Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 2650.84 | NA | NA | 0.423318 | NA |
2 | 2685.28 | NA | NA | 1.43792 | NA |
3 | 2706.04 | NA | NA | -4.9103 | NA |
4 | 2743.34 | NA | NA | -6.0678 | NA |
5 | 2768.48 | NA | NA | 0.0875595 | NA |
6 | 2756.38 | NA | NA | 0.233869 | NA |
7 | 2788.68 | 2795.39 | 2795.11 | 0.276548 | -6.70571 |
8 | 2828.58 | 2818.01 | 2814.24 | 3.77082 | 10.5733 |
9 | 2853.18 | 2833.68 | 2832.41 | 1.26821 | 19.5026 |
10 | 2859 | 2848.72 | 2848.61 | 0.112693 | 10.2765 |
11 | 2900.32 | 2867.55 | 2862.63 | 4.92228 | 32.7719 |
12 | 2884.46 | 2875.24 | 2876.8 | -1.55512 | 9.21512 |
13 | 2884.3 | 2891.24 | 2890.81 | 0.423318 | -6.93665 |
14 | 2910.86 | 2904.03 | 2902.59 | 1.43792 | 6.83458 |
15 | 2916.62 | 2906.92 | 2911.84 | -4.9103 | 9.6953 |
16 | 2921.6 | 2913.73 | 2919.8 | -6.0678 | 7.87113 |
17 | 2926.58 | 2926.77 | 2926.68 | 0.0875595 | -0.19006 |
18 | 2938.46 | 2933.85 | 2933.62 | 0.233869 | 4.60946 |
19 | 2942.92 | 2942.53 | 2942.26 | 0.276548 | 0.385952 |
20 | 2956.92 | 2954.58 | 2950.81 | 3.77082 | 2.33668 |
21 | 2946.78 | 2960.61 | 2959.34 | 1.26821 | -13.8257 |
22 | 2956.48 | 2968.59 | 2968.48 | 0.112693 | -12.1144 |
23 | 2968.1 | 2983.1 | 2978.18 | 4.92228 | -15.0039 |
24 | 2983.1 | 2987 | 2988.55 | -1.55512 | -3.89821 |
25 | 2993.04 | 3000.69 | 3000.27 | 0.423318 | -7.64915 |
26 | 3007.44 | 3015.36 | 3013.92 | 1.43792 | -7.92125 |
27 | 3024.64 | 3024.05 | 3028.96 | -4.9103 | 0.585298 |
28 | 3033.04 | 3037.44 | 3043.5 | -6.0678 | -4.3972 |
29 | 3047.94 | 3057.24 | 3057.16 | 0.0875595 | -9.30256 |
30 | 3066.02 | 3069.52 | 3069.29 | 0.233869 | -3.5022 |
31 | 3096.46 | 3080.76 | 3080.49 | 0.276548 | 15.6951 |
32 | 3131.16 | 3095.29 | 3091.52 | 3.77082 | 35.865 |
33 | 3133.54 | 3102.51 | 3101.25 | 1.26821 | 31.026 |
34 | 3118.68 | 3110.61 | 3110.5 | 0.112693 | 8.06564 |
35 | 3133.5 | 3126.34 | 3121.42 | 4.92228 | 7.16022 |
36 | 3108.9 | 3131.99 | 3133.54 | -1.55512 | -23.0899 |
37 | 3136.04 | 3143.75 | 3143.33 | 0.423318 | -7.70915 |
38 | 3129.3 | 3150.45 | 3149.01 | 1.43792 | -21.1529 |
39 | 3136.1 | 3149.1 | 3154.01 | -4.9103 | -13.0022 |
40 | 3143.72 | 3157.45 | 3163.52 | -6.0678 | -13.728 |
41 | 3199.24 | 3176.34 | 3176.25 | 0.0875595 | 22.8983 |
42 | 3205.78 | 3191.63 | 3191.4 | 0.233869 | 14.1503 |
43 | 3191.44 | 3209.17 | 3208.89 | 0.276548 | -17.7299 |
44 | 3172.72 | 3232.82 | 3229.05 | 3.77082 | -60.0983 |
45 | 3211.92 | 3253.68 | 3252.41 | 1.26821 | -41.759 |
46 | 3268.38 | 3277.61 | 3277.5 | 0.112693 | -9.23353 |
47 | 3289.52 | 3306.08 | 3301.16 | 4.92228 | -16.5614 |
48 | 3316.28 | 3323.1 | 3324.66 | -1.55512 | -6.82071 |
49 | 3348.6 | 3352.71 | 3352.29 | 0.423318 | -4.11499 |
50 | 3400.44 | 3386.15 | 3384.71 | 1.43792 | 14.2879 |
51 | 3425.68 | 3414.3 | 3419.21 | -4.9103 | 11.382 |
52 | 3456.3 | 3443.72 | 3449.79 | -6.0678 | 12.577 |
53 | 3454.46 | 3476.36 | 3476.27 | 0.0875595 | -21.8959 |
54 | 3514.48 | 3501.51 | 3501.28 | 0.233869 | 12.9703 |
55 | 3546 | 3525.49 | 3525.22 | 0.276548 | 20.5076 |
56 | 3596.3 | 3550.72 | 3546.95 | 3.77082 | 45.5825 |
57 | 3616.2 | 3567.11 | 3565.84 | 1.26821 | 49.0943 |
58 | 3598.08 | 3583.34 | 3583.23 | 0.112693 | 14.7415 |
59 | 3595.28 | 3606.37 | 3601.45 | 4.92228 | -11.0948 |
60 | 3610.7 | 3618.06 | 3619.62 | -1.55512 | -7.36405 |
61 | 3628.74 | 3636.16 | 3635.74 | 0.423318 | -7.41832 |
62 | 3641.84 | 3650.09 | 3648.65 | 1.43792 | -8.24958 |
63 | 3637.66 | 3653.63 | 3658.54 | -4.9103 | -15.9672 |
64 | 3661.64 | 3664.01 | 3670.08 | -6.0678 | -2.3672 |
65 | 3686.56 | 3684.9 | 3684.81 | 0.0875595 | 1.65827 |
66 | 3718.38 | 3699.53 | 3699.3 | 0.233869 | 18.8486 |
67 | 3728.88 | 3712.01 | 3711.74 | 0.276548 | 16.8668 |
68 | 3723.42 | 3726.79 | 3723.01 | 3.77082 | -3.36582 |
69 | 3726.34 | 3736.39 | 3735.12 | 1.26821 | -10.0482 |
70 | 3764.84 | 3748.8 | 3748.69 | 0.112693 | 16.0406 |
71 | 3782.26 | 3768.4 | 3763.47 | 4.92228 | 13.8636 |
72 | 3771.32 | 3775.45 | 3777.01 | -1.55512 | -4.13405 |
73 | 3766.66 | 3789.28 | 3788.86 | 0.423318 | -22.6192 |
74 | 3774.6 | 3803.49 | 3802.05 | 1.43792 | -28.8871 |
75 | 3795.42 | 3812.25 | 3817.16 | -4.9103 | -16.828 |
76 | 3829.48 | 3825.5 | 3831.57 | -6.0678 | 3.97613 |
77 | 3873.62 | 3844.72 | 3844.63 | 0.0875595 | 28.9041 |
78 | 3856.16 | 3858.5 | 3858.27 | 0.233869 | -2.34137 |
79 | 3875.42 | 3875.16 | 3874.88 | 0.276548 | 0.263452 |
80 | 3893.52 | 3897.58 | 3893.81 | 3.77082 | -4.05832 |
81 | 3918.86 | 3911.77 | 3910.51 | 1.26821 | 7.08595 |
82 | 3918.24 | 3922.9 | 3922.79 | 0.112693 | -4.65936 |
83 | 3942.22 | 3935.24 | 3930.32 | 4.92228 | 6.97856 |
84 | 3938.7 | 3934.09 | 3935.64 | -1.55512 | 4.61012 |
85 | 3997.98 | 3941.45 | 3941.03 | 0.423318 | 56.525 |
86 | 3997.54 | 3947.49 | 3946.05 | 1.43792 | 50.0504 |
87 | 3973.24 | 3944.14 | 3949.05 | -4.9103 | 29.097 |
88 | 3946.4 | 3945.37 | 3951.44 | -6.0678 | 1.0303 |
89 | 3937.48 | 3954.59 | 3954.5 | 0.0875595 | -17.1101 |
90 | 3920.12 | 3959.89 | 3959.66 | 0.233869 | -39.773 |
91 | 3940.74 | 3964.35 | 3964.08 | 0.276548 | -23.6124 |
92 | 3948.68 | 3969.84 | 3966.07 | 3.77082 | -21.1642 |
93 | 3935.74 | 3971.14 | 3969.88 | 1.26821 | -35.4049 |
94 | 3958.58 | 3976.03 | 3975.91 | 0.112693 | -17.446 |
95 | 3975.44 | 3987.88 | 3982.96 | 4.92228 | -12.4431 |
96 | 4029.24 | 3992.09 | 3993.64 | -1.55512 | 37.1526 |
97 | 4013.44 | 4007.85 | 4007.42 | 0.423318 | 5.59335 |
98 | 4030.02 | NA | NA | 1.43792 | NA |
99 | 4032.04 | NA | NA | -4.9103 | NA |
100 | 4032.48 | NA | NA | -6.0678 | NA |
101 | 4020.54 | NA | NA | 0.0875595 | NA |
102 | 4093.42 | NA | NA | 0.233869 | NA |
103 | 4098.18 | NA | NA | 0.276548 | NA |