| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 3650 | NA | NA | 14.6701 | NA |
| 2 | 3530 | NA | NA | -40.5903 | NA |
| 3 | 3800 | NA | NA | -40.1736 | NA |
| 4 | 4130 | NA | NA | -310.642 | NA |
| 5 | 3440 | NA | NA | -313.872 | NA |
| 6 | 4000 | NA | NA | -57.1007 | NA |
| 7 | 3690 | 3916.6 | 3967.08 | -50.4861 | -226.597 |
| 8 | 4210 | 4066.7 | 3962.92 | 103.785 | 143.299 |
| 9 | 4240 | 4122.69 | 3967.92 | 154.774 | 117.309 |
| 10 | 4260 | 4262.64 | 3931.67 | 330.972 | -2.63889 |
| 11 | 4510 | 4109.67 | 3887.92 | 221.753 | 400.33 |
| 12 | 4260 | 3848.99 | 3862.08 | -13.0903 | 411.007 |
| 13 | 3420 | 3847.17 | 3832.5 | 14.6701 | -427.17 |
| 14 | 3660 | 3782.74 | 3823.33 | -40.5903 | -122.743 |
| 15 | 3790 | 3792.74 | 3832.92 | -40.1736 | -2.74306 |
| 16 | 3270 | 3537.27 | 3847.92 | -310.642 | -267.274 |
| 17 | 3250 | 3520.3 | 3834.17 | -313.872 | -270.295 |
| 18 | 3570 | 3744.57 | 3801.67 | -57.1007 | -174.566 |
| 19 | 3410 | 3770.35 | 3820.83 | -50.4861 | -360.347 |
| 20 | 4270 | 3960.45 | 3856.67 | 103.785 | 309.549 |
| 21 | 4410 | 3986.86 | 3832.08 | 154.774 | 423.142 |
| 22 | 4450 | 4132.64 | 3801.67 | 330.972 | 317.361 |
| 23 | 3990 | 4014.67 | 3792.92 | 221.753 | -24.6701 |
| 24 | 4000 | 3778.58 | 3791.67 | -13.0903 | 221.424 |
| 25 | 4140 | 3810.5 | 3795.83 | 14.6701 | 329.497 |
| 26 | 3800 | 3733.99 | 3774.58 | -40.5903 | 66.0069 |
| 27 | 3060 | 3701.91 | 3742.08 | -40.1736 | -641.91 |
| 28 | 3270 | 3391.02 | 3701.67 | -310.642 | -121.024 |
| 29 | 3040 | 3357.38 | 3671.25 | -313.872 | -317.378 |
| 30 | 3750 | 3602.07 | 3659.17 | -57.1007 | 147.934 |
| 31 | 3330 | 3580.35 | 3630.83 | -50.4861 | -250.347 |
| 32 | 3840 | 3675.45 | 3571.67 | 103.785 | 164.549 |
| 33 | 4060 | 3715.19 | 3560.42 | 154.774 | 344.809 |
| 34 | 3830 | 3906.39 | 3575.42 | 330.972 | -76.3889 |
| 35 | 3880 | 3791.34 | 3569.58 | 221.753 | 88.6632 |
| 36 | 3820 | 3535.24 | 3548.33 | -13.0903 | 284.757 |
| 37 | 3640 | 3529.67 | 3515 | 14.6701 | 110.33 |
| 38 | 2880 | 3450.66 | 3491.25 | -40.5903 | -570.66 |
| 39 | 3710 | 3401.91 | 3442.08 | -40.1736 | 308.09 |
| 40 | 2980 | 3085.61 | 3396.25 | -310.642 | -105.608 |
| 41 | 3190 | 3062.38 | 3376.25 | -313.872 | 127.622 |
| 42 | 3090 | 3287.9 | 3345 | -57.1007 | -197.899 |
| 43 | 3190 | 3248.26 | 3298.75 | -50.4861 | -58.2639 |
| 44 | 3410 | 3397.53 | 3293.75 | 103.785 | 12.4653 |
| 45 | 3310 | 3446.44 | 3291.67 | 154.774 | -136.441 |
| 46 | 3480 | 3601.81 | 3270.83 | 330.972 | -121.806 |
| 47 | 3750 | 3478.84 | 3257.08 | 221.753 | 271.163 |
| 48 | 3200 | 3248.99 | 3262.08 | -13.0903 | -48.9931 |
| 49 | 3150 | 3321.34 | 3306.67 | 14.6701 | -171.337 |
| 50 | 3250 | 3279.83 | 3320.42 | -40.5903 | -29.8264 |
| 51 | 3290 | 3251.91 | 3292.08 | -40.1736 | 38.0903 |
| 52 | 2900 | 2970.19 | 3280.83 | -310.642 | -70.191 |
| 53 | 2940 | 2931.13 | 3245 | -313.872 | 8.87153 |
| 54 | 3460 | 3130.82 | 3187.92 | -57.1007 | 329.184 |
| 55 | 3890 | 3104.1 | 3154.58 | -50.4861 | 785.903 |
| 56 | 3040 | 3244.2 | 3140.42 | 103.785 | -204.201 |
| 57 | 3000 | 3289.36 | 3134.58 | 154.774 | -289.358 |
| 58 | 3520 | 3464.72 | 3133.75 | 330.972 | 55.2778 |
| 59 | 2850 | 3350.92 | 3129.17 | 221.753 | -500.92 |
| 60 | 2730 | 3073.16 | 3086.25 | -13.0903 | -343.16 |
| 61 | 2820 | 3021.34 | 3006.67 | 14.6701 | -201.337 |
| 62 | 3240 | 2922.33 | 2962.92 | -40.5903 | 317.674 |
| 63 | 3160 | 2934.83 | 2975 | -40.1736 | 225.174 |
| 64 | 3010 | 2681.44 | 2992.08 | -310.642 | 328.559 |
| 65 | 2720 | 2711.96 | 3025.83 | -313.872 | 8.03819 |
| 66 | 2650 | 2997.9 | 3055 | -57.1007 | -347.899 |
| 67 | 2790 | 3017.01 | 3067.5 | -50.4861 | -227.014 |
| 68 | 3090 | 3180.03 | 3076.25 | 103.785 | -90.0347 |
| 69 | 3240 | 3226.44 | 3071.67 | 154.774 | 13.559 |
| 70 | 3690 | 3383.89 | 3052.92 | 330.972 | 306.111 |
| 71 | 3490 | 3266.34 | 3044.58 | 221.753 | 223.663 |
| 72 | 2790 | 3066.91 | 3080 | -13.0903 | -276.91 |
| 73 | 3060 | 3130.5 | 3115.83 | 14.6701 | -70.5035 |
| 74 | 3210 | 3073.58 | 3114.17 | -40.5903 | 136.424 |
| 75 | 3080 | 3060.66 | 3100.83 | -40.1736 | 19.3403 |
| 76 | 2640 | 2763.52 | 3074.17 | -310.642 | -123.524 |
| 77 | 2890 | 2714.88 | 3028.75 | -313.872 | 175.122 |
| 78 | 3330 | 2953.73 | 3010.83 | -57.1007 | 376.267 |
| 79 | 2970 | 2965.35 | 3015.83 | -50.4861 | 4.65278 |
| 80 | 2870 | 3106.7 | 3002.92 | 103.785 | -236.701 |
| 81 | 3140 | 3140.61 | 2985.83 | 154.774 | -0.607639 |
| 82 | 3150 | 3323.06 | 2992.08 | 330.972 | -173.056 |
| 83 | 2940 | 3225.5 | 3003.75 | 221.753 | -285.503 |
| 84 | 2910 | 2975.66 | 2988.75 | -13.0903 | -65.6597 |
| 85 | 3060 | 3000.92 | 2986.25 | 14.6701 | 59.0799 |
| 86 | 2900 | 2966.91 | 3007.5 | -40.5903 | -66.9097 |
| 87 | 2980 | 2958.16 | 2998.33 | -40.1736 | 21.8403 |
| 88 | 2890 | 2668.11 | 2978.75 | -310.642 | 221.892 |
| 89 | 2920 | 2668.21 | 2982.08 | -313.872 | 251.788 |
| 90 | 2940 | 2927.9 | 2985 | -57.1007 | 12.1007 |
| 91 | 3300 | 2944.93 | 2995.42 | -50.4861 | 355.069 |
| 92 | 3050 | 3125.87 | 3022.08 | 103.785 | -75.8681 |
| 93 | 2740 | 3189.36 | 3034.58 | 154.774 | -449.358 |
| 94 | 3080 | 3361.81 | 3030.83 | 330.972 | -281.806 |
| 95 | 3090 | 3239.67 | 3017.92 | 221.753 | -149.67 |
| 96 | 2830 | 2989.41 | 3002.5 | -13.0903 | -159.41 |
| 97 | 3390 | 2995.5 | 2980.83 | 14.6701 | 394.497 |
| 98 | 3210 | 2916.91 | 2957.5 | -40.5903 | 293.09 |
| 99 | 2970 | 2914.83 | 2955 | -40.1736 | 55.1736 |
| 100 | 2810 | 2649.77 | 2960.42 | -310.642 | 160.226 |
| 101 | 2690 | 2650.71 | 2964.58 | -313.872 | 39.2882 |
| 102 | 2800 | 2922.07 | 2979.17 | -57.1007 | -122.066 |
| 103 | 2920 | NA | NA | -50.4861 | NA |
| 104 | 2870 | NA | NA | 103.785 | NA |
| 105 | 2860 | NA | NA | 154.774 | NA |
| 106 | 3090 | NA | NA | 330.972 | NA |
| 107 | 3180 | NA | NA | 221.753 | NA |
| 108 | 3090 | NA | NA | -13.0903 | NA |
