Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.988821404765565
beta0.0840238422818096
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
396.496.260.140000000000015
496.6696.32006683699340.339933163006563
596.9596.60607506704510.343924932954863
697.1496.92460530112420.215394698875755
797.2797.13393806533240.13606193466758
897.3497.2761295420390.0638704579610163
997.4297.35224319111190.0677568088880633
1097.4797.43782929275370.0321707072462658
1197.2997.490899984879-0.20089998487903
1297.3697.29681369819550.0631863018045351
1397.4797.36911139144250.100888608557497
1497.4897.487072219655-0.00707221965501503
1597.8497.49769147769920.342308522300783
1697.997.88222644947160.0177735505284176
1797.5397.9473310024303-0.417331002430302
1897.6197.54752109165920.0624789083408217
1997.7397.62734852434560.102651475654383
2097.7697.75542820557660.00457179442344113
2197.8797.78690444422470.0830955557752588
2297.8597.9029306177132-0.0529306177131588
2398.1397.88005348143640.249946518563632
2498.2198.17743444048160.0325655595184315
2598.398.26257014986620.0374298501338046
2698.3498.3556256170745-0.0156256170745337
2798.3898.3949204549331-0.0149204549330904
2898.4298.4336729125725-0.0136729125725026
2998.1698.4725229586883-0.312522958688305
3098.1898.1898978455771-0.00989784557712881
3198.2298.2056925636490.0143074363510038
3298.2998.24661070985060.0433892901494346
3398.4598.31989059625610.130109403743916
3498.5498.48973127155960.0502687284404004
3598.5498.5848003340279-0.0448003340279257
3698.7898.58214085593960.197859144060374
3798.8498.83586730650280.00413269349716927
3899.1498.89837625915760.241623740842428
3999.299.2157966483854-0.0157966483854182
4099.3399.27736178892380.0526382110762285
4198.5699.4109702066606-0.850970206660605
4298.6598.5803687825110.0696312174890039
4398.7798.66586303184360.104136968156411
4498.8298.79412948163540.0258705183645702
4598.998.84715383158930.0528461684106816
4698.8998.9312429830935-0.0412429830934684
4798.998.9188681119632-0.018868111963215
4899.0798.92705034329530.142949656704658
4999.0999.1071183592539-0.0171183592539279
5099.1299.1274854232323-0.00748542323226786
5199.0399.1567558173409-0.126755817340893
529999.0575576397449-0.0575576397448714
5399.2199.02200194936180.187998050638214
5499.3599.24487671959630.105123280403731
5599.3799.3945372660523-0.0245372660523202
5699.3999.4139480205279-0.0239480205278824
5799.4199.4319517225127-0.021951722512739
5899.4399.450105557197-0.0201055571969988
5999.699.46841445801230.131585541987675
6099.7399.64765149328270.0823485067172669
6199.7899.7850437847509-0.00504378475085332
6299.899.8356016470976-0.0356016470976357
6399.8899.85298529339780.0270147066021877
6499.7499.934529835908-0.194529835908028
65100.1599.78084396417530.369156035824687
66100.27100.2152139198630.0547860801371058
67100.26100.343280012467-0.0832800124674691
68100.36100.3279041130940.0320958869061769
69100.37100.429281045698-0.0592810456979151
70100.54100.4353771710270.104622828972524
7199.8100.612237499106-0.812237499105819
7299.8299.81500230319570.00499769680429551
7399.8299.8262819932381-0.006281993238062
7499.8299.8258861475969-0.00588614759688255
7599.6799.8253926745345-0.155392674534511
7699.7899.66415321335510.115846786644923
7799.4499.7807462180967-0.340746218096683
7899.6199.4175395321930.192460467806953
7999.7199.59756952640820.112430473591772
8099.7199.7078053872960.00219461270394561
8199.7799.70922000782630.0607799921736927
8299.7799.7736149853254-0.00361498532538462
8399.8999.77403448119910.11596551880092
8499.9699.90233268484580.0576673151541769
85100.0299.97777564116670.0422243588333373
86100100.041456464581-0.04145646458052
87100.04100.0189475059450.0210524940548709
8899.99100.059997881093-0.0699978810931441
8999.97100.005199952268-0.0351999522682007
9099.7799.9818863872763-0.211886387276337
9199.9399.76625700324450.16374299675546
9299.999.9356625114937-0.0356625114937259
93100.0199.90492858039130.105071419608677
94100.08100.0220851868520.0579148131477893
95100.21100.0974241590330.112575840966826
96100.28100.236166441290.0438335587096361
97100.48100.3105767759810.16942322401907
98100.72100.5232493162990.196750683700699
99100.74100.779290780381-0.0392907803807816
100100.88100.7986649346260.0813350653743043
101101.03100.9440741963590.085925803640535
102101.47101.1011619871250.368838012875059
103101.46101.568644175137-0.108644175136831
104101.46101.554955100266-0.0949551002656221
105101.45101.546912771607-0.0969127716066964
106101.74101.5288826993010.211117300698518
107102.41101.8329799467450.577020053255168
108102.54102.546831133154-0.00683113315386663
109102.67102.682790207458-0.0127902074575132
110102.87102.8117941526020.0582058473977725
111102.9103.015836524463-0.115836524463063
112102.88103.038157845431-0.158157845431035
113102.82103.005490461174-0.185490461173657
114102.94102.9303846055190.00961539448123006
115102.97103.049002487083-0.0790024870825334
116103.01103.073429222546-0.0634292225459205
117103.11103.1079851454060.00201485459388095
118103.21103.2074209758920.0025790241076038
119104.66103.3076289463881.35237105361156
120104.79104.854901340193-0.0649013401931313


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
121104.995352154434104.571122863828105.41958144504
122105.199978803056104.578083777736105.821873828376
123105.404605451678104.612876565578106.196334337778
124105.6092321003104.659127474479106.559336726121
125105.813858748922104.710758289044106.9169592088
126106.018485397544104.764804899126107.272165895961
127106.223112046166104.819603588089107.626620504242
128106.427738694787104.874136778843107.981340610732
129106.632365343409104.927745665766108.336985021052
130106.836991992031104.979986693778108.693997290284
131107.041618640653105.030553027721109.052684253585
132107.246245289275105.079228538061109.413262040489