Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 304040 | NA | NA | 1.0492 | NA |
2 | 307100 | NA | NA | 1.05438 | NA |
3 | 304330 | NA | NA | 1.03428 | NA |
4 | 294710 | NA | NA | 1.01226 | NA |
5 | 286890 | NA | NA | 0.992361 | NA |
6 | 279050 | NA | NA | 0.981121 | NA |
7 | 271860 | 270715 | 275107 | 0.984035 | 1.00423 |
8 | 266710 | 266085 | 270411 | 0.984 | 1.00235 |
9 | 259590 | 256392 | 265161 | 0.96693 | 1.01247 |
10 | 253830 | 250195 | 259543 | 0.963983 | 1.01453 |
11 | 250640 | 247479 | 253793 | 0.975119 | 1.01277 |
12 | 249140 | 248653 | 248073 | 1.00234 | 1.00196 |
13 | 250840 | 254513 | 242578 | 1.0492 | 0.985567 |
14 | 247590 | 250205 | 237302 | 1.05438 | 0.989548 |
15 | 237830 | 240071 | 232114 | 1.03428 | 0.990667 |
16 | 226380 | 229799 | 227016 | 1.01226 | 0.985122 |
17 | 217230 | 220380 | 222076 | 0.992361 | 0.985707 |
18 | 211420 | 213163 | 217265 | 0.981121 | 0.991824 |
19 | 207620 | 209206 | 212600 | 0.984035 | 0.992418 |
20 | 204310 | 204672 | 208000 | 0.984 | 0.998234 |
21 | 197490 | 196776 | 203505 | 0.96693 | 1.00363 |
22 | 193580 | 192192 | 199373 | 0.963983 | 1.00722 |
23 | 192330 | 190744 | 195611 | 0.975119 | 1.00831 |
24 | 191970 | 192496 | 192047 | 1.00234 | 0.997266 |
25 | 196070 | 197867 | 188588 | 1.0492 | 0.990918 |
26 | 191940 | 195332 | 185258 | 1.05438 | 0.982635 |
27 | 185620 | 188369 | 182126 | 1.03428 | 0.985407 |
28 | 179410 | 181457 | 179260 | 1.01226 | 0.98872 |
29 | 173920 | 175351 | 176701 | 0.992361 | 0.991839 |
30 | 169190 | 171329 | 174626 | 0.981121 | 0.987515 |
31 | 166840 | 170422 | 173188 | 0.984035 | 0.978979 |
32 | 165170 | 169827 | 172588 | 0.984 | 0.972579 |
33 | 161450 | 167330 | 173053 | 0.96693 | 0.964859 |
34 | 160830 | 168339 | 174629 | 0.963983 | 0.955391 |
35 | 163670 | 172823 | 177232 | 0.975119 | 0.947039 |
36 | 170830 | 181315 | 180892 | 1.00234 | 0.942174 |
37 | 182690 | 194771 | 185638 | 1.0492 | 0.937972 |
38 | 190940 | 201654 | 191254 | 1.05438 | 0.94687 |
39 | 197770 | 204363 | 197590 | 1.03428 | 0.967737 |
40 | 205090 | 207170 | 204662 | 1.01226 | 0.989958 |
41 | 210720 | 210725 | 212347 | 0.992361 | 0.999978 |
42 | 220210 | 216266 | 220427 | 0.981121 | 1.01824 |
43 | 229730 | 225090 | 228742 | 0.984035 | 1.02061 |
44 | 237070 | 233249 | 237042 | 0.984 | 1.01638 |
45 | 241620 | 236563 | 244653 | 0.96693 | 1.02138 |
46 | 250370 | 242011 | 251054 | 0.963983 | 1.03454 |
47 | 258570 | 249949 | 256326 | 0.975119 | 1.03449 |
48 | 269860 | 261023 | 260414 | 1.00234 | 1.03386 |
49 | 283220 | 276371 | 263411 | 1.0492 | 1.02478 |
50 | 289610 | 280126 | 265679 | 1.05438 | 1.03386 |
51 | 281770 | 276348 | 267189 | 1.03428 | 1.01962 |
52 | 274700 | 270998 | 267717 | 1.01226 | 1.01366 |
53 | 267650 | 265460 | 267504 | 0.992361 | 1.00825 |
54 | 261380 | 261991 | 267032 | 0.981121 | 0.997667 |
55 | 260500 | 262232 | 266487 | 0.984035 | 0.993395 |
56 | 260730 | 261289 | 265538 | 0.984 | 0.99786 |
57 | 254200 | 255481 | 264218 | 0.96693 | 0.994987 |
58 | 250450 | 253409 | 262878 | 0.963983 | 0.988322 |
59 | 253380 | 255101 | 261610 | 0.975119 | 0.993255 |
60 | 263740 | 261186 | 260576 | 1.00234 | 1.00978 |
61 | 276240 | 272596 | 259813 | 1.0492 | 1.01337 |
62 | 273820 | 273364 | 259266 | 1.05438 | 1.00167 |
63 | 265890 | 267787 | 258912 | 1.03428 | 0.992915 |
64 | 258400 | 262044 | 258871 | 1.01226 | 0.986093 |
65 | 253520 | 257160 | 259140 | 0.992361 | 0.985844 |
66 | 250710 | 254679 | 259580 | 0.981121 | 0.984414 |
67 | 252850 | 256318 | 260476 | 0.984035 | 0.986471 |
68 | 255260 | 257965 | 262160 | 0.984 | 0.989514 |
69 | 251170 | 255695 | 264440 | 0.96693 | 0.982303 |
70 | 252500 | 257461 | 267081 | 0.963983 | 0.98073 |
71 | 257780 | 263322 | 270041 | 0.975119 | 0.978952 |
72 | 269900 | 273898 | 273259 | 1.00234 | 0.985404 |
73 | 291590 | 290419 | 276800 | 1.0492 | 1.00403 |
74 | 298870 | 295975 | 280711 | 1.05438 | 1.00978 |
75 | 295570 | 294726 | 284958 | 1.03428 | 1.00286 |
76 | 292100 | 293112 | 289563 | 1.01226 | 0.996547 |
77 | 290870 | 292391 | 294642 | 0.992361 | 0.994798 |
78 | 290580 | 294590 | 300259 | 0.981121 | 0.986387 |
79 | 297970 | 301532 | 306424 | 0.984035 | 0.988188 |
80 | 304010 | 307897 | 312903 | 0.984 | 0.987376 |
81 | 304340 | 309081 | 319651 | 0.96693 | 0.984663 |
82 | 309850 | 315029 | 326799 | 0.963983 | 0.983561 |
83 | 322320 | 325751 | 334062 | 0.975119 | 0.989468 |
84 | 340170 | 342273 | 341474 | 1.00234 | 0.993856 |
85 | 369280 | 366476 | 349290 | 1.0492 | 1.00765 |
86 | 376690 | 376715 | 357287 | 1.05438 | 0.999934 |
87 | 379700 | 377780 | 365260 | 1.03428 | 1.00508 |
88 | 379520 | 377935 | 373359 | 1.01226 | 1.00419 |
89 | 377770 | 378574 | 381488 | 0.992361 | 0.997877 |
90 | 381560 | 382229 | 389584 | 0.981121 | 0.998249 |
91 | 394580 | NA | NA | 0.984035 | NA |
92 | 399320 | NA | NA | 0.984 | NA |
93 | 400370 | NA | NA | 0.96693 | NA |
94 | 408200 | NA | NA | 0.963983 | NA |
95 | 419070 | NA | NA | 0.975119 | NA |
96 | 437730 | NA | NA | 1.00234 | NA |