Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.935465964560229
beta0
gamma1


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1397.1774545596.98233273855240.195121811447621
1497.2075151597.19479661576460.0127185342353755
1597.2375757697.2399567282372-0.00238096823723311
1697.2676363697.26382004298160.00381631701839069
1797.2976969797.2737004138220.0239965561780338
1897.3277575897.29110012571950.0366574542804869
1997.3578181897.358954780206-0.00113660020599582
2097.3878787997.4290452959743-0.0411665059743171
2197.4179393997.4808508135818-0.0629114235818236
2297.997.6918929837820.208107016218008
2397.9897.72045862643310.25954137356689
2498.0397.99527825562650.0347217443734849
2598.0398.0702903876895-0.0402903876894527
2697.9498.0507629454108-0.110762945410769
2798.1297.97943590459320.140564095406816
2898.1998.13741939700480.0525806029952207
2998.3498.19421940993160.145780590068355
3098.4298.32636099940730.0936390005927166
3198.4398.4450809482252-0.0150809482252185
3298.4598.4995437096661-0.0495437096660822
3398.7798.54210935105820.227890648941766
3499.2499.04267687612670.197323123873318
3599.4699.06447382116380.395526178836178
3699.5499.45199408946610.088005910533937
3799.5599.5720109098331-0.0220109098331136
3899.2499.5650354184014-0.325035418401441
3999.4399.3094829201180.120517079881964
4099.4799.44303518199770.0269648180022841
4199.5799.4818870711770.0881129288230369
4299.6299.55671761911870.0632823808813043
4399.6499.6400238463675-2.38463674975264e-05
4499.7599.7063479930530.0436520069469992
4599.8599.8539990141101-0.00399901411009296
46100.28100.1356690061140.144330993885887
47100.52100.1206844601320.399315539868297
48100.57100.4919040228140.0780959771861234
49100.57100.595550608438-0.0255506084384365
50100.27100.565708455062-0.2957084550616
51100.27100.366343633541-0.0963436335410393
52100.18100.29099277398-0.110992773979632
53100.16100.204736165658-0.0447361656578948
54100.18100.1536884918290.0263115081707923
55100.18100.198324319664-0.0183243196644014
56100.59100.2503475755110.339652424489032
57100.69100.6718217999930.018178200007398
58101.06100.9838101549850.0761898450148948
59101.15100.9215370651750.228462934825146
60101.16101.1122002362410.0477997637593575
61101.16101.18081701292-0.0208170129195082
62100.81101.137968600992-0.327968600992321
63100.94100.9212913273990.0187086726007237
64101.13100.9526226162290.177377383770562
65101.29101.1404022819870.1495977180126
66101.34101.2757323351940.0642676648059535
67101.35101.352994325612-0.00299432561156721
68101.7101.4424599530250.257540046974711
69102.05101.7663748140770.283625185922517
70102.48102.3304235153440.149576484656478
71102.66102.3466279261460.313372073854239
72102.72102.6050617833690.114938216630861
73102.73102.732056180125-0.00205618012455488
74102.18102.686936157274-0.506936157273785
75102.22102.325213309479-0.105213309479126
76102.37102.2508593340430.119140665957445
77102.53102.3823677984640.14763220153587
78102.61102.5103524852260.0996475147737073
79102.62102.6163704334470.00362956655348512
80103102.7288458209670.271154179032663
81103.17103.0671796184780.102820381521937
82103.52103.453440875360.0665591246397526
83103.69103.4025557617570.287444238242642
84103.73103.6239292736570.106070726343134
8599.57103.735078314511-4.16507831451059
8699.0999.7630108328926-0.673010832892629
8799.1499.2718555749777-0.131855574977706
8899.3699.18705713435030.172942865649674
8999.699.37073439916920.229265600830786
9099.6599.5719877070670.0780122929329679
9199.899.65157021594630.148429784053747
92100.1599.91676572142220.233234278577783
93100.45100.2087634834240.241236516576379
94100.89100.7221682383580.167831761641523
95101.13100.7802748375610.349725162438631
96101.17101.0482052696430.12179473035718
97101.21100.8984290975070.311570902492704
98101.1101.339471800288-0.23947180028793
99101.17101.288800484276-0.118800484275766
100101.11101.235884510034-0.125884510033714
101101.2101.143653669010.0563463309898253
102101.15101.173385899023-0.0233858990229123
103100.92101.162658175327-0.242658175327037
104101.1101.0674769819080.0325230180919363
105101.22101.1722326077320.0477673922684261
106101.25101.499916476627-0.249916476626666
107101.39101.1789721323480.211027867652035
108101.43101.3024466951980.127553304801779


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
109101.170304495678100.257453490671102.083155500686
110101.28432221432100.034317307443102.534327121196
111101.46545602393399.9516107289685102.979301318897
112101.52321669853599.7851307147707103.261302682299
113101.56050662366699.6239741047476103.497039142584
114101.53238333625299.4159302877066103.648836384798
115101.52938180029399.2471485044686103.811615096118
116101.67895762380399.2421966329712104.115718614636
117101.7542728541299.1722156440043104.336330064237
118102.01806121198899.2984592657123104.737663158263
119101.96065182422599.1101343175162104.811169330934
120101.88133004891698.9056510732995104.857009024533