Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 78.21 | NA | NA | -0.573403 | NA |
2 | 75.5 | NA | NA | 3.88326 | NA |
3 | 79.87 | NA | NA | 5.50451 | NA |
4 | 85.76 | NA | NA | 6.2291 | NA |
5 | 77.02 | NA | NA | 0.496701 | NA |
6 | 75.47 | NA | NA | -2.23924 | NA |
7 | 75.29 | 78.0922 | 81.1967 | -3.10444 | -2.80222 |
8 | 77.52 | 81.437 | 83.1729 | -1.7359 | -3.91701 |
9 | 78.44 | 83.9755 | 85.8171 | -1.84163 | -5.53545 |
10 | 83.5 | 86.5514 | 88.7779 | -2.22653 | -3.05139 |
11 | 86.29 | 89.3387 | 91.8542 | -2.51549 | -3.04868 |
12 | 92.14 | 93.1356 | 95.0125 | -1.87694 | -0.995556 |
13 | 96.91 | 97.7741 | 98.3475 | -0.573403 | -0.864097 |
14 | 104.23 | 105.317 | 101.433 | 3.88326 | -1.0866 |
15 | 114.6 | 109.595 | 104.091 | 5.50451 | 5.00465 |
16 | 122.09 | 112.682 | 106.453 | 6.2291 | 9.40757 |
17 | 114.52 | 109.01 | 108.513 | 0.496701 | 5.50997 |
18 | 113.77 | 107.936 | 110.175 | -2.23924 | 5.83424 |
19 | 117.03 | 108.322 | 111.426 | -3.10444 | 8.70819 |
20 | 109.84 | 110.906 | 112.642 | -1.7359 | -1.06618 |
21 | 109.9 | 111.833 | 113.674 | -1.84163 | -1.93253 |
22 | 108.74 | 111.8 | 114.026 | -2.22653 | -3.05972 |
23 | 110.49 | 111.272 | 113.788 | -2.51549 | -0.782014 |
24 | 107.82 | 110.991 | 112.867 | -1.87694 | -3.17056 |
25 | 111.26 | 110.955 | 111.528 | -0.573403 | 0.305486 |
26 | 119.06 | 114.933 | 111.05 | 3.88326 | 4.12674 |
27 | 124.54 | 116.803 | 111.299 | 5.50451 | 7.73674 |
28 | 120.6 | 117.772 | 111.543 | 6.2291 | 2.82757 |
29 | 110.28 | 112.115 | 111.619 | 0.496701 | -1.83545 |
30 | 95.93 | 109.397 | 111.636 | -2.23924 | -13.4666 |
31 | 102.72 | 108.631 | 111.736 | -3.10444 | -5.91139 |
32 | 112.68 | 109.92 | 111.656 | -1.7359 | 2.76007 |
33 | 113.03 | 109.069 | 110.91 | -1.84163 | 3.96122 |
34 | 111.48 | 107.606 | 109.832 | -2.22653 | 3.87444 |
35 | 109.56 | 106.567 | 109.083 | -2.51549 | 2.99257 |
36 | 109.16 | 107.222 | 109.099 | -1.87694 | 1.93819 |
37 | 112.32 | 109.027 | 109.601 | -0.573403 | 3.29257 |
38 | 116.08 | 113.585 | 109.702 | 3.88326 | 2.49465 |
39 | 109.63 | 115.039 | 109.535 | 5.50451 | -5.4091 |
40 | 109.63 | 115.604 | 109.375 | 6.2291 | -5.9741 |
41 | 103.27 | 109.719 | 109.222 | 0.496701 | -6.4492 |
42 | 103.32 | 106.975 | 109.214 | -2.23924 | -3.65493 |
43 | 107.38 | 105.96 | 109.065 | -3.10444 | 1.41986 |
44 | 110.45 | 106.812 | 108.548 | -1.7359 | 3.63757 |
45 | 111.24 | 106.319 | 108.16 | -1.84163 | 4.92122 |
46 | 109.44 | 105.789 | 108.015 | -2.22653 | 3.65111 |
47 | 107.94 | 105.687 | 108.203 | -2.51549 | 2.25257 |
48 | 110.58 | 106.938 | 108.815 | -1.87694 | 3.64236 |
49 | 107.31 | 108.63 | 109.203 | -0.573403 | -1.31951 |
50 | 108.7 | 112.82 | 108.937 | 3.88326 | -4.12035 |
51 | 107.7 | 113.618 | 108.113 | 5.50451 | -5.91785 |
52 | 108.08 | 112.927 | 106.698 | 6.2291 | -4.8466 |
53 | 109.32 | 105.131 | 104.634 | 0.496701 | 4.18913 |
54 | 111.95 | 99.2483 | 101.487 | -2.23924 | 12.7017 |
55 | 108.07 | NA | NA | -3.10444 | NA |
56 | 103.38 | NA | NA | -1.7359 | NA |
57 | 98.54 | NA | NA | -1.84163 | NA |
58 | 88.16 | NA | NA | -2.22653 | NA |
59 | 79.7 | NA | NA | -2.51549 | NA |
60 | 63.3 | NA | NA | -1.87694 | NA |