Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 29054.5 | NA | NA | 2013.4 | NA |
2 | 28543.5 | NA | NA | -4934.14 | NA |
3 | 28032 | NA | NA | -5159.47 | NA |
4 | 27009.5 | NA | NA | -4659.68 | NA |
5 | 37356 | NA | NA | 3772.2 | NA |
6 | 36844.5 | NA | NA | 6377.39 | NA |
7 | 29054.5 | 28798.1 | 28029.1 | 769.031 | 256.365 |
8 | 23881.5 | 26363.4 | 27403.8 | -1040.37 | -2481.9 |
9 | 24392.5 | 25857.4 | 26584 | -726.578 | -1464.9 |
10 | 24392.5 | 22687.7 | 25721.4 | -3033.63 | 1704.75 |
11 | 24904 | 27607.4 | 24880.3 | 2727.08 | -2703.35 |
12 | 25982 | 27976.7 | 24082 | 3894.76 | -1994.74 |
13 | 22859 | 25361 | 23347.6 | 2013.4 | -2502 |
14 | 19731 | 17527.4 | 22461.6 | -4934.14 | 2203.55 |
15 | 17169.5 | 16437.4 | 21596.9 | -5159.47 | 732.094 |
16 | 17169.5 | 16245.4 | 20905.1 | -4659.68 | 924.055 |
17 | 27009.5 | 24115.9 | 20343.7 | 3772.2 | 2893.59 |
18 | 28032 | 26332.6 | 19955.2 | 6377.39 | 1699.38 |
19 | 20242 | 20487.2 | 19718.2 | 769.031 | -245.197 |
20 | 11429.5 | 18462 | 19502.4 | -1040.37 | -7032.52 |
21 | 16091.5 | 18688.3 | 19414.9 | -726.578 | -2596.8 |
22 | 16091.5 | 16466.7 | 19500.3 | -3033.63 | -375.186 |
23 | 19731 | 22227.2 | 19500.1 | 2727.08 | -2496.21 |
24 | 21831.5 | 23221.7 | 19327 | 3894.76 | -1390.24 |
25 | 21320 | 21015.8 | 19002.4 | 2013.4 | 304.208 |
26 | 16091.5 | 13831.2 | 18765.4 | -4934.14 | 2260.28 |
27 | 18708.5 | 13520.5 | 18679.9 | -5159.47 | 5188.03 |
28 | 17681 | 14043.9 | 18703.5 | -4659.68 | 3637.14 |
29 | 26493.5 | 22478.1 | 18705.9 | 3772.2 | 4015.44 |
30 | 24392.5 | 24995.7 | 18618.3 | 6377.39 | -603.223 |
31 | 16091.5 | 19145.9 | 18376.9 | 769.031 | -3054.38 |
32 | 9891 | 17011.9 | 18052.3 | -1040.37 | -7120.9 |
33 | 15580 | 17024.7 | 17751.3 | -726.578 | -1444.73 |
34 | 17169.5 | 14435.9 | 17469.5 | -3033.63 | 2733.59 |
35 | 18708.5 | 20173.2 | 17446.1 | 2727.08 | -1464.71 |
36 | 20753.5 | 21599.3 | 17704.5 | 3894.76 | -845.762 |
37 | 16602.5 | 20085.1 | 18071.7 | 2013.4 | -3482.6 |
38 | 13019 | 13741.8 | 18676 | -4934.14 | -722.82 |
39 | 14558 | 14229.8 | 19389.2 | -5159.47 | 328.219 |
40 | 15069 | 15205.8 | 19865.5 | -4659.68 | -136.799 |
41 | 28543.5 | 24092.4 | 20320.2 | 3772.2 | 4451.11 |
42 | 28543.5 | 27391.5 | 21014.1 | 6377.39 | 1152.05 |
43 | 20753.5 | 22823.1 | 22054 | 769.031 | -2069.57 |
44 | 19731 | 22115.4 | 23155.8 | -1040.37 | -2384.44 |
45 | 22859 | 23227.5 | 23954.1 | -726.578 | -368.484 |
46 | 21320 | 21460.3 | 24494 | -3033.63 | -140.332 |
47 | 25471 | 27675.8 | 24948.7 | 2727.08 | -2204.75 |
48 | 30644 | 29364.6 | 25469.8 | 3894.76 | 1279.43 |
49 | 31671.5 | 28262.7 | 26249.3 | 2013.4 | 3408.79 |
50 | 24392.5 | 22461.9 | 27396 | -4934.14 | 1930.64 |
51 | 22342.5 | 23383 | 28542.5 | -5159.47 | -1040.51 |
52 | 20242 | 24768.6 | 29428.3 | -4659.68 | -4526.61 |
53 | 34283.5 | 33999 | 30226.8 | 3772.2 | 284.504 |
54 | 35311 | 37424.2 | 31046.8 | 6377.39 | -2113.18 |
55 | 32694 | 32680.5 | 31911.5 | 769.031 | 13.4693 |
56 | 35311 | 31823.4 | 32863.7 | -1040.37 | 3487.62 |
57 | 34794.5 | 33044.7 | 33771.3 | -726.578 | 1749.79 |
58 | 30644 | 31775.5 | 34809.2 | -3033.63 | -1131.54 |
59 | 35311 | 38768.4 | 36041.3 | 2727.08 | -3457.35 |
60 | 40484 | 41274.6 | 37379.9 | 3894.76 | -790.637 |
61 | 42584.5 | 40928.5 | 38915.1 | 2013.4 | 1656.04 |
62 | 36333.5 | 35558.7 | 40492.8 | -4934.14 | 774.805 |
63 | 32182.5 | 36887.5 | 42047 | -5159.47 | -4705.01 |
64 | 35311 | 38899.1 | 43558.8 | -4659.68 | -3588.07 |
65 | 48785 | 48972.9 | 45200.6 | 3772.2 | -187.85 |
66 | 52936 | 53264.6 | 46887.2 | 6377.39 | -328.639 |
67 | 51913.5 | 49255.4 | 48486.3 | 769.031 | 2658.14 |
68 | 53958 | 48957.5 | 49997.9 | -1040.37 | 5000.48 |
69 | 53447 | 50676.2 | 51402.8 | -726.578 | 2770.83 |
70 | 48274 | 49837.9 | 52871.5 | -3033.63 | -1563.87 |
71 | 57086.5 | 56960.6 | 54233.5 | 2727.08 | 125.895 |
72 | 59187 | 59535.2 | 55640.5 | 3894.76 | -348.22 |
73 | 62259.5 | 59210.1 | 57196.7 | 2013.4 | 3049.4 |
74 | 52936 | 53688.7 | 58622.9 | -4934.14 | -752.716 |
75 | 49296.5 | 54868.4 | 60027.9 | -5159.47 | -5571.95 |
76 | 53447 | 56903.4 | 61563.1 | -4659.68 | -3456.4 |
77 | 63337.5 | 66958 | 63185.8 | 3772.2 | -3620.48 |
78 | 72150 | 71119.8 | 64742.5 | 6377.39 | 1030.15 |
79 | 70049.5 | 66786.4 | 66017.4 | 769.031 | 3263.09 |
80 | 70049.5 | 66078.8 | 67119.1 | -1040.37 | 3970.75 |
81 | 71077 | 67733.3 | 68459.8 | -726.578 | 3343.74 |
82 | 67488 | 66854.7 | 69888.3 | -3033.63 | 633.335 |
83 | 76817 | 73783.4 | 71056.3 | 2727.08 | 3033.62 |
84 | 76817 | 75988.7 | 72094 | 3894.76 | 828.28 |
85 | 75227.5 | 74972.1 | 72958.7 | 2013.4 | 255.437 |
86 | 66410 | 68846.6 | 73780.8 | -4934.14 | -2436.63 |
87 | 67999.5 | 69421.9 | 74581.4 | -5159.47 | -1422.41 |
88 | 69027 | 70656.1 | 75315.8 | -4659.68 | -1629.07 |
89 | 75789.5 | 80016.8 | 76244.6 | 3772.2 | -4227.29 |
90 | 84602 | 83550.6 | 77173.2 | 6377.39 | 1051.4 |
91 | 78350.5 | 78676.4 | 77907.4 | 769.031 | -325.906 |
92 | 81479 | 77667.6 | 78708 | -1040.37 | 3811.4 |
93 | 78862 | 79083.2 | 79809.8 | -726.578 | -221.172 |
94 | 77328 | 78093.4 | 81127.1 | -3033.63 | -765.436 |
95 | 89269 | 85086 | 82359 | 2727.08 | 4182.96 |
96 | 86652 | 87139.7 | 83245 | 3894.76 | -487.72 |
97 | 83012.5 | 86037.6 | 84024.3 | 2013.4 | -3025.15 |
98 | 77839.5 | 79933.3 | 84867.5 | -4934.14 | -2093.82 |
99 | 83012.5 | 80506.5 | 85665.9 | -5159.47 | 2506.03 |
100 | 85629.5 | 81826.3 | 86485.9 | -4659.68 | 3803.24 |
101 | 88752.5 | 91163.4 | 87391.1 | 3772.2 | -2410.85 |
102 | 92903 | 94870.3 | 88492.9 | 6377.39 | -1967.29 |
103 | 88752.5 | 90496.3 | 89727.3 | 769.031 | -1743.84 |
104 | 91314 | 89812.3 | 90852.7 | -1040.37 | 1501.67 |
105 | 88190.5 | 91206.6 | 91933.2 | -726.578 | -3016.11 |
106 | 87679.5 | 90022.6 | 93056.3 | -3033.63 | -2343.14 |
107 | 100642.5 | 96906.4 | 94179.4 | 2727.08 | 3736.06 |
108 | 101720.5 | 99218.7 | 95324 | 3894.76 | 2501.78 |
109 | 97570 | 98482 | 96468.6 | 2013.4 | -911.959 |
110 | 90291.5 | 92702.6 | 97636.8 | -4934.14 | -2411.13 |
111 | 96492 | 93754.3 | 98913.8 | -5159.47 | 2737.66 |
112 | 99104 | 95379.3 | 100039 | -4659.68 | 3724.68 |
113 | 102232 | 104678 | 100906 | 3772.2 | -2446.02 |
114 | 106894 | 108062 | 101685 | 6377.39 | -1168.49 |
115 | 102232 | NA | NA | 769.031 | NA |
116 | 105871.5 | NA | NA | -1040.37 | NA |
117 | 104282 | NA | NA | -726.578 | NA |
118 | 98592.5 | NA | NA | -3033.63 | NA |
119 | 110533 | NA | NA | 2727.08 | NA |
120 | 110533 | NA | NA | 3894.76 | NA |