Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 2421.21 | NA | NA | 167.783 | NA |
2 | 2378.63 | NA | NA | -411.178 | NA |
3 | 2336 | NA | NA | -429.955 | NA |
4 | 2250.79 | NA | NA | -388.307 | NA |
5 | 3113 | NA | NA | 314.35 | NA |
6 | 3070.38 | NA | NA | 531.449 | NA |
7 | 2421.21 | 2399.85 | 2335.76 | 64.086 | 21.3636 |
8 | 1990.13 | 2196.95 | 2283.65 | -86.6977 | -206.821 |
9 | 2032.71 | 2154.78 | 2215.33 | -60.5489 | -122.074 |
10 | 2032.71 | 1890.65 | 2143.45 | -252.802 | 142.063 |
11 | 2075.33 | 2300.61 | 2073.36 | 227.256 | -225.283 |
12 | 2165.17 | 2331.4 | 2006.83 | 324.564 | -166.227 |
13 | 1904.92 | 2113.42 | 1945.63 | 167.783 | -208.497 |
14 | 1644.25 | 1460.62 | 1871.8 | -411.178 | 183.629 |
15 | 1430.79 | 1369.78 | 1799.74 | -429.955 | 61.0051 |
16 | 1430.79 | 1353.79 | 1742.09 | -388.307 | 77.0035 |
17 | 2250.79 | 2009.66 | 1695.31 | 314.35 | 241.131 |
18 | 2336 | 2194.38 | 1662.94 | 531.449 | 141.615 |
19 | 1686.83 | 1707.27 | 1643.18 | 64.086 | -20.4364 |
20 | 952.46 | 1538.5 | 1625.2 | -86.6977 | -586.042 |
21 | 1340.96 | 1557.36 | 1617.91 | -60.5489 | -216.397 |
22 | 1340.96 | 1372.22 | 1625.03 | -252.802 | -31.2644 |
23 | 1644.25 | 1852.27 | 1625.01 | 227.256 | -208.017 |
24 | 1819.29 | 1935.15 | 1610.58 | 324.564 | -115.857 |
25 | 1776.67 | 1751.32 | 1583.53 | 167.783 | 25.3535 |
26 | 1340.96 | 1152.6 | 1563.78 | -411.178 | 188.357 |
27 | 1559.04 | 1126.71 | 1556.66 | -429.955 | 432.333 |
28 | 1473.42 | 1170.32 | 1558.63 | -388.307 | 303.099 |
29 | 2207.79 | 1873.17 | 1558.82 | 314.35 | 334.618 |
30 | 2032.71 | 2082.98 | 1551.53 | 531.449 | -50.2669 |
31 | 1340.96 | 1595.49 | 1531.4 | 64.086 | -254.531 |
32 | 824.25 | 1417.66 | 1504.36 | -86.6977 | -593.408 |
33 | 1298.33 | 1418.73 | 1479.28 | -60.5489 | -120.397 |
34 | 1430.79 | 1202.99 | 1455.8 | -252.802 | 227.796 |
35 | 1559.04 | 1681.1 | 1453.84 | 227.256 | -122.06 |
36 | 1729.46 | 1799.94 | 1475.38 | 324.564 | -70.4803 |
37 | 1383.54 | 1673.76 | 1505.98 | 167.783 | -290.219 |
38 | 1084.92 | 1145.15 | 1556.33 | -411.178 | -60.233 |
39 | 1213.17 | 1185.82 | 1615.77 | -429.955 | 27.3526 |
40 | 1255.75 | 1267.15 | 1655.46 | -388.307 | -11.4011 |
41 | 2378.63 | 2007.7 | 1693.35 | 314.35 | 370.929 |
42 | 2378.63 | 2282.62 | 1751.17 | 531.449 | 96.0073 |
43 | 1729.46 | 1901.92 | 1837.84 | 64.086 | -172.465 |
44 | 1644.25 | 1842.96 | 1929.65 | -86.6977 | -198.705 |
45 | 1904.92 | 1935.62 | 1996.17 | -60.5489 | -30.7049 |
46 | 1776.67 | 1788.36 | 2041.17 | -252.802 | -11.6932 |
47 | 2122.58 | 2306.31 | 2079.06 | 227.256 | -183.733 |
48 | 2553.67 | 2447.05 | 2122.49 | 324.564 | 106.62 |
49 | 2639.29 | 2355.23 | 2187.44 | 167.783 | 284.064 |
50 | 2032.71 | 1871.82 | 2283 | -411.178 | 160.887 |
51 | 1861.88 | 1948.59 | 2378.54 | -429.955 | -86.7053 |
52 | 1686.83 | 2064.05 | 2452.36 | -388.307 | -377.22 |
53 | 2856.96 | 2833.25 | 2518.9 | 314.35 | 23.7105 |
54 | 2942.58 | 3118.68 | 2587.23 | 531.449 | -176.101 |
55 | 2724.5 | 2723.38 | 2659.29 | 64.086 | 1.12231 |
56 | 2942.58 | 2651.95 | 2738.65 | -86.6977 | 290.632 |
57 | 2899.54 | 2753.73 | 2814.27 | -60.5489 | 145.815 |
58 | 2553.67 | 2647.96 | 2900.76 | -252.802 | -94.2919 |
59 | 2942.58 | 3230.69 | 3003.44 | 227.256 | -288.115 |
60 | 3373.67 | 3439.55 | 3114.99 | 324.564 | -65.8841 |
61 | 3548.71 | 3410.7 | 3242.92 | 167.783 | 138.005 |
62 | 3027.79 | 2963.23 | 3374.4 | -411.178 | 64.5645 |
63 | 2681.88 | 3073.96 | 3503.92 | -429.955 | -392.081 |
64 | 2942.58 | 3241.59 | 3629.9 | -388.307 | -299.009 |
65 | 4065.42 | 4081.07 | 3766.72 | 314.35 | -15.6516 |
66 | 4411.33 | 4438.72 | 3907.27 | 531.449 | -27.3906 |
67 | 4326.13 | 4104.61 | 4040.53 | 64.086 | 221.516 |
68 | 4496.5 | 4079.79 | 4166.49 | -86.6977 | 416.706 |
69 | 4453.92 | 4223.01 | 4283.56 | -60.5489 | 230.906 |
70 | 4022.83 | 4153.16 | 4405.96 | -252.802 | -130.326 |
71 | 4757.21 | 4746.72 | 4519.46 | 227.256 | 10.4939 |
72 | 4932.25 | 4961.27 | 4636.71 | 324.564 | -29.0199 |
73 | 5188.29 | 4934.18 | 4766.39 | 167.783 | 254.114 |
74 | 4411.33 | 4474.06 | 4885.24 | -411.178 | -62.7305 |
75 | 4108.04 | 4572.37 | 5002.33 | -429.955 | -464.332 |
76 | 4453.92 | 4741.95 | 5130.26 | -388.307 | -288.03 |
77 | 5278.13 | 5579.83 | 5265.48 | 314.35 | -301.702 |
78 | 6012.5 | 5926.65 | 5395.21 | 531.449 | 85.8456 |
79 | 5837.46 | 5565.53 | 5501.45 | 64.086 | 271.925 |
80 | 5837.46 | 5506.56 | 5593.26 | -86.6977 | 330.896 |
81 | 5923.08 | 5644.44 | 5704.99 | -60.5489 | 278.641 |
82 | 5624 | 5571.22 | 5824.03 | -252.802 | 52.7756 |
83 | 6401.42 | 6148.61 | 5921.36 | 227.256 | 252.805 |
84 | 6401.42 | 6332.4 | 6007.83 | 324.564 | 69.0243 |
85 | 6268.96 | 6247.67 | 6079.89 | 167.783 | 21.2868 |
86 | 5534.17 | 5737.22 | 6148.4 | -411.178 | -203.051 |
87 | 5666.63 | 5785.16 | 6215.12 | -429.955 | -118.532 |
88 | 5752.25 | 5888.01 | 6276.31 | -388.307 | -135.757 |
89 | 6315.79 | 6668.07 | 6353.72 | 314.35 | -352.277 |
90 | 7050.17 | 6962.55 | 6431.1 | 531.449 | 87.6194 |
91 | 6529.21 | 6556.37 | 6492.28 | 64.086 | -27.1581 |
92 | 6789.92 | 6472.3 | 6559 | -86.6977 | 317.619 |
93 | 6571.83 | 6590.26 | 6650.81 | -60.5489 | -18.4344 |
94 | 6444 | 6507.79 | 6760.59 | -252.802 | -63.7873 |
95 | 7439.08 | 7090.5 | 6863.25 | 227.256 | 348.577 |
96 | 7221 | 7261.64 | 6937.08 | 324.564 | -40.6449 |
97 | 6917.71 | 7169.8 | 7002.02 | 167.783 | -252.094 |
98 | 6486.63 | 6661.11 | 7072.29 | -411.178 | -174.48 |
99 | 6917.71 | 6708.87 | 7138.83 | -429.955 | 208.836 |
100 | 7135.79 | 6818.85 | 7207.16 | -388.307 | 316.935 |
101 | 7396.04 | 7596.95 | 7282.6 | 314.35 | -200.907 |
102 | 7741.92 | 7905.86 | 7374.41 | 531.449 | -163.939 |
103 | 7396.04 | 7541.36 | 7477.28 | 64.086 | -145.324 |
104 | 7609.5 | 7484.36 | 7571.06 | -86.6977 | 125.138 |
105 | 7349.21 | 7600.55 | 7661.1 | -60.5489 | -251.341 |
106 | 7306.63 | 7501.89 | 7754.69 | -252.802 | -195.258 |
107 | 8386.88 | 8075.54 | 7848.28 | 227.256 | 311.344 |
108 | 8476.71 | 8268.23 | 7943.66 | 324.564 | 208.482 |
109 | 8130.83 | 8206.83 | 8039.05 | 167.783 | -75.9999 |
110 | 7524.29 | 7725.22 | 8136.4 | -411.178 | -200.93 |
111 | 8041 | 7812.86 | 8242.82 | -429.955 | 228.136 |
112 | 8258.67 | 7948.28 | 8336.58 | -388.307 | 310.394 |
113 | 8519.33 | 8723.17 | 8408.82 | 314.35 | -203.838 |
114 | 8907.83 | 9005.21 | 8473.76 | 531.449 | -97.3769 |
115 | 8519.33 | NA | NA | 64.086 | NA |
116 | 8822.63 | NA | NA | -86.6977 | NA |
117 | 8690.17 | NA | NA | -60.5489 | NA |
118 | 8216.04 | NA | NA | -252.802 | NA |
119 | 9211.08 | NA | NA | 227.256 | NA |
120 | 9211.08 | NA | NA | 324.564 | NA |