| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.2497 | -0.9732 | -0.692 | -0.3825 | 0.1407 |
| (p-val) | (0.0627 ) | (0 ) | (0.2429 ) | (0.1543 ) | (0.8269 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.2453 | -0.977 | -0.5646 | -0.3309 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0654 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0428 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | -1 | -0.5852 | -0.3803 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0159 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -4777.30287053444 |
| 23071.5804810537 |
| -8821.90758479004 |
| -13680.6059274328 |
| 11180.6431859368 |
| 5010.70366559048 |
| 236686.426510867 |
| -161382.43751021 |
| -66551.5717990828 |
| 49073.4992984785 |
| -413.579724682996 |
| -100246.75557144 |
| -45069.0622565955 |
| -68984.340566736 |
| 11587.8243828723 |
| 82438.9054299304 |
| -201027.657199657 |
| 85807.7578120245 |
| -171502.900557798 |
| 128842.545448143 |
| 174219.98827181 |
| 90023.5043965286 |
| 76255.5771808329 |
| 105984.189658277 |
| 33460.4969000584 |
| -24997.2691200537 |
| -71616.2708199637 |
| -71566.4692484726 |
| -141248.034929073 |
| -127227.666344241 |
| -166094.02966984 |
| 20636.220249879 |
| 36285.7623870828 |
| -15214.6142334066 |
| -42214.2569277333 |
| -17654.5750936827 |
| -54792.3589212138 |
| 52868.7065927132 |
| 57002.7227176984 |
| -181749.294592801 |
| 62082.1421692693 |
| -14715.8892153173 |
| -111679.1304132 |
| 152168.277727722 |
| 58976.3510147485 |
| 2103.79221311361 |
| 3673.51609817266 |
| -8617.92276139197 |
| 21094.9552196742 |
| -53529.2660967265 |
| -86184.7871929051 |
| -29372.2046019369 |
| -55864.1209120939 |
| -49955.0564130308 |
| -52452.7767755142 |
| 52290.4699061889 |
| -14832.9041624974 |
| -15917.3798344151 |
| -29056.8728519534 |
| -27610.2822678382 |
