Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 615 | NA | NA | -44.2188 | NA |
2 | 680 | NA | NA | -80.2083 | NA |
3 | 680 | NA | NA | 26.1198 | NA |
4 | 625 | NA | NA | 4.71354 | NA |
5 | 710 | NA | NA | 73.3594 | NA |
6 | 695 | NA | NA | -16.6146 | NA |
7 | 640 | 635.521 | 674.792 | -39.2708 | 4.47917 |
8 | 665 | 633.594 | 675.417 | -41.8229 | 31.4062 |
9 | 700 | 788.516 | 674.583 | 113.932 | -88.5156 |
10 | 685 | 620.365 | 674.792 | -54.4271 | 64.6354 |
11 | 645 | 674.609 | 676.25 | -1.64062 | -29.6094 |
12 | 750 | 736.12 | 676.042 | 60.0781 | 13.8802 |
13 | 630 | 632.24 | 676.458 | -44.2188 | -2.23958 |
14 | 680 | 599.167 | 679.375 | -80.2083 | 80.8333 |
15 | 660 | 709.661 | 683.542 | 26.1198 | -49.6615 |
16 | 650 | 688.672 | 683.958 | 4.71354 | -38.6719 |
17 | 720 | 755.859 | 682.5 | 73.3594 | -35.8594 |
18 | 680 | 665.469 | 682.083 | -16.6146 | 14.5312 |
19 | 665 | 642.396 | 681.667 | -39.2708 | 22.6042 |
20 | 710 | 640.469 | 682.292 | -41.8229 | 69.5312 |
21 | 755 | 797.891 | 683.958 | 113.932 | -42.8906 |
22 | 640 | 632.865 | 687.292 | -54.4271 | 7.13542 |
23 | 655 | 687.943 | 689.583 | -1.64062 | -32.9427 |
24 | 730 | 751.12 | 691.042 | 60.0781 | -21.1198 |
25 | 640 | 645.781 | 690 | -44.2188 | -5.78125 |
26 | 685 | 604.375 | 684.583 | -80.2083 | 80.625 |
27 | 695 | 709.036 | 682.917 | 26.1198 | -14.0365 |
28 | 695 | 688.672 | 683.958 | 4.71354 | 6.32812 |
29 | 730 | 758.568 | 685.208 | 73.3594 | -28.5677 |
30 | 705 | 670.26 | 686.875 | -16.6146 | 34.7396 |
31 | 615 | 646.146 | 685.417 | -39.2708 | -31.1458 |
32 | 630 | 640.677 | 682.5 | -41.8229 | -10.6771 |
33 | 795 | 794.974 | 681.042 | 113.932 | 0.0260417 |
34 | 625 | 627.031 | 681.458 | -54.4271 | -2.03125 |
35 | 700 | 680.026 | 681.667 | -1.64062 | 19.974 |
36 | 725 | 742.578 | 682.5 | 60.0781 | -17.5781 |
37 | 610 | 639.948 | 684.167 | -44.2188 | -29.9479 |
38 | 645 | 604.792 | 685 | -80.2083 | 40.2083 |
39 | 700 | 710.286 | 684.167 | 26.1198 | -10.2865 |
40 | 700 | 687.63 | 682.917 | 4.71354 | 12.3698 |
41 | 730 | 755.443 | 682.083 | 73.3594 | -25.4427 |
42 | 725 | 665.885 | 682.5 | -16.6146 | 59.1146 |
43 | 635 | 643.229 | 682.5 | -39.2708 | -8.22917 |
44 | 630 | 637.76 | 679.583 | -41.8229 | -7.76042 |
45 | 775 | 791.432 | 677.5 | 113.932 | -16.4323 |
46 | 615 | 622.656 | 677.083 | -54.4271 | -7.65625 |
47 | 690 | 676.068 | 677.708 | -1.64062 | 13.9323 |
48 | 745 | 737.786 | 677.708 | 60.0781 | 7.21354 |
49 | 590 | 632.865 | 677.083 | -44.2188 | -42.8646 |
50 | 595 | 596.042 | 676.25 | -80.2083 | -1.04167 |
51 | 700 | 702.161 | 676.042 | 26.1198 | -2.16146 |
52 | 690 | 681.589 | 676.875 | 4.71354 | 8.41146 |
53 | 755 | 750.026 | 676.667 | 73.3594 | 4.97396 |
54 | 700 | 659.219 | 675.833 | -16.6146 | 40.7813 |
55 | 645 | 637.396 | 676.667 | -39.2708 | 7.60417 |
56 | 600 | 635.26 | 677.083 | -41.8229 | -35.2604 |
57 | 800 | 789.557 | 675.625 | 113.932 | 10.4427 |
58 | 610 | 620.99 | 675.417 | -54.4271 | -10.9896 |
59 | 690 | 675.026 | 676.667 | -1.64062 | 14.974 |
60 | 725 | 736.328 | 676.25 | 60.0781 | -11.3281 |
61 | 630 | 628.698 | 672.917 | -44.2188 | 1.30208 |
62 | 565 | 590.833 | 671.042 | -80.2083 | -25.8333 |
63 | 695 | 696.536 | 670.417 | 26.1198 | -1.53646 |
64 | 690 | 673.255 | 668.542 | 4.71354 | 16.7448 |
65 | 785 | 739.401 | 666.042 | 73.3594 | 45.599 |
66 | 660 | 647.76 | 664.375 | -16.6146 | 12.2396 |
67 | 605 | 624.479 | 663.75 | -39.2708 | -19.4792 |
68 | 595 | 620.052 | 661.875 | -41.8229 | -25.0521 |
69 | 790 | 775.182 | 661.25 | 113.932 | 14.8177 |
70 | 575 | 607.656 | 662.083 | -54.4271 | -32.6562 |
71 | 665 | 658.568 | 660.208 | -1.64062 | 6.43229 |
72 | 710 | 717.161 | 657.083 | 60.0781 | -7.16146 |
73 | 630 | 612.24 | 656.458 | -44.2188 | 17.7604 |
74 | 520 | 577.917 | 658.125 | -80.2083 | -57.9167 |
75 | 725 | 686.953 | 660.833 | 26.1198 | 38.0469 |
76 | 680 | 668.88 | 664.167 | 4.71354 | 11.1198 |
77 | 750 | 739.193 | 665.833 | 73.3594 | 10.8073 |
78 | 620 | 650.885 | 667.5 | -16.6146 | -30.8854 |
79 | 630 | 629.687 | 668.958 | -39.2708 | 0.3125 |
80 | 610 | 627.344 | 669.167 | -41.8229 | -17.3437 |
81 | 840 | 783.099 | 669.167 | 113.932 | 56.901 |
82 | 605 | 613.698 | 668.125 | -54.4271 | -8.69792 |
83 | 675 | 665.651 | 667.292 | -1.64062 | 9.34896 |
84 | 740 | 725.911 | 665.833 | 60.0781 | 14.0885 |
85 | 635 | 620.573 | 664.792 | -44.2188 | 14.4271 |
86 | 520 | 585.417 | 665.625 | -80.2083 | -65.4167 |
87 | 725 | 691.953 | 665.833 | 26.1198 | 33.0469 |
88 | 655 | 670.13 | 665.417 | 4.71354 | -15.1302 |
89 | 755 | 737.526 | 664.167 | 73.3594 | 17.474 |
90 | 580 | 646.719 | 663.333 | -16.6146 | -66.7188 |
91 | 645 | 625.104 | 664.375 | -39.2708 | 19.8958 |
92 | 615 | 623.802 | 665.625 | -41.8229 | -8.80208 |
93 | 840 | 778.307 | 664.375 | 113.932 | 61.6927 |
94 | 595 | 608.698 | 663.125 | -54.4271 | -13.6979 |
95 | 655 | 661.068 | 662.708 | -1.64062 | -6.06771 |
96 | 740 | 721.953 | 661.875 | 60.0781 | 18.0469 |
97 | 660 | 616.615 | 660.833 | -44.2188 | 43.3854 |
98 | 525 | 580.417 | 660.625 | -80.2083 | -55.4167 |
99 | 690 | 687.37 | 661.25 | 26.1198 | 2.63021 |
100 | 660 | 665.13 | 660.417 | 4.71354 | -5.13021 |
101 | 740 | 732.943 | 659.583 | 73.3594 | 7.05729 |
102 | 575 | 642.76 | 659.375 | -16.6146 | -67.7604 |
103 | 625 | NA | NA | -39.2708 | NA |
104 | 630 | NA | NA | -41.8229 | NA |
105 | 840 | NA | NA | 113.932 | NA |
106 | 575 | NA | NA | -54.4271 | NA |
107 | 655 | NA | NA | -1.64062 | NA |
108 | 735 | NA | NA | 60.0781 | NA |