Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 95870 | NA | NA | -6124.6 | NA |
2 | 95523 | NA | NA | -2506.31 | NA |
3 | 95208 | NA | NA | -1359.19 | NA |
4 | 94541 | NA | NA | -878.637 | NA |
5 | 101097 | NA | NA | 5248.59 | NA |
6 | 100781 | NA | NA | 5531.05 | NA |
7 | 95870 | 96021.7 | 95277.1 | 744.571 | -151.696 |
8 | 92581 | 95068 | 95208.6 | -140.591 | -2487.03 |
9 | 92928 | 95206.7 | 95318.3 | -111.6 | -2278.65 |
10 | 92928 | 98180.5 | 95468.8 | 2711.67 | -5252.46 |
11 | 93244 | 94535.4 | 95483.4 | -948.063 | -1291.35 |
12 | 93910 | 93125.2 | 95292.1 | -2166.89 | 784.762 |
13 | 93559 | 88879.9 | 95004.5 | -6124.6 | 4679.06 |
14 | 96190 | 92280.5 | 94786.8 | -2506.31 | 3909.52 |
15 | 97172 | 93278.4 | 94637.6 | -1359.19 | 3893.6 |
16 | 96190 | 93621.7 | 94500.4 | -878.637 | 2568.26 |
17 | 99799 | 99516.9 | 94268.3 | 5248.59 | 282.081 |
18 | 97488 | 99500 | 93968.9 | 5531.05 | -2011.96 |
19 | 92261 | 94414.1 | 93669.5 | 744.571 | -2153.07 |
20 | 90964 | 93134.5 | 93275.1 | -140.591 | -2170.49 |
21 | 90964 | 92795.2 | 92906.8 | -111.6 | -1831.19 |
22 | 91599 | 95399.2 | 92687.5 | 2711.67 | -3800.21 |
23 | 89004 | 91548 | 92496 | -948.063 | -2543.98 |
24 | 90964 | 90138.9 | 92305.8 | -2166.89 | 825.054 |
25 | 89319 | 86018.8 | 92143.4 | -6124.6 | 3300.18 |
26 | 90964 | 89404.9 | 91911.2 | -2506.31 | 1559.15 |
27 | 93559 | 90236.7 | 91595.9 | -1359.19 | 3322.27 |
28 | 94541 | 90375.6 | 91254.2 | -878.637 | 4165.43 |
29 | 96852 | 96216.3 | 90967.7 | 5248.59 | 635.706 |
30 | 95870 | 96198 | 90666.9 | 5531.05 | -327.965 |
31 | 89981 | 91042.2 | 90297.6 | 744.571 | -1061.2 |
32 | 87670 | 89843.1 | 89983.7 | -140.591 | -2173.12 |
33 | 86692 | 89586 | 89697.6 | -111.6 | -2893.98 |
34 | 87670 | 92055.8 | 89344.1 | 2711.67 | -4385.76 |
35 | 86057 | 88178.4 | 89126.5 | -948.063 | -2121.44 |
36 | 86692 | 86945.4 | 89112.2 | -2166.89 | -253.363 |
37 | 84728 | 82919.3 | 89043.9 | -6124.6 | 1808.68 |
38 | 88021 | 86388.7 | 88895 | -2506.31 | 1632.27 |
39 | 89635 | 87442.2 | 88801.4 | -1359.19 | 2192.81 |
40 | 89981 | 87870 | 88748.6 | -878.637 | 2111.01 |
41 | 96190 | 93833.7 | 88585.1 | 5248.59 | 2356.29 |
42 | 96190 | 93733.4 | 88202.4 | 5531.05 | 2456.58 |
43 | 88021 | 88442.9 | 87698.3 | 744.571 | -421.905 |
44 | 86057 | 86931.1 | 87071.7 | -140.591 | -874.118 |
45 | 86057 | 86279.4 | 86391 | -111.6 | -222.4 |
46 | 87039 | 88366.8 | 85655.1 | 2711.67 | -1327.76 |
47 | 82764 | 83861.5 | 84809.5 | -948.063 | -1097.48 |
48 | 80799 | 81839.2 | 84006 | -2166.89 | -1040.15 |
49 | 78524 | 77199.2 | 83323.8 | -6124.6 | 1324.77 |
50 | 79186 | 80202.7 | 82709 | -2506.31 | -1016.73 |
51 | 82133 | 80667.8 | 82027 | -1359.19 | 1465.19 |
52 | 79821 | 80425.4 | 81304 | -878.637 | -604.405 |
53 | 86057 | 85870.6 | 80622 | 5248.59 | 186.415 |
54 | 87039 | 85526.4 | 79995.3 | 5531.05 | 1512.62 |
55 | 80799 | 80018.2 | 79273.7 | 744.571 | 780.762 |
56 | 78524 | 78315.1 | 78455.7 | -140.591 | 208.924 |
57 | 77221 | 77442.9 | 77554.5 | -111.6 | -221.942 |
58 | 78524 | 79366.4 | 76654.8 | 2711.67 | -842.423 |
59 | 74910 | 74916.5 | 75864.6 | -948.063 | -6.52045 |
60 | 73613 | 72837.5 | 75004.4 | -2166.89 | 775.47 |
61 | 68390 | 67898.4 | 74023 | -6124.6 | 491.642 |
62 | 69688 | 70440.1 | 72946.5 | -2506.31 | -752.145 |
63 | 70004 | 70468.6 | 71827.8 | -1359.19 | -464.562 |
64 | 70355 | 69844.9 | 70723.5 | -878.637 | 510.137 |
65 | 76559 | 74772.8 | 69524.2 | 5248.59 | 1786.16 |
66 | 75893 | 73624 | 68093 | 5531.05 | 2268.99 |
67 | 68390 | 67174 | 66429.5 | 744.571 | 1215.97 |
68 | 65097 | 64489.5 | 64630 | -140.591 | 607.549 |
69 | 63799 | 62679.4 | 62791 | -111.6 | 1119.64 |
70 | 65444 | 63608.2 | 60896.5 | 2711.67 | 1835.83 |
71 | 59208 | 57985.3 | 58933.4 | -948.063 | 1222.69 |
72 | 54964 | 54818 | 56984.9 | -2166.89 | 146.012 |
73 | 47115 | 48992.3 | 55116.9 | -6124.6 | -1877.32 |
74 | 47777 | 50865.3 | 53371.6 | -2506.31 | -3088.27 |
75 | 47777 | 50294.9 | 51654 | -1359.19 | -2517.85 |
76 | 47115 | 49084.3 | 49963 | -878.637 | -1969.32 |
77 | 52684 | 53589 | 48340.4 | 5248.59 | -904.96 |
78 | 53004 | 52248.8 | 46717.8 | 5531.05 | 755.16 |
79 | 46448 | 45867.4 | 45122.8 | 744.571 | 580.637 |
80 | 45151 | 43441.3 | 43581.9 | -140.591 | 1709.72 |
81 | 42524 | 41887.4 | 41999 | -111.6 | 636.642 |
82 | 46133 | 43101 | 40389.4 | 2711.67 | 3031.95 |
83 | 39577 | 37859.5 | 38807.5 | -948.063 | 1717.52 |
84 | 35653 | 35059 | 37225.9 | -2166.89 | 594.012 |
85 | 28146 | 29684.4 | 35809 | -6124.6 | -1538.44 |
86 | 29764 | 32062.6 | 34568.9 | -2506.31 | -2298.56 |
87 | 27800 | 32118.4 | 33477.6 | -1359.19 | -4318.4 |
88 | 28462 | 31644.9 | 32523.5 | -878.637 | -3182.86 |
89 | 33373 | 36805 | 31556.5 | 5248.59 | -3432.04 |
90 | 34355 | 36038.6 | 30507.6 | 5531.05 | -1683.63 |
91 | 31093 | 30120.2 | 29375.6 | 744.571 | 972.845 |
92 | 30742 | 28279.9 | 28420.5 | -140.591 | 2462.13 |
93 | 30742 | 27613.5 | 27725.1 | -111.6 | 3128.52 |
94 | 35017 | 29769.1 | 27057.5 | 2711.67 | 5247.87 |
95 | 27484 | 25551.2 | 26499.3 | -948.063 | 1932.77 |
96 | 22573 | 23815 | 25981.9 | -2166.89 | -1241.99 |
97 | 14058 | 19243.6 | 25368.2 | -6124.6 | -5185.57 |
98 | 20929 | 22317 | 24823.3 | -2506.31 | -1388.02 |
99 | 19946 | 23002.6 | 24361.8 | -1359.19 | -3056.65 |
100 | 20293 | 23088.9 | 23967.6 | -878.637 | -2795.95 |
101 | 28146 | 28916.8 | 23668.2 | 5248.59 | -770.752 |
102 | 27164 | 28968.3 | 23437.2 | 5531.05 | -1804.3 |
103 | 23555 | 24086.8 | 23342.2 | 744.571 | -531.821 |
104 | 25204 | 23257 | 23397.6 | -140.591 | 1946.97 |
105 | 25204 | 23410.1 | 23521.7 | -111.6 | 1793.89 |
106 | 31093 | 26369.5 | 23657.8 | 2711.67 | 4723.49 |
107 | 24222 | 22803.7 | 23751.8 | -948.063 | 1418.31 |
108 | 20293 | 21652.3 | 23819.2 | -2166.89 | -1359.28 |
109 | 14058 | 17830.5 | 23955.1 | -6124.6 | -3772.48 |
110 | 22258 | 21584.7 | 24091 | -2506.31 | 673.313 |
111 | 21595 | 22880.9 | 24240.1 | -1359.19 | -1285.9 |
112 | 21911 | 23482.8 | 24361.4 | -878.637 | -1571.78 |
113 | 28782 | 29690.4 | 24441.8 | 5248.59 | -908.377 |
114 | 28146 | 30081 | 24549.9 | 5531.05 | -1934.96 |
115 | 25835 | NA | NA | 744.571 | NA |
116 | 26186 | NA | NA | -140.591 | NA |
117 | 27800 | NA | NA | -111.6 | NA |
118 | 31409 | NA | NA | 2711.67 | NA |
119 | 25835 | NA | NA | -948.063 | NA |
120 | 21275 | NA | NA | -2166.89 | NA |