Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 96.44 | NA | NA | 0.0574306 | NA |
2 | 96.35 | NA | NA | 0.0959028 | NA |
3 | 96.4 | NA | NA | 0.0866435 | NA |
4 | 96.66 | NA | NA | 0.0603935 | NA |
5 | 96.95 | NA | NA | -0.116968 | NA |
6 | 97.14 | NA | NA | -0.0765972 | NA |
7 | 97.27 | 97.0326 | 97.0504 | -0.0178009 | 0.237384 |
8 | 97.34 | 97.098 | 97.1404 | -0.0423843 | 0.241968 |
9 | 97.42 | 97.2137 | 97.2475 | -0.0337731 | 0.206273 |
10 | 97.47 | 97.3398 | 97.3592 | -0.0193287 | 0.130162 |
11 | 97.29 | 97.4108 | 97.435 | -0.0241898 | -0.12081 |
12 | 97.36 | 97.5094 | 97.4788 | 0.0306713 | -0.149421 |
13 | 97.47 | 97.5749 | 97.5175 | 0.0574306 | -0.104931 |
14 | 97.48 | 97.6501 | 97.5542 | 0.0959028 | -0.170069 |
15 | 97.84 | 97.6771 | 97.5904 | 0.0866435 | 0.16294 |
16 | 97.9 | 97.6854 | 97.625 | 0.0603935 | 0.214606 |
17 | 97.53 | 97.5589 | 97.6758 | -0.116968 | -0.0288657 |
18 | 97.61 | 97.6697 | 97.7463 | -0.0765972 | -0.0596528 |
19 | 97.73 | 97.7984 | 97.8163 | -0.0178009 | -0.0684491 |
20 | 97.76 | 97.8443 | 97.8867 | -0.0423843 | -0.0842824 |
21 | 97.87 | 97.9112 | 97.945 | -0.0337731 | -0.0412269 |
22 | 97.85 | 97.9698 | 97.9892 | -0.0193287 | -0.119838 |
23 | 98.13 | 98.0129 | 98.0371 | -0.0241898 | 0.117106 |
24 | 98.21 | 98.1178 | 98.0871 | 0.0306713 | 0.0922454 |
25 | 98.3 | 98.1887 | 98.1312 | 0.0574306 | 0.111319 |
26 | 98.34 | 98.2697 | 98.1738 | 0.0959028 | 0.0703472 |
27 | 98.38 | 98.3066 | 98.22 | 0.0866435 | 0.0733565 |
28 | 98.42 | 98.3333 | 98.2729 | 0.0603935 | 0.0866898 |
29 | 98.16 | 98.2018 | 98.3188 | -0.116968 | -0.0417824 |
30 | 98.18 | 98.283 | 98.3596 | -0.0765972 | -0.102986 |
31 | 98.22 | 98.388 | 98.4058 | -0.0178009 | -0.168032 |
32 | 98.29 | 98.4193 | 98.4617 | -0.0423843 | -0.129282 |
33 | 98.45 | 98.4954 | 98.5292 | -0.0337731 | -0.0453935 |
34 | 98.54 | 98.5819 | 98.6012 | -0.0193287 | -0.0419213 |
35 | 98.54 | 98.6316 | 98.6558 | -0.0241898 | -0.0916435 |
36 | 98.78 | 98.7228 | 98.6921 | 0.0306713 | 0.0572454 |
37 | 98.84 | 98.792 | 98.7346 | 0.0574306 | 0.0479861 |
38 | 99.14 | 98.8755 | 98.7796 | 0.0959028 | 0.264514 |
39 | 99.2 | 98.9071 | 98.8204 | 0.0866435 | 0.29294 |
40 | 99.33 | 98.9141 | 98.8538 | 0.0603935 | 0.415856 |
41 | 98.56 | 98.7664 | 98.8833 | -0.116968 | -0.206366 |
42 | 98.65 | 98.8338 | 98.9104 | -0.0765972 | -0.183819 |
43 | 98.77 | 98.9151 | 98.9329 | -0.0178009 | -0.145116 |
44 | 98.82 | 98.9001 | 98.9425 | -0.0423843 | -0.0801157 |
45 | 98.9 | 98.9008 | 98.9346 | -0.0337731 | -0.000810185 |
46 | 98.89 | 98.8944 | 98.9138 | -0.0193287 | -0.0044213 |
47 | 98.9 | 98.9029 | 98.9271 | -0.0241898 | -0.00289352 |
48 | 99.07 | 99.014 | 98.9833 | 0.0306713 | 0.0559954 |
49 | 99.09 | 99.0949 | 99.0375 | 0.0574306 | -0.00493056 |
50 | 99.12 | 99.1822 | 99.0862 | 0.0959028 | -0.0621528 |
51 | 99.03 | 99.2179 | 99.1312 | 0.0866435 | -0.187894 |
52 | 99 | 99.2354 | 99.175 | 0.0603935 | -0.235394 |
53 | 99.21 | 99.1097 | 99.2267 | -0.116968 | 0.100301 |
54 | 99.35 | 99.2067 | 99.2833 | -0.0765972 | 0.143264 |
55 | 99.37 | 99.3218 | 99.3396 | -0.0178009 | 0.0482176 |
56 | 99.39 | 99.3543 | 99.3967 | -0.0423843 | 0.0357176 |
57 | 99.41 | 99.4266 | 99.4604 | -0.0337731 | -0.0166435 |
58 | 99.43 | 99.5073 | 99.5267 | -0.0193287 | -0.077338 |
59 | 99.6 | 99.5725 | 99.5967 | -0.0241898 | 0.0275231 |
60 | 99.73 | 99.7048 | 99.6742 | 0.0306713 | 0.025162 |
61 | 99.78 | 99.807 | 99.7496 | 0.0574306 | -0.0270139 |
62 | 99.8 | 99.923 | 99.8271 | 0.0959028 | -0.122986 |
63 | 99.88 | 99.9941 | 99.9075 | 0.0866435 | -0.114144 |
64 | 99.74 | 100.054 | 99.9937 | 0.0603935 | -0.314144 |
65 | 100.15 | 99.9314 | 100.048 | -0.116968 | 0.218634 |
66 | 100.27 | 99.9838 | 100.06 | -0.0765972 | 0.286181 |
67 | 100.26 | 100.048 | 100.066 | -0.0178009 | 0.211968 |
68 | 100.36 | 100.026 | 100.068 | -0.0423843 | 0.334051 |
69 | 100.37 | 100.027 | 100.06 | -0.0337731 | 0.343356 |
70 | 100.54 | 100.034 | 100.053 | -0.0193287 | 0.505995 |
71 | 99.8 | 100.001 | 100.025 | -0.0241898 | -0.201227 |
72 | 99.82 | 99.999 | 99.9683 | 0.0306713 | -0.179005 |
73 | 99.82 | 99.9753 | 99.9179 | 0.0574306 | -0.155347 |
74 | 99.82 | 99.9638 | 99.8679 | 0.0959028 | -0.143819 |
75 | 99.67 | 99.9025 | 99.8158 | 0.0866435 | -0.232477 |
76 | 99.78 | 99.8191 | 99.7587 | 0.0603935 | -0.0391435 |
77 | 99.44 | 99.6134 | 99.7304 | -0.116968 | -0.173449 |
78 | 99.61 | 99.6634 | 99.74 | -0.0765972 | -0.0534028 |
79 | 99.71 | 99.7364 | 99.7542 | -0.0178009 | -0.0263657 |
80 | 99.71 | 99.7276 | 99.77 | -0.0423843 | -0.0176157 |
81 | 99.77 | 99.7591 | 99.7929 | -0.0337731 | 0.0108565 |
82 | 99.77 | 99.7978 | 99.8171 | -0.0193287 | -0.0277546 |
83 | 99.89 | 99.8237 | 99.8479 | -0.0241898 | 0.0662731 |
84 | 99.96 | 99.9073 | 99.8767 | 0.0306713 | 0.052662 |
85 | 100.02 | 99.9499 | 99.8925 | 0.0574306 | 0.0700694 |
86 | 100 | 100.005 | 99.9096 | 0.0959028 | -0.00548611 |
87 | 100.04 | 100.014 | 99.9275 | 0.0866435 | 0.0258565 |
88 | 99.99 | 100.011 | 99.9504 | 0.0603935 | -0.0208102 |
89 | 99.97 | 99.8597 | 99.9767 | -0.116968 | 0.110301 |
90 | 99.77 | 99.9267 | 100.003 | -0.0765972 | -0.156736 |
91 | 99.93 | 100.018 | 100.036 | -0.0178009 | -0.0880324 |
92 | 99.9 | 100.043 | 100.085 | -0.0423843 | -0.142616 |
93 | 100.01 | 100.11 | 100.144 | -0.0337731 | -0.100394 |
94 | 100.08 | 100.191 | 100.21 | -0.0193287 | -0.111088 |
95 | 100.21 | 100.267 | 100.292 | -0.0241898 | -0.0574769 |
96 | 100.28 | 100.437 | 100.407 | 0.0306713 | -0.157338 |
97 | 100.48 | 100.599 | 100.541 | 0.0574306 | -0.118681 |
98 | 100.72 | 100.766 | 100.67 | 0.0959028 | -0.0459028 |
99 | 100.74 | 100.882 | 100.795 | 0.0866435 | -0.141644 |
100 | 100.88 | 100.985 | 100.924 | 0.0603935 | -0.10456 |
101 | 101.03 | 100.968 | 101.085 | -0.116968 | 0.0619676 |
102 | 101.47 | 101.194 | 101.271 | -0.0765972 | 0.275764 |
103 | 101.46 | 101.438 | 101.456 | -0.0178009 | 0.0215509 |
104 | 101.46 | 101.595 | 101.637 | -0.0423843 | -0.134699 |
105 | 101.45 | 101.783 | 101.817 | -0.0337731 | -0.332894 |
106 | 101.74 | 101.971 | 101.99 | -0.0193287 | -0.230671 |
107 | 102.41 | 102.124 | 102.148 | -0.0241898 | 0.286273 |
108 | 102.54 | 102.314 | 102.284 | 0.0306713 | 0.225579 |
109 | 102.67 | 102.465 | 102.408 | 0.0574306 | 0.204653 |
110 | 102.87 | 102.631 | 102.535 | 0.0959028 | 0.238681 |
111 | 102.9 | 102.756 | 102.669 | 0.0866435 | 0.14419 |
112 | 102.88 | 102.86 | 102.8 | 0.0603935 | 0.0200231 |
113 | 102.82 | 102.838 | 102.955 | -0.116968 | -0.0176157 |
114 | 102.94 | 103.065 | 103.142 | -0.0765972 | -0.125486 |
115 | 102.97 | NA | NA | -0.0178009 | NA |
116 | 103.01 | NA | NA | -0.0423843 | NA |
117 | 103.11 | NA | NA | -0.0337731 | NA |
118 | 103.21 | NA | NA | -0.0193287 | NA |
119 | 104.66 | NA | NA | -0.0241898 | NA |
120 | 104.79 | NA | NA | 0.0306713 | NA |