| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1021 | 0 | 103 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 1800 | 1846.51356758175 | -410.771824369207 | 2164.25825678746 | 46.5135675817519 |
| 2 | 2000 | 1879.77854213463 | -51.0587142719014 | 2171.28017213727 | -120.221457865367 |
| 3 | 2200 | 1846.37675576233 | 375.321156750586 | 2178.30208748708 | -353.623244237666 |
| 4 | 2250 | 2285.51304260873 | 32.6278113095427 | 2181.85914608173 | 35.5130426087276 |
| 5 | 2400 | 2641.31590186339 | -26.7321065397694 | 2185.41620467638 | 241.315901863391 |
| 6 | 2350 | 2448.38690235758 | 64.6389048059163 | 2186.97419283651 | 98.3869023575753 |
| 7 | 2350 | 2529.45888018069 | -17.9910611773276 | 2188.53218099664 | 179.458880180689 |
| 8 | 2250 | 2369.8361928172 | -60.2463449068258 | 2190.41015208962 | 119.836192817204 |
| 9 | 2250 | 2135.21370961145 | 172.49816720594 | 2192.28812318261 | -114.786290388546 |
| 10 | 2200 | 2219.48562058434 | 1.67706270222308 | 2178.83731671344 | 19.4856205843371 |
| 11 | 2150 | 2241.25758113837 | -106.644091382648 | 2165.38651024427 | 91.2575811383749 |
| 12 | 2150 | 2141.74707336993 | 26.6810205786986 | 2131.57190605137 | -8.25292663006621 |
| 13 | 1900 | 2113.01452251075 | -410.771824369207 | 2097.75730185846 | 213.014522510747 |
| 14 | 2050 | 2082.44223329633 | -51.0587142719014 | 2068.61648097557 | 32.4422332963313 |
| 15 | 2100 | 1785.20318315673 | 375.321156750586 | 2039.47566009268 | -314.796816843266 |
| 16 | 2100 | 2149.22470592796 | 32.6278113095427 | 2018.1474827625 | 49.2247059279621 |
| 17 | 1900 | 1829.91280110746 | -26.7321065397694 | 1996.81930543231 | -70.0871988925417 |
| 18 | 1950 | 1849.78804313973 | 64.6389048059163 | 1985.57305205435 | -100.211956860268 |
| 19 | 1900 | 1843.66426250094 | -17.9910611773276 | 1974.32679867639 | -56.3357374990644 |
| 20 | 1950 | 1985.32387535437 | -60.2463449068258 | 1974.92246955246 | 35.3238753543685 |
| 21 | 2000 | 1851.98369236554 | 172.49816720594 | 1975.51814042852 | -148.016307634462 |
| 22 | 2050 | 2107.38295081013 | 1.67706270222308 | 1990.93998648765 | 57.3829508101262 |
| 23 | 1900 | 1900.28225883587 | -106.644091382648 | 2006.36183254678 | 0.282258835869015 |
| 24 | 2050 | 2038.44989099729 | 26.6810205786986 | 2034.86908842401 | -11.5501090027067 |
| 25 | 1750 | 1847.39548006797 | -410.771824369207 | 2063.37634430124 | 97.3954800679708 |
| 26 | 1950 | 1850.37565790348 | -51.0587142719014 | 2100.68305636842 | -99.6243420965152 |
| 27 | 2250 | 1986.68907481382 | 375.321156750586 | 2137.9897684356 | -263.310925186182 |
| 28 | 2150 | 2082.01547106338 | 32.6278113095427 | 2185.35671762708 | -67.9845289366181 |
| 29 | 2250 | 2294.00843972121 | -26.7321065397694 | 2232.72366681855 | 44.0084397212149 |
| 30 | 2500 | 2640.80273916508 | 64.6389048059163 | 2294.558356029 | 140.802739165082 |
| 31 | 2250 | 2161.59801593788 | -17.9910611773276 | 2356.39304523945 | -88.4019840621204 |
| 32 | 2300 | 2231.01475561606 | -60.2463449068258 | 2429.23158929076 | -68.9852443839386 |
| 33 | 2550 | 2425.43169945198 | 172.49816720594 | 2502.07013334208 | -124.568300548021 |
| 34 | 2550 | 2518.56462930324 | 1.67706270222308 | 2579.75830799454 | -31.435370696764 |
| 35 | 2600 | 2649.19760873565 | -106.644091382648 | 2657.446482647 | 49.1976087356479 |
| 36 | 2900 | 3039.36397662578 | 26.6810205786986 | 2733.95500279552 | 139.363976625779 |
| 37 | 2400 | 2400.30830142516 | -410.771824369207 | 2810.46352294404 | 0.3083014251647 |
| 38 | 2750 | 2661.71483747454 | -51.0587142719014 | 2889.34387679736 | -88.2851625254616 |
| 39 | 3300 | 3256.45461259873 | 375.321156750586 | 2968.22423065068 | -43.5453874012696 |
| 40 | 3200 | 3320.81440020739 | 32.6278113095427 | 3046.55778848307 | 120.814400207385 |
| 41 | 3150 | 3201.84076022431 | -26.7321065397694 | 3124.89134631546 | 51.8407602243101 |
| 42 | 3200 | 3135.67915146389 | 64.6389048059163 | 3199.6819437302 | -64.3208485361147 |
| 43 | 3200 | 3143.51852003239 | -17.9910611773276 | 3274.47254114494 | -56.4814799676101 |
| 44 | 3250 | 3213.75899516855 | -60.2463449068258 | 3346.48734973828 | -36.2410048314546 |
| 45 | 3600 | 3608.99967446244 | 172.49816720594 | 3418.50215833162 | 8.99967446243727 |
| 46 | 3550 | 3609.76671724701 | 1.67706270222308 | 3488.55622005077 | 59.7667172470051 |
| 47 | 3600 | 3748.03380961273 | -106.644091382648 | 3558.61028176992 | 148.033809612727 |
| 48 | 3600 | 3537.69649057877 | 26.6810205786986 | 3635.62248884253 | -62.3035094212319 |
| 49 | 3300 | 3298.13712845406 | -410.771824369207 | 3712.63469591515 | -1.86287154593765 |
| 50 | 3650 | 3553.19819966697 | -51.0587142719014 | 3797.86051460493 | -96.8018003330253 |
| 51 | 4200 | 4141.59250995471 | 375.321156750586 | 3883.08633329471 | -58.4074900452947 |
| 52 | 3900 | 3795.98867738443 | 32.6278113095427 | 3971.38351130602 | -104.011322615567 |
| 53 | 3950 | 3867.05141722243 | -26.7321065397694 | 4059.68068931734 | -82.9485827775707 |
| 54 | 4200 | 4185.96580066167 | 64.6389048059163 | 4149.39529453241 | -14.0341993383263 |
| 55 | 4300 | 4378.88116142985 | -17.9910611773276 | 4239.10989974748 | 78.8811614298475 |
| 56 | 4350 | 4433.34988565493 | -60.2463449068258 | 4326.8964592519 | 83.3498856549268 |
| 57 | 4650 | 4712.81881403774 | 172.49816720594 | 4414.68301875632 | 62.8188140377433 |
| 58 | 4650 | 4808.46786583199 | 1.67706270222308 | 4489.85507146578 | 158.467865831994 |
| 59 | 4450 | 4441.6169672074 | -106.644091382648 | 4565.02712417525 | -8.38303279260072 |
| 60 | 4750 | 4860.57192778687 | 26.6810205786986 | 4612.74705163443 | 110.571927786872 |
| 61 | 4300 | 4350.3048452756 | -410.771824369207 | 4660.46697909361 | 50.3048452755966 |
| 62 | 4600 | 4573.41909358357 | -51.0587142719014 | 4677.63962068833 | -26.5809064164332 |
| 63 | 5350 | 5629.86658096636 | 375.321156750586 | 4694.81226228306 | 279.866580966356 |
| 64 | 4750 | 4779.96955880508 | 32.6278113095427 | 4687.40262988537 | 29.9695588050827 |
| 65 | 4900 | 5146.73910905208 | -26.7321065397694 | 4679.99299748769 | 246.739109052079 |
| 66 | 4700 | 4675.5582660999 | 64.6389048059163 | 4659.80282909418 | -24.4417339000966 |
| 67 | 4500 | 4378.37840047666 | -17.9910611773276 | 4639.61266070067 | -121.621599523343 |
| 68 | 4700 | 4839.18719302059 | -60.2463449068258 | 4621.05915188623 | 139.187193020592 |
| 69 | 4700 | 4624.99618972226 | 172.49816720594 | 4602.5056430718 | -75.0038102777362 |
| 70 | 4350 | 4101.84038809822 | 1.67706270222308 | 4596.48254919956 | -248.159611901781 |
| 71 | 4400 | 4316.18463605533 | -106.644091382648 | 4590.45945532732 | -83.8153639446709 |
| 72 | 4450 | 4265.48308862257 | 26.6810205786986 | 4607.83589079873 | -184.516911377433 |
| 73 | 4050 | 3885.55949809906 | -410.771824369207 | 4625.21232627015 | -164.440501900942 |
| 74 | 4700 | 4779.46550462663 | -51.0587142719014 | 4671.59320964527 | 79.4655046266316 |
| 75 | 5050 | 5006.70475022902 | 375.321156750586 | 4717.97409302039 | -43.2952497709766 |
| 76 | 4750 | 4675.53517477625 | 32.6278113095427 | 4791.8370139142 | -74.4648252237475 |
| 77 | 4800 | 4761.03217173175 | -26.7321065397694 | 4865.69993480802 | -38.9678282682498 |
| 78 | 4900 | 4777.55935538889 | 64.6389048059163 | 4957.8017398052 | -122.440644611112 |
| 79 | 5000 | 4968.08751637495 | -17.9910611773276 | 5049.90354480237 | -31.9124836250458 |
| 80 | 5050 | 5001.52759660048 | -60.2463449068258 | 5158.71874830634 | -48.4724033995153 |
| 81 | 5400 | 5359.96788098375 | 172.49816720594 | 5267.53395181031 | -40.0321190162485 |
| 82 | 5400 | 5413.06719874394 | 1.67706270222308 | 5385.25573855384 | 13.06719874394 |
| 83 | 5350 | 5303.66656608529 | -106.644091382648 | 5502.97752529736 | -46.333433914715 |
| 84 | 5600 | 5553.46435481969 | 26.6810205786986 | 5619.85462460162 | -46.5356451803145 |
| 85 | 5200 | 5074.04010046334 | -410.771824369207 | 5736.73172390587 | -125.95989953666 |
| 86 | 6000 | 6203.46606333023 | -51.0587142719014 | 5847.59265094167 | 203.466063330228 |
| 87 | 6650 | 6966.22526527194 | 375.321156750586 | 5958.45357797748 | 316.225265271936 |
| 88 | 6050 | 6011.7664746902 | 32.6278113095427 | 6055.60571400026 | -38.233525309799 |
| 89 | 6050 | 5973.97425651674 | -26.7321065397694 | 6152.75785002303 | -76.0257434832647 |
| 90 | 6400 | 6508.31136372933 | 64.6389048059163 | 6227.04973146476 | 108.311363729327 |
| 91 | 6400 | 6516.64944827085 | -17.9910611773276 | 6301.34161290648 | 116.649448270849 |
| 92 | 6100 | 5901.04243112497 | -60.2463449068258 | 6359.20391378185 | -198.957568875028 |
| 93 | 7050 | 7510.43561813683 | 172.49816720594 | 6417.06621465723 | 460.435618136831 |
| 94 | 6450 | 6448.65622227933 | 1.67706270222308 | 6449.66671501844 | -1.34377772066728 |
| 95 | 6250 | 6124.37687600299 | -106.644091382648 | 6482.26721537966 | -125.623123997009 |
| 96 | 6600 | 6665.03577086187 | 26.6810205786986 | 6508.28320855943 | 65.035770861874 |
| 97 | 6000 | 5876.47262263001 | -410.771824369207 | 6534.2992017392 | -123.52737736999 |
| 98 | 6600 | 6692.17464387359 | -51.0587142719014 | 6558.88407039831 | 92.1746438735881 |
| 99 | 7400 | 7841.20990419198 | 375.321156750586 | 6583.46893905743 | 441.209904191984 |
| 100 | 6650 | 6660.72440232904 | 32.6278113095427 | 6606.64778636142 | 10.724402329035 |
| 101 | 6250 | 5896.90547287436 | -26.7321065397694 | 6629.82663366541 | -353.094527125643 |
| 102 | 6650 | 6584.39429215324 | 64.6389048059163 | 6650.96680304084 | -65.6057078467593 |
