| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 40927 | NA | NA | 1.02671 | NA |
| 2 | 40856 | NA | NA | 0.987796 | NA |
| 3 | 40778 | NA | NA | 1.0138 | NA |
| 4 | 40635 | NA | NA | 0.984931 | NA |
| 5 | 42103 | NA | NA | 1.08399 | NA |
| 6 | 42032 | NA | NA | 1.12673 | NA |
| 7 | 40927 | 39349.1 | 40814 | 0.964107 | 1.0401 |
| 8 | 40194 | 39452.6 | 40792.7 | 0.967149 | 1.01879 |
| 9 | 40265 | 41148.2 | 40777.5 | 1.00909 | 0.978537 |
| 10 | 40265 | 39378.8 | 40774.5 | 0.965769 | 1.0225 |
| 11 | 40336 | 37262.9 | 40749.9 | 0.914429 | 1.08247 |
| 12 | 40486 | 38924.8 | 40737.7 | 0.955499 | 1.04011 |
| 13 | 40856 | 41791.3 | 40704.2 | 1.02671 | 0.97762 |
| 14 | 40414 | 40134.7 | 40630.5 | 0.987796 | 1.00696 |
| 15 | 40856 | 41141 | 40581.2 | 1.0138 | 0.993072 |
| 16 | 40486 | 39936.3 | 40547.3 | 0.984931 | 1.01376 |
| 17 | 41661 | 43890 | 40489.1 | 1.08399 | 0.949215 |
| 18 | 42181 | 45527.1 | 40406.3 | 1.12673 | 0.926503 |
| 19 | 39973 | 38893.6 | 40341.6 | 0.964107 | 1.02775 |
| 20 | 39381 | 38986.5 | 40310.7 | 0.967149 | 1.01012 |
| 21 | 39894 | 40646.1 | 40279.9 | 1.00909 | 0.981497 |
| 22 | 39823 | 38874.1 | 40252 | 0.965769 | 1.02441 |
| 23 | 39381 | 36788 | 40230.6 | 0.914429 | 1.07048 |
| 24 | 39453 | 38396.4 | 40184.6 | 0.955499 | 1.02752 |
| 25 | 40336 | 41175.6 | 40104.5 | 1.02671 | 0.97961 |
| 26 | 40194 | 39542 | 40030.5 | 0.987796 | 1.01649 |
| 27 | 40336 | 40554.8 | 40003 | 1.0138 | 0.994605 |
| 28 | 40336 | 39376.2 | 39978.6 | 0.984931 | 1.02438 |
| 29 | 41298 | 43270.3 | 39917.5 | 1.08399 | 0.954418 |
| 30 | 41440 | 44900.4 | 39850.1 | 1.12673 | 0.922931 |
| 31 | 38790 | 38366.5 | 39794.9 | 0.964107 | 1.01104 |
| 32 | 38790 | 38422.2 | 39727.2 | 0.967149 | 1.00957 |
| 33 | 39823 | 39998.5 | 39638.2 | 1.00909 | 0.995612 |
| 34 | 39310 | 38148.4 | 39500.5 | 0.965769 | 1.03045 |
| 35 | 38427 | 35974.6 | 39341.1 | 0.914429 | 1.06817 |
| 36 | 38790 | 37461.3 | 39206 | 0.955499 | 1.03547 |
| 37 | 39674 | 40111.4 | 39068 | 1.02671 | 0.989096 |
| 38 | 39232 | 38442.8 | 38917.8 | 0.987796 | 1.02053 |
| 39 | 39161 | 39318 | 38783 | 1.0138 | 0.996006 |
| 40 | 38206 | 38071.7 | 38654.2 | 0.984931 | 1.00353 |
| 41 | 39602 | 41724.6 | 38491.5 | 1.08399 | 0.949128 |
| 42 | 39894 | 43173 | 38317 | 1.12673 | 0.924049 |
| 43 | 37023 | 36773.4 | 38142.5 | 0.964107 | 1.00679 |
| 44 | 36952 | 36735.3 | 37983 | 0.967149 | 1.0059 |
| 45 | 38427 | 38176.7 | 37832.8 | 1.00909 | 1.00656 |
| 46 | 37615 | 36380.7 | 37670.2 | 0.965769 | 1.03393 |
| 47 | 36218 | 34317.5 | 37528.9 | 0.914429 | 1.05538 |
| 48 | 36810 | 35729.9 | 37393.9 | 0.955499 | 1.03023 |
| 49 | 37465 | 38226 | 37231.6 | 1.02671 | 0.980093 |
| 50 | 37615 | 36595.8 | 37047.9 | 0.987796 | 1.02785 |
| 51 | 37173 | 37341.4 | 36833.3 | 1.0138 | 0.99549 |
| 52 | 36290 | 36009.6 | 36560.5 | 0.984931 | 1.00779 |
| 53 | 38128 | 39289 | 36244.7 | 1.08399 | 0.97045 |
| 54 | 38128 | 40468.2 | 35916.4 | 1.12673 | 0.942173 |
| 55 | 34893 | 34325.9 | 35603.8 | 0.964107 | 1.01652 |
| 56 | 34673 | 34108.4 | 35266.9 | 0.967149 | 1.01655 |
| 57 | 35556 | 35197.8 | 34880.7 | 1.00909 | 1.01018 |
| 58 | 33939 | 33292.8 | 34472.8 | 0.965769 | 1.01941 |
| 59 | 32314 | 31130.4 | 34043.6 | 0.914429 | 1.03802 |
| 60 | 32835 | 32115.6 | 33611.4 | 0.955499 | 1.0224 |
| 61 | 33939 | 34068.4 | 33182.2 | 1.02671 | 0.996202 |
| 62 | 33055 | 32359.1 | 32758.9 | 0.987796 | 1.02151 |
| 63 | 32464 | 32775.3 | 32329.3 | 1.0138 | 0.990501 |
| 64 | 31210 | 31398.1 | 31878.5 | 0.984931 | 0.99401 |
| 65 | 32906 | 34040.9 | 31403.2 | 1.08399 | 0.96666 |
| 66 | 32977 | 34843.9 | 30924.7 | 1.12673 | 0.94642 |
| 67 | 29743 | 29364.8 | 30458.1 | 0.964107 | 1.01288 |
| 68 | 29664 | 28994.4 | 29979.3 | 0.967149 | 1.02309 |
| 69 | 30256 | 29778.3 | 29510 | 1.00909 | 1.01604 |
| 70 | 28418 | 28070.5 | 29065.4 | 0.965769 | 1.01238 |
| 71 | 26430 | 26182.8 | 28632.9 | 0.914429 | 1.00944 |
| 72 | 27235 | 26966.2 | 28222.1 | 0.955499 | 1.00997 |
| 73 | 28339 | 28550.7 | 27808 | 1.02671 | 0.992585 |
| 74 | 27164 | 27014.2 | 27347.9 | 0.987796 | 1.00555 |
| 75 | 27093 | 27224.8 | 26854.3 | 1.0138 | 0.995161 |
| 76 | 25910 | 25954 | 26351.1 | 0.984931 | 0.998303 |
| 77 | 27826 | 28009.1 | 25838.7 | 1.08399 | 0.993465 |
| 78 | 28197 | 28526.1 | 25317.5 | 1.12673 | 0.988465 |
| 79 | 24585 | 23906.3 | 24796.3 | 0.964107 | 1.02839 |
| 80 | 23780 | 23471.6 | 24268.8 | 0.967149 | 1.01314 |
| 81 | 24293 | 23957.1 | 23741.3 | 1.00909 | 1.01402 |
| 82 | 22305 | 22443 | 23238.5 | 0.965769 | 0.99385 |
| 83 | 20246 | 20798.6 | 22744.9 | 0.914429 | 0.973431 |
| 84 | 20909 | 21252 | 22241.8 | 0.955499 | 0.98386 |
| 85 | 22156 | 22278.4 | 21698.9 | 1.02671 | 0.994505 |
| 86 | 20688 | 20885.8 | 21143.8 | 0.987796 | 0.990531 |
| 87 | 20909 | 20906.7 | 20622.2 | 1.0138 | 1.00011 |
| 88 | 20026 | 19803.9 | 20106.9 | 0.984931 | 1.01122 |
| 89 | 21864 | 21237.2 | 19591.6 | 1.08399 | 1.02952 |
| 90 | 22084 | 21500.6 | 19082.2 | 1.12673 | 1.02713 |
| 91 | 17668 | 17921.1 | 18588.3 | 0.964107 | 0.985875 |
| 92 | 17375 | 17497.1 | 18091.4 | 0.967149 | 0.993022 |
| 93 | 18180 | 17720.3 | 17560.7 | 1.00909 | 1.02594 |
| 94 | 16050 | 16408.3 | 16989.8 | 0.965769 | 0.978166 |
| 95 | 14134 | 14983.3 | 16385.4 | 0.914429 | 0.943317 |
| 96 | 14797 | 15081.9 | 15784.3 | 0.955499 | 0.981111 |
| 97 | 16414 | 15594.8 | 15189.1 | 1.02671 | 1.05253 |
| 98 | 14504 | 14421.7 | 14599.9 | 0.987796 | 1.0057 |
| 99 | 14355 | 14210.3 | 14017 | 1.0138 | 1.01018 |
| 100 | 12880 | 13240.6 | 13443.2 | 0.984931 | 0.972763 |
| 101 | 14504 | 13963.6 | 12881.6 | 1.08399 | 1.0387 |
| 102 | 15017 | 13895.4 | 12332.5 | 1.12673 | 1.08072 |
| 103 | 10451 | 11384.1 | 11807.9 | 0.964107 | 0.918036 |
| 104 | 10451 | 10918.5 | 11289.3 | 0.967149 | 0.957186 |
| 105 | 11113 | 10905.8 | 10807.6 | 1.00909 | 1.019 |
| 106 | 9347 | 10026 | 10381.3 | 0.965769 | 0.932279 |
| 107 | 7359 | 9122.76 | 9976.46 | 0.914429 | 0.806664 |
| 108 | 8392 | 9154.44 | 9580.79 | 0.955499 | 0.916714 |
| 109 | 10230 | 9427.36 | 9182.12 | 1.02671 | 1.08514 |
| 110 | 8242 | 8655.15 | 8762.08 | 0.987796 | 0.952265 |
| 111 | 9055 | 8444.83 | 8329.92 | 1.0138 | 1.07225 |
| 112 | 7950 | 7781.65 | 7900.71 | 0.984931 | 1.02163 |
| 113 | 9717 | 8125.75 | 7496.12 | 1.08399 | 1.19583 |
| 114 | 10308 | 7996.99 | 7097.5 | 1.12673 | 1.28899 |
| 115 | 5592 | NA | NA | 0.964107 | NA |
| 116 | 5229 | NA | NA | 0.967149 | NA |
| 117 | 5963 | NA | NA | 1.00909 | NA |
| 118 | 4196 | NA | NA | 0.965769 | NA |
| 119 | 2800 | NA | NA | 0.914429 | NA |
| 120 | 3384 | NA | NA | 0.955499 | NA |
