Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 13566.7 | NA | NA | 0.959079 | NA |
2 | 13941.5 | NA | NA | 0.989014 | NA |
3 | 14964.1 | NA | NA | 1.10301 | NA |
4 | 14086 | NA | NA | 1.0166 | NA |
5 | 13505.1 | NA | NA | 1.01918 | NA |
6 | 15300.4 | NA | NA | 1.04222 | NA |
7 | 14725.2 | 14719 | 14732.6 | 0.999077 | 1.00042 |
8 | 12484.9 | 12987.5 | 14836.4 | 0.875381 | 0.961302 |
9 | 16082.6 | 15450.7 | 15033.5 | 1.02775 | 1.0409 |
10 | 15915.8 | 15870.3 | 15291.2 | 1.03787 | 1.00287 |
11 | 15916.1 | 15552.4 | 15530.4 | 1.00141 | 1.02339 |
12 | 15713 | 14702.7 | 15819.5 | 0.929402 | 1.06872 |
13 | 14746 | 15424.9 | 16083 | 0.959079 | 0.955988 |
14 | 15253.2 | 16136.4 | 16315.7 | 0.989014 | 0.945265 |
15 | 18384.3 | 18283.8 | 16576.4 | 1.10301 | 1.00549 |
16 | 16848.5 | 17095.9 | 16816.6 | 1.0166 | 0.985531 |
17 | 16485.5 | 17362.1 | 17035.3 | 1.01918 | 0.94951 |
18 | 19257.1 | 17924.6 | 17198.5 | 1.04222 | 1.07434 |
19 | 17093.4 | 17390.6 | 17406.6 | 0.999077 | 0.982913 |
20 | 15700.1 | 15519.1 | 17728.3 | 0.875381 | 1.01167 |
21 | 19124.3 | 18562.8 | 18061.6 | 1.02775 | 1.03025 |
22 | 18640.8 | 19024.8 | 18330.6 | 1.03787 | 0.979816 |
23 | 18439.2 | 18663.4 | 18637.1 | 1.00141 | 0.987986 |
24 | 17106.3 | 17547.4 | 18880.3 | 0.929402 | 0.974864 |
25 | 18347.7 | 18236.2 | 19014.3 | 0.959079 | 1.00612 |
26 | 19372.7 | 18970.1 | 19180.9 | 0.989014 | 1.02122 |
27 | 22263.8 | 21274.7 | 19287.9 | 1.10301 | 1.04649 |
28 | 19422.9 | 19681 | 19359.6 | 1.0166 | 0.986885 |
29 | 21268.6 | 19827.6 | 19454.4 | 1.01918 | 1.07268 |
30 | 20310 | 20375.4 | 19550 | 1.04222 | 0.99679 |
31 | 19256 | 19596.4 | 19614.5 | 0.999077 | 0.98263 |
32 | 17535.9 | 17231.6 | 19684.7 | 0.875381 | 1.01766 |
33 | 19857.4 | 20282.2 | 19734.6 | 1.02775 | 0.979057 |
34 | 19628.4 | 20499.2 | 19751.2 | 1.03787 | 0.957518 |
35 | 19727.5 | 19741.2 | 19713.4 | 1.00141 | 0.999305 |
36 | 18112.2 | 18271.2 | 19659.1 | 0.929402 | 0.991295 |
37 | 18889.3 | 18859.8 | 19664.5 | 0.959079 | 1.00156 |
38 | 20516.1 | 19471.2 | 19687.5 | 0.989014 | 1.05366 |
39 | 22317 | 21699.4 | 19673 | 1.10301 | 1.02846 |
40 | 19768.8 | 20022 | 19695 | 1.0166 | 0.987353 |
41 | 20015.8 | 20124 | 19745.2 | 1.01918 | 0.994625 |
42 | 20260.5 | 20549.9 | 19717.4 | 1.04222 | 0.985918 |
43 | 19434.3 | 19681.7 | 19699.9 | 0.999077 | 0.987429 |
44 | 17910 | 17199.2 | 19647.7 | 0.875381 | 1.04133 |
45 | 19134.4 | 20082.5 | 19540.3 | 1.02775 | 0.952788 |
46 | 20880.1 | 20263.5 | 19524 | 1.03787 | 1.03043 |
47 | 19680 | 19596.8 | 19569.2 | 1.00141 | 1.00425 |
48 | 17493.4 | 18185.6 | 19567 | 0.929402 | 0.961936 |
49 | 19087.8 | 18809.8 | 19612.4 | 0.959079 | 1.01478 |
50 | 19064.6 | 19421.6 | 19637.4 | 0.989014 | 0.981617 |
51 | 21191 | 21686.9 | 19661.6 | 1.10301 | 0.977136 |
52 | 20503.9 | 20076.7 | 19748.8 | 1.0166 | 1.02128 |
53 | 20364.1 | 20162 | 19782.5 | 1.01918 | 1.01002 |
54 | 19860.4 | 20682.7 | 19844.9 | 1.04222 | 0.960242 |
55 | 20924.1 | 19910.1 | 19928.5 | 0.999077 | 1.05093 |
56 | 17018.8 | 17502.4 | 19994 | 0.875381 | 0.972371 |
57 | 20607.4 | 20580 | 20024.3 | 1.02775 | 1.00133 |
58 | 21500.2 | 20799.5 | 20040.5 | 1.03787 | 1.03369 |
59 | 19868.3 | 20081.2 | 20052.9 | 1.00141 | 0.989396 |
60 | 18801.9 | 18661.8 | 20079.3 | 0.929402 | 1.00751 |
61 | 19787.5 | 19288.4 | 20111.4 | 0.959079 | 1.02588 |
62 | 19936.2 | 19885.4 | 20106.2 | 0.989014 | 1.00256 |
63 | 21047.6 | 22231.7 | 20155.6 | 1.10301 | 0.946737 |
64 | 21034.4 | 20556 | 20220.3 | 1.0166 | 1.02327 |
65 | 20132.8 | 20596.5 | 20208.8 | 1.01918 | 0.977487 |
66 | 20725.3 | 20997.6 | 20147 | 1.04222 | 0.987034 |
67 | 20827.8 | NA | NA | 0.999077 | NA |
68 | 16992.3 | NA | NA | 0.875381 | NA |
69 | 21818.2 | NA | NA | 1.02775 | NA |
70 | 21841.4 | NA | NA | 1.03787 | NA |
71 | 19252.2 | NA | NA | 1.00141 | NA |
72 | 17933.7 | NA | NA | 0.929402 | NA |