Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 7360 | NA | NA | 287.934 | NA |
2 | 4820 | NA | NA | -304.566 | NA |
3 | 2600 | NA | NA | -166.128 | NA |
4 | 5520 | NA | NA | -298.941 | NA |
5 | 3180 | NA | NA | -651.753 | NA |
6 | 4080 | NA | NA | -140.608 | NA |
7 | 3360 | 4134.7 | 4529.17 | -394.462 | -774.705 |
8 | 4960 | 4578.87 | 4381.67 | 197.205 | 381.128 |
9 | 4640 | 4895.12 | 4401.67 | 493.455 | -255.122 |
10 | 5420 | 4956.58 | 4400.83 | 555.747 | 463.42 |
11 | 4880 | 4837.2 | 4331.67 | 505.538 | 42.7951 |
12 | 4780 | 4257.41 | 4340.83 | -83.4201 | 522.587 |
13 | 4860 | 4642.1 | 4354.17 | 287.934 | 217.899 |
14 | 3780 | 4017.93 | 4322.5 | -304.566 | -237.934 |
15 | 4120 | 4173.04 | 4339.17 | -166.128 | -53.0382 |
16 | 3980 | 4088.56 | 4387.5 | -298.941 | -108.559 |
17 | 3060 | 3708.25 | 4360 | -651.753 | -648.247 |
18 | 4420 | 4146.89 | 4287.5 | -140.608 | 273.108 |
19 | 3340 | 3814.7 | 4209.17 | -394.462 | -474.705 |
20 | 4220 | 4378.04 | 4180.83 | 197.205 | -158.038 |
21 | 5780 | 4640.12 | 4146.67 | 493.455 | 1139.88 |
22 | 5440 | 4642.41 | 4086.67 | 555.747 | 797.587 |
23 | 4200 | 4560.54 | 4055 | 505.538 | -360.538 |
24 | 3720 | 3914.91 | 3998.33 | -83.4201 | -194.913 |
25 | 4040 | 4231.27 | 3943.33 | 287.934 | -191.267 |
26 | 3920 | 3582.1 | 3886.67 | -304.566 | 337.899 |
27 | 3160 | 3616.37 | 3782.5 | -166.128 | -456.372 |
28 | 3500 | 3344.39 | 3643.33 | -298.941 | 155.608 |
29 | 2780 | 2947.41 | 3599.17 | -651.753 | -167.413 |
30 | 3340 | 3518.56 | 3659.17 | -140.608 | -178.559 |
31 | 3100 | 3270.54 | 3665 | -394.462 | -170.538 |
32 | 3100 | 3803.04 | 3605.83 | 197.205 | -703.038 |
33 | 4400 | 4084.29 | 3590.83 | 493.455 | 315.712 |
34 | 3480 | 4152.41 | 3596.67 | 555.747 | -672.413 |
35 | 5100 | 4083.87 | 3578.33 | 505.538 | 1016.13 |
36 | 4260 | 3459.91 | 3543.33 | -83.4201 | 800.087 |
37 | 3640 | 3775.43 | 3487.5 | 287.934 | -135.434 |
38 | 2900 | 3220.43 | 3525 | -304.566 | -320.434 |
39 | 3820 | 3362.2 | 3528.33 | -166.128 | 457.795 |
40 | 2980 | 3164.39 | 3463.33 | -298.941 | -184.392 |
41 | 2860 | 2764.91 | 3416.67 | -651.753 | 95.0868 |
42 | 2420 | 3182.73 | 3323.33 | -140.608 | -762.726 |
43 | 2680 | 2852.2 | 3246.67 | -394.462 | -172.205 |
44 | 4420 | 3411.37 | 3214.17 | 197.205 | 1008.63 |
45 | 3160 | 3677.62 | 3184.17 | 493.455 | -517.622 |
46 | 3160 | 3715.75 | 3160 | 555.747 | -555.747 |
47 | 4300 | 3629.7 | 3124.17 | 505.538 | 670.295 |
48 | 2820 | 3068.25 | 3151.67 | -83.4201 | -248.247 |
49 | 3240 | 3489.6 | 3201.67 | 287.934 | -249.601 |
50 | 2520 | 2841.27 | 3145.83 | -304.566 | -321.267 |
51 | 3480 | 2953.87 | 3120 | -166.128 | 526.128 |
52 | 2740 | 2859.39 | 3158.33 | -298.941 | -119.392 |
53 | 2240 | 2429.91 | 3081.67 | -651.753 | -189.913 |
54 | 3700 | 2831.06 | 2971.67 | -140.608 | 868.941 |
55 | 2600 | 2552.2 | 2946.67 | -394.462 | 47.7951 |
56 | 3160 | 3110.54 | 2913.33 | 197.205 | 49.4618 |
57 | 3800 | 3340.95 | 2847.5 | 493.455 | 459.045 |
58 | 3440 | 3370.75 | 2815 | 555.747 | 69.2535 |
59 | 2180 | 3321.37 | 2815.83 | 505.538 | -1141.37 |
60 | 2300 | 2671.58 | 2755 | -83.4201 | -371.58 |
61 | 3160 | 2982.93 | 2695 | 287.934 | 177.066 |
62 | 1800 | 2376.27 | 2680.83 | -304.566 | -576.267 |
63 | 2620 | 2453.04 | 2619.17 | -166.128 | 166.962 |
64 | 2820 | 2292.73 | 2591.67 | -298.941 | 527.274 |
65 | 2180 | 2035.75 | 2687.5 | -651.753 | 144.253 |
66 | 2300 | 2621.89 | 2762.5 | -140.608 | -321.892 |
67 | 2560 | 2378.87 | 2773.33 | -394.462 | 181.128 |
68 | 2860 | 3015.54 | 2818.33 | 197.205 | -155.538 |
69 | 2620 | 3335.12 | 2841.67 | 493.455 | -715.122 |
70 | 3960 | 3365.75 | 2810 | 555.747 | 594.253 |
71 | 3960 | 3286.37 | 2780.83 | 505.538 | 673.628 |
72 | 2320 | 2679.91 | 2763.33 | -83.4201 | -359.913 |
73 | 3400 | 3031.27 | 2743.33 | 287.934 | 368.733 |
74 | 2640 | 2404.6 | 2709.17 | -304.566 | 235.399 |
75 | 2340 | 2522.2 | 2688.33 | -166.128 | -182.205 |
76 | 2340 | 2331.06 | 2630 | -298.941 | 8.94097 |
77 | 1960 | 1841.58 | 2493.33 | -651.753 | 118.42 |
78 | 2100 | 2254.39 | 2395 | -140.608 | -154.392 |
79 | 2280 | 1933.04 | 2327.5 | -394.462 | 346.962 |
80 | 2320 | 2469.7 | 2272.5 | 197.205 | -149.705 |
81 | 2660 | 2739.29 | 2245.83 | 493.455 | -79.2882 |
82 | 2520 | 2758.25 | 2202.5 | 555.747 | -238.247 |
83 | 2120 | 2683.87 | 2178.33 | 505.538 | -563.872 |
84 | 1800 | 2090.75 | 2174.17 | -83.4201 | -290.747 |
85 | 2300 | 2480.43 | 2192.5 | 287.934 | -180.434 |
86 | 2420 | 1905.43 | 2210 | -304.566 | 514.566 |
87 | 1920 | 2024.7 | 2190.83 | -166.128 | -104.705 |
88 | 1720 | 1870.23 | 2169.17 | -298.941 | -150.226 |
89 | 2000 | 1518.25 | 2170 | -651.753 | 481.753 |
90 | 1960 | 2058.56 | 2199.17 | -140.608 | -98.559 |
91 | 2860 | 1830.54 | 2225 | -394.462 | 1029.46 |
92 | 2160 | 2419.7 | 2222.5 | 197.205 | -259.705 |
93 | 2360 | 2694.29 | 2200.83 | 493.455 | -334.288 |
94 | 2300 | 2744.91 | 2189.17 | 555.747 | -444.913 |
95 | 2360 | 2683.87 | 2178.33 | 505.538 | -323.872 |
96 | 2260 | 2104.08 | 2187.5 | -83.4201 | 155.92 |
97 | 2460 | 2453.77 | 2165.83 | 287.934 | 6.23264 |
98 | 2200 | 1818.77 | 2123.33 | -304.566 | 381.233 |
99 | 1620 | 1961.37 | 2127.5 | -166.128 | -341.372 |
100 | 1740 | 1856.06 | 2155 | -298.941 | -116.059 |
101 | 1720 | 1540.75 | 2192.5 | -651.753 | 179.253 |
102 | 2460 | 2072.73 | 2213.33 | -140.608 | 387.274 |
103 | 1840 | NA | NA | -394.462 | NA |
104 | 2160 | NA | NA | 197.205 | NA |
105 | 2460 | NA | NA | 493.455 | NA |
106 | 2860 | NA | NA | 555.747 | NA |
107 | 2700 | NA | NA | 505.538 | NA |
108 | 2420 | NA | NA | -83.4201 | NA |