Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 6970 | NA | NA | 113.832 | NA |
2 | 6455 | NA | NA | -240.613 | NA |
3 | 8005 | NA | NA | 494.48 | NA |
4 | 8115 | NA | NA | 448.554 | NA |
5 | 8180 | NA | NA | 401.864 | NA |
6 | 7930 | NA | NA | -173.391 | NA |
7 | 7275 | 7370.39 | 7821.46 | -451.069 | -95.3895 |
8 | 7865 | 7657.64 | 7954.58 | -296.944 | 207.361 |
9 | 7610 | 7667.22 | 8055 | -387.777 | -57.2228 |
10 | 7435 | 7944.83 | 8092.71 | -147.881 | -509.827 |
11 | 8480 | 8025.31 | 8114.79 | -89.4855 | 454.694 |
12 | 8850 | 8444.06 | 8115.63 | 328.431 | 405.944 |
13 | 8345 | 8246.96 | 8133.13 | 113.832 | 98.0434 |
14 | 8275 | 7941.89 | 8182.5 | -240.613 | 333.113 |
15 | 8595 | 8701.15 | 8206.67 | 494.48 | -106.146 |
16 | 8430 | 8662.93 | 8214.38 | 448.554 | -232.929 |
17 | 8395 | 8603.74 | 8201.88 | 401.864 | -208.739 |
18 | 7735 | 8012.23 | 8185.62 | -173.391 | -277.234 |
19 | 7890 | 7737.06 | 8188.12 | -451.069 | 152.944 |
20 | 8435 | 7864.93 | 8161.87 | -296.944 | 570.069 |
21 | 7620 | 7751.6 | 8139.37 | -387.777 | -131.598 |
22 | 7610 | 7996.49 | 8144.37 | -147.881 | -386.494 |
23 | 8005 | 8047.39 | 8136.88 | -89.4855 | -42.3895 |
24 | 8935 | 8462.81 | 8134.38 | 328.431 | 472.194 |
25 | 8320 | 8248.62 | 8134.79 | 113.832 | 71.3767 |
26 | 7670 | 7850.64 | 8091.25 | -240.613 | -180.637 |
27 | 8660 | 8551.77 | 8057.29 | 494.48 | 108.229 |
28 | 8485 | 8513.97 | 8065.42 | 448.554 | -28.9705 |
29 | 8160 | 8449.78 | 8047.92 | 401.864 | -289.781 |
30 | 7910 | 7806.4 | 7979.79 | -173.391 | 103.599 |
31 | 7725 | 7425.6 | 7876.67 | -451.069 | 299.402 |
32 | 7555 | 7477.22 | 7774.17 | -296.944 | 77.7772 |
33 | 7685 | 7284.72 | 7672.5 | -387.777 | 400.277 |
34 | 7740 | 7431.7 | 7579.58 | -147.881 | 308.298 |
35 | 7455 | 7437.39 | 7526.88 | -89.4855 | 17.6105 |
36 | 7850 | 7796.97 | 7468.54 | 328.431 | 53.0272 |
37 | 6930 | 7475.08 | 7361.25 | 113.832 | -545.082 |
38 | 6600 | 6989.39 | 7230 | -240.613 | -389.387 |
39 | 7290 | 7593.02 | 7098.54 | 494.48 | -303.021 |
40 | 7625 | 7406.68 | 6958.12 | 448.554 | 218.321 |
41 | 7755 | 7216.66 | 6814.79 | 401.864 | 538.344 |
42 | 6915 | 6491.4 | 6664.79 | -173.391 | 423.599 |
43 | 6145 | 6081.64 | 6532.71 | -451.069 | 63.3605 |
44 | 5985 | 6135.97 | 6432.92 | -296.944 | -150.973 |
45 | 6100 | 5960.76 | 6348.54 | -387.777 | 139.236 |
46 | 5955 | 6098.37 | 6246.25 | -147.881 | -143.369 |
47 | 5800 | 6009.26 | 6098.75 | -89.4855 | -209.264 |
48 | 5905 | 6273.22 | 5944.79 | 328.431 | -368.223 |
49 | 5705 | 5937.16 | 5823.33 | 113.832 | -232.165 |
50 | 5430 | 5517.72 | 5758.33 | -240.613 | -87.7205 |
51 | 6435 | 6223.23 | 5728.75 | 494.48 | 211.77 |
52 | 6025 | 6174.18 | 5725.62 | 448.554 | -149.179 |
53 | 5815 | 6158.11 | 5756.25 | 401.864 | -343.114 |
54 | 5160 | 5621.82 | 5795.21 | -173.391 | -461.818 |
55 | 4985 | 5399.97 | 5851.04 | -451.069 | -414.973 |
56 | 5585 | 5644.1 | 5941.04 | -296.944 | -59.0978 |
57 | 5790 | 5647.85 | 6035.62 | -387.777 | 142.152 |
58 | 6190 | 5987.74 | 6135.62 | -147.881 | 202.256 |
59 | 6300 | 6163.85 | 6253.33 | -89.4855 | 136.152 |
60 | 6340 | 6695.93 | 6367.5 | 328.431 | -355.931 |
61 | 6610 | 6579.25 | 6465.42 | 113.832 | 30.7517 |
62 | 6685 | 6316.89 | 6557.5 | -240.613 | 368.113 |
63 | 7450 | 7136.35 | 6641.87 | 494.48 | 313.645 |
64 | 7410 | 7163.14 | 6714.58 | 448.554 | 246.863 |
65 | 7255 | 7199.57 | 6797.71 | 401.864 | 55.4277 |
66 | 6460 | 6728.28 | 6901.67 | -173.391 | -268.276 |
67 | 6035 | 6558.31 | 7009.37 | -451.069 | -523.306 |
68 | 6745 | 6786.6 | 7083.54 | -296.944 | -41.5978 |
69 | 6655 | 6739.51 | 7127.29 | -387.777 | -84.5145 |
70 | 7070 | 7016.49 | 7164.37 | -147.881 | 53.5064 |
71 | 7415 | 7115.1 | 7204.58 | -89.4855 | 299.902 |
72 | 7720 | 7600.51 | 7272.08 | 328.431 | 119.486 |
73 | 7815 | 7471.33 | 7357.5 | 113.832 | 343.668 |
74 | 7260 | 7150.64 | 7391.25 | -240.613 | 109.363 |
75 | 7925 | 7878.02 | 7383.54 | 494.48 | 46.9786 |
76 | 7825 | 7831.68 | 7383.12 | 448.554 | -6.67882 |
77 | 7805 | 7743.11 | 7341.25 | 401.864 | 61.886 |
78 | 7530 | 7084.11 | 7257.5 | -173.391 | 445.891 |
79 | 7015 | 6705.18 | 7156.25 | -451.069 | 309.819 |
80 | 6575 | 6750.76 | 7047.71 | -296.944 | -175.764 |
81 | 6640 | 6550.56 | 6938.33 | -387.777 | 89.4439 |
82 | 7075 | 6677.12 | 6825 | -147.881 | 397.881 |
83 | 6405 | 6628.22 | 6717.71 | -89.4855 | -223.223 |
84 | 6720 | 6919.26 | 6590.83 | 328.431 | -199.264 |
85 | 6385 | 6556.33 | 6442.5 | 113.832 | -171.332 |
86 | 6085 | 6088.76 | 6329.37 | -240.613 | -3.76215 |
87 | 6475 | 6749.27 | 6254.79 | 494.48 | -274.271 |
88 | 6555 | 6621.68 | 6173.12 | 448.554 | -66.6788 |
89 | 6500 | 6501.45 | 6099.58 | 401.864 | -1.44734 |
90 | 5790 | 5879.94 | 6053.33 | -173.391 | -89.9427 |
91 | 5195 | 5605.39 | 6056.46 | -451.069 | -410.389 |
92 | 5680 | 5787.01 | 6083.96 | -296.944 | -107.014 |
93 | 5745 | 5734.1 | 6121.88 | -387.777 | 10.9022 |
94 | 6010 | 6026.91 | 6174.79 | -147.881 | -16.9103 |
95 | 5705 | 6130.72 | 6220.21 | -89.4855 | -425.723 |
96 | 6310 | 6602.81 | 6274.38 | 328.431 | -292.806 |
97 | 6870 | 6466.12 | 6352.29 | 113.832 | 403.877 |
98 | 6260 | 6172.3 | 6412.92 | -240.613 | 87.6962 |
99 | 7210 | 6938.65 | 6444.17 | 494.48 | 271.354 |
100 | 7090 | 6950.85 | 6502.29 | 448.554 | 139.155 |
101 | 7055 | 6988.74 | 6586.87 | 401.864 | 66.261 |
102 | 6535 | 6495.36 | 6668.75 | -173.391 | 39.6406 |
103 | 6320 | 6260.81 | 6711.88 | -451.069 | 59.1939 |
104 | 6010 | 6429.1 | 6726.04 | -296.944 | -419.098 |
105 | 6165 | 6347.85 | 6735.62 | -387.777 | -182.848 |
106 | 6985 | 6598.16 | 6746.04 | -147.881 | 386.84 |
107 | 6760 | 6685.51 | 6775 | -89.4855 | 74.4855 |
108 | 7220 | 7138.85 | 6810.42 | 328.431 | 81.1522 |
109 | 6995 | 6975.71 | 6861.87 | 113.832 | 19.2934 |
110 | 6475 | 6693.35 | 6933.96 | -240.613 | -218.345 |
111 | 7225 | 7475.1 | 6980.62 | 494.48 | -250.105 |
112 | 7325 | 7426.47 | 6977.92 | 448.554 | -101.47 |
113 | 7515 | 7375.41 | 6973.54 | 401.864 | 139.594 |
114 | 6925 | 6822.03 | 6995.42 | -173.391 | 102.974 |
115 | 7165 | 6585.18 | 7036.25 | -451.069 | 579.819 |
116 | 6895 | 6776.18 | 7073.12 | -296.944 | 118.819 |
117 | 6400 | 6705.35 | 7093.12 | -387.777 | -305.348 |
118 | 6685 | 6956.7 | 7104.58 | -147.881 | -271.702 |
119 | 6955 | 7016.76 | 7106.25 | -89.4855 | -61.7645 |
120 | 7550 | 7445.1 | 7116.67 | 328.431 | 104.902 |
121 | 7645 | NA | NA | 113.832 | NA |
122 | 6710 | NA | NA | -240.613 | NA |
123 | 7470 | NA | NA | 494.48 | NA |
124 | 7355 | NA | NA | 448.554 | NA |
125 | 7525 | NA | NA | 401.864 | NA |
126 | 7165 | NA | NA | -173.391 | NA |