| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.891397415842605 |
| beta | 0.0509650449148186 |
| gamma | 0 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 3254.92 | 3821.01547008547 | -566.095470085472 |
| 14 | 3217.27 | 3215.86657898701 | 1.40342101298529 |
| 15 | 3301.29 | 3214.89765714399 | 86.3923428560056 |
| 16 | 4272.3 | 4164.78703752211 | 107.512962477887 |
| 17 | 4424.8 | 4306.86510929251 | 117.93489070749 |
| 18 | 4449.8 | 4315.4606392675 | 134.339360732499 |
| 19 | 4678 | 4269.91212327718 | 408.087876722824 |
| 20 | 4722.2 | 4606.84805388933 | 115.351946110668 |
| 21 | 4708.9 | 4549.13913395339 | 159.760866046613 |
| 22 | 4121.4 | 4164.68666410072 | -43.2866641007158 |
| 23 | 4230.6 | 4044.66913269863 | 185.930867301368 |
| 24 | 4263 | 4039.78570941784 | 223.214290582157 |
| 25 | 4241.9 | 4191.20103292968 | 50.6989670703197 |
| 26 | 4309.8 | 4206.15698582034 | 103.643014179656 |
| 27 | 4457.9 | 4371.26480562121 | 86.6351943787859 |
| 28 | 4543.9 | 5396.32232848873 | -852.422328488726 |
| 29 | 4937 | 4714.05826256142 | 222.941737438577 |
| 30 | 4917.9 | 4852.3687969323 | 65.5312030677005 |
| 31 | 5041.1 | 4778.47107745882 | 262.628922541181 |
| 32 | 5017.2 | 5012.12326645815 | 5.07673354185317 |
| 33 | 4833.9 | 4877.48348629874 | -43.5834862987394 |
| 34 | 4815.4 | 4323.90060937133 | 491.499390628674 |
| 35 | 4785.9 | 4717.01559725316 | 68.8844027468349 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 36 | 4638.9054363224 | 4094.47956207161 | 5183.3313105732 |
| 37 | 4612.31564679125 | 3866.30402425587 | 5358.32726932663 |
| 38 | 4600.74294059343 | 3682.86031198476 | 5518.62556920211 |
| 39 | 4687.41940106228 | 3612.45496243509 | 5762.38383968948 |
| 40 | 5645.27044486446 | 4421.80124250562 | 6868.73964722331 |
| 41 | 5771.59898866665 | 4404.95454725099 | 7138.2434300823 |
| 42 | 5749.79711580216 | 4243.38002892468 | 7256.21420267964 |
| 43 | 5653.12524293767 | 4009.09768988353 | 7297.15279599182 |
| 44 | 5676.37962007319 | 3896.05858978826 | 7456.70065035812 |
| 45 | 5560.6927472087 | 3644.79477456365 | 7476.59071985376 |
| 46 | 5071.41837434422 | 3020.2196315937 | 7122.61711709474 |
| 47 | 5029.54150147973 | 2842.98709606681 | 7216.09590689265 |
| 48 | 4890.02796194858 | 2567.80915804106 | 7212.2467658561 |
| 49 | 4863.43817241743 | 2405.0485016446 | 7321.82784319026 |
| 50 | 4851.86546621961 | 2256.64246170121 | 7447.08847073801 |
| 51 | 4938.54192668846 | 2205.69878124327 | 7671.38507213365 |
| 52 | 5896.39297049064 | 3025.0429584638 | 8767.74298251748 |
| 53 | 6022.72151429282 | 3011.89710559859 | 9033.54592298706 |
