Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 5682.5 | NA | NA | -801.975 | NA |
2 | 5286.5 | NA | NA | -1423.29 | NA |
3 | 6608 | NA | NA | -251.415 | NA |
4 | 6826 | NA | NA | -146.044 | NA |
5 | 6994.5 | NA | NA | 86.9001 | NA |
6 | 7509 | NA | NA | 901.252 | NA |
7 | 6599.5 | 6904.33 | 6613.21 | 291.123 | -304.831 |
8 | 7312.5 | 7384.12 | 6620.62 | 763.491 | -71.6165 |
9 | 7791.5 | 7521.76 | 6633.02 | 888.744 | 269.736 |
10 | 7302.5 | 7615.02 | 6626.15 | 988.877 | -312.523 |
11 | 6168.5 | 6291.87 | 6620.85 | -328.981 | -123.373 |
12 | 5303 | 5668.44 | 6637.12 | -968.681 | -365.444 |
13 | 5631.5 | 5871.05 | 6673.02 | -801.975 | -239.546 |
14 | 5515.5 | 5295.9 | 6719.19 | -1423.29 | 219.602 |
15 | 6676.5 | 6492.67 | 6744.08 | -251.415 | 183.831 |
16 | 6592.5 | 6612.25 | 6758.29 | -146.044 | -19.7473 |
17 | 7101 | 6859.13 | 6772.23 | 86.9001 | 241.871 |
18 | 7793 | 7694.19 | 6792.94 | 901.252 | 98.8106 |
19 | 7177 | 7140.89 | 6849.77 | 291.123 | 36.1064 |
20 | 7843 | 7677.37 | 6913.87 | 763.491 | 165.634 |
21 | 7858.5 | 7861.83 | 6973.08 | 888.744 | -3.32691 |
22 | 7576.5 | 8038.84 | 7049.96 | 988.877 | -462.335 |
23 | 6229 | 6785 | 7113.98 | -328.981 | -555.998 |
24 | 5739.5 | 6162.74 | 7131.42 | -968.681 | -423.235 |
25 | 6559 | 6364.53 | 7166.5 | -801.975 | 194.475 |
26 | 6126.5 | 5768.86 | 7192.15 | -1423.29 | 357.644 |
27 | 7486.5 | 6922.75 | 7174.17 | -251.415 | 563.748 |
28 | 7627.5 | 7069.64 | 7215.69 | -146.044 | 557.857 |
29 | 7602.5 | 7376.53 | 7289.62 | 86.9001 | 225.975 |
30 | 7710 | 8232.38 | 7331.12 | 901.252 | -522.377 |
31 | 8102 | 7649.54 | 7358.42 | 291.123 | 452.461 |
32 | 7533.5 | 8096.18 | 7332.69 | 763.491 | -562.679 |
33 | 7736.5 | 8161.49 | 7272.75 | 888.744 | -424.994 |
34 | 8695 | 8226.09 | 7237.21 | 988.877 | 468.915 |
35 | 6885 | 6881.73 | 7210.71 | -328.981 | 3.27309 |
36 | 6079.5 | 6228.34 | 7197.02 | -968.681 | -148.839 |
37 | 6874 | 6357.94 | 7159.92 | -801.975 | 516.058 |
38 | 5194 | 5716.84 | 7140.12 | -1423.29 | -522.835 |
39 | 6980.5 | 6933.44 | 7184.85 | -251.415 | 47.0606 |
40 | 7280.5 | 7052.81 | 7198.85 | -146.044 | 227.69 |
41 | 7313.5 | 7271.25 | 7184.35 | 86.9001 | 42.2458 |
42 | 7670.5 | 8109.4 | 7208.15 | 901.252 | -438.898 |
43 | 7251 | 7514.54 | 7223.42 | 291.123 | -263.539 |
44 | 7909.5 | 7995.2 | 7231.71 | 763.491 | -85.6998 |
45 | 8434 | 8117.12 | 7228.37 | 888.744 | 316.881 |
46 | 8333.5 | 8196.94 | 7208.06 | 988.877 | 136.561 |
47 | 6898.5 | 6870.06 | 7199.04 | -328.981 | 28.4398 |
48 | 6637 | 6240.57 | 7209.25 | -968.681 | 396.431 |
49 | 6683 | 6424.84 | 7226.81 | -801.975 | 258.162 |
50 | 5584 | 5811.61 | 7234.9 | -1423.29 | -227.606 |
51 | 6510.5 | 6977.38 | 7228.79 | -251.415 | -466.877 |
52 | 7263 | 7078.83 | 7224.88 | -146.044 | 184.169 |
53 | 7114.5 | 7342.69 | 7255.79 | 86.9001 | -228.192 |
54 | 8114.5 | 8178.46 | 7277.21 | 901.252 | -63.9602 |
55 | 7228.5 | 7559.94 | 7268.81 | 291.123 | -331.435 |
56 | 8126 | 8048.18 | 7284.69 | 763.491 | 77.821 |
57 | 8071 | 8222.62 | 7333.87 | 888.744 | -151.619 |
58 | 8602.5 | 8356.34 | 7367.46 | 988.877 | 246.165 |
59 | 7371.5 | 7063.85 | 7392.83 | -328.981 | 307.648 |
60 | 6678 | 6475.71 | 7444.4 | -968.681 | 202.286 |
61 | 6440.5 | 6722.19 | 7524.17 | -801.975 | -281.692 |
62 | 6207.5 | 6132.21 | 7555.5 | -1423.29 | 75.2898 |
63 | 7067.5 | 7320.86 | 7572.27 | -251.415 | -253.356 |
64 | 7512 | 7479.08 | 7625.12 | -146.044 | 32.9194 |
65 | 7474.5 | 7753.75 | 7666.85 | 86.9001 | -279.254 |
66 | 8992 | 8626.98 | 7725.73 | 901.252 | 365.019 |
67 | 8265.5 | 8061.96 | 7770.83 | 291.123 | 203.544 |
68 | 7841 | 8555.32 | 7791.83 | 763.491 | -714.325 |
69 | 8758.5 | 8731.26 | 7842.52 | 888.744 | 27.2356 |
70 | 9183.5 | 8853.94 | 7865.06 | 988.877 | 329.561 |
71 | 7792 | 7537.89 | 7866.88 | -328.981 | 254.106 |
72 | 7670.5 | 6912.38 | 7881.06 | -968.681 | 758.119 |
73 | 6530.5 | 7064.98 | 7866.96 | -801.975 | -534.483 |
74 | 6621.5 | 6477.25 | 7900.54 | -1423.29 | 144.248 |
75 | 7870 | 7689.98 | 7941.4 | -251.415 | 180.019 |
76 | 7250.5 | 7768.48 | 7914.52 | -146.044 | -517.976 |
77 | 7779.5 | 7993.67 | 7906.77 | 86.9001 | -214.171 |
78 | 9027.5 | 8805.65 | 7904.4 | 901.252 | 221.852 |
79 | 7891.5 | 8209.48 | 7918.35 | 291.123 | -317.977 |
80 | 9021 | 8696.41 | 7932.92 | 763.491 | 324.592 |
81 | 8559 | 8787.56 | 7898.81 | 888.744 | -228.556 |
82 | 8738 | 8877.38 | 7888.5 | 988.877 | -139.377 |
83 | 8051.5 | 7573.85 | 7902.83 | -328.981 | 477.648 |
84 | 7354 | 6935.99 | 7904.67 | -968.681 | 418.015 |
85 | 7182 | 7092.78 | 7894.75 | -801.975 | 89.2249 |
86 | 6319.5 | 6449.81 | 7873.1 | -1423.29 | -130.314 |
87 | 7353.5 | 7600.84 | 7852.25 | -251.415 | -247.335 |
88 | 7519.5 | 7683.68 | 7829.73 | -146.044 | -164.185 |
89 | 7854.5 | 7896.3 | 7809.4 | 86.9001 | -41.7959 |
90 | 8996.5 | 8684.92 | 7783.67 | 901.252 | 311.581 |
91 | 7684.5 | 8067.62 | 7776.5 | 291.123 | -383.123 |
92 | 8708.5 | 8561.05 | 7797.56 | 763.491 | 147.446 |
93 | 8371 | 8716.18 | 7827.44 | 888.744 | -345.181 |
94 | 8385.5 | 8836.69 | 7847.81 | 988.877 | -451.189 |
95 | 7916 | 7531.69 | 7860.67 | -328.981 | 384.315 |
96 | 6872 | 6886.88 | 7855.56 | -968.681 | -14.8811 |
97 | 7492 | 7076.09 | 7878.06 | -801.975 | 415.912 |
98 | 6515 | 6504.25 | 7927.54 | -1423.29 | 10.7481 |
99 | 7875 | 7677.56 | 7928.98 | -251.415 | 197.436 |
100 | 7487 | 7787.83 | 7933.88 | -146.044 | -300.831 |
101 | 8195.5 | 8010.84 | 7923.94 | 86.9001 | 184.662 |
102 | 8533 | 8786.84 | 7885.58 | 901.252 | -253.835 |
103 | 8688 | 8113.94 | 7822.81 | 291.123 | 574.065 |
104 | 8892.5 | 8530.22 | 7766.73 | 763.491 | 362.279 |
105 | 8221.5 | 8617.58 | 7728.83 | 888.744 | -396.077 |
106 | 8652.5 | 8695.84 | 7706.96 | 988.877 | -43.3352 |
107 | 7410.5 | 7372 | 7700.98 | -328.981 | 38.5023 |
108 | 6457 | 6737.61 | 7706.29 | -968.681 | -280.61 |
109 | 6400.5 | 6908.82 | 7710.79 | -801.975 | -508.317 |
110 | 6260.5 | 6277.48 | 7700.77 | -1423.29 | -16.9811 |
111 | 7220 | 7514.73 | 7766.15 | -251.415 | -294.731 |
112 | 7617 | 7707.1 | 7853.15 | -146.044 | -90.1014 |
113 | 7922 | 7943.55 | 7856.65 | 86.9001 | -21.5459 |
114 | 8934 | 8742.4 | 7841.15 | 901.252 | 191.602 |
115 | 8395 | 8160.5 | 7869.38 | 291.123 | 234.502 |
116 | 8945 | 8688.68 | 7925.19 | 763.491 | 256.321 |
117 | 9738 | 8902.33 | 8013.58 | 888.744 | 835.673 |
118 | 9224 | 9096.67 | 8107.79 | 988.877 | 127.331 |
119 | 6923 | 7837.79 | 8166.77 | -328.981 | -914.789 |
120 | 6572.5 | 7214.57 | 8183.25 | -968.681 | -642.069 |
121 | 6962.5 | NA | NA | -801.975 | NA |
122 | 7038 | NA | NA | -1423.29 | NA |
123 | 8564 | NA | NA | -251.415 | NA |
124 | 8534 | NA | NA | -146.044 | NA |
125 | 8420.5 | NA | NA | 86.9001 | NA |
126 | 8831 | NA | NA | 901.252 | NA |