| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 58109 | NA | NA | 4026.79 | NA |
| 2 | 57087 | NA | NA | -9868.28 | NA |
| 3 | 56064 | NA | NA | -10318.9 | NA |
| 4 | 54019 | NA | NA | -9319.36 | NA |
| 5 | 74712 | NA | NA | 7544.41 | NA |
| 6 | 73689 | NA | NA | 12754.8 | NA |
| 7 | 58109 | 57596.3 | 56058.2 | 1538.06 | 512.73 |
| 8 | 47763 | 52726.8 | 54807.5 | -2080.75 | -4963.79 |
| 9 | 48785 | 51714.8 | 53168 | -1453.16 | -2929.8 |
| 10 | 48785 | 45375.5 | 51442.7 | -6067.25 | 3409.5 |
| 11 | 49808 | 55214.7 | 49760.5 | 5454.17 | -5406.71 |
| 12 | 51964 | 55953.5 | 48164 | 7789.52 | -3989.48 |
| 13 | 45718 | 50722 | 46695.2 | 4026.79 | -5004 |
| 14 | 39462 | 35054.9 | 44923.2 | -9868.28 | 4407.11 |
| 15 | 34339 | 32874.8 | 43193.7 | -10318.9 | 1464.19 |
| 16 | 34339 | 32490.9 | 41810.2 | -9319.36 | 1848.11 |
| 17 | 54019 | 48231.8 | 40687.4 | 7544.41 | 5787.17 |
| 18 | 56064 | 52665.2 | 39910.5 | 12754.8 | 3398.76 |
| 19 | 40484 | 40974.4 | 39436.3 | 1538.06 | -490.395 |
| 20 | 22859 | 36924 | 39004.8 | -2080.75 | -14065 |
| 21 | 32183 | 37376.6 | 38829.8 | -1453.16 | -5193.59 |
| 22 | 32183 | 32933.4 | 39000.6 | -6067.25 | -750.372 |
| 23 | 39462 | 44454.4 | 39000.2 | 5454.17 | -4992.42 |
| 24 | 43663 | 46443.5 | 38654 | 7789.52 | -2780.48 |
| 25 | 42640 | 42031.6 | 38004.8 | 4026.79 | 608.416 |
| 26 | 32183 | 27662.4 | 37530.7 | -9868.28 | 4520.57 |
| 27 | 37417 | 27040.9 | 37359.9 | -10318.9 | 10376.1 |
| 28 | 35362 | 28087.7 | 37407.1 | -9319.36 | 7274.28 |
| 29 | 52987 | 44956.1 | 37411.7 | 7544.41 | 8030.88 |
| 30 | 48785 | 49991.4 | 37236.7 | 12754.8 | -1206.45 |
| 31 | 32183 | 38291.8 | 36753.7 | 1538.06 | -6108.77 |
| 32 | 19782 | 34023.8 | 36104.5 | -2080.75 | -14241.8 |
| 33 | 31160 | 34049.5 | 35502.6 | -1453.16 | -2889.47 |
| 34 | 34339 | 28871.8 | 34939.1 | -6067.25 | 5467.17 |
| 35 | 37417 | 40346.4 | 34892.2 | 5454.17 | -2929.42 |
| 36 | 41507 | 43198.5 | 35409 | 7789.52 | -1691.52 |
| 37 | 33205 | 40170.2 | 36143.4 | 4026.79 | -6965.21 |
| 38 | 26038 | 27483.6 | 37351.9 | -9868.28 | -1445.64 |
| 39 | 29116 | 28459.6 | 38778.5 | -10318.9 | 656.439 |
| 40 | 30138 | 30411.6 | 39731 | -9319.36 | -273.598 |
| 41 | 57087 | 48184.8 | 40640.4 | 7544.41 | 8902.22 |
| 42 | 57087 | 54782.9 | 42028.1 | 12754.8 | 2304.1 |
| 43 | 41507 | 45646.1 | 44108.1 | 1538.06 | -4139.14 |
| 44 | 39462 | 44230.9 | 46311.6 | -2080.75 | -4768.88 |
| 45 | 45718 | 46455 | 47908.1 | -1453.16 | -736.969 |
| 46 | 42640 | 42920.7 | 48987.9 | -6067.25 | -280.663 |
| 47 | 50942 | 55351.5 | 49897.3 | 5454.17 | -4409.5 |
| 48 | 61288 | 58729.1 | 50939.6 | 7789.52 | 2558.85 |
| 49 | 63343 | 56525.4 | 52498.6 | 4026.79 | 6817.58 |
| 50 | 48785 | 44923.7 | 54792 | -9868.28 | 3861.28 |
| 51 | 44685 | 46766 | 57085 | -10318.9 | -2081.02 |
| 52 | 40484 | 49537.2 | 58856.6 | -9319.36 | -9053.22 |
| 53 | 68567 | 67998 | 60453.6 | 7544.41 | 569.008 |
| 54 | 70622 | 74848.4 | 62093.6 | 12754.8 | -4226.36 |
| 55 | 65388 | 65361.1 | 63823 | 1538.06 | 26.9387 |
| 56 | 70622 | 63646.8 | 65727.5 | -2080.75 | 6975.25 |
| 57 | 69589 | 66089.4 | 67542.6 | -1453.16 | 3499.57 |
| 58 | 61288 | 63551.1 | 69618.3 | -6067.25 | -2263.08 |
| 59 | 70622 | 77536.7 | 72082.5 | 5454.17 | -6914.71 |
| 60 | 80968 | 82549.3 | 74759.8 | 7789.52 | -1581.27 |
| 61 | 85169 | 81856.9 | 77830.1 | 4026.79 | 3312.08 |
| 62 | 72667 | 71117.4 | 80985.7 | -9868.28 | 1549.61 |
| 63 | 64365 | 73775 | 84094 | -10318.9 | -9410.02 |
| 64 | 70622 | 77798.1 | 87117.5 | -9319.36 | -7176.14 |
| 65 | 97570 | 97945.7 | 90401.3 | 7544.41 | -375.7 |
| 66 | 105872 | 106529 | 93774.5 | 12754.8 | -657.279 |
| 67 | 103827 | 98510.7 | 96972.7 | 1538.06 | 5316.27 |
| 68 | 107916 | 97915 | 99995.8 | -2080.75 | 10001 |
| 69 | 106894 | 101352 | 102806 | -1453.16 | 5541.66 |
| 70 | 96548 | 99675.7 | 105743 | -6067.25 | -3127.75 |
| 71 | 114173 | 113921 | 108467 | 5454.17 | 251.791 |
| 72 | 118374 | 119070 | 111281 | 7789.52 | -696.441 |
| 73 | 124519 | 118420 | 114393 | 4026.79 | 6098.79 |
| 74 | 105872 | 107377 | 117246 | -9868.28 | -1505.43 |
| 75 | 98593 | 109737 | 120056 | -10318.9 | -11143.9 |
| 76 | 106894 | 113807 | 123126 | -9319.36 | -6912.81 |
| 77 | 126675 | 133916 | 126372 | 7544.41 | -7240.95 |
| 78 | 144300 | 142240 | 129485 | 12754.8 | 2060.3 |
| 79 | 140099 | 133573 | 132035 | 1538.06 | 6526.19 |
| 80 | 140099 | 132158 | 134238 | -2080.75 | 7941.5 |
| 81 | 142154 | 135467 | 136920 | -1453.16 | 6687.49 |
| 82 | 134976 | 133709 | 139777 | -6067.25 | 1266.67 |
| 83 | 153634 | 147567 | 142113 | 5454.17 | 6067.25 |
| 84 | 153634 | 151977 | 144188 | 7789.52 | 1656.56 |
| 85 | 150455 | 149944 | 145917 | 4026.79 | 510.874 |
| 86 | 132820 | 137693 | 147562 | -9868.28 | -4873.27 |
| 87 | 135999 | 138844 | 149163 | -10318.9 | -2844.81 |
| 88 | 138054 | 141312 | 150632 | -9319.36 | -3258.14 |
| 89 | 151579 | 160034 | 152489 | 7544.41 | -8454.58 |
| 90 | 169204 | 167101 | 154346 | 12754.8 | 2102.8 |
| 91 | 156701 | 157353 | 155815 | 1538.06 | -651.811 |
| 92 | 162958 | 155335 | 157416 | -2080.75 | 7622.79 |
| 93 | 157724 | 158166 | 159620 | -1453.16 | -442.344 |
| 94 | 154656 | 156187 | 162254 | -6067.25 | -1530.87 |
| 95 | 178538 | 170172 | 164718 | 5454.17 | 8365.92 |
| 96 | 173304 | 174279 | 166490 | 7789.52 | -975.441 |
| 97 | 166025 | 172075 | 168049 | 4026.79 | -6050.29 |
| 98 | 155679 | 159867 | 169735 | -9868.28 | -4187.64 |
| 99 | 166025 | 161013 | 171332 | -10318.9 | 5012.06 |
| 100 | 171259 | 163653 | 172972 | -9319.36 | 7606.48 |
| 101 | 177505 | 182327 | 174782 | 7544.41 | -4821.7 |
| 102 | 185806 | 189741 | 176986 | 12754.8 | -3934.57 |
| 103 | 177505 | 180993 | 179455 | 1538.06 | -3487.69 |
| 104 | 182628 | 179625 | 181705 | -2080.75 | 3003.33 |
| 105 | 176381 | 182413 | 183866 | -1453.16 | -6032.22 |
| 106 | 175359 | 180045 | 186113 | -6067.25 | -4686.29 |
| 107 | 201285 | 193813 | 188359 | 5454.17 | 7472.12 |
| 108 | 203441 | 198437 | 190648 | 7789.52 | 5003.56 |
| 109 | 195140 | 196964 | 192937 | 4026.79 | -1823.92 |
| 110 | 180583 | 185405 | 195274 | -9868.28 | -4822.27 |
| 111 | 192984 | 187509 | 197828 | -10318.9 | 5475.31 |
| 112 | 198208 | 190759 | 200078 | -9319.36 | 7449.36 |
| 113 | 204464 | 209356 | 201812 | 7544.41 | -4892.03 |
| 114 | 213788 | 216125 | 203370 | 12754.8 | -2336.99 |
| 115 | 204464 | NA | NA | 1538.06 | NA |
| 116 | 211743 | NA | NA | -2080.75 | NA |
| 117 | 208564 | NA | NA | -1453.16 | NA |
| 118 | 197185 | NA | NA | -6067.25 | NA |
| 119 | 221066 | NA | NA | 5454.17 | NA |
| 120 | 221066 | NA | NA | 7789.52 | NA |
