Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 93166 | NA | NA | -352.191 | NA |
2 | 93517 | NA | NA | -615.682 | NA |
3 | 94547 | NA | NA | -551.557 | NA |
4 | 95299 | NA | NA | 40.0219 | NA |
5 | 95121 | NA | NA | -80.9448 | NA |
6 | 95583 | NA | NA | 463.63 | NA |
7 | 96138 | 97066.4 | 96744.9 | 321.572 | -928.447 |
8 | 96647 | 97696.7 | 97545.8 | 150.868 | -1049.7 |
9 | 97311 | 98604.8 | 98383.2 | 221.626 | -1293.83 |
10 | 97644 | 99363.8 | 99241.2 | 122.555 | -1719.76 |
11 | 100299 | 100441 | 100178 | 263.189 | -142.064 |
12 | 101130 | 101253 | 101237 | 16.9135 | -123.455 |
13 | 102239 | 102008 | 102360 | -352.191 | 231.191 |
14 | 103667 | 102851 | 103466 | -615.682 | 816.182 |
15 | 104494 | 104031 | 104583 | -551.557 | 462.641 |
16 | 105944 | 105797 | 105756 | 40.0219 | 147.478 |
17 | 106956 | 106816 | 106897 | -80.9448 | 139.778 |
18 | 109156 | 108453 | 107989 | 463.63 | 702.953 |
19 | 109528 | 109408 | 109087 | 321.572 | 119.761 |
20 | 109813 | 110297 | 110146 | 150.868 | -484.243 |
21 | 110939 | 111429 | 111207 | 221.626 | -489.793 |
22 | 112182 | 112401 | 112279 | 122.555 | -219.305 |
23 | 113137 | 113608 | 113345 | 263.189 | -471.022 |
24 | 114506 | 114399 | 114383 | 16.9135 | 106.503 |
25 | 115197 | 115068 | 115420 | -352.191 | 129.191 |
26 | 116142 | 115900 | 116516 | -615.682 | 241.974 |
27 | 117478 | 117070 | 117621 | -551.557 | 408.266 |
28 | 118678 | 118737 | 118697 | 40.0219 | -59.1885 |
29 | 119808 | 119677 | 119758 | -80.9448 | 130.695 |
30 | 121210 | 121268 | 120805 | 463.63 | -58.4635 |
31 | 122372 | 122156 | 121835 | 321.572 | 215.72 |
32 | 123266 | 122996 | 122845 | 150.868 | 270.216 |
33 | 124020 | 124070 | 123848 | 221.626 | -49.5427 |
34 | 124922 | 124987 | 124864 | 122.555 | -64.8469 |
35 | 125863 | 126111 | 125848 | 263.189 | -248.147 |
36 | 126898 | 126846 | 126829 | 16.9135 | 52.1281 |
37 | 127522 | 127490 | 127842 | -352.191 | 32.024 |
38 | 128062 | 128239 | 128855 | -615.682 | -176.859 |
39 | 129630 | 129325 | 129877 | -551.557 | 304.849 |
40 | 130919 | 130952 | 130912 | 40.0219 | -32.6052 |
41 | 131175 | 131870 | 131951 | -80.9448 | -694.93 |
42 | 133387 | 133453 | 132989 | 463.63 | -66.0469 |
43 | 134512 | 134345 | 134023 | 321.572 | 167.386 |
44 | 135423 | 135210 | 135059 | 150.868 | 213.216 |
45 | 136395 | 136294 | 136072 | 221.626 | 100.916 |
46 | 137384 | 137257 | 137134 | 122.555 | 127.111 |
47 | 138344 | 138564 | 138300 | 263.189 | -219.689 |
48 | 139342 | 139472 | 139455 | 16.9135 | -129.997 |
49 | 139885 | 140206 | 140558 | -352.191 | -320.809 |
50 | 140560 | 141032 | 141648 | -615.682 | -472.193 |
51 | 141457 | 142187 | 142739 | -551.557 | -730.484 |
52 | 144577 | 143880 | 143840 | 40.0219 | 696.895 |
53 | 145505 | 144841 | 144922 | -80.9448 | 663.695 |
54 | 146767 | 146425 | 145961 | 463.63 | 341.953 |
55 | 147602 | 147290 | 146968 | 321.572 | 312.095 |
56 | 148490 | 148094 | 147943 | 150.868 | 395.966 |
57 | 149516 | 149101 | 148880 | 221.626 | 414.666 |
58 | 150688 | 149837 | 149714 | 122.555 | 851.07 |
59 | 151012 | 150708 | 150445 | 263.189 | 303.561 |
60 | 151614 | 151163 | 151147 | 16.9135 | 450.545 |
61 | 151779 | 151469 | 151821 | -352.191 | 309.941 |
62 | 152062 | 151825 | 152441 | -615.682 | 236.849 |
63 | 152432 | 152475 | 153027 | -551.557 | -43.1094 |
64 | 153634 | 153643 | 153602 | 40.0219 | -8.52188 |
65 | 153989 | 154134 | 154215 | -80.9448 | -145.055 |
66 | 155114 | 155147 | 154684 | 463.63 | -33.3802 |
67 | 155448 | 155286 | 154964 | 321.572 | 162.136 |
68 | 155514 | 155396 | 155245 | 150.868 | 118.299 |
69 | 156552 | 155774 | 155552 | 221.626 | 777.999 |
70 | 157472 | 156007 | 155885 | 122.555 | 1464.78 |
71 | 158928 | 156489 | 156226 | 263.189 | 2438.73 |
72 | 154948 | 156588 | 156572 | 16.9135 | -1640.41 |
73 | 155178 | 156579 | 156932 | -352.191 | -1401.43 |
74 | 155396 | 156742 | 157357 | -615.682 | -1345.65 |
75 | 156479 | 157266 | 157818 | -551.557 | -787.401 |
76 | 157562 | 158313 | 158273 | 40.0219 | -751.23 |
77 | 158255 | 158609 | 158690 | -80.9448 | -354.097 |
78 | 159138 | 159781 | 159318 | 463.63 | -643.172 |
79 | 160067 | 160520 | 160199 | 321.572 | -453.447 |
80 | 161112 | 161256 | 161105 | 150.868 | -144.201 |
81 | 162009 | 162247 | 162025 | 221.626 | -237.751 |
82 | 162941 | 163063 | 162941 | 122.555 | -122.43 |
83 | 163463 | 164130 | 163867 | 263.189 | -667.23 |
84 | 165473 | 164819 | 164802 | 16.9135 | 653.836 |
85 | 165805 | 165386 | 165738 | -352.191 | 419.024 |
86 | 166524 | 166041 | 166657 | -615.682 | 482.682 |
87 | 167426 | 167008 | 167560 | -551.557 | 417.599 |
88 | 168593 | 168497 | 168457 | 40.0219 | 95.6865 |
89 | 169452 | 169277 | 169358 | -80.9448 | 174.82 |
90 | 170386 | 170700 | 170237 | 463.63 | -314.214 |
91 | 171281 | 171414 | 171092 | 321.572 | -132.572 |
92 | 171950 | 172096 | 171945 | 150.868 | -146.284 |
93 | 172842 | 172997 | 172775 | 221.626 | -154.918 |
94 | 173644 | 173706 | 173583 | 122.555 | -61.5969 |
95 | 174380 | 174634 | 174371 | 263.189 | -253.98 |
96 | 175639 | 175191 | 175174 | 16.9135 | 448.378 |
97 | 176169 | 175630 | 175982 | -352.191 | 538.732 |
98 | 176642 | 176150 | 176766 | -615.682 | 491.557 |
99 | 177225 | 176976 | 177528 | -551.557 | 248.974 |
100 | 178180 | 178300 | 178260 | 40.0219 | -120.355 |
101 | 178771 | 178886 | 178967 | -80.9448 | -114.639 |
102 | 180337 | 180092 | 179629 | 463.63 | 244.62 |
103 | 180740 | 180556 | 180235 | 321.572 | 183.886 |
104 | 181299 | 180941 | 180790 | 150.868 | 358.007 |
105 | 181768 | 181538 | 181316 | 221.626 | 230.457 |
106 | 182304 | 181978 | 181856 | 122.555 | 325.653 |
107 | 182670 | 182665 | 182402 | 263.189 | 4.85313 |
108 | 183241 | 182911 | 182895 | 16.9135 | 329.503 |
109 | 183106 | 182999 | 183351 | -352.191 | 107.232 |
110 | 183039 | 183182 | 183798 | -615.682 | -143.026 |
111 | 183447 | 183688 | 184240 | -551.557 | -241.109 |
112 | 184915 | 184662 | 184622 | 40.0219 | 253.353 |
113 | 185144 | 184851 | 184932 | -80.9448 | 292.528 |
114 | 185787 | 185706 | 185243 | 463.63 | 80.5781 |
115 | 186243 | 185886 | 185564 | 321.572 | 356.97 |
116 | 186518 | 186046 | 185895 | 150.868 | 472.216 |
117 | 187156 | 186451 | 186229 | 221.626 | 705.291 |
118 | 186083 | 186660 | 186538 | 122.555 | -577.18 |
119 | 186350 | 187092 | 186828 | 263.189 | -741.522 |
120 | 187010 | 187154 | 187137 | 16.9135 | -143.539 |
121 | 187057 | 187099 | 187451 | -352.191 | -41.601 |
122 | 187019 | 187147 | 187763 | -615.682 | -128.026 |
123 | 187487 | 187524 | 188075 | -551.557 | -36.7344 |
124 | 188280 | 188498 | 188458 | 40.0219 | -218.022 |
125 | 188756 | 188845 | 188926 | -80.9448 | -89.3052 |
126 | 189574 | 189825 | 189362 | 463.63 | -251.339 |
127 | 189996 | NA | NA | 321.572 | NA |
128 | 190251 | NA | NA | 150.868 | NA |
129 | 190925 | NA | NA | 221.626 | NA |
130 | 191499 | NA | NA | 122.555 | NA |
131 | 192172 | NA | NA | 263.189 | NA |
132 | 191639 | NA | NA | 16.9135 | NA |