Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 7175 | NA | NA | 497.231 | NA |
2 | 7048.75 | NA | NA | -1218.5 | NA |
3 | 6922.5 | NA | NA | -1274.13 | NA |
4 | 6670 | NA | NA | -1150.72 | NA |
5 | 9225 | NA | NA | 931.549 | NA |
6 | 9098.75 | NA | NA | 1574.9 | NA |
7 | 7175 | 7111.68 | 6921.77 | 189.911 | 63.3184 |
8 | 5897.5 | 6510.41 | 6767.34 | -256.935 | -612.908 |
9 | 6023.75 | 6385.48 | 6564.9 | -179.412 | -361.734 |
10 | 6023.75 | 5602.74 | 6351.88 | -749.134 | 421.009 |
11 | 6150 | 6817.6 | 6144.17 | 673.435 | -667.602 |
12 | 6416.25 | 6908.85 | 5947.03 | 961.815 | -492.596 |
13 | 5645 | 6262.91 | 5765.68 | 497.231 | -617.908 |
14 | 4872.5 | 4328.37 | 5546.88 | -1218.5 | 544.129 |
15 | 4240 | 4059.2 | 5333.33 | -1274.13 | 180.801 |
16 | 4240 | 4011.78 | 5162.5 | -1150.72 | 228.22 |
17 | 6670 | 5955.4 | 5023.85 | 931.549 | 714.597 |
18 | 6922.5 | 6502.82 | 4927.92 | 1574.9 | 419.684 |
19 | 4998.75 | 5059.29 | 4869.38 | 189.911 | -60.5358 |
20 | 2822.5 | 4559.16 | 4816.09 | -256.935 | -1736.66 |
21 | 3973.75 | 4615.07 | 4794.48 | -179.412 | -641.317 |
22 | 3973.75 | 4066.44 | 4815.57 | -749.134 | -92.6886 |
23 | 4872.5 | 5488.96 | 4815.52 | 673.435 | -616.456 |
24 | 5391.25 | 5734.58 | 4772.76 | 961.815 | -343.325 |
25 | 5265 | 5189.84 | 4692.6 | 497.231 | 75.1644 |
26 | 3973.75 | 3415.56 | 4634.06 | -1218.5 | 558.191 |
27 | 4620 | 3338.83 | 4612.97 | -1274.13 | 1281.17 |
28 | 4366.25 | 3468.08 | 4618.8 | -1150.72 | 898.168 |
29 | 6542.5 | 5550.92 | 4619.37 | 931.549 | 991.576 |
30 | 6023.75 | 6172.66 | 4597.76 | 1574.9 | -148.91 |
31 | 3973.75 | 4728.04 | 4538.12 | 189.911 | -754.286 |
32 | 2442.5 | 4201.03 | 4457.97 | -256.935 | -1758.53 |
33 | 3847.5 | 4204.23 | 4383.65 | -179.412 | -356.734 |
34 | 4240 | 3564.93 | 4314.06 | -749.134 | 675.072 |
35 | 4620 | 4981.72 | 4308.28 | 673.435 | -361.716 |
36 | 5125 | 5333.9 | 4372.08 | 961.815 | -208.898 |
37 | 4100 | 4959.99 | 4462.76 | 497.231 | -859.992 |
38 | 3215 | 3393.48 | 4611.98 | -1218.5 | -178.476 |
39 | 3595 | 3513.99 | 4788.12 | -1274.13 | 81.0094 |
40 | 3721.25 | 3755.01 | 4905.73 | -1150.72 | -33.7592 |
41 | 7048.75 | 5949.57 | 5018.02 | 931.549 | 1099.18 |
42 | 7048.75 | 6764.27 | 5189.38 | 1574.9 | 284.476 |
43 | 5125 | 5636.11 | 5446.2 | 189.911 | -511.109 |
44 | 4872.5 | 5461.35 | 5718.28 | -256.935 | -588.846 |
45 | 5645 | 5736 | 5915.42 | -179.412 | -91.0045 |
46 | 5265 | 5299.62 | 6048.75 | -749.134 | -34.6156 |
47 | 6290 | 6834.48 | 6161.04 | 673.435 | -544.477 |
48 | 7567.5 | 7251.55 | 6289.74 | 961.815 | 315.946 |
49 | 7821.25 | 6979.47 | 6482.24 | 497.231 | 841.779 |
50 | 6023.75 | 5546.91 | 6765.42 | -1218.5 | 476.837 |
51 | 5517.5 | 5774.41 | 7048.54 | -1274.13 | -256.907 |
52 | 4998.75 | 6116.57 | 7267.29 | -1150.72 | -1117.82 |
53 | 8466.25 | 8396.03 | 7464.48 | 931.549 | 70.2223 |
54 | 8720 | 9241.88 | 7666.98 | 1574.9 | -521.878 |
55 | 8073.75 | 8070.43 | 7880.52 | 189.911 | 3.31838 |
56 | 8720 | 7858.74 | 8115.68 | -256.935 | 861.258 |
57 | 8592.5 | 8160.38 | 8339.79 | -179.412 | 432.12 |
58 | 7567.5 | 7846.96 | 8596.09 | -749.134 | -279.459 |
59 | 8720 | 9573.8 | 8900.36 | 673.435 | -853.8 |
60 | 9997.5 | 10192.8 | 9230.94 | 961.815 | -195.252 |
61 | 10516.25 | 10107.3 | 9610.05 | 497.231 | 408.967 |
62 | 8972.5 | 8781.18 | 9999.69 | -1218.5 | 191.316 |
63 | 7947.5 | 9109.36 | 10383.5 | -1274.13 | -1161.86 |
64 | 8720 | 9606.1 | 10756.8 | -1150.72 | -886.103 |
65 | 12047.5 | 12093.8 | 11162.3 | 931.549 | -46.3402 |
66 | 13072.5 | 13153.7 | 11578.8 | 1574.9 | -81.2013 |
67 | 12820 | 12163.6 | 11973.7 | 189.911 | 656.391 |
68 | 13325 | 12090 | 12347 | -256.935 | 1234.96 |
69 | 13198.75 | 12514.5 | 12693.9 | -179.412 | 684.256 |
70 | 11921.25 | 12307.5 | 13056.6 | -749.134 | -386.23 |
71 | 14097.5 | 14066.4 | 13393 | 673.435 | 31.0962 |
72 | 14616.25 | 14702.2 | 13740.4 | 961.815 | -85.9814 |
73 | 15375 | 14622 | 14124.7 | 497.231 | 753.029 |
74 | 13072.5 | 13258.4 | 14476.9 | -1218.5 | -185.924 |
75 | 12173.75 | 13549.8 | 14823.9 | -1274.13 | -1376.02 |
76 | 13198.75 | 14052.3 | 15203 | -1150.72 | -853.551 |
77 | 15641.25 | 16535.3 | 15603.8 | 931.549 | -894.049 |
78 | 17817.5 | 17563.1 | 15988.2 | 1574.9 | 254.424 |
79 | 17298.75 | 16492.9 | 16303 | 189.911 | 805.818 |
80 | 17298.75 | 16318.2 | 16575.1 | -256.935 | 980.581 |
81 | 17552.5 | 16726.8 | 16906.2 | -179.412 | 825.714 |
82 | 16666.25 | 16509.8 | 17259 | -749.134 | 156.426 |
83 | 18970 | 18220.8 | 17547.4 | 673.435 | 749.169 |
84 | 18970 | 18765.5 | 17803.6 | 961.815 | 204.539 |
85 | 18577.5 | 18514.4 | 18017.2 | 497.231 | 63.0811 |
86 | 16400 | 17001.7 | 18220.2 | -1218.5 | -601.705 |
87 | 16792.5 | 17143.8 | 18417.9 | -1274.13 | -351.282 |
88 | 17046.25 | 17448.6 | 18599.3 | -1150.72 | -402.301 |
89 | 18716.25 | 19760.2 | 18828.6 | 931.549 | -1043.94 |
90 | 20892.5 | 20632.9 | 19058 | 1574.9 | 259.632 |
91 | 19348.75 | 19429.2 | 19239.3 | 189.911 | -80.4316 |
92 | 20121.25 | 19180 | 19437 | -256.935 | 941.206 |
93 | 19475 | 19529.7 | 19709.1 | -179.412 | -54.6504 |
94 | 19096.25 | 19285.2 | 20034.4 | -749.134 | -188.991 |
95 | 22045 | 21012 | 20338.6 | 673.435 | 1032.97 |
96 | 21398.75 | 21519.2 | 20557.4 | 961.815 | -120.461 |
97 | 20500 | 21247.1 | 20749.8 | 497.231 | -747.075 |
98 | 19222.5 | 19739.6 | 20958.1 | -1218.5 | -517.069 |
99 | 20500 | 19881.1 | 21155.3 | -1274.13 | 618.874 |
100 | 21146.25 | 20207 | 21357.8 | -1150.72 | 939.21 |
101 | 21917.5 | 22512.9 | 21581.3 | 931.549 | -595.351 |
102 | 22942.5 | 23428.3 | 21853.4 | 1574.9 | -485.785 |
103 | 21917.5 | 22348.1 | 22158.2 | 189.911 | -430.64 |
104 | 22550 | 22179.2 | 22436.1 | -256.935 | 370.789 |
105 | 21778.75 | 22523.6 | 22703 | -179.412 | -744.807 |
106 | 21652.5 | 22231.2 | 22980.3 | -749.134 | -578.678 |
107 | 24853.75 | 23931.1 | 23257.7 | 673.435 | 922.659 |
108 | 25120 | 24502.1 | 23540.3 | 961.815 | 617.873 |
109 | 24095 | 24320.2 | 23823 | 497.231 | -225.2 |
110 | 22297.5 | 22893 | 24111.5 | -1218.5 | -595.455 |
111 | 23828.75 | 23152.7 | 24426.8 | -1274.13 | 676.061 |
112 | 24473.75 | 23554 | 24704.7 | -1150.72 | 919.783 |
113 | 25246.25 | 25850.3 | 24918.8 | 931.549 | -604.049 |
114 | 26397.5 | 26686.1 | 25111.2 | 1574.9 | -288.597 |
115 | 25246.25 | NA | NA | 189.911 | NA |
116 | 26145 | NA | NA | -256.935 | NA |
117 | 25752.5 | NA | NA | -179.412 | NA |
118 | 24347.5 | NA | NA | -749.134 | NA |
119 | 27296.25 | NA | NA | 673.435 | NA |
120 | 27296.25 | NA | NA | 961.815 | NA |