| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.7753 | 0.0168 | -0.2051 | -0.6839 | -0.6385 | -0.3213 |
| (p-val) | (0.0169 ) | (0.922 ) | (0.141 ) | (0.0256 ) | (0 ) | (0.0423 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.7905 | 0 | -0.1969 | -0.6917 | -0.638 | -0.3227 |
| (p-val) | (0.0046 ) | (NA ) | (0.0764 ) | (0.016 ) | (0 ) | (0.0406 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.2739 | 0 | 0 | -0.1587 | -0.6112 | -0.3027 |
| (p-val) | (0.6096 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.7678 ) | (0 ) | (0.0515 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.1125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6078 | -0.2999 |
| (p-val) | (0.4105 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0537 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5829 | -0.2598 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.0828 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.462 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (2e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.301434196679473 |
| -10.9885569496653 |
| -147.382902129745 |
| 39.1110014567179 |
| -81.4425158848203 |
| -12.078351316037 |
| -42.4167898608249 |
| 67.0464277246091 |
| 37.8428418702217 |
| 18.4314513017798 |
| -111.599531586494 |
| -11.2759436805746 |
| -47.6190106764637 |
| 45.1295567616807 |
| 96.3949212605634 |
| 35.4549809232933 |
| -42.5067325049227 |
| -39.5106000459369 |
| 46.9122253745604 |
| -69.7450856362277 |
| -7.44911781151631 |
| -31.5356325195384 |
| 24.0379786394387 |
| -54.5570370501466 |
| -93.2909029093278 |
| 105.213596474247 |
| -64.2380159923767 |
| -91.5430827853697 |
| 42.1999755112746 |
| -94.5820429378453 |
| 28.8081775951816 |
| -92.9181285764655 |
| -15.7008914377071 |
| -86.1670452181312 |
| -34.7676599037846 |
| 4.65069696972995 |
| 144.606779953989 |
| 37.2453323846002 |
| 48.1742144956917 |
| -68.6546403829656 |
| 4.87820783207272 |
| 20.6251674578333 |
| -59.805697698129 |
| -1.40591825236111 |
| -44.017816738313 |
| 16.8375159453306 |
| 88.3821248073404 |
| 125.545657877887 |
| 17.3818753647663 |
| -132.257103819181 |
| -36.9514981610545 |
| -33.3829833012458 |
| -22.3470579048364 |
| -35.6064434401149 |
| 18.0077388974 |
| 31.6056388861829 |
| 78.6548876487979 |
| 146.754223638938 |
| 42.6573284139453 |
| 20.9997316330412 |
| 55.7429010408792 |
