Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1161 | 0 | 117 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 2669.94 | 2624.55541836263 | -72.0870808267359 | 2787.4116624641 | -45.3845816373669 |
2 | 2778.72 | 2817.20602624558 | -47.2664725743451 | 2787.50044632876 | 38.4860262455845 |
3 | 2648.44 | 2601.03055067746 | -91.7397808708747 | 2787.58923019342 | -47.4094493225439 |
4 | 2631.32 | 2519.95688003207 | -44.811061455535 | 2787.49418142346 | -111.363119967927 |
5 | 3057.32 | 3256.04334566382 | 71.197521682673 | 2787.3991326535 | 198.723345663823 |
6 | 2730.66 | 2752.45912336672 | -79.1089116827848 | 2787.96978831607 | 21.7991233667176 |
7 | 2730.62 | 2755.08898873291 | -82.3894327115393 | 2788.54044397863 | 24.46898873291 |
8 | 2738.7 | 2790.0936865064 | -103.012141753817 | 2790.31845524742 | 51.3936865063984 |
9 | 2616.36 | 2518.99802826915 | -78.3744947853547 | 2792.09646651621 | -97.3619717308538 |
10 | 2773.54 | 2797.06026450099 | -45.026443663754 | 2795.04617916277 | 23.5202645009854 |
11 | 2872.76 | 2864.66909019773 | 82.8550179929383 | 2797.99589180933 | -8.09090980226665 |
12 | 2999.42 | 2707.57940668128 | 489.763267925756 | 2801.49732539296 | -291.84059331872 |
13 | 2730.62 | 2728.32832185014 | -72.0870808267359 | 2804.9987589766 | -2.2916781498634 |
14 | 2907.22 | 3050.04853588293 | -47.2664725743451 | 2811.65793669142 | 142.828535882929 |
15 | 2778.04 | 2829.50266646464 | -91.7397808708747 | 2818.31711440623 | 51.462666464643 |
16 | 2833.94 | 2884.58442495431 | -44.811061455535 | 2828.10663650122 | 50.6444249543147 |
17 | 2914.44 | 2919.78631972112 | 71.197521682673 | 2837.89615859621 | 5.34631972111765 |
18 | 2788.86 | 2810.34962131905 | -79.1089116827848 | 2846.47929036374 | 21.4896213190477 |
19 | 2742.8 | 2712.92701058027 | -82.3894327115393 | 2855.06242213127 | -29.8729894197254 |
20 | 2726.52 | 2695.28776038215 | -103.012141753817 | 2860.76438137166 | -31.2322396178474 |
21 | 2746.44 | 2704.78815417329 | -78.3744947853547 | 2866.46634061206 | -41.6518458267101 |
22 | 2927.42 | 3025.28077751223 | -45.026443663754 | 2874.58566615152 | 97.8607775122332 |
23 | 2879.56 | 2793.55999031609 | 82.8550179929383 | 2882.70499169098 | -86.0000096839149 |
24 | 3262.02 | 3135.20818441019 | 489.763267925756 | 2899.06854766406 | -126.811815589813 |
25 | 2883.14 | 2922.9349771896 | -72.0870808267359 | 2915.43210363714 | 39.7949771895974 |
26 | 2903.2 | 2916.60856831668 | -47.2664725743451 | 2937.05790425767 | 13.4085683166791 |
27 | 2877.7 | 2888.45607599268 | -91.7397808708747 | 2958.68370487819 | 10.756075992681 |
28 | 2874.3 | 2806.83304852967 | -44.811061455535 | 2986.57801292586 | -67.4669514703287 |
29 | 3026.66 | 2967.65015734379 | 71.197521682673 | 3014.47232097353 | -59.0098426562067 |
30 | 2979.42 | 2991.09448886896 | -79.1089116827848 | 3046.85442281383 | 11.6744888689564 |
31 | 3109.68 | 3222.51290805742 | -82.3894327115393 | 3079.23652465412 | 112.832908057416 |
32 | 2966.76 | 2927.6564049027 | -103.012141753817 | 3108.87573685112 | -39.1035950973019 |
33 | 2961.04 | 2861.93954573724 | -78.3744947853547 | 3138.51494904812 | -99.1004542627606 |
34 | 3103.84 | 3083.33788306334 | -45.026443663754 | 3169.36856060041 | -20.5021169366582 |
35 | 3359.12 | 3435.16280985435 | 82.8550179929383 | 3200.22217215271 | 76.0428098543521 |
36 | 3976.24 | 4230.4404405303 | 489.763267925756 | 3232.27629154395 | 254.200440530296 |
37 | 3049.42 | 2906.59666989155 | -72.0870808267359 | 3264.33041093519 | -142.823330108452 |
38 | 3089.14 | 2931.78633098157 | -47.2664725743451 | 3293.76014159278 | -157.353669018434 |
39 | 3166.26 | 3101.0699086205 | -91.7397808708747 | 3323.18987225037 | -65.1900913794966 |
40 | 3459.04 | 3608.32994770495 | -44.811061455535 | 3354.56111375058 | 149.289947704952 |
41 | 3457.32 | 3457.51012306653 | 71.197521682673 | 3385.93235525079 | 0.190123066532578 |
42 | 3292.66 | 3238.62510409253 | -79.1089116827848 | 3425.80380759026 | -54.0348959074731 |
43 | 3432.86 | 3482.43417278182 | -82.3894327115393 | 3465.67525992972 | 49.5741727818181 |
44 | 3388.4 | 3375.38331293351 | -103.012141753817 | 3504.42882882031 | -13.0166870664916 |
45 | 3312.9 | 3160.99209707446 | -78.3744947853547 | 3543.1823977109 | -151.907902925542 |
46 | 3390.04 | 3256.48072736989 | -45.026443663754 | 3568.62571629387 | -133.559272630113 |
47 | 3757.44 | 3837.95594713022 | 82.8550179929383 | 3594.06903487684 | 80.5159471302236 |
48 | 4612.38 | 5126.16848224393 | 489.763267925756 | 3608.82824983032 | 513.788482243926 |
49 | 3613.34 | 3675.17961604294 | -72.0870808267359 | 3623.5874647838 | 61.839616042937 |
50 | 3525.14 | 3463.20351733612 | -47.2664725743451 | 3634.34295523823 | -61.9364826638807 |
51 | 3473.06 | 3392.76133517822 | -91.7397808708747 | 3645.09844569265 | -80.2986648217775 |
52 | 3662.22 | 3724.55509671687 | -44.811061455535 | 3644.69596473867 | 62.335096716869 |
53 | 3717.4 | 3719.30899453265 | 71.197521682673 | 3644.29348378468 | 1.90899453264728 |
54 | 3466.9 | 3386.08395570046 | -79.1089116827848 | 3626.82495598233 | -80.8160442995422 |
55 | 3443.4 | 3359.83300453157 | -82.3894327115393 | 3609.35642817997 | -83.5669954684345 |
56 | 3383.16 | 3275.71852210149 | -103.012141753817 | 3593.61361965233 | -107.441477898514 |
57 | 3843.64 | 4187.78368366067 | -78.3744947853547 | 3577.87081112469 | 344.143683660665 |
58 | 3692.4 | 3861.51173951372 | -45.026443663754 | 3568.31470415004 | 169.111739513718 |
59 | 3558.38 | 3475.14638483168 | 82.8550179929383 | 3558.75859717538 | -83.2336151683212 |
60 | 3811.02 | 3576.46765233617 | 489.763267925756 | 3555.80907973807 | -234.552347663828 |
61 | 3470.54 | 3460.30751852597 | -72.0870808267359 | 3552.85956230076 | -10.2324814740259 |
62 | 3354.68 | 3203.21761957654 | -47.2664725743451 | 3553.40885299781 | -151.462380423462 |
63 | 3499.96 | 3537.70163717602 | -91.7397808708747 | 3553.95814369485 | 37.7416371760214 |
64 | 3537.36 | 3562.50914519695 | -44.811061455535 | 3557.02191625859 | 25.1491451969468 |
65 | 3414.98 | 3198.676789495 | 71.197521682673 | 3560.08568882232 | -216.303210504996 |
66 | 3649 | 3807.87467670003 | -79.1089116827848 | 3569.23423498275 | 158.874676700033 |
67 | 3549.72 | 3603.44665156836 | -82.3894327115393 | 3578.38278114318 | 53.7266515683582 |
68 | 3680.78 | 3878.780206619 | -103.012141753817 | 3585.79193513482 | 198.000206619 |
69 | 3484.64 | 3454.4534056589 | -78.3744947853547 | 3593.20108912645 | -30.186594341099 |
70 | 3451.92 | 3352.04238888466 | -45.026443663754 | 3596.8240547791 | -99.8776111153429 |
71 | 3831.14 | 3978.97796157532 | 82.8550179929383 | 3600.44702043174 | 147.837961575321 |
72 | 3906.02 | 3724.02442182431 | 489.763267925756 | 3598.25231024993 | -181.995578175687 |
73 | 3499.54 | 3475.10948075861 | -72.0870808267359 | 3596.05760006812 | -24.4305192413858 |
74 | 3620.62 | 3698.58814346259 | -47.2664725743451 | 3589.91832911175 | 77.9681434625904 |
75 | 3473.64 | 3455.24072271549 | -91.7397808708747 | 3583.77905815539 | -18.3992772845131 |
76 | 3494.32 | 3454.38339989262 | -44.811061455535 | 3579.06766156291 | -39.9366001073786 |
77 | 3799.66 | 3953.76621334689 | 71.197521682673 | 3574.35626497044 | 154.106213346887 |
78 | 3476.4 | 3458.33281567938 | -79.1089116827848 | 3573.5760960034 | -18.0671843206192 |
79 | 3446.86 | 3403.31350567517 | -82.3894327115393 | 3572.79592703637 | -43.5464943248289 |
80 | 3441.94 | 3410.3042977458 | -103.012141753817 | 3576.58784400801 | -31.6357022541961 |
81 | 3514.68 | 3527.3547338057 | -78.3744947853547 | 3580.37976097966 | 12.6747338056957 |
82 | 3464.96 | 3392.0262196959 | -45.026443663754 | 3582.92022396785 | -72.9337803040976 |
83 | 3579.48 | 3490.64429505102 | 82.8550179929383 | 3585.46068695604 | -88.8357049489832 |
84 | 3944.24 | 3813.40143744501 | 489.763267925756 | 3585.31529462924 | -130.838562554994 |
85 | 3702.42 | 3891.7571785243 | -72.0870808267359 | 3585.16990230243 | 189.337178524304 |
86 | 3716.28 | 3892.29904252999 | -47.2664725743451 | 3587.52743004436 | 176.01904252999 |
87 | 3538.36 | 3578.5748230846 | -91.7397808708747 | 3589.88495778628 | 40.214823084596 |
88 | 3482.58 | 3417.20301529249 | -44.811061455535 | 3592.76804616305 | -65.3769847075141 |
89 | 3665.5 | 3664.15134377751 | 71.197521682673 | 3595.65113453982 | -1.34865622249254 |
90 | 3484.5 | 3452.66168129237 | -79.1089116827848 | 3595.44723039041 | -31.8383187076265 |
91 | 3425.08 | 3337.30610647054 | -82.3894327115393 | 3595.243326241 | -87.7738935294642 |
92 | 3421.44 | 3356.98677184393 | -103.012141753817 | 3588.90536990989 | -64.4532281560714 |
93 | 3602.34 | 3700.48708120658 | -78.3744947853547 | 3582.56741357877 | 98.1470812065804 |
94 | 3593.44 | 3654.30111432928 | -45.026443663754 | 3577.60532933447 | 60.8611143292796 |
95 | 3478.5 | 3301.50173691689 | 82.8550179929383 | 3572.64324509017 | -176.998263083113 |
96 | 4365.26 | 4671.14929192488 | 489.763267925756 | 3569.60744014937 | 305.889291924876 |
97 | 3445.2 | 3395.91544561817 | -72.0870808267359 | 3566.57163520856 | -49.2845543818275 |
98 | 3473.48 | 3429.77021963355 | -47.2664725743451 | 3564.4562529408 | -43.7097803664506 |
99 | 3472.32 | 3474.03891019785 | -91.7397808708747 | 3562.34087067303 | 1.71891019784698 |
100 | 3403.82 | 3289.0022268268 | -44.811061455535 | 3563.44883462874 | -114.817773173203 |
101 | 3575.4 | 3515.04567973288 | 71.197521682673 | 3564.55679858445 | -60.3543202671212 |
102 | 3512.96 | 3532.35251989627 | -79.1089116827848 | 3572.67639178651 | 19.3925198962729 |
103 | 3433.04 | 3367.67344772296 | -82.3894327115393 | 3580.79598498858 | -65.3665522770357 |
104 | 3495.2 | 3493.04246249014 | -103.012141753817 | 3600.36967926367 | -2.15753750985505 |
105 | 3478.96 | 3416.35112124659 | -78.3744947853547 | 3619.94337353877 | -62.608878753415 |
106 | 3559.28 | 3514.96443938865 | -45.026443663754 | 3648.6220042751 | -44.3155606113469 |
107 | 3887.1 | 4014.04434699563 | 82.8550179929383 | 3677.30063501143 | 126.94434699563 |
108 | 4083.16 | 3967.58644661311 | 489.763267925756 | 3708.97028546113 | -115.573553386888 |
109 | 3659.52 | 3650.4871449159 | -72.0870808267359 | 3740.63993591083 | -9.03285508409726 |
110 | 3693.48 | 3661.67074389067 | -47.2664725743451 | 3772.55572868368 | -31.8092561093331 |
111 | 3779.52 | 3846.30825941435 | -91.7397808708747 | 3804.47152145652 | 66.7882594143507 |
112 | 3891.62 | 3991.18889870219 | -44.811061455535 | 3836.86216275335 | 99.5688987021863 |
113 | 3895.86 | 3851.26967426715 | 71.197521682673 | 3869.25280405017 | -44.5903257328464 |
114 | 3745.04 | 3667.48219219134 | -79.1089116827848 | 3901.70671949144 | -77.5578078086596 |
115 | 3884.46 | 3917.14879777882 | -82.3894327115393 | 3934.16063493272 | 32.6887977788238 |
116 | 3862.98 | 3862.43581824081 | -103.012141753817 | 3966.53632351301 | -0.54418175919136 |