Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.939622928582403
beta0.214033550366
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1383.6184.0838141025642-0.473814102564162
1483.8983.63546579570620.254534204293762
1583.483.09351317674730.306486823252712
1682.9682.70076424960260.259235750397437
1782.7682.52241891496320.237581085036851
1883.3583.06275648977910.287243510220847
1987.7886.33294246581131.4470575341887
2088.9988.60685190212020.383148097879783
2188.9289.1968928706557-0.276892870655743
2288.9189.8368913892559-0.9268913892559
2389.7989.43556183164820.354438168351777
2490.5489.74739692682640.792603073173652
2593.1591.204235368191.94576463181001
2692.7994.0918415722218-1.30184157222178
2793.2192.7961026255640.413897374435962
2895.3593.22851094935332.12148905064674
29100.9195.9002780943595.00972190564104
30103.69102.9889603076470.701039692353291
31104.04108.862536965765-4.82253696576537
32104.16106.064824685936-1.90482468593619
33104.71104.888715282284-0.178715282284472
34105.18106.02499593959-0.844995939590049
35104.92106.237727444993-1.31772744499283
36104.83105.128269181031-0.298269181030506
37104.9105.533794009761-0.633794009760578
38105.05105.186800085545-0.136800085545346
39104.6104.70894785616-0.108947856159858
40103.21104.267624089469-1.05762408946923
41102.52103.001698481768-0.481698481767751
42101.09102.441078260068-1.35107826006823
43101.19103.41094499322-2.22094499322013
44102.34101.1151239665451.22487603345492
45102.62101.4946001251531.12539987484701
46102.47102.588930470266-0.118930470265724
47101.82102.374268484113-0.554268484113152
48101.86101.1161864252840.743813574716057
49101.54101.762652983702-0.222652983701565
50101.98101.1967034311410.783296568859498
51101.23101.1348379529650.0951620470349894
52100.4100.418832153083-0.0188321530832951
5399.9499.9634741928793-0.0234741928793341
5499.9499.67279750669510.26720249330485
55100102.3280478147-2.32804781469989
5698.8100.335429445963-1.53542944596347
5799.0797.75591621967181.31408378032818
5899.4698.63101865620630.828981343793657
5999.1899.14999663318510.0300033668149382
6098.4798.5060323156143-0.0360323156143352
6197.1298.1912980393499-1.07129803934991
6296.9196.54791937459130.362080625408723
6396.0995.62325205464560.466747945354385
6497.1794.89877406150192.27122593849811
6596.896.70474221864080.0952577813592228
6697.1396.67687261037780.45312738962221
6799.999.52121369677150.378786303228551
68100.56100.835313460919-0.275313460918596
69100.84100.5807610997950.259238900204579
7099.81101.19215903494-1.38215903494046
71100.4499.8973155819660.542684418033986
72100.07100.146253525112-0.0762535251119232
73101.32100.1382936758231.18170632417667
74103.98101.5586098661332.42139013386699
75104.81103.8495630219020.960436978097945
76106.23105.0715284102781.1584715897216
77106.48106.850374280465-0.370374280464844
78107.59107.4627753763040.127224623695597
79107.16110.987041824828-3.82704182482756
80107.54108.454558396967-0.91455839696718
81107.1107.647874441438-0.547874441438282
82106.38107.255711037678-0.875711037677974
83106.64106.5087299867110.131270013288798
84106.13106.206759809638-0.076759809638105


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
85106.147210304184103.511014438438108.783406169931
86106.167296802745102.168201132423110.166392473068
87105.24316060106299.9040859166068110.582235285518
88104.52979225846397.8178222938519111.241762223074
89103.84998136518595.71429526104111.985667469331
90103.63710141179994.0202195642301113.253983259367
91105.57415462932194.4162972944015116.73201196424
92106.35423120214193.5952486745243119.113213729757
93106.15369072238991.7339772641834120.573404180594
94106.09137650971889.9523108991422122.230442120294
95106.23899478777388.3231443172249124.154845258321
96105.78568283576786.0368836478593125.534482023676