| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ma1 | sar1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.37 | -1 | 0.37 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.1464 ) | (0 ) | (0.1464 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | -1 | 0.6376 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -392.32094187639 |
| 10502.4497801894 |
| 152144.861168011 |
| -146660.672391444 |
| -314309.518086604 |
| 1033352.98508868 |
| -615896.083340119 |
| -1250518.94750376 |
| -139069.644494797 |
| -580236.994210381 |
| -264430.912418433 |
| -403894.366375311 |
| 54691.2803791657 |
| 18114.0473219394 |
| 317188.261671039 |
| 104714.946964039 |
| -134217.717888661 |
| 1628094.35940755 |
| -658253.462664285 |
| -794755.547350127 |
| 19666.4751670206 |
| -567747.72743825 |
| -335586.027976585 |
| -350871.928269012 |
| -59012.313565884 |
| 84337.0884286829 |
| 361305.236675166 |
| -172260.435302553 |
| 217512.09800495 |
| 1230315.9884075 |
| 14036.3848981241 |
| -853317.742769002 |
| 29229.5912431938 |
| -476435.652727066 |
| -241296.69718977 |
| -428379.239767485 |
| -70202.0052710424 |
| -13579.025869319 |
| 313643.988776252 |
| -108659.676517228 |
| 25609.5019570457 |
| 1343466.32908633 |
| 41242.6228163853 |
| -857926.131594233 |
| 27561.8978948639 |
| -493038.090932728 |
| -235989.576331394 |
| -462011.310698618 |
| 51605.5999519827 |
| -17406.7290305024 |
| 110920.154789809 |
| 210264.423802213 |
| -119864.352623466 |
| 1415354.23542864 |
| 139346.068114965 |
| -905293.308116032 |
| 76943.8437783358 |
| -477249.702559225 |
| -272472.396130718 |
| -390953.278680793 |
| -102826.982787449 |
| -17371.0379476117 |
| 271195.302829088 |
| -41920.6591223965 |
| 30398.5832195456 |
| 1343272.83747797 |
| 214764.768656356 |
| -920395.830321641 |
| 98861.4160715073 |
| -484172.168136737 |
| -244300.230695393 |
