Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 36439 | NA | NA | 0.988833 | NA |
2 | 36368 | NA | NA | 0.941454 | NA |
3 | 36290 | NA | NA | 0.974122 | NA |
4 | 36147 | NA | NA | 1.07987 | NA |
5 | 37615 | NA | NA | 1.14451 | NA |
6 | 37543 | NA | NA | 1.1398 | NA |
7 | 36439 | 37069.1 | 36310.5 | 1.02089 | 0.983003 |
8 | 35705 | 35732.4 | 36249 | 0.985748 | 0.999233 |
9 | 35777 | 33727.8 | 36154 | 0.932892 | 1.06076 |
10 | 35777 | 32119.8 | 36068.2 | 0.890528 | 1.11386 |
11 | 35848 | 33200.4 | 35982.5 | 0.922682 | 1.07975 |
12 | 35998 | 35109.9 | 35875.3 | 0.978665 | 1.02529 |
13 | 35998 | 35353.5 | 35752.7 | 0.988833 | 1.01823 |
14 | 35335 | 33515.1 | 35599.3 | 0.941454 | 1.0543 |
15 | 35043 | 34498.5 | 35415 | 0.974122 | 1.01578 |
16 | 35335 | 38011.5 | 35200.1 | 1.07987 | 0.929587 |
17 | 36368 | 40030.7 | 34976.2 | 1.14451 | 0.908504 |
18 | 36218 | 39631.9 | 34770.8 | 1.1398 | 0.91386 |
19 | 34822 | 35290.6 | 34568.4 | 1.02089 | 0.986722 |
20 | 33640 | 33885.2 | 34375.1 | 0.985748 | 0.992763 |
21 | 33419 | 31890.8 | 34184.9 | 0.932892 | 1.04792 |
22 | 32977 | 30273.2 | 33994.6 | 0.890528 | 1.08931 |
23 | 33276 | 31182.2 | 33795.2 | 0.922682 | 1.06715 |
24 | 33640 | 32858 | 33574.3 | 0.978665 | 1.0238 |
25 | 33497 | 32968.7 | 33341 | 0.988833 | 1.01602 |
26 | 33198 | 31175.3 | 33114 | 0.941454 | 1.06488 |
27 | 32614 | 32033.2 | 32884.2 | 0.974122 | 1.01813 |
28 | 33198 | 35232.7 | 32626.8 | 1.07987 | 0.94225 |
29 | 33718 | 37022.4 | 32347.8 | 1.14451 | 0.910747 |
30 | 33568 | 36538.2 | 32056.6 | 1.1398 | 0.91871 |
31 | 31873 | 32413.2 | 31749.9 | 1.02089 | 0.983333 |
32 | 31139 | 30979.9 | 31427.8 | 0.985748 | 1.00513 |
33 | 30405 | 29035.5 | 31124.1 | 0.932892 | 1.04717 |
34 | 29814 | 27484.8 | 30863.5 | 0.890528 | 1.08475 |
35 | 29743 | 28247.9 | 30615 | 0.922682 | 1.05293 |
36 | 30184 | 29679.5 | 30326.5 | 0.978665 | 1.017 |
37 | 29593 | 29666.4 | 30001.5 | 0.988833 | 0.997525 |
38 | 29372 | 27921.7 | 29658 | 0.941454 | 1.05194 |
39 | 29151 | 28523 | 29280.7 | 0.974122 | 1.02202 |
40 | 30405 | 31182.2 | 28875.9 | 1.07987 | 0.975076 |
41 | 30548 | 32602.6 | 28486.1 | 1.14451 | 0.93698 |
42 | 29814 | 32041.5 | 28111.5 | 1.1398 | 0.93048 |
43 | 27826 | 28341.5 | 27761.5 | 1.02089 | 0.981811 |
44 | 26943 | 27039.3 | 27430.2 | 0.985748 | 0.996438 |
45 | 25547 | 25280.4 | 27099 | 0.932892 | 1.01054 |
46 | 24955 | 23840.1 | 26770.7 | 0.890528 | 1.04677 |
47 | 25247 | 24426.4 | 26473.3 | 0.922682 | 1.03359 |
48 | 25689 | 25662.4 | 26221.9 | 0.978665 | 1.00103 |
49 | 25689 | 25713.6 | 26004 | 0.988833 | 0.999043 |
50 | 25326 | 24302.5 | 25813.8 | 0.941454 | 1.04212 |
51 | 25247 | 24960.4 | 25623.5 | 0.974122 | 1.01148 |
52 | 26430 | 27441.5 | 25411.9 | 1.07987 | 0.96314 |
53 | 27385 | 28845.7 | 25203.5 | 1.14451 | 0.949362 |
54 | 26943 | 28524.5 | 25025.8 | 1.1398 | 0.944557 |
55 | 25468 | 25379.6 | 24860.2 | 1.02089 | 1.00348 |
56 | 24735 | 24318.4 | 24670 | 0.985748 | 1.01713 |
57 | 23189 | 22814.2 | 24455.4 | 0.932892 | 1.01643 |
58 | 22234 | 21589.7 | 24243.7 | 0.890528 | 1.02984 |
59 | 22968 | 22171 | 24028.8 | 0.922682 | 1.03595 |
60 | 23702 | 23306.1 | 23814.2 | 0.978665 | 1.01699 |
61 | 23702 | 23342.2 | 23605.8 | 0.988833 | 1.01541 |
62 | 22747 | 22019 | 23388.2 | 0.941454 | 1.03306 |
63 | 22676 | 22540.9 | 23139.8 | 0.974122 | 1.00599 |
64 | 23922 | 24702.9 | 22875.8 | 1.07987 | 0.968388 |
65 | 24735 | 25865.6 | 22599.8 | 1.14451 | 0.956288 |
66 | 24442 | 25448.3 | 22326.9 | 1.1398 | 0.960458 |
67 | 22968 | 22540 | 22078.7 | 1.02089 | 1.01899 |
68 | 22013 | 21486 | 21796.7 | 0.985748 | 1.02453 |
69 | 19947 | 20065 | 21508.4 | 0.932892 | 0.994117 |
70 | 19142 | 18938.2 | 21266.2 | 0.890528 | 1.01076 |
71 | 19434 | 19409.7 | 21036.2 | 0.922682 | 1.00125 |
72 | 20688 | 20352.9 | 20796.6 | 0.978665 | 1.01646 |
73 | 20759 | 20300.2 | 20529.5 | 0.988833 | 1.0226 |
74 | 18921 | 19038.6 | 20222.6 | 0.941454 | 0.993821 |
75 | 19584 | 19400.6 | 19916 | 0.974122 | 1.00945 |
76 | 21201 | 21175.5 | 19609.3 | 1.07987 | 1.0012 |
77 | 21935 | 22081.3 | 19293.2 | 1.14451 | 0.993376 |
78 | 21493 | 21633.5 | 18980 | 1.1398 | 0.993505 |
79 | 19506 | 19035 | 18645.5 | 1.02089 | 1.02474 |
80 | 18109 | 18044.2 | 18305 | 0.985748 | 1.00359 |
81 | 16492 | 16761.8 | 17967.5 | 0.932892 | 0.983905 |
82 | 15238 | 15694.5 | 17623.8 | 0.890528 | 0.970915 |
83 | 15751 | 15949.8 | 17286.3 | 0.922682 | 0.987539 |
84 | 16855 | 16590.4 | 16952.1 | 0.978665 | 1.01595 |
85 | 16563 | 16429.3 | 16614.9 | 0.988833 | 1.00814 |
86 | 14946 | 15344.8 | 16299 | 0.941454 | 0.97401 |
87 | 15459 | 15602.3 | 16016.8 | 0.974122 | 0.990815 |
88 | 17076 | 16998 | 15740.8 | 1.07987 | 1.00459 |
89 | 17960 | 17678.8 | 15446.6 | 1.14451 | 1.01591 |
90 | 17447 | 17256.9 | 15140.2 | 1.1398 | 1.01102 |
91 | 15459 | 15162.3 | 14852 | 1.02089 | 1.01957 |
92 | 14576 | 14386.1 | 14594.1 | 0.985748 | 1.0132 |
93 | 13251 | 13374.1 | 14336.2 | 0.932892 | 0.990793 |
94 | 11854 | 12534.7 | 14075.6 | 0.890528 | 0.945692 |
95 | 12075 | 12738.6 | 13806.1 | 0.922682 | 0.947904 |
96 | 13179 | 13220.4 | 13508.6 | 0.978665 | 0.996867 |
97 | 13322 | 13024 | 13171.1 | 0.988833 | 1.02288 |
98 | 11997 | 12033.4 | 12781.7 | 0.941454 | 0.996979 |
99 | 12218 | 12029.6 | 12349.2 | 0.974122 | 1.01566 |
100 | 14063 | 12825.2 | 11876.6 | 1.07987 | 1.09651 |
101 | 14504 | 13048.7 | 11401.1 | 1.14451 | 1.11153 |
102 | 13764 | 12456.4 | 10928.6 | 1.1398 | 1.10497 |
103 | 11042 | 10649.7 | 10431.7 | 1.02089 | 1.03684 |
104 | 9646 | 9778.29 | 9919.67 | 0.985748 | 0.986471 |
105 | 7801 | 8796.2 | 9428.96 | 0.932892 | 0.88686 |
106 | 5963 | 7987 | 8968.83 | 0.890528 | 0.746589 |
107 | 6554 | 7873.32 | 8533.08 | 0.922682 | 0.832431 |
108 | 7359 | 7954.8 | 8128.21 | 0.978665 | 0.925102 |
109 | 7217 | 7688.75 | 7775.58 | 0.988833 | 0.938644 |
110 | 5813 | 7025.84 | 7462.75 | 0.941454 | 0.827374 |
111 | 6625 | 6979.91 | 7165.33 | 0.974122 | 0.949153 |
112 | 8613 | 7439.49 | 6889.25 | 1.07987 | 1.15774 |
113 | 9496 | 7561.73 | 6606.96 | 1.14451 | 1.2558 |
114 | 9055 | 7181.19 | 6300.38 | 1.1398 | 1.26093 |
115 | 7288 | NA | NA | 1.02089 | NA |
116 | 5892 | NA | NA | 0.985748 | NA |
117 | 4417 | NA | NA | 0.932892 | NA |
118 | 2721 | NA | NA | 0.890528 | NA |
119 | 3021 | NA | NA | 0.922682 | NA |
120 | 3534 | NA | NA | 0.978665 | NA |