Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.00316737455888981
gamma0


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
13102.02101.6252120898440.394787910156055
14101.51101.5077423775670.00225762243331928
15101.62101.6090333061340.0109666938663224
16101.83101.8032698407330.0267301592672169
17102.06102.0233435134410.0366564865593233
18102.14102.0947464639150.045253536085383
19102.14102.0409221656920.0990778343081047
20102.59102.732900350592-0.142900350591788
21102.92102.685668707240.234331292760501
22103.31103.2603378376140.0496621623858431
23103.54103.4023769789530.13762302104675
24103.58103.5173552742650.0626447257345717
25103.58103.5748330051770.00516699482281524
26102.83103.060451390502-0.230451390501727
27102.86102.93031251457-0.0703125145697072
28103.03103.045304884023-0.0153048840232657
29103.2103.225320347881-0.0253203478806654
30103.28103.2346859022940.0453140977061679
31103.28103.1793677723340.100632227665514
32103.79103.879068417629-0.0890684176294769
33103.92103.8864698166360.0335301833635242
34104.26104.262844397673-0.00284439767270328
35104.41104.3523016602740.057698339725647
36104.45104.3860506531050.0639493468947308
3799.92104.443678950596-4.52367895059611
3899.1899.4070897444926-0.227089744492602
3999.1899.2650280743461-0.0850280743461269
4099.3599.34690839231870.00309160768127015
4199.6299.52661590846530.093384091534702
4299.6799.64204826825180.0279517317481606
4399.7299.56144290720010.158557092799867
44100.08100.287074739826-0.207074739825771
45100.39100.1613980450220.228601954977691
46100.77100.710021428040.05997857195959
47101.03100.8481914584430.181808541556506
48101.07100.9961238308630.0738761691365966
49101.29101.0532275073360.236772492664485
50101.1100.7708280746470.329171925353279
51101.2101.1888331764510.0111668235487627
52101.15101.3727109081-0.222710908100154
53101.24101.331657976243-0.0916579762426721
54101.16101.263783405275-0.103783405275337
55100.81101.050865625942-0.240865625942178
56101.02101.383322078925-0.363322078925492
57101.15101.1018287068610.0481712931387648
58101.06101.471655769687-0.411655769687258
59101.17101.1364582364550.0335417635454149
60101.22101.1337541503910.0862458496090284
61101.84101.2009138011370.639086198863467
62101.79101.3167214612640.473278538736096
63101.88101.878502875610.00149712438978611
64101.9102.05291055381-0.152910553810258
65101.91102.082219751392-0.172219751391623
66101.96101.9329593604250.0270406395754179
67101.26101.849348136389-0.589348136388764
68101.06101.834360606103-0.774360606103386
69100.98101.139322335849-0.159322335848756
70101.12101.29805427892-0.178054278920001
71101.24101.1940264334690.0459735665314724
72101.25101.2012870474080.0487129525915435


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73101.228376098623100.005803164486102.450949032761
74100.70414786496898.9774767704869102.430818959449
75100.78645428720998.6660780266241102.906830547794
76100.95225128711398.4970191758193103.407483398406
77101.12789128684598.3757642416801103.88001833201
78101.1462178986398.128007953516104.164427843744
79101.0319372024697.7716991352984104.292175269621
80101.60193807232398.0951211281524105.108755016494
81101.68056346388897.9559351359416105.405191791835
82102.00010421747398.0600157163334105.940192718614
83102.07450761247597.937018791803106.211996433148
84102.03509183442682.7814942571629121.288689411689