| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 3300 | NA | NA | -165.442 | NA |
| 2 | 4100 | NA | NA | 391.85 | NA |
| 3 | 3550 | NA | NA | 249.662 | NA |
| 4 | 3650 | NA | NA | -165.442 | NA |
| 5 | 3400 | NA | NA | -151.9 | NA |
| 6 | 4050 | NA | NA | 413.725 | NA |
| 7 | 2950 | 2739.27 | 3672.92 | -933.642 | 210.725 |
| 8 | 3300 | 3631.17 | 3706.25 | -75.0772 | -331.173 |
| 9 | 3950 | 4047.15 | 3750 | 297.145 | -97.1451 |
| 10 | 3950 | 4025.62 | 3779.17 | 246.451 | -75.6173 |
| 11 | 3900 | 4037.19 | 3791.67 | 245.525 | -137.191 |
| 12 | 3700 | 3459.65 | 3812.5 | -352.855 | 240.355 |
| 13 | 3850 | 3674.14 | 3839.58 | -165.442 | 175.858 |
| 14 | 4350 | 4277.27 | 3885.42 | 391.85 | 72.7334 |
| 15 | 4350 | 4170.5 | 3920.83 | 249.662 | 179.504 |
| 16 | 3550 | 3776.22 | 3941.67 | -165.442 | -226.225 |
| 17 | 3800 | 3810.6 | 3962.5 | -151.9 | -10.5999 |
| 18 | 4150 | 4405.39 | 3991.67 | 413.725 | -255.392 |
| 19 | 3500 | 3089.27 | 4022.92 | -933.642 | 410.725 |
| 20 | 3850 | 3962.42 | 4037.5 | -75.0772 | -112.423 |
| 21 | 4250 | 4326.31 | 4029.17 | 297.145 | -76.3117 |
| 22 | 4150 | 4294.37 | 4047.92 | 246.451 | -144.367 |
| 23 | 4200 | 4322.61 | 4077.08 | 245.525 | -122.608 |
| 24 | 4100 | 3724.23 | 4077.08 | -352.855 | 375.772 |
| 25 | 4200 | 3922.06 | 4087.5 | -165.442 | 277.942 |
| 26 | 4350 | 4508.52 | 4116.67 | 391.85 | -158.517 |
| 27 | 4150 | 4389.25 | 4139.58 | 249.662 | -239.246 |
| 28 | 4200 | 3990.81 | 4156.25 | -165.442 | 209.192 |
| 29 | 3850 | 4025.18 | 4177.08 | -151.9 | -175.183 |
| 30 | 4100 | 4599.14 | 4185.42 | 413.725 | -499.142 |
| 31 | 3800 | 3245.52 | 4179.17 | -933.642 | 554.475 |
| 32 | 4250 | 4104.09 | 4179.17 | -75.0772 | 145.91 |
| 33 | 4400 | 4499.23 | 4202.08 | 297.145 | -99.2284 |
| 34 | 4400 | 4463.12 | 4216.67 | 246.451 | -63.1173 |
| 35 | 4450 | 4476.77 | 4231.25 | 245.525 | -26.7747 |
| 36 | 4050 | 3928.4 | 4281.25 | -352.855 | 121.605 |
| 37 | 4100 | 4147.06 | 4312.5 | -165.442 | -47.0583 |
| 38 | 4450 | 4712.68 | 4320.83 | 391.85 | -262.683 |
| 39 | 4600 | 4595.5 | 4345.83 | 249.662 | 4.50424 |
| 40 | 4100 | 4217.89 | 4383.33 | -165.442 | -117.892 |
| 41 | 4300 | 4271.02 | 4422.92 | -151.9 | 28.9834 |
| 42 | 4850 | 4867.89 | 4454.17 | 413.725 | -17.8916 |
| 43 | 3800 | 3549.69 | 4483.33 | -933.642 | 250.309 |
| 44 | 4450 | 4449.92 | 4525 | -75.0772 | 0.0771605 |
| 45 | 4800 | 4870.06 | 4572.92 | 297.145 | -70.0617 |
| 46 | 4900 | 4856.87 | 4610.42 | 246.451 | 43.1327 |
| 47 | 4900 | 4895.52 | 4650 | 245.525 | 4.47531 |
| 48 | 4350 | 4347.15 | 4700 | -352.855 | 2.85494 |
| 49 | 4500 | 4572.06 | 4737.5 | -165.442 | -72.0583 |
| 50 | 5050 | 5166.85 | 4775 | 391.85 | -116.85 |
| 51 | 5150 | 5080.91 | 4831.25 | 249.662 | 69.0876 |
| 52 | 4450 | 4719.97 | 4885.42 | -165.442 | -269.975 |
| 53 | 4900 | 4781.43 | 4933.33 | -151.9 | 118.567 |
| 54 | 5450 | 5397.06 | 4983.33 | 413.725 | 52.9417 |
| 55 | 4100 | 4112.19 | 5045.83 | -933.642 | -12.1914 |
| 56 | 5050 | 5037.42 | 5112.5 | -75.0772 | 12.5772 |
| 57 | 5550 | 5472.15 | 5175 | 297.145 | 77.8549 |
| 58 | 5450 | 5517.28 | 5270.83 | 246.451 | -67.284 |
| 59 | 5500 | 5614.27 | 5368.75 | 245.525 | -114.275 |
| 60 | 4950 | 5092.98 | 5445.83 | -352.855 | -142.978 |
| 61 | 5400 | 5359.56 | 5525 | -165.442 | 40.4417 |
| 62 | 5750 | 5991.85 | 5600 | 391.85 | -241.85 |
| 63 | 5950 | 5916.33 | 5666.67 | 249.662 | 33.6709 |
| 64 | 5950 | 5565.81 | 5731.25 | -165.442 | 384.192 |
| 65 | 5750 | 5652.27 | 5804.17 | -151.9 | 97.7334 |
| 66 | 6450 | 6286.64 | 5872.92 | 413.725 | 163.358 |
| 67 | 5000 | 4985.11 | 5918.75 | -933.642 | 14.892 |
| 68 | 5950 | 5887.42 | 5962.5 | -75.0772 | 62.5772 |
| 69 | 6250 | 6311.73 | 6014.58 | 297.145 | -61.7284 |
| 70 | 6300 | 6283.95 | 6037.5 | 246.451 | 16.0494 |
| 71 | 6400 | 6301.77 | 6056.25 | 245.525 | 98.2253 |
| 72 | 5700 | 5734.65 | 6087.5 | -352.855 | -34.6451 |
| 73 | 5750 | 5947.06 | 6112.5 | -165.442 | -197.058 |
| 74 | 6450 | 6537.68 | 6145.83 | 391.85 | -87.6833 |
| 75 | 6500 | 6443.41 | 6193.75 | 249.662 | 56.5876 |
| 76 | 5950 | 6076.22 | 6241.67 | -165.442 | -126.225 |
| 77 | 6200 | 6125.18 | 6277.08 | -151.9 | 74.8167 |
| 78 | 6750 | 6719.97 | 6306.25 | 413.725 | 30.0251 |
| 79 | 5300 | 5401.77 | 6335.42 | -933.642 | -101.775 |
| 80 | 6450 | 6314.51 | 6389.58 | -75.0772 | 135.494 |
| 81 | 6900 | 6759.65 | 6462.5 | 297.145 | 140.355 |
| 82 | 6800 | 6752.7 | 6506.25 | 246.451 | 47.2994 |
| 83 | 6750 | 6776.77 | 6531.25 | 245.525 | -26.7747 |
| 84 | 6050 | 6224.23 | 6577.08 | -352.855 | -174.228 |
| 85 | 6100 | 6447.06 | 6612.5 | -165.442 | -347.058 |
| 86 | 7400 | 7021.02 | 6629.17 | 391.85 | 378.983 |
| 87 | 7300 | 6912.16 | 6662.5 | 249.662 | 387.838 |
| 88 | 6200 | 6544.97 | 6710.42 | -165.442 | -344.975 |
| 89 | 6550 | 6604.35 | 6756.25 | -151.9 | -54.3499 |
| 90 | 7500 | 7207.47 | 6793.75 | 413.725 | 292.525 |
| 91 | 5400 | 5922.61 | 6856.25 | -933.642 | -522.608 |
| 92 | 6750 | 6849.92 | 6925 | -75.0772 | -99.9228 |
| 93 | 7400 | 7234.65 | 6937.5 | 297.145 | 165.355 |
| 94 | 7450 | 7229.78 | 6983.33 | 246.451 | 220.216 |
| 95 | 7200 | 7310.11 | 7064.58 | 245.525 | -110.108 |
| 96 | 6500 | 6757.56 | 7110.42 | -352.855 | -257.562 |
| 97 | 7150 | 6980.39 | 7145.83 | -165.442 | 169.608 |
| 98 | 8000 | 7583.52 | 7191.67 | 391.85 | 416.483 |
| 99 | 7000 | 7491.33 | 7241.67 | 249.662 | -491.329 |
| 100 | 7600 | 7107.47 | 7272.92 | -165.442 | 492.525 |
| 101 | 7100 | 7179.35 | 7331.25 | -151.9 | -79.3499 |
| 102 | 8050 | 7815.81 | 7402.08 | 413.725 | 234.192 |
| 103 | 5700 | 6503.86 | 7437.5 | -933.642 | -803.858 |
| 104 | 7550 | 7362.42 | 7437.5 | -75.0772 | 187.577 |
| 105 | 7800 | 7778.4 | 7481.25 | 297.145 | 21.6049 |
| 106 | 7800 | 7775.62 | 7529.17 | 246.451 | 24.3827 |
| 107 | 8250 | 7814.27 | 7568.75 | 245.525 | 435.725 |
| 108 | 7150 | 7280.48 | 7633.33 | -352.855 | -130.478 |
| 109 | 7350 | NA | NA | -165.442 | NA |
| 110 | 7800 | NA | NA | 391.85 | NA |
| 111 | 8250 | NA | NA | 249.662 | NA |
| 112 | 7500 | NA | NA | -165.442 | NA |
| 113 | 8150 | NA | NA | -151.9 | NA |
| 114 | 8550 | NA | NA | 413.725 | NA |
