277866048639 |
| -9.05858226726795 |
| 14.769724635728 |
| 1.4048240308948 |
| 4.5763858108108 |
| 8.00542227745467 |
| 0.0656765983939634 |
| 5.17396211901276 |
| 17.1290627140034 |
| -0.275355789963798 |
| 10.1131595259485 |
| -8.32158713440248 |
| -12.682527323911 |
| -1.56844520979371 |
| -3.32134619538229 |
| 1.06182897875543 |
| -6.12332145017701 |
| 13.4920581090767 |
| 0.150647695452057 |
| 2.43589681558722 |
| 14.3235209899242 |
| 8.54343545953614 |
| 15.492204672132 |
| -7.2465436215382 |
| -9.76236722223312 |
| -7.49472175587528 |
| -6.18401751429642 |
| -6.3639956250993 |
| -11.4464952651459 |
| -13.7782413041237 |
| -12.8241982765182 |
| 1.49412214798153 |
| 4.30302818358216 |
| 12.163944308854 |
| 15.7807913829831 |
| -35.1650097865052 |
| -2.13718307374906 |
| -8.64107149623164 |
| -10.3710996107305 |
| 12.5227920187489 |
| 4.99956638774256 |
| 17.9453824020661 |
| 8.9739848956828 |
| 13.2499349979827 |
| -13.0969069466429 |
| 18.6179384363731 |
| 7.57086281709471 |
| 3.58365522965821 |
| -5.42430546802333 |
| 3.41705249666286 |
| 18.8278543547085 |
| 0.090178103399321 |
| -5.40796417694867 |
| -32.3489948306788 |
| 42.4885853017891 |
| 4.72097389038343 |
| 9.39763805770805 |
| 20.3299016036871 |
| -17.5083034484995 |
| -4.64188611619713 |
| 9.2328364642434 |
| -20.6774513277534 |
| -5.14338431959401 |
