| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | -20 | NA | NA | 1.30438 | NA |
| 2 | -24 | NA | NA | 0.880709 | NA |
| 3 | -24 | NA | NA | 1.19402 | NA |
| 4 | -22 | NA | NA | 0.969624 | NA |
| 5 | -19 | NA | NA | 0.831868 | NA |
| 6 | -18 | NA | NA | 0.976042 | NA |
| 7 | -17 | -17.4647 | -16.7083 | 1.04527 | 0.973394 |
| 8 | -11 | -16.4796 | -16.125 | 1.02199 | 0.667494 |
| 9 | -11 | -13.9527 | -15.2917 | 0.912439 | 0.788377 |
| 10 | -12 | -11.6461 | -14.25 | 0.817272 | 1.03039 |
| 11 | -10 | -12.3189 | -13.4167 | 0.918182 | 0.811758 |
| 12 | -15 | -14.4317 | -12.7917 | 1.12821 | 1.03938 |
| 13 | -15 | -15.6526 | -12 | 1.30438 | 0.958309 |
| 14 | -15 | -9.94467 | -11.2917 | 0.880709 | 1.50835 |
| 15 | -13 | -12.7859 | -10.7083 | 1.19402 | 1.01674 |
| 16 | -8 | -9.69624 | -10 | 0.969624 | 0.825062 |
| 17 | -13 | -7.62545 | -9.16667 | 0.831868 | 1.70482 |
| 18 | -9 | -8.01168 | -8.20833 | 0.976042 | 1.12336 |
| 19 | -7 | -7.49108 | -7.16667 | 1.04527 | 0.934445 |
| 20 | -4 | -6.13193 | -6 | 1.02199 | 0.652324 |
| 21 | -4 | -4.44814 | -4.875 | 0.912439 | 0.899252 |
| 22 | -2 | -3.37125 | -4.125 | 0.817272 | 0.593253 |
| 23 | 0 | -2.98409 | -3.25 | 0.918182 | 0 |
| 24 | -2 | -2.72652 | -2.41667 | 1.12821 | 0.733536 |
| 25 | -3 | -2.66311 | -2.04167 | 1.30438 | 1.1265 |
| 26 | 1 | -1.87151 | -2.125 | 0.880709 | -0.534329 |
| 27 | -2 | -3.03479 | -2.54167 | 1.19402 | 0.659024 |
| 28 | -1 | -2.86847 | -2.95833 | 0.969624 | 0.348618 |
| 29 | 1 | -3.1195 | -3.75 | 0.831868 | -0.320564 |
| 30 | -3 | -4.6362 | -4.75 | 0.976042 | 0.647082 |
| 31 | -4 | -5.96673 | -5.70833 | 1.04527 | 0.670384 |
| 32 | -9 | -7.28166 | -7.125 | 1.02199 | 1.23598 |
| 33 | -9 | -7.67969 | -8.41667 | 0.912439 | 1.17192 |
| 34 | -7 | -7.59381 | -9.29167 | 0.817272 | 0.921803 |
| 35 | -14 | -9.3731 | -10.2083 | 0.918182 | 1.49364 |
| 36 | -12 | -12.3634 | -10.9583 | 1.12821 | 0.970611 |
| 37 | -16 | -15.1634 | -11.625 | 1.30438 | 1.05517 |
| 38 | -20 | -10.8254 | -12.2917 | 0.880709 | 1.84751 |
| 39 | -12 | -15.2734 | -12.7917 | 1.19402 | 0.785677 |
| 40 | -12 | -13.0091 | -13.4167 | 0.969624 | 0.922429 |
| 41 | -10 | -11.8541 | -14.25 | 0.831868 | 0.843589 |
| 42 | -10 | -14.844 | -15.2083 | 0.976042 | 0.673674 |
| 43 | -13 | -16.7678 | -16.0417 | 1.04527 | 0.775295 |
| 44 | -16 | -16.5647 | -16.2083 | 1.02199 | 0.965908 |
| 45 | -14 | -15.1313 | -16.5833 | 0.912439 | 0.925236 |
| 46 | -17 | -14.2341 | -17.4167 | 0.817272 | 1.19431 |
| 47 | -24 | -16.642 | -18.125 | 0.918182 | 1.44213 |
| 48 | -25 | -21.248 | -18.8333 | 1.12821 | 1.17658 |
| 49 | -23 | -25.1637 | -19.2917 | 1.30438 | 0.914016 |
| 50 | -17 | -16.9536 | -19.25 | 0.880709 | 1.00273 |
| 51 | -24 | -22.4375 | -18.7917 | 1.19402 | 1.06964 |
| 52 | -20 | -17.4936 | -18.0417 | 0.969624 | 1.14327 |
| 53 | -19 | -14.0031 | -16.8333 | 0.831868 | 1.35684 |
| 54 | -18 | -14.8846 | -15.25 | 0.976042 | 1.2093 |
| 55 | -16 | -14.2418 | -13.625 | 1.04527 | 1.12346 |
| 56 | -12 | -12.5619 | -12.2917 | 1.02199 | 0.955267 |
| 57 | -7 | -10.1129 | -11.0833 | 0.912439 | 0.692188 |
| 58 | -6 | -8.13866 | -9.95833 | 0.817272 | 0.737222 |
| 59 | -6 | -8.22538 | -8.95833 | 0.918182 | 0.72945 |
| 60 | -5 | -8.97871 | -7.95833 | 1.12821 | 0.556873 |
| 61 | -4 | -9.45676 | -7.25 | 1.30438 | 0.422978 |
| 62 | -4 | -6.12827 | -6.95833 | 0.880709 | 0.652713 |
| 63 | -8 | -8.45761 | -7.08333 | 1.19402 | 0.945894 |
| 64 | -9 | -7.27218 | -7.5 | 0.969624 | 1.23759 |
| 65 | -6 | -6.72426 | -8.08333 | 0.831868 | 0.892291 |
| 66 | -7 | -8.4997 | -8.70833 | 0.976042 | 0.823559 |
| 67 | -10 | NA | NA | 1.04527 | NA |
| 68 | -11 | NA | NA | 1.02199 | NA |
| 69 | -11 | NA | NA | 0.912439 | NA |
| 70 | -12 | NA | NA | 0.817272 | NA |
| 71 | -14 | NA | NA | 0.918182 | NA |
| 72 | -12 | NA | NA | 1.12821 | NA |
