Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 540 | NA | NA | 67.9818 | NA |
2 | 520 | NA | NA | -95.6641 | NA |
3 | 550 | NA | NA | -109.57 | NA |
4 | 440 | NA | NA | -209.154 | NA |
5 | 570 | NA | NA | -53.8932 | NA |
6 | 560 | NA | NA | -71.5495 | NA |
7 | 600 | 660.482 | 583.333 | 77.1484 | -60.4818 |
8 | 620 | 635.586 | 582.917 | 52.6693 | -15.5859 |
9 | 690 | 561.471 | 579.167 | -17.6953 | 128.529 |
10 | 600 | 679.44 | 576.667 | 102.773 | -79.4401 |
11 | 570 | 602.201 | 574.583 | 27.6172 | -32.2005 |
12 | 710 | 799.336 | 570 | 229.336 | -89.3359 |
13 | 600 | 634.232 | 566.25 | 67.9818 | -34.2318 |
14 | 450 | 468.086 | 563.75 | -95.6641 | -18.0859 |
15 | 530 | 446.68 | 556.25 | -109.57 | 83.3203 |
16 | 400 | 344.596 | 553.75 | -209.154 | 55.4036 |
17 | 560 | 504.857 | 558.75 | -53.8932 | 55.1432 |
18 | 460 | 492.201 | 563.75 | -71.5495 | -32.2005 |
19 | 610 | 640.898 | 563.75 | 77.1484 | -30.8984 |
20 | 550 | 614.753 | 562.083 | 52.6693 | -64.7526 |
21 | 580 | 543.971 | 561.667 | -17.6953 | 36.0286 |
22 | 650 | 662.357 | 559.583 | 102.773 | -12.3568 |
23 | 640 | 584.701 | 557.083 | 27.6172 | 55.2995 |
24 | 760 | 783.086 | 553.75 | 229.336 | -23.0859 |
25 | 550 | 618.398 | 550.417 | 67.9818 | -68.3984 |
26 | 460 | 453.503 | 549.167 | -95.6641 | 6.4974 |
27 | 510 | 435.846 | 545.417 | -109.57 | 74.1536 |
28 | 370 | 334.596 | 543.75 | -209.154 | 35.4036 |
29 | 530 | 491.523 | 545.417 | -53.8932 | 38.4766 |
30 | 410 | 471.784 | 543.333 | -71.5495 | -61.7839 |
31 | 580 | 618.398 | 541.25 | 77.1484 | -38.3984 |
32 | 550 | 595.169 | 542.5 | 52.6693 | -45.1693 |
33 | 490 | 523.971 | 541.667 | -17.6953 | -33.9714 |
34 | 700 | 641.94 | 539.167 | 102.773 | 58.0599 |
35 | 630 | 565.117 | 537.5 | 27.6172 | 64.8828 |
36 | 720 | 766.419 | 537.083 | 229.336 | -46.4193 |
37 | 540 | 607.148 | 539.167 | 67.9818 | -67.1484 |
38 | 500 | 445.586 | 541.25 | -95.6641 | 54.4141 |
39 | 450 | 433.346 | 542.917 | -109.57 | 16.6536 |
40 | 370 | 332.93 | 542.083 | -209.154 | 37.0703 |
41 | 490 | 486.523 | 540.417 | -53.8932 | 3.47656 |
42 | 440 | 471.784 | 543.333 | -71.5495 | -31.7839 |
43 | 600 | 627.982 | 550.833 | 77.1484 | -27.9818 |
44 | 580 | 603.086 | 550.417 | 52.6693 | -23.0859 |
45 | 500 | 525.638 | 543.333 | -17.6953 | -25.638 |
46 | 670 | 644.44 | 541.667 | 102.773 | 25.5599 |
47 | 620 | 568.867 | 541.25 | 27.6172 | 51.1328 |
48 | 800 | 770.169 | 540.833 | 229.336 | 29.8307 |
49 | 640 | 610.482 | 542.5 | 67.9818 | 29.5182 |
50 | 390 | 447.253 | 542.917 | -95.6641 | -57.2526 |
51 | 390 | 433.346 | 542.917 | -109.57 | -43.3464 |
52 | 390 | 332.93 | 542.083 | -209.154 | 57.0703 |
53 | 460 | 485.69 | 539.583 | -53.8932 | -25.6901 |
54 | 460 | 468.867 | 540.417 | -71.5495 | -8.86719 |
55 | 620 | 620.898 | 543.75 | 77.1484 | -0.898437 |
56 | 570 | 597.669 | 545 | 52.6693 | -27.6693 |
57 | 510 | 528.138 | 545.833 | -17.6953 | -18.138 |
58 | 640 | 647.357 | 544.583 | 102.773 | -7.35677 |
59 | 590 | 570.534 | 542.917 | 27.6172 | 19.4661 |
60 | 850 | 776.003 | 546.667 | 229.336 | 73.9974 |
61 | 670 | 620.482 | 552.5 | 67.9818 | 49.5182 |
62 | 390 | 463.503 | 559.167 | -95.6641 | -73.5026 |
63 | 410 | 455.013 | 564.583 | -109.57 | -45.013 |
64 | 340 | 356.263 | 565.417 | -209.154 | -16.263 |
65 | 470 | 509.857 | 563.75 | -53.8932 | -39.8568 |
66 | 540 | 488.867 | 560.417 | -71.5495 | 51.1328 |
67 | 680 | 632.982 | 555.833 | 77.1484 | 47.0182 |
68 | 670 | 610.169 | 557.5 | 52.6693 | 59.8307 |
69 | 540 | 545.221 | 562.917 | -17.6953 | -5.22135 |
70 | 630 | 666.523 | 563.75 | 102.773 | -36.5234 |
71 | 560 | 591.784 | 564.167 | 27.6172 | -31.7839 |
72 | 800 | 796.419 | 567.083 | 229.336 | 3.58073 |
73 | 610 | 637.565 | 569.583 | 67.9818 | -27.5651 |
74 | 490 | 473.503 | 569.167 | -95.6641 | 16.4974 |
75 | 440 | 456.263 | 565.833 | -109.57 | -16.263 |
76 | 330 | 356.68 | 565.833 | -209.154 | -26.6797 |
77 | 490 | 513.607 | 567.5 | -53.8932 | -23.6068 |
78 | 590 | 496.367 | 567.917 | -71.5495 | 93.6328 |
79 | 690 | 649.648 | 572.5 | 77.1484 | 40.3516 |
80 | 650 | 628.919 | 576.25 | 52.6693 | 21.0807 |
81 | 480 | 559.805 | 577.5 | -17.6953 | -79.8047 |
82 | 690 | 680.273 | 577.5 | 102.773 | 9.72656 |
83 | 540 | 604.284 | 576.667 | 27.6172 | -64.2839 |
84 | 830 | 801.003 | 571.667 | 229.336 | 28.9974 |
85 | 690 | 635.482 | 567.5 | 67.9818 | 54.5182 |
86 | 500 | 475.169 | 570.833 | -95.6641 | 24.8307 |
87 | 460 | 466.263 | 575.833 | -109.57 | -6.26302 |
88 | 310 | 369.596 | 578.75 | -209.154 | -59.5964 |
89 | 490 | 524.44 | 578.333 | -53.8932 | -34.4401 |
90 | 470 | 505.117 | 576.667 | -71.5495 | -35.1172 |
91 | 710 | 652.982 | 575.833 | 77.1484 | 57.0182 |
92 | 710 | 628.919 | 576.25 | 52.6693 | 81.0807 |
93 | 540 | 556.055 | 573.75 | -17.6953 | -16.0547 |
94 | 700 | 671.94 | 569.167 | 102.773 | 28.0599 |
95 | 520 | 596.784 | 569.167 | 27.6172 | -76.7839 |
96 | 810 | 801.836 | 572.5 | 229.336 | 8.16406 |
97 | 690 | 640.482 | 572.5 | 67.9818 | 49.5182 |
98 | 510 | 477.669 | 573.333 | -95.6641 | 32.3307 |
99 | 390 | 467.513 | 577.083 | -109.57 | -77.513 |
100 | 270 | 366.68 | 575.833 | -209.154 | -96.6797 |
101 | 530 | 517.773 | 571.667 | -53.8932 | 12.2266 |
102 | 510 | 499.284 | 570.833 | -71.5495 | 10.7161 |
103 | 670 | NA | NA | 77.1484 | NA |
104 | 770 | NA | NA | 52.6693 | NA |
105 | 570 | NA | NA | -17.6953 | NA |
106 | 640 | NA | NA | 102.773 | NA |
107 | 480 | NA | NA | 27.6172 | NA |
108 | 830 | NA | NA | 229.336 | NA |