Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 700 | NA | NA | -140.048 | NA |
2 | 700 | NA | NA | -15.7769 | NA |
3 | 620 | NA | NA | 62.2439 | NA |
4 | 680 | NA | NA | -21.0373 | NA |
5 | 700 | NA | NA | 27.2439 | NA |
6 | 670 | NA | NA | -37.3915 | NA |
7 | 660 | 721.254 | 687.5 | 33.7543 | -61.2543 |
8 | 730 | 736.931 | 686.25 | 50.6814 | -6.93142 |
9 | 680 | 711.775 | 688.333 | 23.4418 | -31.7752 |
10 | 680 | 650.734 | 686.25 | -35.5165 | 29.2665 |
11 | 650 | 602.973 | 680.833 | -77.8602 | 47.0269 |
12 | 800 | 811.098 | 680.833 | 130.265 | -11.0981 |
13 | 660 | 540.786 | 680.833 | -140.048 | 119.214 |
14 | 710 | 662.14 | 677.917 | -15.7769 | 47.8602 |
15 | 660 | 739.327 | 677.083 | 62.2439 | -79.3273 |
16 | 590 | 656.463 | 677.5 | -21.0373 | -66.4627 |
17 | 660 | 704.327 | 677.083 | 27.2439 | -44.3273 |
18 | 710 | 639.692 | 677.083 | -37.3915 | 70.3082 |
19 | 620 | 709.588 | 675.833 | 33.7543 | -89.5877 |
20 | 700 | 724.431 | 673.75 | 50.6814 | -24.4314 |
21 | 690 | 699.275 | 675.833 | 23.4418 | -9.27517 |
22 | 680 | 644.067 | 679.583 | -35.5165 | 35.9332 |
23 | 640 | 601.723 | 679.583 | -77.8602 | 38.2769 |
24 | 810 | 807.348 | 677.083 | 130.265 | 2.65191 |
25 | 620 | 537.869 | 677.917 | -140.048 | 82.1311 |
26 | 700 | 665.056 | 680.833 | -15.7769 | 34.9436 |
27 | 720 | 742.661 | 680.417 | 62.2439 | -22.6606 |
28 | 620 | 656.046 | 677.083 | -21.0373 | -36.046 |
29 | 630 | 701.411 | 674.167 | 27.2439 | -71.4106 |
30 | 680 | 635.942 | 673.333 | -37.3915 | 44.0582 |
31 | 670 | 703.754 | 670 | 33.7543 | -33.7543 |
32 | 720 | 716.931 | 666.25 | 50.6814 | 3.06858 |
33 | 660 | 689.275 | 665.833 | 23.4418 | -29.2752 |
34 | 630 | 630.317 | 665.833 | -35.5165 | -0.31684 |
35 | 620 | 588.806 | 666.667 | -77.8602 | 31.1936 |
36 | 810 | 798.181 | 667.917 | 130.265 | 11.8186 |
37 | 540 | 527.869 | 667.917 | -140.048 | 12.1311 |
38 | 690 | 650.89 | 666.667 | -15.7769 | 39.1102 |
39 | 720 | 726.827 | 664.583 | 62.2439 | -6.82726 |
40 | 620 | 640.629 | 661.667 | -21.0373 | -20.6293 |
41 | 650 | 685.161 | 657.917 | 27.2439 | -35.1606 |
42 | 690 | 616.359 | 653.75 | -37.3915 | 73.6415 |
43 | 660 | 683.754 | 650 | 33.7543 | -23.7543 |
44 | 700 | 697.765 | 647.083 | 50.6814 | 2.23524 |
45 | 630 | 670.525 | 647.083 | 23.4418 | -40.5252 |
46 | 590 | 615.317 | 650.833 | -35.5165 | -25.3168 |
47 | 570 | 577.973 | 655.833 | -77.8602 | -7.97309 |
48 | 760 | 785.681 | 655.417 | 130.265 | -25.6814 |
49 | 500 | 511.619 | 651.667 | -140.048 | -11.6189 |
50 | 660 | 635.89 | 651.667 | -15.7769 | 24.1102 |
51 | 750 | 716.827 | 654.583 | 62.2439 | 33.1727 |
52 | 680 | 635.213 | 656.25 | -21.0373 | 44.7873 |
53 | 710 | 681.411 | 654.167 | 27.2439 | 28.5894 |
54 | 620 | 614.275 | 651.667 | -37.3915 | 5.72483 |
55 | 640 | 683.754 | 650 | 33.7543 | -43.7543 |
56 | 720 | 699.015 | 648.333 | 50.6814 | 20.9852 |
57 | 680 | 668.442 | 645 | 23.4418 | 11.5582 |
58 | 580 | 603.65 | 639.167 | -35.5165 | -23.6502 |
59 | 530 | 555.056 | 632.917 | -77.8602 | -25.0564 |
60 | 740 | 758.598 | 628.333 | 130.265 | -18.5981 |
61 | 480 | 488.702 | 628.75 | -140.048 | -8.70226 |
62 | 640 | 613.806 | 629.583 | -15.7769 | 26.1936 |
63 | 690 | 692.244 | 630 | 62.2439 | -2.24392 |
64 | 600 | 609.379 | 630.417 | -21.0373 | -9.37934 |
65 | 640 | 655.577 | 628.333 | 27.2439 | -15.5773 |
66 | 580 | 587.609 | 625 | -37.3915 | -7.60851 |
67 | 690 | 655.004 | 621.25 | 33.7543 | 34.9957 |
68 | 690 | 667.348 | 616.667 | 50.6814 | 22.6519 |
69 | 720 | 638.442 | 615 | 23.4418 | 81.5582 |
70 | 550 | 583.234 | 618.75 | -35.5165 | -33.2335 |
71 | 510 | 544.64 | 622.5 | -77.8602 | -34.6398 |
72 | 680 | 754.431 | 624.167 | 130.265 | -74.4314 |
73 | 450 | 486.619 | 626.667 | -140.048 | -36.6189 |
74 | 560 | 612.556 | 628.333 | -15.7769 | -52.5564 |
75 | 730 | 687.661 | 625.417 | 62.2439 | 42.3394 |
76 | 650 | 603.963 | 625 | -21.0373 | 46.0373 |
77 | 680 | 652.661 | 625.417 | 27.2439 | 27.3394 |
78 | 580 | 592.192 | 629.583 | -37.3915 | -12.1918 |
79 | 750 | 664.588 | 630.833 | 33.7543 | 85.4123 |
80 | 670 | 677.765 | 627.083 | 50.6814 | -7.76476 |
81 | 670 | 650.109 | 626.667 | 23.4418 | 19.8915 |
82 | 590 | 590.317 | 625.833 | -35.5165 | -0.31684 |
83 | 480 | 549.223 | 627.083 | -77.8602 | -69.2231 |
84 | 810 | 755.681 | 625.417 | 130.265 | 54.3186 |
85 | 350 | 484.536 | 624.583 | -140.048 | -134.536 |
86 | 570 | 611.306 | 627.083 | -15.7769 | -41.3064 |
87 | 710 | 689.327 | 627.083 | 62.2439 | 20.6727 |
88 | 650 | 606.879 | 627.917 | -21.0373 | 43.1207 |
89 | 710 | 660.577 | 633.333 | 27.2439 | 49.4227 |
90 | 510 | 600.942 | 638.333 | -37.3915 | -90.9418 |
91 | 800 | 678.338 | 644.583 | 33.7543 | 121.662 |
92 | 680 | 699.848 | 649.167 | 50.6814 | -19.8481 |
93 | 660 | 672.192 | 648.75 | 23.4418 | -12.1918 |
94 | 620 | 612.4 | 647.917 | -35.5165 | 7.59983 |
95 | 580 | 569.64 | 647.5 | -77.8602 | 10.3602 |
96 | 830 | 779.015 | 648.75 | 130.265 | 50.9852 |
97 | 480 | 512.036 | 652.083 | -140.048 | -32.0356 |
98 | 550 | 638.39 | 654.167 | -15.7769 | -88.3898 |
99 | 720 | 715.161 | 652.917 | 62.2439 | 4.83941 |
100 | 620 | 631.463 | 652.5 | -21.0373 | -11.4627 |
101 | 730 | 678.911 | 651.667 | 27.2439 | 51.0894 |
102 | 520 | 613.025 | 650.417 | -37.3915 | -93.0252 |
103 | 870 | NA | NA | 33.7543 | NA |
104 | 660 | NA | NA | 50.6814 | NA |
105 | 650 | NA | NA | 23.4418 | NA |
106 | 620 | NA | NA | -35.5165 | NA |
107 | 560 | NA | NA | -77.8602 | NA |
108 | 820 | NA | NA | 130.265 | NA |