Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[104])
103	8337	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	8326	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	8313	8315.8485	8287.2526	8344.4443	0.4226	0.2433	0.2433	0.2433
106	8327.4	8306.48	8244.5028	8368.4572	0.2541	0.4183	0.4183	0.2685
107	8346.4	8297.8341	8197.156	8398.5123	0.1722	0.2824	0.2824	0.2917
108	8360.8	8289.8552	8146.6676	8433.0427	0.1657	0.2195	0.2195	0.3104
109	8374.6	8282.4917	8094.0154	8470.9679	0.1691	0.2077	0.2077	0.3255
110	8406	8275.6961	8039.8943	8511.498	0.1394	0.2055	0.2055	0.3379
111	8406.2	8269.4248	7984.8193	8554.0303	0.1731	0.1735	0.1735	0.3484
112	8381.4	8263.6371	7929.182	8598.0923	0.2451	0.2017	0.2017	0.3574
113	8379.8	8258.2959	7873.2859	8643.306	0.2681	0.2654	0.2654	0.3652
114	8367.4	8253.3667	7817.3688	8689.3647	0.3041	0.2849	0.2849	0.372
115	8372	8248.8177	7761.6182	8736.0173	0.3101	0.3167	0.3167	0.3781
116	8393.4	8244.6196	7706.1825	8783.0568	0.2941	0.3214	0.3214	0.3835

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	sMAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE	ScaledE	MASE
105	0.0018	-3e-04	3e-04	3e-04	8.1138	0	0	-0.1983	0.1983
106	0.0038	0.0025	0.0014	0.0014	437.6469	222.8803	14.9292	1.4565	0.8274
107	0.0062	0.0058	0.0029	0.0029	2358.6435	934.8014	30.5745	3.3812	1.6786
108	0.0088	0.0085	0.0043	0.0043	5033.169	1959.3933	44.265	4.9392	2.4938
109	0.0116	0.011	0.0056	0.0057	8483.9465	3264.3039	57.1341	6.4126	3.2775
110	0.0145	0.0155	0.0073	0.0073	16979.0988	5550.1031	74.499	9.0718	4.2433
111	0.0176	0.0163	0.0086	0.0086	18707.4641	7429.7261	86.1959	9.5223	4.9974
112	0.0206	0.0141	0.0092	0.0093	13868.0901	8234.5216	90.7443	8.1987	5.3976
113	0.0238	0.0145	0.0098	0.0099	14763.235	8959.9342	94.6569	8.4591	5.7377
114	0.027	0.0136	0.0102	0.0103	13003.5847	9364.2992	96.7693	7.939	5.9579
115	0.0301	0.0147	0.0106	0.0107	15173.8685	9892.4419	99.4608	8.576	6.1959
116	0.0333	0.0177	0.0112	0.0113	22135.5983	10912.7049	104.4639	10.3581	6.5427