Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.99994387333686 |
beta | FALSE |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
2 | 87.16 | 87.16 | 0 |
3 | 87.16 | 87.16 | 0 |
4 | 87.16 | 87.16 | 0 |
5 | 87.16 | 87.16 | 0 |
6 | 87.16 | 87.16 | 0 |
7 | 87.16 | 87.16 | 0 |
8 | 87.16 | 87.16 | 0 |
9 | 87.16 | 87.16 | 0 |
10 | 89.24 | 87.16 | 2.08 |
11 | 89.24 | 89.2398832565407 | 0.000116743459329882 |
12 | 89.24 | 89.2399999934476 | 6.55241194635892e-09 |
13 | 89.24 | 89.2399999999996 | 3.5527136788005e-13 |
14 | 89.24 | 89.24 | 0 |
15 | 89.24 | 89.24 | 0 |
16 | 89.24 | 89.24 | 0 |
17 | 89.24 | 89.24 | 0 |
18 | 89.24 | 89.24 | 0 |
19 | 89.24 | 89.24 | 0 |
20 | 89.24 | 89.24 | 0 |
21 | 89.24 | 89.24 | 0 |
22 | 91 | 89.24 | 1.76000000000001 |
23 | 91 | 90.9999012170729 | 9.87829271252849e-05 |
24 | 91 | 90.9999999944556 | 5.54435075628135e-09 |
25 | 91 | 90.9999999999997 | 2.98427949019242e-13 |
26 | 91 | 91 | 0 |
27 | 91 | 91 | 0 |
28 | 91 | 91 | 0 |
29 | 91 | 91 | 0 |
30 | 91 | 91 | 0 |
31 | 91 | 91 | 0 |
32 | 91 | 91 | 0 |
33 | 91 | 91 | 0 |
34 | 92.51 | 91 | 1.51000000000001 |
35 | 92.51 | 92.5099152487387 | 8.47512613404433e-05 |
36 | 92.51 | 92.5099999952432 | 4.75679939881957e-09 |
37 | 92.51 | 92.5099999999997 | 2.55795384873636e-13 |
38 | 92.51 | 92.51 | 0 |
39 | 92.51 | 92.51 | 0 |
40 | 92.51 | 92.51 | 0 |
41 | 92.51 | 92.51 | 0 |
42 | 92.51 | 92.51 | 0 |
43 | 92.51 | 92.51 | 0 |
44 | 92.51 | 92.51 | 0 |
45 | 92.51 | 92.51 | 0 |
46 | 96.67 | 92.51 | 4.16 |
47 | 96.67 | 96.6697665130813 | 0.000233486918673975 |
48 | 96.67 | 96.6699999868951 | 1.31048523144273e-08 |
49 | 96.67 | 96.6699999999993 | 7.38964445190504e-13 |
50 | 96.67 | 96.67 | 0 |
51 | 96.67 | 96.67 | 0 |
52 | 96.67 | 96.67 | 0 |
53 | 96.67 | 96.67 | 0 |
54 | 96.67 | 96.67 | 0 |
55 | 96.67 | 96.67 | 0 |
56 | 96.67 | 96.67 | 0 |
57 | 96.67 | 96.67 | 0 |
58 | 96.19 | 96.67 | -0.480000000000004 |
59 | 96.19 | 96.1900269407983 | -2.69407983068959e-05 |
60 | 96.19 | 96.1900000015121 | -1.51209178511635e-09 |
61 | 96.19 | 96.1900000000001 | -7.105427357601e-14 |
62 | 96.19 | 96.19 | 0 |
63 | 96.19 | 96.19 | 0 |
64 | 96.19 | 96.19 | 0 |
65 | 96.19 | 96.19 | 0 |
66 | 96.19 | 96.19 | 0 |
67 | 96.19 | 96.19 | 0 |
68 | 96.19 | 96.19 | 0 |
69 | 96.19 | 96.19 | 0 |
70 | 99.13 | 96.19 | 2.94 |
71 | 99.13 | 99.1298349876104 | 0.000165012389629737 |
72 | 99.13 | 99.1299999907384 | 9.26159771097446e-09 |
73 | 99.13 | 99.1299999999995 | 5.25801624462474e-13 |
74 | 99.13 | 99.13 | 0 |
75 | 99.13 | 99.13 | 0 |
76 | 99.13 | 99.13 | 0 |
77 | 99.13 | 99.13 | 0 |
78 | 99.13 | 99.13 | 0 |
79 | 99.13 | 99.13 | 0 |
80 | 99.13 | 99.13 | 0 |
81 | 99.13 | 99.13 | 0 |
82 | 99.58 | 99.13 | 0.450000000000003 |
83 | 99.58 | 99.5799747430016 | 2.52569984127149e-05 |
84 | 99.58 | 99.5799999985824 | 1.41760381211498e-09 |
85 | 99.58 | 99.5799999999999 | 8.5265128291212e-14 |
86 | 99.58 | 99.58 | 0 |
87 | 99.58 | 99.58 | 0 |
88 | 99.58 | 99.58 | 0 |
89 | 99.58 | 99.58 | 0 |
90 | 99.58 | 99.58 | 0 |
91 | 99.58 | 99.58 | 0 |
92 | 99.58 | 99.58 | 0 |
93 | 99.58 | 99.58 | 0 |
94 | 101.27 | 99.58 | 1.69 |
95 | 101.27 | 101.269905145939 | 9.48540607055293e-05 |
96 | 101.27 | 101.269999994676 | 5.32384092366556e-09 |
97 | 101.25 | 101.27 | -0.0199999999996976 |
98 | 101.25 | 101.250001122533 | -1.12253326278733e-06 |
99 | 101.25 | 101.250000000063 | -6.29967189524905e-11 |
100 | 101.25 | 101.25 | 0 |
101 | 101.25 | 101.25 | 0 |
102 | 101.25 | 101.25 | 0 |
103 | 101.25 | 101.25 | 0 |
104 | 101.25 | 101.25 | 0 |
105 | 101.25 | 101.25 | 0 |
106 | 102.55 | 101.25 | 1.3 |
107 | 102.55 | 102.549927035338 | 7.29646620811764e-05 |
108 | 102.55 | 102.549999995905 | 4.0952699009722e-09 |
109 | 102.55 | 102.55 | 2.41584530158434e-13 |
110 | 102.55 | 102.55 | 0 |
111 | 102.55 | 102.55 | 0 |
112 | 102.55 | 102.55 | 0 |
113 | 102.55 | 102.55 | 0 |
114 | 102.55 | 102.55 | 0 |
115 | 102.55 | 102.55 | 0 |
116 | 102.55 | 102.55 | 0 |
117 | 102.55 | 102.55 | 0 |
118 | 132.09 | 102.55 | 29.54 |
119 | 132.09 | 132.088342018371 | 0.00165798162913688 |
120 | 132.09 | 132.089999906943 | 9.30569683532667e-08 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
121 | 132.089999999995 | 126.688323457139 | 137.49167654285 |
122 | 132.089999999995 | 124.451090149804 | 139.728909850186 |
123 | 132.089999999995 | 122.734371858333 | 141.445628141657 |
124 | 132.089999999995 | 121.287101678213 | 142.892898321777 |
125 | 132.089999999995 | 120.012026396096 | 144.167973603893 |
126 | 132.089999999995 | 118.859267571207 | 145.320732428783 |
127 | 132.089999999995 | 117.79919474529 | 146.380805254699 |
128 | 132.089999999995 | 116.812501871911 | 147.367498128078 |
129 | 132.089999999995 | 115.885778843786 | 148.294221156203 |
130 | 132.089999999995 | 115.009261798587 | 149.170738201402 |
131 | 132.089999999995 | 114.175579782451 | 150.004420217538 |
132 | 132.089999999995 | 113.379006280888 | 150.800993719101 |