| Structural Time Series Model -- Interpolation | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 5692.4 | 5692.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 5634.45 | 5655.30301678617 | -35.1546266408163 | -1.09065074649896 | -0.289613530401299 |
| 3 | 5555.38 | 5568.49106559392 | -71.4181314515799 | -1.04659373606973 | -0.237568537872849 |
| 4 | 5352.26 | 5379.74542098228 | -151.203557907463 | -0.807743903537414 | -0.53022601592142 |
| 5 | 5233.07 | 5232.56337116225 | -148.442038940946 | -0.399069833459118 | 0.0180820725099791 |
| 6 | 4880.16 | 4918.17481223554 | -262.709620257985 | -0.871935512024383 | -0.743929931684174 |
| 7 | 4861.88 | 4823.94136655989 | -146.642403154837 | 0.250321139579364 | 0.755258687148875 |
| 8 | 4661.93 | 4665.20721440824 | -154.973713885894 | -0.57194813835887 | -0.0542133863854673 |
| 9 | 4330.68 | 4364.1759810029 | -255.60544163555 | -0.820339535698028 | -0.65482047807571 |
| 10 | 3681.56 | 3760.6888028866 | -495.278863698527 | -1.30637884766677 | -1.55956822006958 |
| 11 | 3540.08 | 3489.42098774322 | -340.950363920509 | 0.548317989365791 | 1.00422338095533 |
| 12 | 3328.03 | 3295.3495737735 | -239.761332235992 | -0.175802953640288 | 0.658442174451181 |
| 13 | 3254.92 | 3181.54837245563 | -155.571118369428 | 46.0359242589306 | 0.624703716917648 |
| 14 | 3217.27 | 3192.74993086239 | -54.9127128075814 | -0.286800848242062 | 0.596134490898309 |
| 15 | 3301.29 | 3271.18122778033 | 36.5505504089849 | 0.398876145637861 | 0.597290142296039 |
| 16 | 4272.3 | 4098.20158818688 | 581.134073636986 | 0.49767328873687 | 3.50395249324556 |
| 17 | 4424.8 | 4474.66270545981 | 440.650202523569 | -4.59633052042152 | -0.911516021989857 |
| 18 | 4449.8 | 4539.00550925613 | 182.036189509872 | -5.51164189306744 | -1.68258372831908 |
| 19 | 4678 | 4687.21666050125 | 158.768272671943 | -1.68388448074212 | -0.151406712911246 |
| 20 | 4722.2 | 4747.25143112744 | 90.8369370225404 | -3.05975711911268 | -0.442027639956406 |
| 21 | 4708.9 | 4734.13261580062 | 19.3150322940789 | -2.07832958602329 | -0.465395071354418 |
| 22 | 4121.4 | 4242.13336741806 | -332.452624386222 | -6.85259249088548 | -2.2889695574676 |
| 23 | 4230.6 | 4171.78994001236 | -152.134970736753 | 0.434241296372412 | 1.17333615041648 |
| 24 | 4263 | 4220.22905177385 | -14.1608813063556 | -1.89659282736104 | 0.897805328348776 |
| 25 | 4241.9 | 4211.15633796771 | -10.7144617102757 | 29.6272783554902 | 0.0241092924148857 |
| 26 | 4309.8 | 4293.66987325889 | 48.0490785120501 | 0.0670660339811 | 0.361477423560926 |
| 27 | 4457.9 | 4441.14304405513 | 116.180245489558 | -5.29834580984271 | 0.444673280737044 |
| 28 | 4543.9 | 4543.88819491659 | 106.94081806403 | 2.96322599668745 | -0.0596598075780545 |
| 29 | 4937 | 4884.44980925552 | 267.185209748444 | 0.991598202483374 | 1.0406103127572 |
| 30 | 4917.9 | 4965.7788219983 | 139.594449038138 | -6.70065314028979 | -0.830157401493274 |
| 31 | 5041.1 | 5053.16897850151 | 103.732317997791 | -0.491979711986354 | -0.233358062097937 |
| 32 | 5017.2 | 5044.94088570183 | 26.8093865198162 | -2.90904418944149 | -0.500537352915215 |
| 33 | 4833.9 | 4875.90961256431 | -107.740782117957 | 1.42543620403001 | -0.875522616621847 |
| 34 | 4815.4 | 4811.91099469666 | -77.6892647916675 | -6.21216378629567 | 0.195546732322784 |
| 35 | 4785.9 | 4776.05797342204 | -48.9477618119103 | 0.563749884835746 | 0.187022425651466 |
| Structural Time Series Model -- Extrapolation | |||
| t | Observed | Level | Seasonal |
| 1 | 4924.73986434945 | 5237.79351055418 | -313.053646204735 |
| 2 | 5020.70692590133 | 5386.1278518566 | -365.420925955268 |
| 3 | 5230.2401938686 | 5534.46219315902 | -304.221999290412 |
| 4 | 5502.21351381526 | 5682.79653446143 | -180.583020646176 |
| 5 | 5974.3902522272 | 5831.13087576385 | 143.259376463355 |
| 6 | 6325.98337401959 | 5979.46521706626 | 346.518156953328 |
| 7 | 6391.78413276359 | 6127.79955836868 | 263.984574394909 |
| 8 | 6672.03113571661 | 6276.13389967109 | 395.897236045515 |
| 9 | 6779.53938623838 | 6424.46824097351 | 355.071145264868 |
| 10 | 6741.21753453402 | 6572.80258227593 | 168.414952258095 |
| 11 | 6495.28262272472 | 6721.13692357834 | -225.854300853619 |
| 12 | 6585.4597164509 | 6869.47126488076 | -284.011548429859 |
| 13 | 6704.75195997844 | 7017.80560618317 | -313.053646204735 |
| 14 | 6800.71902153032 | 7166.13994748559 | -365.420925955268 |
| 15 | 7010.25228949759 | 7314.47428878801 | -304.221999290412 |
| 16 | 7282.22560944425 | 7462.80863009042 | -180.583020646176 |
| 17 | 7754.40234785619 | 7611.14297139284 | 143.259376463355 |
| 18 | 8105.99546964858 | 7759.47731269525 | 346.518156953328 |
