Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 4020 | NA | NA | 530.195 | NA |
2 | 3540 | NA | NA | 227.122 | NA |
3 | 3430 | NA | NA | -225.534 | NA |
4 | 4200 | NA | NA | -624.909 | NA |
5 | 3360 | NA | NA | -502.982 | NA |
6 | 4440 | NA | NA | 251.445 | NA |
7 | 4390 | 4119.88 | 4319.58 | -199.701 | 270.117 |
8 | 4940 | 4335.66 | 4480 | -144.336 | 604.336 |
9 | 3940 | 5347.28 | 4608.75 | 738.529 | -1407.28 |
10 | 4560 | 4675.25 | 4708.33 | -33.0859 | -115.247 |
11 | 4850 | 4864.47 | 4838.75 | 25.7161 | -14.4661 |
12 | 5070 | 5069.62 | 5112.08 | -42.4609 | 0.377604 |
13 | 6210 | 5826.03 | 5295.83 | 530.195 | 383.971 |
14 | 5200 | 5520.04 | 5292.92 | 227.122 | -320.039 |
15 | 4860 | 5272.8 | 5498.33 | -225.534 | -412.799 |
16 | 5160 | 5085.09 | 5710 | -624.909 | 74.9089 |
17 | 5530 | 5220.77 | 5723.75 | -502.982 | 309.232 |
18 | 8830 | 5963.53 | 5712.08 | 251.445 | 2866.47 |
19 | 4410 | 5600.3 | 5800 | -199.701 | -1190.3 |
20 | 4850 | 5944.41 | 6088.75 | -144.336 | -1094.41 |
21 | 8960 | 7077.28 | 6338.75 | 738.529 | 1882.72 |
22 | 4620 | 6328.16 | 6361.25 | -33.0859 | -1708.16 |
23 | 5120 | 6264.05 | 6238.33 | 25.7161 | -1144.05 |
24 | 4520 | 5983.79 | 6026.25 | -42.4609 | -1463.79 |
25 | 8870 | 6508.11 | 5977.92 | 530.195 | 2361.89 |
26 | 9470 | 6313.37 | 6086.25 | 227.122 | 3156.63 |
27 | 6590 | 5865.3 | 6090.83 | -225.534 | 724.701 |
28 | 3970 | 5489.67 | 6114.58 | -624.909 | -1519.67 |
29 | 3770 | 5672.43 | 6175.42 | -502.982 | -1902.43 |
30 | 5500 | 6579.78 | 6328.33 | 251.445 | -1079.78 |
31 | 6580 | 6055.3 | 6255 | -199.701 | 524.701 |
32 | 5280 | 5662.33 | 5806.67 | -144.336 | -382.331 |
33 | 8640 | 6193.11 | 5454.58 | 738.529 | 2446.89 |
34 | 5510 | 5299.83 | 5332.92 | -33.0859 | 210.169 |
35 | 5690 | 5352.8 | 5327.08 | 25.7161 | 337.201 |
36 | 7620 | 5192.96 | 5235.42 | -42.4609 | 2427.04 |
37 | 4010 | 5524.78 | 4994.58 | 530.195 | -1514.78 |
38 | 3570 | 5031.29 | 4804.17 | 227.122 | -1461.29 |
39 | 4040 | 4312.8 | 4538.33 | -225.534 | -272.799 |
40 | 3600 | 3625.09 | 4250 | -624.909 | -25.0911 |
41 | 4000 | 3602.85 | 4105.83 | -502.982 | 397.148 |
42 | 3070 | 4098.11 | 3846.67 | 251.445 | -1028.11 |
43 | 3230 | 3456.13 | 3655.83 | -199.701 | -226.133 |
44 | 4060 | 3485.66 | 3630 | -144.336 | 574.336 |
45 | 3480 | 4308.53 | 3570 | 738.529 | -828.529 |
46 | 3750 | 3473.58 | 3506.67 | -33.0859 | 276.419 |
47 | 3990 | 3453.63 | 3427.92 | 25.7161 | 536.367 |
48 | 3100 | 3355.04 | 3397.5 | -42.4609 | -255.039 |
49 | 3950 | 3942.28 | 3412.08 | 530.195 | 7.72135 |
50 | 3010 | 3586.71 | 3359.58 | 227.122 | -576.706 |
51 | 3160 | 3093.22 | 3318.75 | -225.534 | 66.7839 |
52 | 2960 | 2685.92 | 3310.83 | -624.909 | 274.076 |
53 | 2750 | 2751.18 | 3254.17 | -502.982 | -1.1849 |
54 | 3590 | 3443.11 | 3191.67 | 251.445 | 146.888 |
55 | 3060 | 2956.55 | 3156.25 | -199.701 | 103.451 |
56 | 2970 | 3001.08 | 3145.42 | -144.336 | -31.0807 |
57 | 3590 | 3870.2 | 3131.67 | 738.529 | -280.195 |
58 | 3450 | 3076.08 | 3109.17 | -33.0859 | 373.919 |
59 | 2930 | 3139.47 | 3113.75 | 25.7161 | -209.466 |
60 | 2660 | 3049.62 | 3092.08 | -42.4609 | -389.622 |
61 | 3540 | 3597.28 | 3067.08 | 530.195 | -57.2786 |
62 | 3160 | 3305.46 | 3078.33 | 227.122 | -145.456 |
63 | 2680 | 2840.72 | 3066.25 | -225.534 | -160.716 |
64 | 2900 | 2433.01 | 3057.92 | -624.909 | 466.992 |
65 | 2920 | 2584.1 | 3087.08 | -502.982 | 335.898 |
66 | 2900 | 3359.78 | 3108.33 | 251.445 | -459.779 |
67 | 3150 | 2899.88 | 3099.58 | -199.701 | 250.117 |
68 | 3150 | 2924 | 3068.33 | -144.336 | 226.003 |
69 | 3120 | 3784.78 | 3046.25 | 738.529 | -664.779 |
70 | 3720 | 2989.83 | 3022.92 | -33.0859 | 730.169 |
71 | 3360 | 3014.47 | 2988.75 | 25.7161 | 345.534 |
72 | 2740 | 2921.29 | 2963.75 | -42.4609 | -181.289 |
73 | 3250 | 3461.86 | 2931.67 | 530.195 | -211.862 |
74 | 2700 | 3115.04 | 2887.92 | 227.122 | -415.039 |
75 | 2610 | 2636.97 | 2862.5 | -225.534 | -26.9661 |
76 | 2410 | 2190.51 | 2815.42 | -624.909 | 219.492 |
77 | 2590 | 2240.35 | 2743.33 | -502.982 | 349.648 |
78 | 2630 | 2962.28 | 2710.83 | 251.445 | -332.279 |
79 | 2650 | 2480.3 | 2680 | -199.701 | 169.701 |
80 | 2600 | 2516.08 | 2660.42 | -144.336 | 83.9193 |
81 | 3060 | 3408.11 | 2669.58 | 738.529 | -348.112 |
82 | 2650 | 2640.25 | 2673.33 | -33.0859 | 9.7526 |
83 | 2700 | 2698.22 | 2672.5 | 25.7161 | 1.78385 |
84 | 2620 | 2625.87 | 2668.33 | -42.4609 | -5.8724 |
85 | 2630 | 3190.61 | 2660.42 | 530.195 | -560.612 |
86 | 2850 | 2877.96 | 2650.83 | 227.122 | -27.9557 |
87 | 2680 | 2399.88 | 2625.42 | -225.534 | 280.117 |
88 | 2430 | 1985.09 | 2610 | -624.909 | 444.909 |
89 | 2550 | 2115.77 | 2618.75 | -502.982 | 434.232 |
90 | 2570 | 2866.45 | 2615 | 251.445 | -296.445 |
91 | 2520 | 2415.72 | 2615.42 | -199.701 | 104.284 |
92 | 2500 | 2474.83 | 2619.17 | -144.336 | 25.1693 |
93 | 2550 | 3344.78 | 2606.25 | 738.529 | -794.779 |
94 | 2790 | 2561.08 | 2594.17 | -33.0859 | 228.919 |
95 | 2770 | 2616.97 | 2591.25 | 25.7161 | 153.034 |
96 | 2460 | 2585.87 | 2628.33 | -42.4609 | -125.872 |
97 | 2800 | 3203.11 | 2672.92 | 530.195 | -403.112 |
98 | 2770 | 2974.21 | 2747.08 | 227.122 | -204.206 |
99 | 2450 | 2642.38 | 2867.92 | -225.534 | -192.383 |
100 | 2370 | 2299.67 | 2924.58 | -624.909 | 70.3255 |
101 | 2540 | 2456.6 | 2959.58 | -502.982 | 83.3984 |
102 | 3470 | 3281.03 | 3029.58 | 251.445 | 188.971 |
103 | 2690 | NA | NA | -199.701 | NA |
104 | 4110 | NA | NA | -144.336 | NA |
105 | 3840 | NA | NA | 738.529 | NA |
106 | 2860 | NA | NA | -33.0859 | NA |
107 | 3540 | NA | NA | 25.7161 | NA |
108 | 3370 | NA | NA | -42.4609 | NA |