Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
TV3[t] = + 1.92089 -0.0336881IV1[t] + 0.0415329IV3[t] + 0.432953TV1[t] + 0.146175TV4[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | +1.921 | 0.3513 | +5.4680e+00 | 1.71e-07 | 8.548e-08 |
IV1 | -0.03369 | 0.04027 | -8.3660e-01 | 0.4041 | 0.202 |
IV3 | +0.04153 | 0.0407 | +1.0210e+00 | 0.309 | 0.1545 |
TV1 | +0.433 | 0.04538 | +9.5400e+00 | 2.241e-17 | 1.12e-17 |
TV4 | +0.1462 | 0.06594 | +2.2170e+00 | 0.02803 | 0.01402 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.6318 |
R-squared | 0.3992 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.3843 |
F-TEST (value) | 26.75 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 4 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 161 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 0.4979 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 39.91 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 3 | 4.148 | -1.148 |
2 | 4 | 4.431 | -0.431 |
3 | 5 | 4.164 | 0.8359 |
4 | 4 | 4.123 | -0.1226 |
5 | 4 | 4.261 | -0.2609 |
6 | 5 | 4.472 | 0.5275 |
7 | 5 | 4.949 | 0.05103 |
8 | 5 | 4.597 | 0.4029 |
9 | 5 | 4.777 | 0.223 |
10 | 5 | 4.514 | 0.486 |
11 | 5 | 4.54 | 0.4601 |
12 | 4 | 4.04 | -0.03954 |
13 | 4 | 4.269 | -0.2688 |
14 | 4 | 4.089 | -0.08892 |
15 | 4 | 4.269 | -0.2688 |
16 | 5 | 4.698 | 0.3018 |
17 | 4 | 4.253 | -0.2531 |
18 | 4 | 3.753 | 0.2472 |
19 | 5 | 4.668 | 0.332 |
20 | 4 | 4.522 | -0.5219 |
21 | 4 | 4.123 | -0.1226 |
22 | 4 | 4.698 | -0.6982 |
23 | 4 | 4.081 | -0.08107 |
24 | 5 | 4.769 | 0.2309 |
25 | 5 | 4.514 | 0.486 |
26 | 4 | 4.194 | -0.1936 |
27 | 4 | 4.115 | -0.1148 |
28 | 5 | 4.13 | 0.8696 |
29 | 5 | 4.156 | 0.8437 |
30 | 3 | 3.656 | -0.656 |
31 | 5 | 4.148 | 0.8516 |
32 | 4 | 4.761 | -0.7613 |
33 | 5 | 4.417 | 0.5828 |
34 | 4 | 4.081 | -0.08107 |
35 | 5 | 4.514 | 0.486 |
36 | 4 | 4.115 | -0.1148 |
37 | 4 | 3.844 | 0.1563 |
38 | 4 | 3.361 | 0.6387 |
39 | 5 | 4.694 | 0.3061 |
40 | 4 | 4.081 | -0.08107 |
41 | 5 | 4.623 | 0.3771 |
42 | 3 | 4.115 | -1.115 |
43 | 5 | 4.099 | 0.9009 |
44 | 4 | 4.156 | -0.1563 |
45 | 5 | 3.723 | 1.277 |
46 | 5 | 4.548 | 0.4523 |
47 | 4 | 4.123 | -0.1226 |
48 | 3 | 3.69 | -0.6897 |
49 | 5 | 4.556 | 0.4444 |
50 | 5 | 4.556 | 0.4444 |
51 | 4 | 4.295 | -0.2946 |
52 | 3 | 3.14 | -0.1399 |
53 | 4 | 3.723 | 0.2767 |
54 | 4 | 3.249 | 0.7511 |
55 | 4 | 4.081 | -0.08107 |
56 | 4 | 4.514 | -0.514 |
57 | 4 | 4.269 | -0.2688 |
58 | 4 | 4.156 | -0.1563 |
59 | 5 | 4.514 | 0.486 |
60 | 4 | 4.556 | -0.5556 |
61 | 4 | 4.164 | -0.1641 |
62 | 4 | 4.472 | -0.4725 |
63 | 4 | 4.081 | -0.08107 |
64 | 4 | 4.002 | -0.002273 |
65 | 5 | 4.514 | 0.486 |
66 | 4 | 3.69 | 0.3103 |
67 | 4 | 3.361 | 0.6387 |
68 | 4 | 4.556 | -0.5556 |
69 | 4 | 4.081 | -0.08107 |
70 | 4 | 3.964 | 0.03568 |
71 | 3 | 3.723 | -0.7233 |
72 | 4 | 4.148 | -0.1484 |
73 | 4 | 4.186 | -0.1857 |
74 | 4 | 4.047 | -0.04738 |
75 | 5 | 4.514 | 0.486 |
76 | 4 | 3.656 | 0.344 |
77 | 4 | 3.557 | 0.4431 |
78 | 5 | 4.581 | 0.4186 |
79 | 5 | 4.556 | 0.4444 |
80 | 3 | 2.741 | 0.2593 |
81 | 5 | 4.472 | 0.5275 |
82 | 4 | 4.652 | -0.6524 |
83 | 5 | 4.66 | 0.3398 |
84 | 5 | 4.915 | 0.08472 |
85 | 5 | 4.194 | 0.8064 |
86 | 5 | 4.777 | 0.223 |
87 | 4 | 4.123 | -0.1226 |
88 | 4 | 4.769 | -0.7691 |
89 | 2 | 4.514 | -2.514 |
90 | 4 | 4.156 | -0.1563 |
91 | 5 | 4.115 | 0.8852 |
92 | 5 | 4.597 | 0.4029 |
93 | 5 | 4.123 | 0.8774 |
94 | 4 | 4.123 | -0.1226 |
95 | 4 | 4.261 | -0.2609 |
96 | 4 | 4.415 | -0.415 |
97 | 5 | 4.611 | 0.3892 |
98 | 4 | 4.589 | -0.5892 |
99 | 5 | 4.702 | 0.2983 |
100 | 4 | 4.156 | -0.1563 |
101 | 4 | 3.29 | 0.7096 |
102 | 4 | 4.047 | -0.04738 |
103 | 5 | 4.71 | 0.2904 |
104 | 4 | 4.227 | -0.2272 |
105 | 5 | 4.563 | 0.4366 |
106 | 4 | 4.123 | -0.1226 |
107 | 4 | 4.269 | -0.2688 |
108 | 4 | 4.269 | -0.2688 |
109 | 3 | 3.69 | -0.6897 |
110 | 4 | 4.115 | -0.1148 |
111 | 3 | 3.69 | -0.6897 |
112 | 5 | 4.84 | 0.1599 |
113 | 4 | 4.227 | -0.2272 |
114 | 4 | 4.581 | -0.5814 |
115 | 5 | 4.761 | 0.2387 |
116 | 4 | 4.439 | -0.4388 |
117 | 4 | 3.69 | 0.3103 |
118 | 4 | 4.115 | -0.1148 |
119 | 4 | 3.607 | 0.3934 |
120 | 4 | 4.269 | -0.2688 |
121 | 4 | 4.123 | -0.1226 |
122 | 5 | 4.66 | 0.3398 |
123 | 4 | 4.19 | -0.19 |
124 | 4 | 4.597 | -0.5971 |
125 | 5 | 4.556 | 0.4444 |
126 | 4 | 4.123 | -0.1226 |
127 | 4 | 4.123 | -0.1226 |
128 | 3 | 3.29 | -0.2904 |
129 | 4 | 4.269 | -0.2688 |
130 | 4 | 4.423 | -0.4228 |
131 | 4 | 4.107 | -0.1069 |
132 | 3 | 3.223 | -0.223 |
133 | 4 | 4.269 | -0.2688 |
134 | 5 | 4.49 | 0.5098 |
135 | 3 | 3.69 | -0.6897 |
136 | 4 | 4.19 | -0.19 |
137 | 5 | 4.811 | 0.1894 |
138 | 5 | 4.107 | 0.8931 |
139 | 4 | 4.123 | -0.1226 |
140 | 4 | 3.731 | 0.2688 |
141 | 4 | 4.194 | -0.1936 |
142 | 3 | 3.723 | -0.7233 |
143 | 5 | 4.156 | 0.8437 |
144 | 4 | 3.361 | 0.6387 |
145 | 5 | 4.743 | 0.2567 |
146 | 4 | 4.164 | -0.1641 |
147 | 4 | 4.227 | -0.2272 |
148 | 3 | 3.607 | -0.6066 |
149 | 4 | 4.269 | -0.2688 |
150 | 4 | 4.597 | -0.5971 |
151 | 4 | 4.148 | -0.1484 |
152 | 3 | 3.181 | -0.1815 |
153 | 4 | 4.123 | -0.1226 |
154 | 5 | 4.514 | 0.486 |
155 | 3 | 3.607 | -0.6066 |
156 | 4 | 4.081 | -0.08107 |
157 | 5 | 4.66 | 0.3398 |
158 | 4 | 4.19 | -0.19 |
159 | 5 | 4.465 | 0.5354 |
160 | 4 | 3.87 | 0.1305 |
161 | 4 | 4.081 | -0.08107 |
162 | 4 | 4.227 | -0.2272 |
163 | 4 | 4.04 | -0.03954 |
164 | 4 | 4.227 | -0.2272 |
165 | 3 | 3.682 | -0.6818 |
166 | 4 | 4.057 | -0.05722 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
8 | 0.602 | 0.7959 | 0.398 |
9 | 0.5382 | 0.9237 | 0.4618 |
10 | 0.4317 | 0.8634 | 0.5683 |
11 | 0.6891 | 0.6218 | 0.3109 |
12 | 0.6041 | 0.7918 | 0.3959 |
13 | 0.5222 | 0.9557 | 0.4778 |
14 | 0.4386 | 0.8772 | 0.5614 |
15 | 0.3495 | 0.6989 | 0.6505 |
16 | 0.2668 | 0.5337 | 0.7332 |
17 | 0.2392 | 0.4784 | 0.7608 |
18 | 0.3936 | 0.7872 | 0.6064 |
19 | 0.3199 | 0.6397 | 0.6801 |
20 | 0.459 | 0.918 | 0.541 |
21 | 0.387 | 0.774 | 0.613 |
22 | 0.455 | 0.91 | 0.545 |
23 | 0.383 | 0.7661 | 0.617 |
24 | 0.3275 | 0.6551 | 0.6725 |
25 | 0.301 | 0.6021 | 0.699 |
26 | 0.2591 | 0.5183 | 0.7409 |
27 | 0.2076 | 0.4153 | 0.7924 |
28 | 0.2859 | 0.5718 | 0.7141 |
29 | 0.4136 | 0.8272 | 0.5864 |
30 | 0.4527 | 0.9055 | 0.5473 |
31 | 0.6086 | 0.7828 | 0.3914 |
32 | 0.662 | 0.676 | 0.338 |
33 | 0.6319 | 0.7362 | 0.3681 |
34 | 0.5777 | 0.8446 | 0.4223 |
35 | 0.5503 | 0.8994 | 0.4497 |
36 | 0.4947 | 0.9894 | 0.5053 |
37 | 0.4456 | 0.8912 | 0.5544 |
38 | 0.5304 | 0.9393 | 0.4696 |
39 | 0.496 | 0.992 | 0.504 |
40 | 0.446 | 0.892 | 0.554 |
41 | 0.4152 | 0.8304 | 0.5848 |
42 | 0.6234 | 0.7532 | 0.3766 |
43 | 0.7621 | 0.4758 | 0.2379 |
44 | 0.7276 | 0.5449 | 0.2724 |
45 | 0.8811 | 0.2379 | 0.1189 |
46 | 0.8716 | 0.2567 | 0.1284 |
47 | 0.85 | 0.3001 | 0.15 |
48 | 0.8839 | 0.2321 | 0.1161 |
49 | 0.8732 | 0.2537 | 0.1268 |
50 | 0.862 | 0.276 | 0.138 |
51 | 0.8423 | 0.3155 | 0.1577 |
52 | 0.8133 | 0.3733 | 0.1867 |
53 | 0.7873 | 0.4253 | 0.2127 |
54 | 0.8196 | 0.3608 | 0.1804 |
55 | 0.7895 | 0.421 | 0.2105 |
56 | 0.796 | 0.408 | 0.204 |
57 | 0.7706 | 0.4588 | 0.2294 |
58 | 0.7421 | 0.5157 | 0.2579 |
59 | 0.7365 | 0.527 | 0.2635 |
60 | 0.7522 | 0.4957 | 0.2478 |
61 | 0.7231 | 0.5539 | 0.2769 |
62 | 0.7178 | 0.5644 | 0.2822 |
63 | 0.6791 | 0.6417 | 0.3209 |
64 | 0.6419 | 0.7162 | 0.3581 |
65 | 0.6392 | 0.7216 | 0.3608 |
66 | 0.6091 | 0.7818 | 0.3909 |
67 | 0.6287 | 0.7427 | 0.3713 |
68 | 0.6397 | 0.7207 | 0.3603 |
69 | 0.5981 | 0.8039 | 0.4019 |
70 | 0.5532 | 0.8936 | 0.4468 |
71 | 0.6157 | 0.7686 | 0.3843 |
72 | 0.5762 | 0.8477 | 0.4238 |
73 | 0.5366 | 0.9268 | 0.4634 |
74 | 0.492 | 0.984 | 0.508 |
75 | 0.4907 | 0.9815 | 0.5093 |
76 | 0.466 | 0.9321 | 0.534 |
77 | 0.4513 | 0.9025 | 0.5487 |
78 | 0.4381 | 0.8761 | 0.5619 |
79 | 0.431 | 0.862 | 0.569 |
80 | 0.398 | 0.7961 | 0.602 |
81 | 0.4081 | 0.8161 | 0.5919 |
82 | 0.4363 | 0.8725 | 0.5637 |
83 | 0.4143 | 0.8286 | 0.5857 |
84 | 0.3725 | 0.745 | 0.6275 |
85 | 0.4479 | 0.8957 | 0.5521 |
86 | 0.411 | 0.822 | 0.589 |
87 | 0.3725 | 0.745 | 0.6275 |
88 | 0.4429 | 0.8857 | 0.5571 |
89 | 0.9966 | 0.006716 | 0.003358 |
90 | 0.9954 | 0.009116 | 0.004558 |
91 | 0.9981 | 0.003755 | 0.001877 |
92 | 0.998 | 0.003979 | 0.001989 |
93 | 0.9994 | 0.001169 | 0.0005846 |
94 | 0.9991 | 0.001709 | 0.0008544 |
95 | 0.9989 | 0.002196 | 0.001098 |
96 | 0.9989 | 0.002266 | 0.001133 |
97 | 0.9986 | 0.002767 | 0.001384 |
98 | 0.9989 | 0.00223 | 0.001115 |
99 | 0.9986 | 0.002823 | 0.001412 |
100 | 0.998 | 0.004025 | 0.002012 |
101 | 0.9993 | 0.001405 | 0.0007027 |
102 | 0.999 | 0.002076 | 0.001038 |
103 | 0.9988 | 0.002491 | 0.001246 |
104 | 0.9983 | 0.003393 | 0.001697 |
105 | 0.9988 | 0.002415 | 0.001207 |
106 | 0.9982 | 0.003502 | 0.001751 |
107 | 0.9976 | 0.00471 | 0.002355 |
108 | 0.9969 | 0.006286 | 0.003143 |
109 | 0.9974 | 0.005251 | 0.002626 |
110 | 0.9962 | 0.007603 | 0.003802 |
111 | 0.9968 | 0.006345 | 0.003172 |
112 | 0.9955 | 0.009048 | 0.004524 |
113 | 0.9941 | 0.01186 | 0.005929 |
114 | 0.9962 | 0.007599 | 0.003799 |
115 | 0.9947 | 0.0105 | 0.005251 |
116 | 0.9945 | 0.01103 | 0.005516 |
117 | 0.9952 | 0.009609 | 0.004805 |
118 | 0.9932 | 0.01369 | 0.006844 |
119 | 0.9936 | 0.0129 | 0.006449 |
120 | 0.9916 | 0.01686 | 0.00843 |
121 | 0.988 | 0.02398 | 0.01199 |
122 | 0.9845 | 0.03097 | 0.01548 |
123 | 0.9798 | 0.04047 | 0.02024 |
124 | 0.9818 | 0.03637 | 0.01819 |
125 | 0.9827 | 0.03469 | 0.01735 |
126 | 0.9757 | 0.04857 | 0.02428 |
127 | 0.9665 | 0.06699 | 0.0335 |
128 | 0.9556 | 0.08879 | 0.04439 |
129 | 0.9444 | 0.1113 | 0.05565 |
130 | 0.9405 | 0.119 | 0.0595 |
131 | 0.9257 | 0.1485 | 0.07427 |
132 | 0.9124 | 0.1753 | 0.08764 |
133 | 0.8948 | 0.2104 | 0.1052 |
134 | 0.8813 | 0.2374 | 0.1187 |
135 | 0.8809 | 0.2382 | 0.1191 |
136 | 0.8561 | 0.2879 | 0.1439 |
137 | 0.8177 | 0.3647 | 0.1823 |
138 | 0.8897 | 0.2207 | 0.1103 |
139 | 0.8543 | 0.2914 | 0.1457 |
140 | 0.8704 | 0.2592 | 0.1296 |
141 | 0.838 | 0.324 | 0.162 |
142 | 0.8456 | 0.3087 | 0.1544 |
143 | 0.9606 | 0.0789 | 0.03945 |
144 | 0.9948 | 0.01035 | 0.005177 |
145 | 0.9919 | 0.01624 | 0.008119 |
146 | 0.9873 | 0.02537 | 0.01268 |
147 | 0.9819 | 0.0362 | 0.0181 |
148 | 0.9815 | 0.03691 | 0.01846 |
149 | 0.9716 | 0.05672 | 0.02836 |
150 | 0.9865 | 0.02695 | 0.01348 |
151 | 0.9739 | 0.0522 | 0.0261 |
152 | 0.9908 | 0.01842 | 0.009212 |
153 | 0.9795 | 0.04093 | 0.02047 |
154 | 0.972 | 0.05597 | 0.02798 |
155 | 0.9463 | 0.1073 | 0.05366 |
156 | 0.9029 | 0.1943 | 0.09714 |
157 | 0.8132 | 0.3737 | 0.1868 |
158 | 0.7666 | 0.4668 | 0.2334 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 26 | 0.1722 | NOK |
5% type I error level | 46 | 0.304636 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 52 | 0.344371 | NOK |
Ramsey RESET F-Test for powers (2 and 3) of fitted values |
> reset_test_fitted RESET test data: mylm RESET = 1.205, df1 = 2, df2 = 159, p-value = 0.3024 |
Ramsey RESET F-Test for powers (2 and 3) of regressors |
> reset_test_regressors RESET test data: mylm RESET = 1.1903, df1 = 8, df2 = 153, p-value = 0.3083 |
Ramsey RESET F-Test for powers (2 and 3) of principal components |
> reset_test_principal_components RESET test data: mylm RESET = 0.82435, df1 = 2, df2 = 159, p-value = 0.4404 |
Variance Inflation Factors (Multicollinearity) |
> vif IV1 IV3 TV1 TV4 1.049752 1.025240 1.039620 1.017672 |