Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 540 | NA | NA | 1.12138 | NA |
2 | 520 | NA | NA | 0.827644 | NA |
3 | 550 | NA | NA | 0.804041 | NA |
4 | 440 | NA | NA | 0.626062 | NA |
5 | 570 | NA | NA | 0.903227 | NA |
6 | 560 | NA | NA | 0.870354 | NA |
7 | 600 | 663.534 | 583.333 | 1.13749 | 0.904248 |
8 | 620 | 637.054 | 582.917 | 1.09287 | 0.97323 |
9 | 690 | 560.16 | 579.167 | 0.967182 | 1.23179 |
10 | 600 | 683.521 | 576.667 | 1.1853 | 0.877808 |
11 | 570 | 604.203 | 574.583 | 1.05155 | 0.943391 |
12 | 710 | 805.354 | 570 | 1.4129 | 0.8816 |
13 | 600 | 634.982 | 566.25 | 1.12138 | 0.944909 |
14 | 450 | 466.584 | 563.75 | 0.827644 | 0.964456 |
15 | 530 | 447.248 | 556.25 | 0.804041 | 1.18502 |
16 | 400 | 346.682 | 553.75 | 0.626062 | 1.1538 |
17 | 560 | 504.678 | 558.75 | 0.903227 | 1.10962 |
18 | 460 | 490.662 | 563.75 | 0.870354 | 0.937509 |
19 | 610 | 641.259 | 563.75 | 1.13749 | 0.951254 |
20 | 550 | 614.286 | 562.083 | 1.09287 | 0.895349 |
21 | 580 | 543.234 | 561.667 | 0.967182 | 1.06768 |
22 | 650 | 663.272 | 559.583 | 1.1853 | 0.979991 |
23 | 640 | 585.801 | 557.083 | 1.05155 | 1.09252 |
24 | 760 | 782.394 | 553.75 | 1.4129 | 0.971377 |
25 | 550 | 617.227 | 550.417 | 1.12138 | 0.891082 |
26 | 460 | 454.515 | 549.167 | 0.827644 | 1.01207 |
27 | 510 | 438.538 | 545.417 | 0.804041 | 1.16296 |
28 | 370 | 340.421 | 543.75 | 0.626062 | 1.08689 |
29 | 530 | 492.635 | 545.417 | 0.903227 | 1.07585 |
30 | 410 | 472.892 | 543.333 | 0.870354 | 0.867005 |
31 | 580 | 615.665 | 541.25 | 1.13749 | 0.94207 |
32 | 550 | 592.884 | 542.5 | 1.09287 | 0.927669 |
33 | 490 | 523.89 | 541.667 | 0.967182 | 0.93531 |
34 | 700 | 639.072 | 539.167 | 1.1853 | 1.09534 |
35 | 630 | 565.208 | 537.5 | 1.05155 | 1.11463 |
36 | 720 | 758.846 | 537.083 | 1.4129 | 0.948809 |
37 | 540 | 604.611 | 539.167 | 1.12138 | 0.893136 |
38 | 500 | 447.962 | 541.25 | 0.827644 | 1.11617 |
39 | 450 | 436.528 | 542.917 | 0.804041 | 1.03086 |
40 | 370 | 339.378 | 542.083 | 0.626062 | 1.09023 |
41 | 490 | 488.119 | 540.417 | 0.903227 | 1.00385 |
42 | 440 | 472.892 | 543.333 | 0.870354 | 0.930445 |
43 | 600 | 626.566 | 550.833 | 1.13749 | 0.9576 |
44 | 580 | 601.536 | 550.417 | 1.09287 | 0.964199 |
45 | 500 | 525.502 | 543.333 | 0.967182 | 0.95147 |
46 | 670 | 642.035 | 541.667 | 1.1853 | 1.04356 |
47 | 620 | 569.151 | 541.25 | 1.05155 | 1.08934 |
48 | 800 | 764.144 | 540.833 | 1.4129 | 1.04692 |
49 | 640 | 608.349 | 542.5 | 1.12138 | 1.05203 |
50 | 390 | 449.342 | 542.917 | 0.827644 | 0.867936 |
51 | 390 | 436.528 | 542.917 | 0.804041 | 0.893414 |
52 | 390 | 339.378 | 542.083 | 0.626062 | 1.14916 |
53 | 460 | 487.366 | 539.583 | 0.903227 | 0.943849 |
54 | 460 | 470.354 | 540.417 | 0.870354 | 0.977987 |
55 | 620 | 618.509 | 543.75 | 1.13749 | 1.00241 |
56 | 570 | 595.616 | 545 | 1.09287 | 0.956993 |
57 | 510 | 527.92 | 545.833 | 0.967182 | 0.966055 |
58 | 640 | 645.492 | 544.583 | 1.1853 | 0.991491 |
59 | 590 | 570.904 | 542.917 | 1.05155 | 1.03345 |
60 | 850 | 772.386 | 546.667 | 1.4129 | 1.10049 |
61 | 670 | 619.563 | 552.5 | 1.12138 | 1.08141 |
62 | 390 | 462.791 | 559.167 | 0.827644 | 0.842713 |
63 | 410 | 453.948 | 564.583 | 0.804041 | 0.903186 |
64 | 340 | 353.986 | 565.417 | 0.626062 | 0.96049 |
65 | 470 | 509.194 | 563.75 | 0.903227 | 0.923027 |
66 | 540 | 487.761 | 560.417 | 0.870354 | 1.1071 |
67 | 680 | 632.254 | 555.833 | 1.13749 | 1.07552 |
68 | 670 | 609.277 | 557.5 | 1.09287 | 1.09966 |
69 | 540 | 544.443 | 562.917 | 0.967182 | 0.991839 |
70 | 630 | 668.21 | 563.75 | 1.1853 | 0.942817 |
71 | 560 | 593.249 | 564.167 | 1.05155 | 0.943954 |
72 | 800 | 801.233 | 567.083 | 1.4129 | 0.998461 |
73 | 610 | 638.72 | 569.583 | 1.12138 | 0.955035 |
74 | 490 | 471.067 | 569.167 | 0.827644 | 1.04019 |
75 | 440 | 454.953 | 565.833 | 0.804041 | 0.967132 |
76 | 330 | 354.247 | 565.833 | 0.626062 | 0.931554 |
77 | 490 | 512.581 | 567.5 | 0.903227 | 0.955946 |
78 | 590 | 494.288 | 567.917 | 0.870354 | 1.19364 |
79 | 690 | 651.212 | 572.5 | 1.13749 | 1.05956 |
80 | 650 | 629.768 | 576.25 | 1.09287 | 1.03213 |
81 | 480 | 558.548 | 577.5 | 0.967182 | 0.859371 |
82 | 690 | 684.508 | 577.5 | 1.1853 | 1.00802 |
83 | 540 | 606.394 | 576.667 | 1.05155 | 0.89051 |
84 | 830 | 807.709 | 571.667 | 1.4129 | 1.0276 |
85 | 690 | 636.384 | 567.5 | 1.12138 | 1.08425 |
86 | 500 | 472.447 | 570.833 | 0.827644 | 1.05832 |
87 | 460 | 462.994 | 575.833 | 0.804041 | 0.993534 |
88 | 310 | 362.333 | 578.75 | 0.626062 | 0.855565 |
89 | 490 | 522.366 | 578.333 | 0.903227 | 0.93804 |
90 | 470 | 501.904 | 576.667 | 0.870354 | 0.936434 |
91 | 710 | 655.003 | 575.833 | 1.13749 | 1.08396 |
92 | 710 | 629.768 | 576.25 | 1.09287 | 1.1274 |
93 | 540 | 554.921 | 573.75 | 0.967182 | 0.973112 |
94 | 700 | 674.631 | 569.167 | 1.1853 | 1.0376 |
95 | 520 | 598.507 | 569.167 | 1.05155 | 0.868828 |
96 | 810 | 808.886 | 572.5 | 1.4129 | 1.00138 |
97 | 690 | 641.991 | 572.5 | 1.12138 | 1.07478 |
98 | 510 | 474.516 | 573.333 | 0.827644 | 1.07478 |
99 | 390 | 463.999 | 577.083 | 0.804041 | 0.840519 |
100 | 270 | 360.507 | 575.833 | 0.626062 | 0.748944 |
101 | 530 | 516.345 | 571.667 | 0.903227 | 1.02645 |
102 | 510 | 496.827 | 570.833 | 0.870354 | 1.02651 |
103 | 670 | NA | NA | 1.13749 | NA |
104 | 770 | NA | NA | 1.09287 | NA |
105 | 570 | NA | NA | 0.967182 | NA |
106 | 640 | NA | NA | 1.1853 | NA |
107 | 480 | NA | NA | 1.05155 | NA |
108 | 830 | NA | NA | 1.4129 | NA |