| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1161 | 0 | 117 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 2620 | 2291.51594122244 | 249.53296322946 | 2698.9510955481 | -328.484058777555 |
| 2 | 2940 | 3137.89632294747 | -3.21307480616492 | 2745.3167518587 | 197.896322947467 |
| 3 | 3080 | 3131.27674289984 | 237.040848930855 | 2791.6824081693 | 51.2767428998436 |
| 4 | 3120 | 3727.39797040241 | -328.751862967447 | 2841.35389256504 | 607.397970402408 |
| 5 | 2420 | 2224.51875422464 | -275.544131185422 | 2891.02537696078 | -195.481245775356 |
| 6 | 2930 | 2745.55229285381 | 170.255426973436 | 2944.19228017275 | -184.447707146185 |
| 7 | 2780 | 2998.58542562277 | -435.944609007488 | 2997.35918338472 | 218.585425622769 |
| 8 | 2890 | 2682.45827867552 | 48.4592599399665 | 3049.08246138452 | -207.541721324482 |
| 9 | 3000 | 2386.97840021265 | 512.215860403044 | 3100.80573938431 | -613.021599787355 |
| 10 | 3380 | 3314.83212341717 | 300.034308072032 | 3145.13356851079 | -65.167876582826 |
| 11 | 3460 | 3841.57517779744 | -111.036575434713 | 3189.46139763728 | 381.575177797436 |
| 12 | 2810 | 2750.67406166412 | -363.048372970502 | 3232.37431130638 | -59.3259383358782 |
| 13 | 3530 | 3535.17981179506 | 249.53296322946 | 3275.28722497548 | 5.17981179505614 |
| 14 | 3590 | 3878.17369683448 | -3.21307480616492 | 3305.03937797168 | 288.173696834481 |
| 15 | 3840 | 4108.16762010126 | 237.040848930855 | 3334.79153096788 | 268.16762010126 |
| 16 | 3520 | 4013.3336925153 | -328.751862967447 | 3355.41817045215 | 493.333692515296 |
| 17 | 2820 | 2539.499321249 | -275.544131185422 | 3376.04480993642 | -280.500678750996 |
| 18 | 3310 | 3066.32558039197 | 170.255426973436 | 3383.41899263459 | -243.67441960803 |
| 19 | 2870 | 2785.15143367472 | -435.944609007488 | 3390.79317533277 | -84.84856632528 |
| 20 | 3340 | 3239.95314671916 | 48.4592599399665 | 3391.58759334088 | -100.046853280844 |
| 21 | 3660 | 3415.40212824797 | 512.215860403044 | 3392.38201134899 | -244.59787175203 |
| 22 | 3650 | 3602.6453560501 | 300.034308072032 | 3397.32033587787 | -47.3546439499028 |
| 23 | 3670 | 4048.77791502796 | -111.036575434713 | 3402.25866040675 | 378.777915027958 |
| 24 | 3050 | 3045.71241943432 | -363.048372970502 | 3417.33595353619 | -4.28758056568404 |
| 25 | 3770 | 3858.05379010492 | 249.53296322946 | 3432.41324666562 | 88.0537901049224 |
| 26 | 3480 | 3524.75193091506 | -3.21307480616492 | 3438.46114389111 | 44.751930915058 |
| 27 | 3780 | 3878.45010995255 | 237.040848930855 | 3444.5090411166 | 98.4501099525487 |
| 28 | 2750 | 2390.05209441196 | -328.751862967447 | 3438.69976855549 | -359.947905588039 |
| 29 | 3600 | 4042.65363519105 | -275.544131185422 | 3432.89049599438 | 442.653635191045 |
| 30 | 3550 | 3504.37295293505 | 170.255426973436 | 3425.37162009151 | -45.6270470649497 |
| 31 | 2750 | 2518.09186481884 | -435.944609007488 | 3417.85274418865 | -231.908135181161 |
| 32 | 3480 | 3499.20678397922 | 48.4592599399665 | 3412.33395608081 | 19.2067839792239 |
| 33 | 3870 | 3820.96897162399 | 512.215860403044 | 3406.81516797297 | -49.0310283760132 |
| 34 | 3640 | 3574.87187944391 | 300.034308072032 | 3405.09381248406 | -65.1281205560927 |
| 35 | 3340 | 3387.66411843956 | -111.036575434713 | 3403.37245699515 | 47.6641184395621 |
| 36 | 3030 | 3009.13432768573 | -363.048372970502 | 3413.91404528477 | -20.8656723142703 |
| 37 | 3850 | 4026.01140319615 | 249.53296322946 | 3424.45563357439 | 176.011403196146 |
| 38 | 3400 | 3356.26655999346 | -3.21307480616492 | 3446.9465148127 | -43.7334400065379 |
| 39 | 3450 | 3193.52175501813 | 237.040848930855 | 3469.43739605101 | -256.478244981867 |
| 40 | 3000 | 2835.33123861993 | -328.751862967447 | 3493.42062434751 | -164.668761380066 |
| 41 | 3190 | 3138.14027854141 | -275.544131185422 | 3517.40385264402 | -51.859721458593 |
| 42 | 4100 | 4479.72808809899 | 170.255426973436 | 3550.01648492757 | 379.728088098995 |
| 43 | 2960 | 2773.31549179637 | -435.944609007488 | 3582.62911721112 | -186.684508203634 |
| 44 | 3640 | 3615.35044341743 | 48.4592599399665 | 3616.19029664261 | -24.6495565825726 |
| 45 | 4210 | 4258.03266352287 | 512.215860403044 | 3649.75147607409 | 48.0326635228671 |
| 46 | 4040 | 4107.17666094923 | 300.034308072032 | 3672.78903097874 | 67.1766609492324 |
| 47 | 3470 | 3355.20998955133 | -111.036575434713 | 3695.82658588338 | -114.790010448668 |
| 48 | 3380 | 3420.87858440236 | -363.048372970502 | 3702.16978856814 | 40.8785844023605 |
| 49 | 4490 | 5021.95404551764 | 249.53296322946 | 3708.5129912529 | 531.954045517638 |
| 50 | 3670 | 3632.67691235912 | -3.21307480616492 | 3710.53616244705 | -37.3230876408838 |
| 51 | 3650 | 3350.39981742795 | 237.040848930855 | 3712.55933364119 | -299.60018257205 |
| 52 | 3520 | 3661.80396632682 | -328.751862967447 | 3706.94789664063 | 141.803966326815 |
| 53 | 3470 | 3514.20767154535 | -275.544131185422 | 3701.33645964007 | 44.2076715453527 |
| 54 | 3570 | 3286.18879420233 | 170.255426973436 | 3683.55577882424 | -283.811205797673 |
| 55 | 3440 | 3650.16951099908 | -435.944609007488 | 3665.7750980084 | 210.169510999085 |
| 56 | 3580 | 3468.83222716541 | 48.4592599399665 | 3642.70851289462 | -111.16777283459 |
| 57 | 4120 | 4108.14221181611 | 512.215860403044 | 3619.64192778084 | -11.8577881838869 |
| 58 | 4370 | 4841.79174752775 | 300.034308072032 | 3598.17394440022 | 471.791747527752 |
| 59 | 3250 | 3034.33061441512 | -111.036575434713 | 3576.70596101959 | -215.669385584875 |
| 60 | 3260 | 3325.04544995579 | -363.048372970502 | 3558.00292301472 | 65.0454499557854 |
| 61 | 3610 | 3431.1671517607 | 249.53296322946 | 3539.29988500984 | -178.832848239304 |
| 62 | 3600 | 3680.05456593985 | -3.21307480616492 | 3523.15850886631 | 80.0545659398531 |
| 63 | 3620 | 3495.94201834637 | 237.040848930855 | 3507.01713272278 | -124.057981653635 |
| 64 | 3020 | 2866.07126969471 | -328.751862967447 | 3502.68059327274 | -153.928730305292 |
| 65 | 3240 | 3257.20007736272 | -275.544131185422 | 3498.3440538227 | 17.2000773627224 |
| 66 | 3360 | 3034.608314507 | 170.255426973436 | 3515.13625851956 | -325.391685492998 |
| 67 | 3450 | 3804.01614579107 | -435.944609007488 | 3531.92846321642 | 354.016145791066 |
| 68 | 3640 | 3669.22957948985 | 48.4592599399665 | 3562.31116057018 | 29.2295794898509 |
| 69 | 3690 | 3275.09028167301 | 512.215860403044 | 3592.69385792394 | -414.909718326986 |
| 70 | 3870 | 3823.01750950048 | 300.034308072032 | 3616.94818242749 | -46.9824904995203 |
| 71 | 3810 | 4089.83406850368 | -111.036575434713 | 3641.20250693103 | 279.83406850368 |
| 72 | 3430 | 3579.76190112187 | -363.048372970502 | 3643.28647184863 | 149.76190112187 |
| 73 | 3910 | 3925.09660000431 | 249.53296322946 | 3645.37043676623 | 15.096600004309 |
| 74 | 3800 | 3960.69861801415 | -3.21307480616492 | 3642.51445679202 | 160.698618014149 |
| 75 | 4140 | 4403.30067425134 | 237.040848930855 | 3639.6584768178 | 263.300674251343 |
| 76 | 3350 | 3386.51202435619 | -328.751862967447 | 3642.23983861126 | 36.5120243561892 |
| 77 | 3360 | 3350.72293078071 | -275.544131185422 | 3644.82120040472 | -9.27706921929257 |
| 78 | 3310 | 2818.05318233055 | 170.255426973436 | 3631.69139069601 | -491.946817669451 |
| 79 | 2850 | 2517.38302802017 | -435.944609007488 | 3618.56158098731 | -332.616971979825 |
| 80 | 3630 | 3609.31446730459 | 48.4592599399665 | 3602.22627275544 | -20.6855326954101 |
| 81 | 4340 | 4581.89317507338 | 512.215860403044 | 3585.89096452357 | 241.893175073383 |
| 82 | 4260 | 4633.92536981503 | 300.034308072032 | 3586.04032211294 | 373.925369815027 |
| 83 | 3690 | 3904.8468957324 | -111.036575434713 | 3586.18967970231 | 214.846895732405 |
| 84 | 2990 | 2739.9617609703 | -363.048372970502 | 3603.0866120002 | -250.038239029696 |
| 85 | 3620 | 3370.48349247245 | 249.53296322946 | 3619.98354429809 | -249.516507527548 |
| 86 | 3590 | 3565.13592068896 | -3.21307480616492 | 3618.07715411721 | -24.8640793110403 |
| 87 | 3940 | 4026.78838713282 | 237.040848930855 | 3616.17076393632 | 86.7883871328218 |
| 88 | 2970 | 2686.36125256857 | -328.751862967447 | 3582.39061039887 | -283.638747431427 |
| 89 | 3470 | 3666.933674324 | -275.544131185422 | 3548.61045686142 | 196.933674323998 |
| 90 | 4310 | 4940.58515589294 | 170.255426973436 | 3509.15941713362 | 630.585155892945 |
| 91 | 3060 | 3086.23623160168 | -435.944609007488 | 3469.70837740581 | 26.2362316016752 |
| 92 | 3480 | 3479.59826504456 | 48.4592599399665 | 3431.94247501547 | -0.401734955440588 |
| 93 | 4190 | 4473.60756697182 | 512.215860403044 | 3394.17657262513 | 283.607566971822 |
| 94 | 3470 | 3283.99579366846 | 300.034308072032 | 3355.96989825951 | -186.004206331543 |
| 95 | 2650 | 2093.27335154083 | -111.036575434713 | 3317.76322389389 | -556.726648459174 |
| 96 | 2620 | 2313.34629632736 | -363.048372970502 | 3289.70207664314 | -306.653703672638 |
| 97 | 3620 | 3728.82610737815 | 249.53296322946 | 3261.64092939239 | 108.826107378147 |
| 98 | 3090 | 2916.94622106142 | -3.21307480616492 | 3266.26685374475 | -173.053778938583 |
| 99 | 3620 | 3732.06637297204 | 237.040848930855 | 3270.8927780971 | 112.066372972042 |
| 100 | 2820 | 2679.21194130775 | -328.751862967447 | 3289.53992165969 | -140.788058692247 |
| 101 | 3060 | 3087.35706596314 | -275.544131185422 | 3308.18706522229 | 27.3570659631364 |
| 102 | 3600 | 3705.50158826302 | 170.255426973436 | 3324.24298476355 | 105.501588263017 |
| 103 | 2940 | 2975.64570470268 | -435.944609007488 | 3340.29890430481 | 35.6457047026811 |
| 104 | 3550 | 3712.62961636205 | 48.4592599399665 | 3338.91112369798 | 162.629616362049 |
| 105 | 4590 | 5330.2607965058 | 512.215860403044 | 3337.52334309116 | 740.260796505795 |
| 106 | 3120 | 2604.63349693276 | 300.034308072032 | 3335.33219499521 | -515.36650306724 |
| 107 | 2800 | 2377.89552853546 | -111.036575434713 | 3333.14104689925 | -422.104471464542 |
| 108 | 3380 | 3765.79765341003 | -363.048372970502 | 3357.25071956047 | 385.797653410033 |
| 109 | 3490 | 3349.10664454886 | 249.53296322946 | 3381.36039222168 | -140.893355451143 |
| 110 | 2940 | 2474.00463615924 | -3.21307480616492 | 3409.20843864693 | -465.995363840764 |
| 111 | 3500 | 3325.90266599697 | 237.040848930855 | 3437.05648507217 | -174.097334003029 |
| 112 | 2980 | 2822.15142800198 | -328.751862967447 | 3466.60043496546 | -157.848571998018 |
| 113 | 3040 | 2859.39974632667 | -275.544131185422 | 3496.14438485876 | -180.600253673334 |
| 114 | 4160 | 4619.18099059602 | 170.255426973436 | 3530.56358243055 | 459.180990596017 |
| 115 | 3110 | 3090.96182900515 | -435.944609007488 | 3564.98278000234 | -19.0381709948492 |
| 116 | 3890 | 4127.49916892189 | 48.4592599399665 | 3604.04157113815 | 237.499168921886 |
