Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.999945481003755
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
2100.27100.57-0.299999999999997
3100.27100.270016355699-1.63556988752589e-05
4100.18100.270000000892-0.0900000008916919
5100.16100.18000490671-0.0200049067097297
6100.18100.1600010906470.0199989093525801
7100.18100.179998909681.09032046680113e-06
8100.59100.1799999999410.410000000059441
9100.69100.5899776472120.100022352788457
10101.06100.6899945468820.370005453118281
11101.15101.0599798276740.0900201723259215
12101.16101.1499950921910.0100049078094315
13101.16101.1599994545425.45457538692062e-07
14100.81101.15999999997-0.349999999970251
15100.94100.8100190816490.129980918351308
16101.13100.9399929135710.190007086429205
17101.29101.1299896410040.160010358995649
18101.34101.2899912763960.0500087236041651
19101.35101.3399972735750.0100027264254123
20101.7101.3499994546610.350000545338617
21102.05101.6999809183220.350019081678411
22102.48102.0499809173110.430019082689
23102.66102.4799765557910.180023444208743
24102.72102.6599901853030.0600098146974801
25102.73102.7199967283250.0100032716748615
26102.18102.729999454632-0.54999945463166
27102.22102.1800299854180.0399700145817832
28102.37102.2199978208750.150002179125082
29102.53102.3699918220320.160008177968237
30102.61102.5299912765150.0800087234852498
31102.62102.6099956380050.0100043619952999
32103102.6199994545720.380000545427762
33103.17102.9999792827520.170020717248306
34103.52103.1699907306410.350009269358836
35103.69103.5199809178460.170019082154042
36103.73103.689990730730.0400092692697172
3799.57103.729997818735-4.15999781873481
3899.0999.5702267989055-0.480226798905449
3999.1499.0900261814830.0499738185169605
4099.3699.13999727547760.220002724522431
4199.699.35998800567230.240011994327716
4299.6599.5999869147870.0500130852130241
4399.899.64999727333680.150002726663189
44100.1599.79999182200190.350008177998092
45100.45100.1499809179050.300019082094536
46100.89100.4499836432610.440016356739207
47101.13100.889976010750.240023989250091
48101.17101.1299869141330.0400130858669741
49101.21101.1699978185270.0400021814732696
50101.1101.209997819121-0.109997819121219
51101.17101.1000059969710.069994003029322
52101.11101.169996183997-0.0599961839972138
53101.2101.1100032709320.0899967290682753
54101.15101.199995093469-0.0499950934686524
55100.92101.150002725682-0.230002725682311
56101.1100.9200125395180.179987460482252
57101.22101.0999901872640.120009812735688
58101.25101.2199934571850.0300065428145331
59101.39101.2499983640730.140001635926595
60101.43101.3899923672510.0400076327486687
61101.95101.4299978188240.520002181175983
62101.92101.949971650003-0.0299716500030485
63102.05101.9200016340240.129998365975709
64102.07102.049992912620.0200070873804208
65102.1102.0699989092340.0300010907663193
66102.16102.0999983643710.060001635629348
67101.63102.159996728771-0.529996728771053
68101.43101.63002889489-0.200028894889641
69101.4101.430010905375-0.0300109053745672
70101.6101.4000016361640.199998363835562
71101.72101.599989096290.120010903710053
72101.73101.7199934571260.0100065428740095


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
73101.729999454453100.663741407825102.796257501081
74101.729999454453100.222123968412103.237874940495
75101.72999945445399.8832534673692103.576745441537
76101.72999945445399.5975705575807103.862428351326
77101.72999945445399.3458779685337104.114120940373
78101.72999945445399.1183299655958104.341668943311
79101.72999945445398.9090776585796104.550921250327
80101.72999945445398.7143101405747104.745688768332
81101.72999945445398.5313803309489104.928618577958
82101.72999945445398.3583608978085105.101638011098
83101.72999945445398.1937968561764105.26620205273
84101.72999945445398.0365578242842105.423441084622