| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 3441 | NA | NA | -83.0027 | NA |
| 2 | 3431 | NA | NA | -58.2434 | NA |
| 3 | 3420 | NA | NA | 7.85841 | NA |
| 4 | 3400 | NA | NA | 67.826 | NA |
| 5 | 3606 | NA | NA | 273.826 | NA |
| 6 | 3596 | NA | NA | 329.84 | NA |
| 7 | 3441 | 3506.26 | 3425.5 | 80.7566 | -65.2566 |
| 8 | 3338 | 3334.02 | 3427.21 | -93.1879 | 3.97955 |
| 9 | 3348 | 3306.21 | 3433.25 | -127.044 | 41.7944 |
| 10 | 3348 | 3283.59 | 3444.46 | -160.868 | 64.4101 |
| 11 | 3358 | 3280.03 | 3457.37 | -177.341 | 77.9657 |
| 12 | 3379 | 3408.58 | 3469 | -60.4194 | -29.5806 |
| 13 | 3441 | 3397.16 | 3480.17 | -83.0027 | 43.836 |
| 14 | 3472 | 3427.92 | 3486.17 | -58.2434 | 44.0768 |
| 15 | 3524 | 3496.15 | 3488.29 | 7.85841 | 27.8499 |
| 16 | 3565 | 3561.28 | 3493.46 | 67.826 | 3.71566 |
| 17 | 3751 | 3773.33 | 3499.5 | 273.826 | -22.326 |
| 18 | 3730 | 3835.8 | 3505.96 | 329.84 | -105.798 |
| 19 | 3575 | 3590.17 | 3509.42 | 80.7566 | -15.1732 |
| 20 | 3348 | 3417.1 | 3510.29 | -93.1879 | -69.1038 |
| 21 | 3389 | 3384.96 | 3512 | -127.044 | 4.04437 |
| 22 | 3431 | 3350.67 | 3511.54 | -160.868 | 80.3268 |
| 23 | 3420 | 3334.2 | 3511.54 | -177.341 | 85.799 |
| 24 | 3472 | 3452 | 3512.42 | -60.4194 | 20.0027 |
| 25 | 3431 | 3429.41 | 3512.42 | -83.0027 | 1.58603 |
| 26 | 3503 | 3454.17 | 3512.42 | -58.2434 | 48.8268 |
| 27 | 3534 | 3520.28 | 3512.42 | 7.85841 | 13.7249 |
| 28 | 3544 | 3577.2 | 3509.38 | 67.826 | -33.201 |
| 29 | 3772 | 3779.74 | 3505.92 | 273.826 | -7.74267 |
| 30 | 3730 | 3837.51 | 3507.67 | 329.84 | -107.507 |
| 31 | 3575 | 3594.01 | 3513.25 | 80.7566 | -19.0066 |
| 32 | 3348 | 3423.06 | 3516.25 | -93.1879 | -75.0621 |
| 33 | 3389 | 3389.21 | 3516.25 | -127.044 | -0.205633 |
| 34 | 3358 | 3357.09 | 3517.96 | -160.868 | 0.910108 |
| 35 | 3410 | 3341.03 | 3518.37 | -177.341 | 68.9657 |
| 36 | 3524 | 3458.37 | 3518.79 | -60.4194 | 65.6277 |
| 37 | 3513 | 3437.08 | 3520.08 | -83.0027 | 75.9194 |
| 38 | 3493 | 3460.13 | 3518.37 | -58.2434 | 32.8684 |
| 39 | 3544 | 3520.23 | 3512.37 | 7.85841 | 23.7666 |
| 40 | 3575 | 3575.49 | 3507.67 | 67.826 | -0.49267 |
| 41 | 3751 | 3776.33 | 3502.5 | 273.826 | -25.326 |
| 42 | 3761 | 3825.01 | 3495.17 | 329.84 | -64.0066 |
| 43 | 3575 | 3571.21 | 3490.46 | 80.7566 | 3.78511 |
| 44 | 3307 | 3391.27 | 3484.46 | -93.1879 | -84.2704 |
| 45 | 3286 | 3350.96 | 3478 | -127.044 | -64.9556 |
| 46 | 3348 | 3312.84 | 3473.71 | -160.868 | 35.1601 |
| 47 | 3296 | 3292.95 | 3470.29 | -177.341 | 3.049 |
| 48 | 3462 | 3408.16 | 3468.58 | -60.4194 | 53.836 |
| 49 | 3462 | 3384.29 | 3467.29 | -83.0027 | 77.711 |
| 50 | 3400 | 3406.88 | 3465.12 | -58.2434 | -6.88156 |
| 51 | 3482 | 3472.11 | 3464.25 | 7.85841 | 9.89159 |
| 52 | 3534 | 3526.03 | 3458.21 | 67.826 | 7.96566 |
| 53 | 3710 | 3719.53 | 3445.71 | 273.826 | -9.53434 |
| 54 | 3761 | 3761.34 | 3431.5 | 329.84 | -0.339892 |
| 55 | 3544 | 3494.59 | 3413.83 | 80.7566 | 49.4101 |
| 56 | 3286 | 3298.23 | 3391.42 | -93.1879 | -12.2288 |
| 57 | 3286 | 3239.41 | 3366.46 | -127.044 | 46.586 |
| 58 | 3203 | 3181.51 | 3342.37 | -160.868 | 21.4934 |
| 59 | 3141 | 3143.49 | 3320.83 | -177.341 | -2.49267 |
| 60 | 3276 | 3241.91 | 3302.33 | -60.4194 | 34.086 |
| 61 | 3224 | 3201.71 | 3284.71 | -83.0027 | 22.2944 |
| 62 | 3100 | 3212.26 | 3270.5 | -58.2434 | -112.257 |
| 63 | 3183 | 3268.03 | 3260.17 | 7.85841 | -85.0251 |
| 64 | 3255 | 3318.53 | 3250.71 | 67.826 | -63.5343 |
| 65 | 3472 | 3516.83 | 3243 | 273.826 | -44.826 |
| 66 | 3555 | 3563.8 | 3233.96 | 329.84 | -8.79823 |
| 67 | 3327 | 3301.34 | 3220.58 | 80.7566 | 25.6601 |
| 68 | 3162 | 3116.19 | 3209.38 | -93.1879 | 45.8129 |
| 69 | 3162 | 3074.12 | 3201.17 | -127.044 | 87.8777 |
| 70 | 3100 | 3030.8 | 3191.67 | -160.868 | 69.2018 |
| 71 | 3059 | 3004.83 | 3182.17 | -177.341 | 54.174 |
| 72 | 3141 | 3110.54 | 3170.96 | -60.4194 | 30.461 |
| 73 | 3038 | 3073.33 | 3156.33 | -83.0027 | -35.3306 |
| 74 | 3017 | 3080.46 | 3138.71 | -58.2434 | -63.4649 |
| 75 | 3069 | 3123.78 | 3115.92 | 7.85841 | -54.7751 |
| 76 | 3141 | 3155.78 | 3087.96 | 67.826 | -14.7843 |
| 77 | 3358 | 3332.08 | 3058.25 | 273.826 | 25.924 |
| 78 | 3400 | 3358.8 | 3028.96 | 329.84 | 41.2018 |
| 79 | 3131 | 3083.01 | 3002.25 | 80.7566 | 47.9934 |
| 80 | 2935 | 2885.4 | 2978.58 | -93.1879 | 49.6046 |
| 81 | 2842 | 2829.16 | 2956.21 | -127.044 | 12.836 |
| 82 | 2749 | 2771.67 | 2932.54 | -160.868 | -22.6732 |
| 83 | 2697 | 2729.83 | 2907.17 | -177.341 | -32.826 |
| 84 | 2800 | 2820.46 | 2880.87 | -60.4194 | -20.4556 |
| 85 | 2738 | 2768.58 | 2851.58 | -83.0027 | -30.5806 |
| 86 | 2749 | 2763.21 | 2821.46 | -58.2434 | -14.2149 |
| 87 | 2800 | 2798.32 | 2790.46 | 7.85841 | 1.68326 |
| 88 | 2842 | 2824.24 | 2756.42 | 67.826 | 17.7573 |
| 89 | 3048 | 2994.91 | 2721.08 | 273.826 | 53.0907 |
| 90 | 3079 | 3014.76 | 2684.92 | 329.84 | 64.2434 |
| 91 | 2749 | 2729.96 | 2649.21 | 80.7566 | 19.0351 |
| 92 | 2594 | 2523.73 | 2616.92 | -93.1879 | 70.2712 |
| 93 | 2439 | 2459.71 | 2586.75 | -127.044 | -20.7056 |
| 94 | 2335 | 2394.42 | 2555.29 | -160.868 | -59.4232 |
| 95 | 2263 | 2343.08 | 2520.42 | -177.341 | -80.076 |
| 96 | 2366 | 2424.29 | 2484.71 | -60.4194 | -58.289 |
| 97 | 2315 | 2364.66 | 2447.67 | -83.0027 | -49.664 |
| 98 | 2397 | 2351.09 | 2409.33 | -58.2434 | 45.9101 |
| 99 | 2428 | 2376.69 | 2368.83 | 7.85841 | 51.3083 |
| 100 | 2459 | 2389.28 | 2321.46 | 67.826 | 69.7157 |
| 101 | 2594 | 2546.2 | 2272.38 | 273.826 | 47.799 |
| 102 | 2676 | 2555.71 | 2225.88 | 329.84 | 120.285 |
| 103 | 2263 | 2260.55 | 2179.79 | 80.7566 | 2.45177 |
| 104 | 2160 | 2040.1 | 2133.29 | -93.1879 | 119.896 |
| 105 | 1901 | 1959.37 | 2086.42 | -127.044 | -58.3723 |
| 106 | 1736 | 1876.51 | 2037.37 | -160.868 | -140.507 |
| 107 | 1684 | 1809.66 | 1987 | -177.341 | -125.659 |
| 108 | 1829 | 1875.79 | 1936.21 | -60.4194 | -46.789 |
| 109 | 1746 | 1802.87 | 1885.88 | -83.0027 | -56.8723 |
| 110 | 1850 | 1775.96 | 1834.21 | -58.2434 | 74.0351 |
| 111 | 1850 | 1789.53 | 1781.67 | 7.85841 | 60.4749 |
| 112 | 1860 | 1798.24 | 1730.42 | 67.826 | 61.7573 |
| 113 | 1984 | 1952.16 | 1678.33 | 273.826 | 31.8407 |
| 114 | 2067 | 1957.38 | 1627.54 | 329.84 | 109.618 |
| 115 | 1664 | NA | NA | 80.7566 | NA |
| 116 | 1519 | NA | NA | -93.1879 | NA |
| 117 | 1281 | NA | NA | -127.044 | NA |
| 118 | 1126 | NA | NA | -160.868 | NA |
| 119 | 1044 | NA | NA | -177.341 | NA |
| 120 | 1250 | NA | NA | -60.4194 | NA |
