| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 5400 | NA | NA | 679.818 | NA |
| 2 | 5200 | NA | NA | -956.641 | NA |
| 3 | 5500 | NA | NA | -1095.7 | NA |
| 4 | 4400 | NA | NA | -2091.54 | NA |
| 5 | 5700 | NA | NA | -538.932 | NA |
| 6 | 5600 | NA | NA | -715.495 | NA |
| 7 | 6000 | 6604.82 | 5833.33 | 771.484 | -604.818 |
| 8 | 6200 | 6355.86 | 5829.17 | 526.693 | -155.859 |
| 9 | 6900 | 5614.71 | 5791.67 | -176.953 | 1285.29 |
| 10 | 6000 | 6794.4 | 5766.67 | 1027.73 | -794.401 |
| 11 | 5700 | 6022.01 | 5745.83 | 276.172 | -322.005 |
| 12 | 7100 | 7993.36 | 5700 | 2293.36 | -893.359 |
| 13 | 6000 | 6342.32 | 5662.5 | 679.818 | -342.318 |
| 14 | 4500 | 4680.86 | 5637.5 | -956.641 | -180.859 |
| 15 | 5300 | 4466.8 | 5562.5 | -1095.7 | 833.203 |
| 16 | 4000 | 3445.96 | 5537.5 | -2091.54 | 554.036 |
| 17 | 5600 | 5048.57 | 5587.5 | -538.932 | 551.432 |
| 18 | 4600 | 4922.01 | 5637.5 | -715.495 | -322.005 |
| 19 | 6100 | 6408.98 | 5637.5 | 771.484 | -308.984 |
| 20 | 5500 | 6147.53 | 5620.83 | 526.693 | -647.526 |
| 21 | 5800 | 5439.71 | 5616.67 | -176.953 | 360.286 |
| 22 | 6500 | 6623.57 | 5595.83 | 1027.73 | -123.568 |
| 23 | 6400 | 5847.01 | 5570.83 | 276.172 | 552.995 |
| 24 | 7600 | 7830.86 | 5537.5 | 2293.36 | -230.859 |
| 25 | 5500 | 6183.98 | 5504.17 | 679.818 | -683.984 |
| 26 | 4600 | 4535.03 | 5491.67 | -956.641 | 64.974 |
| 27 | 5100 | 4358.46 | 5454.17 | -1095.7 | 741.536 |
| 28 | 3700 | 3345.96 | 5437.5 | -2091.54 | 354.036 |
| 29 | 5300 | 4915.23 | 5454.17 | -538.932 | 384.766 |
| 30 | 4100 | 4717.84 | 5433.33 | -715.495 | -617.839 |
| 31 | 5800 | 6183.98 | 5412.5 | 771.484 | -383.984 |
| 32 | 5500 | 5951.69 | 5425 | 526.693 | -451.693 |
| 33 | 4900 | 5239.71 | 5416.67 | -176.953 | -339.714 |
| 34 | 7000 | 6419.4 | 5391.67 | 1027.73 | 580.599 |
| 35 | 6300 | 5651.17 | 5375 | 276.172 | 648.828 |
| 36 | 7200 | 7664.19 | 5370.83 | 2293.36 | -464.193 |
| 37 | 5400 | 6071.48 | 5391.67 | 679.818 | -671.484 |
| 38 | 5000 | 4455.86 | 5412.5 | -956.641 | 544.141 |
| 39 | 4500 | 4333.46 | 5429.17 | -1095.7 | 166.536 |
| 40 | 3700 | 3329.3 | 5420.83 | -2091.54 | 370.703 |
| 41 | 4900 | 4865.23 | 5404.17 | -538.932 | 34.7656 |
| 42 | 4400 | 4717.84 | 5433.33 | -715.495 | -317.839 |
| 43 | 6000 | 6279.82 | 5508.33 | 771.484 | -279.818 |
| 44 | 5800 | 6030.86 | 5504.17 | 526.693 | -230.859 |
| 45 | 5000 | 5256.38 | 5433.33 | -176.953 | -256.38 |
| 46 | 6700 | 6444.4 | 5416.67 | 1027.73 | 255.599 |
| 47 | 6200 | 5688.67 | 5412.5 | 276.172 | 511.328 |
| 48 | 8000 | 7701.69 | 5408.33 | 2293.36 | 298.307 |
| 49 | 6400 | 6104.82 | 5425 | 679.818 | 295.182 |
| 50 | 3900 | 4472.53 | 5429.17 | -956.641 | -572.526 |
| 51 | 3900 | 4333.46 | 5429.17 | -1095.7 | -433.464 |
| 52 | 3900 | 3329.3 | 5420.83 | -2091.54 | 570.703 |
| 53 | 4600 | 4856.9 | 5395.83 | -538.932 | -256.901 |
| 54 | 4600 | 4688.67 | 5404.17 | -715.495 | -88.6719 |
| 55 | 6200 | 6208.98 | 5437.5 | 771.484 | -8.98438 |
| 56 | 5700 | 5976.69 | 5450 | 526.693 | -276.693 |
| 57 | 5100 | 5281.38 | 5458.33 | -176.953 | -181.38 |
| 58 | 6400 | 6473.57 | 5445.83 | 1027.73 | -73.5677 |
| 59 | 5900 | 5705.34 | 5429.17 | 276.172 | 194.661 |
| 60 | 8500 | 7760.03 | 5466.67 | 2293.36 | 739.974 |
| 61 | 6700 | 6204.82 | 5525 | 679.818 | 495.182 |
| 62 | 3900 | 4635.03 | 5591.67 | -956.641 | -735.026 |
| 63 | 4100 | 4550.13 | 5645.83 | -1095.7 | -450.13 |
| 64 | 3400 | 3562.63 | 5654.17 | -2091.54 | -162.63 |
| 65 | 4700 | 5098.57 | 5637.5 | -538.932 | -398.568 |
| 66 | 5400 | 4888.67 | 5604.17 | -715.495 | 511.328 |
| 67 | 6800 | 6329.82 | 5558.33 | 771.484 | 470.182 |
| 68 | 6700 | 6101.69 | 5575 | 526.693 | 598.307 |
| 69 | 5400 | 5452.21 | 5629.17 | -176.953 | -52.2135 |
| 70 | 6300 | 6665.23 | 5637.5 | 1027.73 | -365.234 |
| 71 | 5600 | 5917.84 | 5641.67 | 276.172 | -317.839 |
| 72 | 8000 | 7964.19 | 5670.83 | 2293.36 | 35.8073 |
| 73 | 6100 | 6375.65 | 5695.83 | 679.818 | -275.651 |
| 74 | 4900 | 4735.03 | 5691.67 | -956.641 | 164.974 |
| 75 | 4400 | 4562.63 | 5658.33 | -1095.7 | -162.63 |
| 76 | 3300 | 3566.8 | 5658.33 | -2091.54 | -266.797 |
| 77 | 4900 | 5136.07 | 5675 | -538.932 | -236.068 |
| 78 | 5900 | 4963.67 | 5679.17 | -715.495 | 936.328 |
| 79 | 6900 | 6496.48 | 5725 | 771.484 | 403.516 |
| 80 | 6500 | 6289.19 | 5762.5 | 526.693 | 210.807 |
| 81 | 4800 | 5598.05 | 5775 | -176.953 | -798.047 |
| 82 | 6900 | 6802.73 | 5775 | 1027.73 | 97.2656 |
| 83 | 5400 | 6042.84 | 5766.67 | 276.172 | -642.839 |
| 84 | 8300 | 8010.03 | 5716.67 | 2293.36 | 289.974 |
| 85 | 6900 | 6354.82 | 5675 | 679.818 | 545.182 |
| 86 | 5000 | 4751.69 | 5708.33 | -956.641 | 248.307 |
| 87 | 4600 | 4662.63 | 5758.33 | -1095.7 | -62.6302 |
| 88 | 3100 | 3695.96 | 5787.5 | -2091.54 | -595.964 |
| 89 | 4900 | 5244.4 | 5783.33 | -538.932 | -344.401 |
| 90 | 4700 | 5051.17 | 5766.67 | -715.495 | -351.172 |
| 91 | 7100 | 6529.82 | 5758.33 | 771.484 | 570.182 |
| 92 | 7100 | 6289.19 | 5762.5 | 526.693 | 810.807 |
| 93 | 5400 | 5560.55 | 5737.5 | -176.953 | -160.547 |
| 94 | 7000 | 6719.4 | 5691.67 | 1027.73 | 280.599 |
| 95 | 5200 | 5967.84 | 5691.67 | 276.172 | -767.839 |
| 96 | 8100 | 8018.36 | 5725 | 2293.36 | 81.6406 |
| 97 | 6900 | 6404.82 | 5725 | 679.818 | 495.182 |
| 98 | 5100 | 4776.69 | 5733.33 | -956.641 | 323.307 |
| 99 | 3900 | 4675.13 | 5770.83 | -1095.7 | -775.13 |
| 100 | 2700 | 3666.8 | 5758.33 | -2091.54 | -966.797 |
| 101 | 5300 | 5177.73 | 5716.67 | -538.932 | 122.266 |
| 102 | 5100 | 4992.84 | 5708.33 | -715.495 | 107.161 |
| 103 | 6700 | NA | NA | 771.484 | NA |
| 104 | 7700 | NA | NA | 526.693 | NA |
| 105 | 5700 | NA | NA | -176.953 | NA |
| 106 | 6400 | NA | NA | 1027.73 | NA |
| 107 | 4800 | NA | NA | 276.172 | NA |
| 108 | 8300 | NA | NA | 2293.36 | NA |
