Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
EP1[t] = + 4.18795 + 0.12653EP3[t] -0.0021116`TVDSUM\r`[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | +4.188 | 0.7248 | +5.7780e+00 | 8.768e-08 | 4.384e-08 |
EP3 | +0.1265 | 0.0774 | +1.6350e+00 | 0.1053 | 0.05264 |
`TVDSUM\r` | -0.002112 | 0.04241 | -4.9800e-02 | 0.9604 | 0.4802 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.1654 |
R-squared | 0.02736 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.007715 |
F-TEST (value) | 1.393 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 2 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 99 |
p-value | 0.2532 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 0.7898 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 61.75 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 5 | 4.667 | 0.3334 |
2 | 3 | 4.407 | -1.407 |
3 | 5 | 4.532 | 0.4684 |
4 | 5 | 4.534 | 0.4662 |
5 | 5 | 4.658 | 0.3418 |
6 | 4 | 4.405 | -0.4051 |
7 | 2 | 4.409 | -2.409 |
8 | 5 | 4.534 | 0.4662 |
9 | 4 | 4.411 | -0.4114 |
10 | 5 | 4.534 | 0.4662 |
11 | 4 | 4.405 | -0.4051 |
12 | 4 | 4.407 | -0.4072 |
13 | 5 | 4.281 | 0.7193 |
14 | 5 | 4.407 | 0.5928 |
15 | 5 | 4.536 | 0.4641 |
16 | 5 | 4.787 | 0.2132 |
17 | 5 | 4.407 | 0.5928 |
18 | 5 | 4.793 | 0.2069 |
19 | 5 | 4.409 | 0.5907 |
20 | 5 | 4.405 | 0.5949 |
21 | 5 | 4.287 | 0.713 |
22 | 4 | 4.405 | -0.4051 |
23 | 5 | 4.538 | 0.462 |
24 | 5 | 4.411 | 0.5886 |
25 | 5 | 4.53 | 0.4705 |
26 | 5 | 4.532 | 0.4684 |
27 | 5 | 4.667 | 0.3334 |
28 | 5 | 4.66 | 0.3397 |
29 | 5 | 4.536 | 0.4641 |
30 | 5 | 4.409 | 0.5907 |
31 | 4 | 4.667 | -0.6666 |
32 | 5 | 4.532 | 0.4684 |
33 | 3 | 4.418 | -1.418 |
34 | 4 | 4.411 | -0.4114 |
35 | 3 | 4.54 | -1.54 |
36 | 5 | 4.405 | 0.5949 |
37 | 5 | 4.534 | 0.4662 |
38 | 5 | 4.405 | 0.5949 |
39 | 5 | 4.407 | 0.5928 |
40 | 5 | 4.66 | 0.3397 |
41 | 5 | 4.66 | 0.3397 |
42 | 4 | 4.536 | -0.5359 |
43 | 5 | 4.669 | 0.3313 |
44 | 4 | 4.658 | -0.6582 |
45 | 5 | 4.665 | 0.3355 |
46 | 2 | 4.665 | -2.665 |
47 | 4 | 4.787 | -0.7868 |
48 | 5 | 4.536 | 0.4641 |
49 | 3 | 4.66 | -1.66 |
50 | 4 | 4.411 | -0.4114 |
51 | 4 | 4.789 | -0.7889 |
52 | 5 | 4.279 | 0.7214 |
53 | 4 | 4.546 | -0.5464 |
54 | 5 | 4.405 | 0.5949 |
55 | 4 | 4.399 | -0.3988 |
56 | 5 | 4.279 | 0.7214 |
57 | 5 | 4.403 | 0.597 |
58 | 4 | 4.405 | -0.4051 |
59 | 4 | 4.411 | -0.4114 |
60 | 3 | 4.405 | -1.405 |
61 | 5 | 4.279 | 0.7214 |
62 | 4 | 4.407 | -0.4072 |
63 | 5 | 4.53 | 0.4705 |
64 | 2 | 4.276 | -2.276 |
65 | 5 | 4.407 | 0.5928 |
66 | 3 | 4.409 | -1.409 |
67 | 5 | 4.414 | 0.5864 |
68 | 5 | 4.534 | 0.4662 |
69 | 5 | 4.542 | 0.4578 |
70 | 5 | 4.534 | 0.4662 |
71 | 5 | 4.407 | 0.5928 |
72 | 5 | 4.281 | 0.7193 |
73 | 5 | 4.411 | 0.5886 |
74 | 5 | 4.662 | 0.3376 |
75 | 5 | 4.538 | 0.462 |
76 | 5 | 4.409 | 0.5907 |
77 | 5 | 4.536 | 0.4641 |
78 | 4 | 4.534 | -0.5338 |
79 | 5 | 4.544 | 0.4557 |
80 | 4 | 4.403 | -0.403 |
81 | 4 | 4.291 | -0.2913 |
82 | 4 | 4.53 | -0.5295 |
83 | 4 | 4.536 | -0.5359 |
84 | 5 | 4.274 | 0.7256 |
85 | 2 | 4.279 | -2.279 |
86 | 4 | 4.285 | -0.2849 |
87 | 5 | 4.54 | 0.4599 |
88 | 4 | 4.405 | -0.4051 |
89 | 5 | 4.411 | 0.5886 |
90 | 4 | 4.654 | -0.654 |
91 | 5 | 4.411 | 0.5886 |
92 | 4 | 4.534 | -0.5338 |
93 | 5 | 4.66 | 0.3397 |
94 | 5 | 4.536 | 0.4641 |
95 | 5 | 4.669 | 0.3313 |
96 | 5 | 4.658 | 0.3418 |
97 | 3 | 4.276 | -1.276 |
98 | 5 | 4.662 | 0.3376 |
99 | 5 | 4.53 | 0.4705 |
100 | 5 | 4.409 | 0.5907 |
101 | 5 | 4.534 | 0.4662 |
102 | 5 | 4.407 | 0.5928 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
6 | 0.3663 | 0.7325 | 0.6337 |
7 | 0.6183 | 0.7635 | 0.3817 |
8 | 0.5573 | 0.8853 | 0.4427 |
9 | 0.637 | 0.726 | 0.363 |
10 | 0.5633 | 0.8734 | 0.4367 |
11 | 0.4668 | 0.9336 | 0.5332 |
12 | 0.3892 | 0.7783 | 0.6108 |
13 | 0.7608 | 0.4784 | 0.2392 |
14 | 0.7669 | 0.4662 | 0.2331 |
15 | 0.7198 | 0.5605 | 0.2802 |
16 | 0.6746 | 0.6507 | 0.3253 |
17 | 0.6633 | 0.6735 | 0.3367 |
18 | 0.5881 | 0.8238 | 0.4119 |
19 | 0.5837 | 0.8327 | 0.4163 |
20 | 0.5452 | 0.9095 | 0.4548 |
21 | 0.5773 | 0.8455 | 0.4227 |
22 | 0.523 | 0.9541 | 0.477 |
23 | 0.465 | 0.9301 | 0.535 |
24 | 0.4249 | 0.8498 | 0.5751 |
25 | 0.3761 | 0.7522 | 0.6239 |
26 | 0.326 | 0.6521 | 0.674 |
27 | 0.27 | 0.5399 | 0.73 |
28 | 0.2204 | 0.4407 | 0.7796 |
29 | 0.1826 | 0.3652 | 0.8174 |
30 | 0.1602 | 0.3205 | 0.8398 |
31 | 0.1716 | 0.3432 | 0.8284 |
32 | 0.1411 | 0.2821 | 0.8589 |
33 | 0.2136 | 0.4271 | 0.7864 |
34 | 0.1781 | 0.3562 | 0.8219 |
35 | 0.296 | 0.592 | 0.704 |
36 | 0.264 | 0.528 | 0.736 |
37 | 0.2269 | 0.4538 | 0.7731 |
38 | 0.1995 | 0.399 | 0.8005 |
39 | 0.1783 | 0.3567 | 0.8217 |
40 | 0.1463 | 0.2926 | 0.8537 |
41 | 0.119 | 0.2379 | 0.881 |
42 | 0.1061 | 0.2122 | 0.8939 |
43 | 0.09212 | 0.1842 | 0.9079 |
44 | 0.103 | 0.206 | 0.897 |
45 | 0.0835 | 0.167 | 0.9165 |
46 | 0.5587 | 0.8827 | 0.4413 |
47 | 0.565 | 0.87 | 0.435 |
48 | 0.5272 | 0.9456 | 0.4728 |
49 | 0.7263 | 0.5473 | 0.2737 |
50 | 0.6902 | 0.6197 | 0.3098 |
51 | 0.7063 | 0.5874 | 0.2937 |
52 | 0.7037 | 0.5926 | 0.2963 |
53 | 0.7112 | 0.5776 | 0.2888 |
54 | 0.6916 | 0.6168 | 0.3084 |
55 | 0.6751 | 0.6499 | 0.3249 |
56 | 0.691 | 0.618 | 0.309 |
57 | 0.6884 | 0.6232 | 0.3116 |
58 | 0.6516 | 0.6969 | 0.3484 |
59 | 0.616 | 0.7681 | 0.384 |
60 | 0.7338 | 0.5324 | 0.2662 |
61 | 0.7647 | 0.4707 | 0.2353 |
62 | 0.7279 | 0.5441 | 0.2721 |
63 | 0.7022 | 0.5956 | 0.2978 |
64 | 0.9348 | 0.1305 | 0.06523 |
65 | 0.929 | 0.1419 | 0.07095 |
66 | 0.9728 | 0.05443 | 0.02722 |
67 | 0.9663 | 0.06739 | 0.03369 |
68 | 0.9568 | 0.08645 | 0.04322 |
69 | 0.9438 | 0.1125 | 0.05624 |
70 | 0.9293 | 0.1414 | 0.07069 |
71 | 0.9231 | 0.1539 | 0.07693 |
72 | 0.9364 | 0.1273 | 0.06364 |
73 | 0.9263 | 0.1473 | 0.07366 |
74 | 0.9012 | 0.1976 | 0.09882 |
75 | 0.8736 | 0.2528 | 0.1264 |
76 | 0.8646 | 0.2708 | 0.1354 |
77 | 0.8335 | 0.3329 | 0.1665 |
78 | 0.813 | 0.374 | 0.187 |
79 | 0.7665 | 0.467 | 0.2335 |
80 | 0.7107 | 0.5786 | 0.2893 |
81 | 0.6664 | 0.6672 | 0.3336 |
82 | 0.6134 | 0.7732 | 0.3866 |
83 | 0.6013 | 0.7974 | 0.3987 |
84 | 0.8174 | 0.3652 | 0.1826 |
85 | 0.9864 | 0.02713 | 0.01356 |
86 | 0.9822 | 0.03565 | 0.01782 |
87 | 0.9703 | 0.05939 | 0.0297 |
88 | 0.9537 | 0.0926 | 0.0463 |
89 | 0.9262 | 0.1477 | 0.07383 |
90 | 0.9108 | 0.1783 | 0.08915 |
91 | 0.8772 | 0.2456 | 0.1228 |
92 | 0.8919 | 0.2163 | 0.1081 |
93 | 0.8219 | 0.3563 | 0.1781 |
94 | 0.7203 | 0.5595 | 0.2797 |
95 | 0.7184 | 0.5632 | 0.2816 |
96 | 0.556 | 0.888 | 0.444 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
5% type I error level | 2 | 0.021978 | OK |
10% type I error level | 7 | 0.0769231 | OK |
Ramsey RESET F-Test for powers (2 and 3) of fitted values |
> reset_test_fitted RESET test data: mylm RESET = 1.0035, df1 = 2, df2 = 97, p-value = 0.3704 |
Ramsey RESET F-Test for powers (2 and 3) of regressors |
> reset_test_regressors RESET test data: mylm RESET = 0.90583, df1 = 4, df2 = 95, p-value = 0.4639 |
Ramsey RESET F-Test for powers (2 and 3) of principal components |
> reset_test_principal_components RESET test data: mylm RESET = 0.81257, df1 = 2, df2 = 97, p-value = 0.4467 |
Variance Inflation Factors (Multicollinearity) |
> vif EP3 `TVDSUM\\r` 1.030526 1.030526 |