Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 92.09 | NA | NA | -0.226474 | NA |
2 | 93.77 | NA | NA | 0.238804 | NA |
3 | 94.44 | NA | NA | 0.429267 | NA |
4 | 94.91 | NA | NA | 0.380378 | NA |
5 | 94.78 | NA | NA | 0.238202 | NA |
6 | 94.51 | NA | NA | 0.367832 | NA |
7 | 94.36 | 95.7699 | 95.6312 | 0.138665 | -1.40992 |
8 | 96.6 | 96.1614 | 96.0912 | 0.0701929 | 0.438557 |
9 | 96.72 | 96.3485 | 96.4467 | -0.0981867 | 0.37152 |
10 | 96.71 | 96.3613 | 96.8288 | -0.467492 | 0.348742 |
11 | 97.44 | 96.7632 | 97.2429 | -0.479761 | 0.676844 |
12 | 97.83 | 97.0961 | 97.6875 | -0.591427 | 0.733927 |
13 | 98.92 | 97.9314 | 98.1579 | -0.226474 | 0.988557 |
14 | 97.98 | 98.7538 | 98.515 | 0.238804 | -0.773804 |
15 | 98.76 | 99.2168 | 98.7875 | 0.429267 | -0.456767 |
16 | 99.76 | 99.5104 | 99.13 | 0.380378 | 0.249622 |
17 | 99.87 | 99.7595 | 99.5213 | 0.238202 | 0.110548 |
18 | 100.09 | 100.269 | 99.9013 | 0.367832 | -0.179082 |
19 | 100.07 | 100.509 | 100.37 | 0.138665 | -0.439082 |
20 | 99.46 | 101.189 | 101.119 | 0.0701929 | -1.72894 |
21 | 100.4 | 101.949 | 102.047 | -0.0981867 | -1.5489 |
22 | 101.25 | 102.474 | 102.942 | -0.467492 | -1.22417 |
23 | 102.29 | 103.302 | 103.782 | -0.479761 | -1.01191 |
24 | 102.1 | 104.042 | 104.634 | -0.591427 | -1.94232 |
25 | 105.91 | 105.289 | 105.516 | -0.226474 | 0.62064 |
26 | 108.95 | 106.654 | 106.415 | 0.238804 | 2.2962 |
27 | 110.07 | 107.728 | 107.299 | 0.429267 | 2.34157 |
28 | 109.92 | 108.486 | 108.105 | 0.380378 | 1.43421 |
29 | 109.87 | 109.051 | 108.813 | 0.238202 | 0.819298 |
30 | 110.54 | 109.847 | 109.479 | 0.367832 | 0.693418 |
31 | 110.79 | 110.138 | 109.999 | 0.138665 | 0.652168 |
32 | 110.32 | 110.344 | 110.273 | 0.0701929 | -0.0235262 |
33 | 110.76 | 110.295 | 110.393 | -0.0981867 | 0.464853 |
34 | 110.24 | 109.972 | 110.439 | -0.467492 | 0.268326 |
35 | 110.27 | 109.924 | 110.404 | -0.479761 | 0.346011 |
36 | 110.11 | 109.738 | 110.33 | -0.591427 | 0.371844 |
37 | 110.39 | 110.025 | 110.252 | -0.226474 | 0.364807 |
38 | 111.05 | 110.418 | 110.179 | 0.238804 | 0.632446 |
39 | 110.85 | 110.467 | 110.038 | 0.429267 | 0.383233 |
40 | 110.24 | 110.062 | 109.682 | 0.380378 | 0.177539 |
41 | 108.7 | 109.408 | 109.17 | 0.238202 | -0.708202 |
42 | 109.93 | 108.969 | 108.601 | 0.367832 | 0.961335 |
43 | 109.53 | 108.123 | 107.984 | 0.138665 | 1.40717 |
44 | 109.83 | 107.39 | 107.32 | 0.0701929 | 2.43981 |
45 | 107.86 | 106.511 | 106.61 | -0.0981867 | 1.3486 |
46 | 104.61 | 105.419 | 105.887 | -0.467492 | -0.809174 |
47 | 103.61 | 104.786 | 105.266 | -0.479761 | -1.17649 |
48 | 103.11 | 104.101 | 104.692 | -0.591427 | -0.990656 |
49 | 102.59 | 103.867 | 104.093 | -0.226474 | -1.27686 |
50 | 102.91 | 103.718 | 103.479 | 0.238804 | -0.807971 |
51 | 101.94 | 103.292 | 102.862 | 0.429267 | -1.35177 |
52 | 101.8 | 102.791 | 102.41 | 0.380378 | -0.990795 |
53 | 102.25 | 102.389 | 102.15 | 0.238202 | -0.138619 |
54 | 102.6 | 102.316 | 101.948 | 0.367832 | 0.284252 |
55 | 102.49 | 101.879 | 101.741 | 0.138665 | 0.610502 |
56 | 102.13 | 101.556 | 101.486 | 0.0701929 | 0.573974 |
57 | 100.76 | 101.14 | 101.238 | -0.0981867 | -0.380147 |
58 | 100.86 | 100.562 | 101.03 | -0.467492 | 0.297909 |
59 | 101.12 | 100.322 | 100.802 | -0.479761 | 0.797677 |
60 | 100.74 | 99.9565 | 100.548 | -0.591427 | 0.783511 |
61 | 99.99 | 100.057 | 100.284 | -0.226474 | -0.0672762 |
62 | 99.39 | 100.273 | 100.035 | 0.238804 | -0.883387 |
63 | 99.52 | 100.286 | 99.8567 | 0.429267 | -0.765934 |
64 | 99.21 | 100.11 | 99.7292 | 0.380378 | -0.899545 |
65 | 99.38 | 99.7903 | 99.5521 | 0.238202 | -0.410285 |
66 | 99.37 | 99.7249 | 99.3571 | 0.367832 | -0.354915 |
67 | 99.38 | 99.3737 | 99.235 | 0.138665 | 0.00633488 |
68 | 99.26 | 99.3027 | 99.2325 | 0.0701929 | -0.0426929 |
69 | 99.36 | 99.186 | 99.2842 | -0.0981867 | 0.17402 |
70 | 99.2 | 98.8717 | 99.3392 | -0.467492 | 0.328326 |
71 | 98.53 | 98.9186 | 99.3983 | -0.479761 | -0.388573 |
72 | 98.65 | 98.8586 | 99.45 | -0.591427 | -0.208573 |
73 | 99.15 | 99.2414 | 99.4679 | -0.226474 | -0.0914429 |
74 | 100.17 | 99.6746 | 99.4358 | 0.238804 | 0.495363 |
75 | 99.98 | 99.8134 | 99.3842 | 0.429267 | 0.166566 |
76 | 100.07 | 99.7029 | 99.3225 | 0.380378 | 0.367122 |
77 | 99.94 | 99.5407 | 99.3025 | 0.238202 | 0.399298 |
78 | 100.05 | 99.6916 | 99.3237 | 0.367832 | 0.358418 |
79 | 99.13 | 99.492 | 99.3533 | 0.138665 | -0.361998 |
80 | 98.74 | 99.4398 | 99.3696 | 0.0701929 | -0.699776 |
81 | 98.64 | 99.2714 | 99.3696 | -0.0981867 | -0.631397 |
82 | 98.44 | 98.9258 | 99.3933 | -0.467492 | -0.485841 |
83 | 98.81 | 98.9352 | 99.415 | -0.479761 | -0.125239 |
84 | 98.88 | 98.8186 | 99.41 | -0.591427 | 0.0614275 |
85 | 99.63 | 99.2073 | 99.4337 | -0.226474 | 0.422724 |
86 | 100.08 | 99.7392 | 99.5004 | 0.238804 | 0.340779 |
87 | 100.07 | 100.028 | 99.5983 | 0.429267 | 0.0423997 |
88 | 100.55 | 100.115 | 99.735 | 0.380378 | 0.434622 |
89 | 99.98 | 100.102 | 99.8637 | 0.238202 | -0.121952 |
90 | 99.89 | 100.326 | 99.9583 | 0.367832 | -0.436165 |
91 | 99.86 | 100.069 | 99.9308 | 0.138665 | -0.209498 |
92 | 99.61 | 99.8281 | 99.7579 | 0.0701929 | -0.21811 |
93 | 100.12 | 99.4806 | 99.5788 | -0.0981867 | 0.639437 |
94 | 100.24 | 98.9292 | 99.3967 | -0.467492 | 1.31083 |
95 | 100.1 | 98.7265 | 99.2063 | -0.479761 | 1.37351 |
96 | 99.86 | 98.4465 | 99.0379 | -0.591427 | 1.41351 |
97 | 97.99 | 98.6206 | 98.8471 | -0.226474 | -0.63061 |
98 | 97.57 | 98.8592 | 98.6204 | 0.238804 | -1.28922 |
99 | 98.28 | 98.7897 | 98.3604 | 0.429267 | -0.509684 |
100 | 97.97 | 98.457 | 98.0767 | 0.380378 | -0.487045 |
101 | 97.99 | 98.0086 | 97.7704 | 0.238202 | -0.0186188 |
102 | 97.84 | 97.8282 | 97.4604 | 0.367832 | 0.0117515 |
103 | 97.33 | 97.3866 | 97.2479 | 0.138665 | -0.0565818 |
104 | 96.7 | 97.2402 | 97.17 | 0.0701929 | -0.540193 |
105 | 96.79 | 97.0289 | 97.1271 | -0.0981867 | -0.238897 |
106 | 96.76 | 96.5958 | 97.0633 | -0.467492 | 0.164159 |
107 | 96.23 | 96.5227 | 97.0025 | -0.479761 | -0.292739 |
108 | 96.29 | 96.3136 | 96.905 | -0.591427 | -0.0235725 |
109 | 96.46 | 96.5914 | 96.8179 | -0.226474 | -0.131443 |
110 | 97.23 | 97.0413 | 96.8025 | 0.238804 | 0.188696 |
111 | 97.59 | 97.2405 | 96.8112 | 0.429267 | 0.349483 |
112 | 97.13 | 97.2166 | 96.8362 | 0.380378 | -0.0866281 |
113 | 97.37 | 97.1024 | 96.8642 | 0.238202 | 0.267631 |
114 | 96.12 | 97.2599 | 96.8921 | 0.367832 | -1.13992 |
115 | 96.96 | NA | NA | 0.138665 | NA |
116 | 96.7 | NA | NA | 0.0701929 | NA |
117 | 97 | NA | NA | -0.0981867 | NA |
118 | 97.15 | NA | NA | -0.467492 | NA |
119 | 96.51 | NA | NA | -0.479761 | NA |
120 | 96.68 | NA | NA | -0.591427 | NA |