| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.3813 | 0.3231 | 0.1871 | 0.9508 | 0.049 | -0.9706 |
| (p-val) | (0.0022 ) | (0.0106 ) | (0.1427 ) | (0 ) | (0.7544 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3756 | 0.3228 | 0.1962 | 0.9964 | 0 | -0.8903 |
| (p-val) | (0.002 ) | (0.0103 ) | (0.1173 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.4409 | 0.4079 | 0 | 0.9969 | 0 | -0.8806 |
| (p-val) | (3e-04 ) | (4e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 11.3408968271658 |
| 11.4224881943598 |
| 9.20596985162059 |
| 1.41968696301501 |
| -0.432130324779298 |
| 2.49870924603236 |
| -9.89829987384917 |
| -15.1339630080447 |
| 10.8280444861446 |
| 17.383232698961 |
| -3.19844813326059 |
| 0.656851235600882 |
| -4.77552688210195 |
| -16.2799712241498 |
| 17.4517684958952 |
| -5.72919402483479 |
| 4.7981106983225 |
| -1.52476893117308 |
| 10.0694343555535 |
| -1.82842062767452 |
| 3.1412178227323 |
| -11.9230254953377 |
| -0.6595593855356 |
| -1.8050743983937 |
| 10.8322865440062 |
| 13.1071008832008 |
| 3.26904730351139 |
| -13.285087919939 |
| -6.34700487733586 |
| 9.53170584643637 |
| -10.2507024557329 |
| -1.85692576053148 |
| 1.73544242115869 |
| 9.65492506631182 |
| -8.50394795598373 |
| -10.3324328870574 |
| 21.0877999749665 |
| -6.7835311766886 |
| -6.69476534355987 |
| 8.09276773549723 |
| -10.5246681979891 |
| 10.7071111192642 |
| -14.3945843178603 |
| 1.94780722905526 |
| -4.48998762036096 |
| 6.51075253367059 |
| 5.12274980603934 |
| 21.2473937303814 |
| 2.96873500503254 |
| -3.52581223116855 |
| -14.3315921774083 |
| -0.774559172695317 |
| 2.27632153317374 |
| -4.11065500257101 |
| -0.297766208531791 |
| -6.34466399671647 |
| 7.24893441768439 |
| 14.1204237560842 |
| 13.8123042323297 |
| -5.51677014558157 |
| -21.2668153844199 |
| -1.6220431467282 |
| -0.4948692931249 |
| 2.58359765605209 |
| -4.43803666372515 |
| 9.49575382228604 |
| 1.74247723261362 |
| 10.2938082488605 |
| 13.5663371992202 |
| -0.495703126268228 |
| -5.14780218305988 |
| 1.8880583582169 |
